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King of Solomon
Oct 23, 2008

S S

CelestialScribe posted:

This is all legitimately great, but has absolutely zero bearing on his ability to pass Medicare for All through a Republican Senate.

So like I said, you don't think activism will work, and there's no point in talking about it.

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CelestialScribe
Jan 16, 2008

Again, this is great stuff, but how does it impact Bernie passing Medicare for All through a Republican senate?

CelestialScribe
Jan 16, 2008

King of Solomon posted:

So like I said, you don't think activism will work, and there's no point in talking about it.

It isn't that I don't think it will work, because activism obviously works. What I haven't seen articulated is how activism will get Medicare For All passed through a Republican Senate.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

King of Solomon
Oct 23, 2008

S S

CelestialScribe posted:

It isn't that I don't think it will work, because activism obviously works. What I haven't seen articulated is how activism will get Medicare For All passed through a Republican Senate.

Well, the hope is that you can get a Democratic senate, but obviously that's not a given. You work with what you have, even if that means having the federal government support people banging on Mitch McConnell's door or something.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

LinYutang posted:

According to that poll, Steyer now has more Black support in SC than Bernie does.



Is Bernie even contesting South Carolina? According to 538, he didn't even run ads there last November: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-campaign-ads/#candidate=bernie-sanders

You can buy a lot of soft support from old people with ads. Most black voters in SC are olds.

CelestialScribe
Jan 16, 2008

King of Solomon posted:

Well, the hope is that you can get a Democratic senate, but obviously that's not a given. You work with what you have, even if that means having the federal government support people banging on Mitch McConnell's door or something.

Let's talk realistically - even if Bernie is able to create a large activist movement, which he can and is doing already, that isn't going to change Republican votes.

Mitch McConnell and Republicans are not going to bow to Democratic pressure.

So again I ask, how is activism meant to get Medicare for All passed?

The more realistic scenario is that enthusiasm for Bernie creates enthusiasm for Senate candidates which results in a Democratic Senate several years from now, when Medicare for All can get passed.

But this idea that protests and strikes etc are going to get Republicans to change their minds? Folly.

zetamind2000
Nov 6, 2007

I'm an alien.

LinYutang posted:

According to that poll, Steyer now has more Black support in SC than Bernie does.



Is Bernie even contesting South Carolina? According to 538, he didn't even run ads there last November: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-campaign-ads/#candidate=bernie-sanders

Well poo poo, my response was posted on the very end of the last page.

Anyway, he has nine offices in South Carolina (equal to Warren and six more than Biden) and his campaign regularly runs a lot of volunteer events, phonebanking, and canvassing. Bernie's visited the state a few times though I think Nina Turner headlined more events than he has. His website has an interactive map of upcoming events in every state and South Carolina is pretty active on it. Google Maps has a list of the campaign's offices and where they are located although there hasn't been a new office in the state in a while.

King of Solomon
Oct 23, 2008

S S

CelestialScribe posted:

Let's talk realistically - even if Bernie is able to create a large activist movement, which he can and is doing already, that isn't going to change Republican votes.

Mitch McConnell and Republicans are not going to bow to Democratic pressure.

So again I ask, how is activism meant to get Medicare for All passed?

The more realistic scenario is that enthusiasm for Bernie creates enthusiasm for Senate candidates which results in a Democratic Senate several years from now, when Medicare for All can get passed.

But this idea that protests and strikes etc are going to get Republicans to change their minds? Folly.

Again, this is legitimately unprecedented stuff. No other president has tried to do this before, so it's just running on the history of activism being the way things get done in this country. VitalSigns posted the WV teacher's strike, for example. One thing that you'll notice if you dig in a little deeper (or even just think about it for a few seconds) is that West Virginia is a republican state. The legislature, the governor, all Republican. So if the WV teacher's strike worked, there's a possibility that you can get Mitch McConnell to bend through some aggressive activism. Is it likely? No. But it's worth a shot.

And yes, there's also the hope that Sanders will have sufficient coattails to get the Democrats control of the senate, even if that control is 50 senators + VP.

CelestialScribe
Jan 16, 2008

King of Solomon posted:

Again, this is legitimately unprecedented stuff. No other president has tried to do this before, so it's just running on the history of activism being the way things get done in this country. VitalSigns posted the WV teacher's strike, for example. One thing that you'll notice if you dig in a little deeper (or even just think about it for a few seconds) is that West Virginia is a republican state. The legislature, the governor, all Republican. So if the WV teacher's strike worked, there's a possibility that you can get Mitch McConnell to bend through some aggressive activism. Is it likely? No. But it's worth a shot.

Sorry, but this is just completely foolish. If you seriously think McConnell will bend to Democratic protests you're out of your mind.

The better chance is taking the Senate.

King of Solomon
Oct 23, 2008

S S

CelestialScribe posted:

Sorry, but this is just completely foolish. If you seriously think McConnell will bend to Democratic protests you're out of your mind.

The better chance is taking the Senate.

I said it's unlikely, dude.

CelestialScribe
Jan 16, 2008

King of Solomon posted:

I said it's unlikely, dude.

It's not even unlikely, it's impossible.

Cpt_Obvious
Jun 18, 2007

CelestialScribe posted:

Sorry, but this is just completely foolish. If you seriously think McConnell will bend to Democratic protests you're out of your mind.

N...no. That’s not the goal.

So, is anyone going to talk about the Democrats breaking a filibuster the old fashioned way?

Wicked Them Beats
Apr 1, 2007

Moralists don't really *have* beliefs. Sometimes they stumble on one, like on a child's toy left on the carpet. The toy must be put away immediately. And the child reprimanded.

CelestialScribe posted:

It's not even unlikely, it's impossible.

This thing that has never been tried before is impossible. I know this because

mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!
In a world where Bernie wins the presidency, I think there is a good chance D's take the senate.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

CelestialScribe posted:

Again, this is great stuff, but how does it impact Bernie passing Medicare for All through a Republican senate?

You don't see what activism that pressured Republican legislators to vote for progressive policy has to do with activism pressuring Republicans to vote for progressive policy?

BI NOW GAY LATER
Jan 17, 2008

So people stop asking, the "Bi" in my username is a reference to my love for the two greatest collegiate sports programs in the world, the Virginia Tech Hokies and the Marshall Thundering Herd.

VitalSigns posted:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_West_Virginia_teachers%27_strike

How did teachers get a raise without Democrats taking over the government of West Virginia

That's a little disingenuous because they had Republicans behind them in the House of Delegates to begin with and the Republican governor. Like the pressure from the teachers was absolutely crucial and great, but there was a lot going on there that resulted in that outcome. But the pressure only existed in the first place because the Republican governor had promised state employees* a raise and the Republicans in the House of Delegates were supportive.

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

mcmagic posted:

LOL @ these loving morons still supporting Mayo Pete at this point in the race. I think he's hurting Biden more than anyone else though.

At this point, isn't it Biden hurting Pete?

Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

Sometimes I wonder if people like CelestrialScribe are just waiting for the magical day that someone finally says "Ah yes, I asked the precogs and they said that including 10 prime numbers in the MfA legislation would brainwash Republicans into voting for it."

(of course they reality is that they just don't give a poo poo about this stuff and primarily care about owning the left by repeatedly pointing out how change is impossible)

CelestialScribe posted:

I've asked several times how Bernie supporters actually expect him to get stuff passed, and every answer is just "uhhhh build a movement? executive order??? somehow???"

There is literally no other answer to this. You can't magically prove that you can get bad people to pass good things.

Think of it this way - if Congress was 100% Republicans you'd admit that the only real option is to attempt to build a movement to get them out of office, right?

We exist in a situation where passing good things is inherently impossible without changing the people in our government, and changing the people in our government requires an actual political movement. And you can't build a political movement without actual goals beyond just "elect Democrats."

What exactly are you trying to accomplish anyways? Even if you ignore the fact that we're all obviously aware of the fact that Congress won't pass anything decent without heavy pressure (and even then it's uncertain), what response are you hoping for?

CelestialScribe posted:

How? Please provide in detail how you think this is going to work, I'm being serious.

It is literally impossible to envision an answer to this question that you would find acceptable (by the way, this is an effective litmus test for telling if someone is acting in bad faith). It is obviously impossible to provide a direct guide to how to accomplish such an uncertain huge long-term goal. If I had the ability to do that, it would be because I was a hypergenius with the literal superpower of precognition.

Ytlaya fucked around with this message at 02:24 on Jan 10, 2020

punishedkissinger
Sep 20, 2017

sports posted:

Fred Hampton knew a thing or two about building progressive movements.

Liz Warren would release a statement about how Fred Hampton was a dangerous anti American radical but killing him was wrong.

zetamind2000
Nov 6, 2007

I'm an alien.

New national poll by Ipsos: Sanders 17 (+2) Biden 15 (-3) Warren 10 (0) Bloomberg 6 (+1) Buttigeg 5 (+1)

Wicked Them Beats
Apr 1, 2007

Moralists don't really *have* beliefs. Sometimes they stumble on one, like on a child's toy left on the carpet. The toy must be put away immediately. And the child reprimanded.

overmind2000 posted:

New national poll by Ipsos: Sanders 17 (+2) Biden 15 (-3) Warren 10 (0) Bloomberg 6 (+1) Buttigeg 5 (+1)

Democratic nominee Don't Know running away with it at 23%.

oxsnard
Oct 8, 2003

overmind2000 posted:

New national poll by Ipsos: Sanders 17 (+2) Biden 15 (-3) Warren 10 (0) Bloomberg 6 (+1) Buttigeg 5 (+1)

this is a great poll, unironically. It means that uninformed people only pick Biden based on name recognition.

Also, the Steyer bump is odd, though he's easily the third best candidate purely on the issues

GoutPatrol
Oct 17, 2009

*Stupid Babby*

Wicked Them Beats posted:

Democratic nominee Don't Know running away with it at 23%.

538 gives "Don't Know" a 1 in 7 chance of winning

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

BI NOW GAY LATER posted:

That's a little disingenuous because they had Republicans behind them in the House of Delegates to begin with and the Republican governor. Like the pressure from the teachers was absolutely crucial and great, but there was a lot going on there that resulted in that outcome. But the pressure only existed in the first place because the Republican governor had promised state employees* a raise and the Republicans in the House of Delegates were supportive.

So activism worked but it doesn't count for reasons.

I mean ok. If you think Republicans will keep the Senate and no legislation is possible then Bernie is the only good candidate because his foreign policy, where the President has unilateral power, is the only good one

Mat Cauthon
Jan 2, 2006

The more tragic things get,
the more I feel like laughing.



Seems a bit late in the game for this but I don't know what other lane she really has at this point beyond "middling compromise that pleases no one":

https://twitter.com/AlxThomp/status/1215442444491403264

Case in point:

https://twitter.com/RoseFasa/status/1215327086900056066

BI NOW GAY LATER
Jan 17, 2008

So people stop asking, the "Bi" in my username is a reference to my love for the two greatest collegiate sports programs in the world, the Virginia Tech Hokies and the Marshall Thundering Herd.

oxsnard posted:

this is a great poll, unironically. It means that uninformed people only pick Biden based on name recognition.

Also, the Steyer bump is odd, though he's easily the third best candidate purely on the issues

it was the steyer sons

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



This illustrates how Steyer/Bloomberg have any polling numbers whatsoever-

https://twitter.com/DavidWright_CNN/status/1215295977818656768

I don't buy for a second that Steyer is now in 2nd place in SC. I want someone to actually see if they can find a person who legit supports him in that state

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Mat Cauthon posted:

Seems a bit late in the game for this but I don't know what other lane she really has at this point beyond "middling compromise that pleases no one":

https://twitter.com/AlxThomp/status/1215442444491403264

Case in point:

https://twitter.com/RoseFasa/status/1215327086900056066

Interesting pitch to make when she's the one warring the most in the debates.

GoutPatrol
Oct 17, 2009

*Stupid Babby*

Mat Cauthon posted:

Seems a bit late in the game for this but I don't know what other lane she really has at this point beyond "middling compromise that pleases no one":


I supported her earlier but she lost me flopping on M4A. That was the stupidest thing she ever could have done and no one should believe her after it.

Gripweed
Nov 8, 2018
Women are wonderful animals, they should be making music and writing novels about having a complex relationship with your mother.
https://twitter.com/emrata/status/1215370874452422657?s=20

nearly killed em!
Aug 5, 2011

wait, did I really just read a bunch of smarmy posts about how mass movements can't and haven't ever made change? that's so wildly ignorant of how movement, in any direction, has ever been made anywhere. read a loving book, god drat. or just remember ten years ago when the tea party completely washed the republican party and then the democrats.

edit: progress isn't a gift of capital, it's always been a fight. it's a fight that imprisons and kills. Bernie isn't trying something never before seen, he's the potential grip on the levers of power that the broader labor and socialist and communist movement used to have. this is a continuation of the fight for an eight hour work day, for unemployment insurance, minimum wage, voting rights, integration, etc. it will work because it's the only thing that has ever worked

nearly killed em! fucked around with this message at 03:27 on Jan 10, 2020

droll
Jan 9, 2020

by Azathoth

Who?

Gripweed
Nov 8, 2018
Women are wonderful animals, they should be making music and writing novels about having a complex relationship with your mother.

Bernie Sanders

Martman
Nov 20, 2006

nearly killed em! posted:

wait, did I really just read a bunch of smarmy posts about how mass movements can't and haven't ever made change? that's so wildly ignorant of how movement, in any direction, has ever been made anywhere. read a loving book, god drat. or just remember ten years ago when the tea party completely washed the republican party and then the democrats.
It's also just 100% useless to respond to someone coming here with that argument imo. Anyone claiming to forecast the next 10 years of our country's political climate is an idiot, and anyone using that to shut down attempts to Do the Right Thing is either trolling or a bad mans.

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

Wicked Them Beats posted:

Oh geeze I forgot about Klob. She's catnip for a NYT op-ed writer.

They're not going to endorse a no hope candidate, they'll endorse one of the top four.

Since they won't endorse Sanders, that leaves Biden, Warren or Butt. I feel like they're going to go Butt because he's young and a technocrat.

OctaMurk
Jun 21, 2013

Charlz Guybon posted:

They're not going to endorse a no hope candidate, they'll endorse one of the top four.

Since they won't endorse Sanders, that leaves Biden, Warren or Butt. I feel like they're going to go Butt because he's young and a technocrat.

NYT editors is pretty much Mayo Pete's base

Mat Cauthon
Jan 2, 2006

The more tragic things get,
the more I feel like laughing.




She's a model/actress.

mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!

Mat Cauthon posted:

Seems a bit late in the game for this but I don't know what other lane she really has at this point beyond "middling compromise that pleases no one":

https://twitter.com/AlxThomp/status/1215442444491403264


This is a good argument for her and I could even see it working if Biden craters hard.

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

FlamingLiberal posted:

This illustrates how Steyer/Bloomberg have any polling numbers whatsoever-

https://twitter.com/DavidWright_CNN/status/1215295977818656768

I don't buy for a second that Steyer is now in 2nd place in SC. I want someone to actually see if they can find a person who legit supports him in that state

It would be great if he was, cut's down on Biden's chance to win.

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nelson
Apr 12, 2009
College Slice
Foreign policy can also impact domestic policy. LBJ’s Great Society could have been even greater if he didn’t let the country get dragged into Vietnam.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/22/opinion/vietnam-war-great-society.amp.html

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