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Outrail
Jan 4, 2009

www.sapphicrobotica.com
:roboluv: :love: :roboluv:
No looking good friends. Worst case scenario everything shuts down for a few months and noone interacts socially until the infected die off/get better. Then we deal with flare-ups every few months/years until medicos devise a vaccine for a rapidly mutating flu virus.

Maybe this will be an impetus to move into more remote work and teleworking. Which would probably devolve into a more contract gig economy and ah gently caress it take me now coronaplague.

E: gently caress you I snipe you sick

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TOOT BOOT
May 25, 2010

Bubble Bobby posted:

No checkmark? He may as well be raving in the street then

I'll wait until there's confirmation by real news sources. Even scientists can be alarmist or wrong sometimes.

Outrail
Jan 4, 2009

www.sapphicrobotica.com
:roboluv: :love: :roboluv:
The whole point of being a scientist is never being wrong. Everyone else is wrong sometimes.

Despera
Jun 6, 2011

TOOT BOOT posted:

I'll wait until there's confirmation by real news sources. Even scientists can be alarmist or wrong sometimes.

Can you find one who compared this to ebola? Because if they did they would be a loving idiot scientist instead of just a loving idiot

Bubble Bobby
Jan 28, 2005

TOOT BOOT posted:

I'll wait until there's confirmation by real news sources. Even scientists can be alarmist or wrong sometimes.

I know, I'm only half-joking

Lil Swamp Booger Baby
Aug 1, 1981

It's all going to be ok

Mr. Apollo
Nov 8, 2000

Foul Ole Ron
Jan 6, 2005

All of you, please don't rush, everyone do the Guybrush!
Fun Shoe

Lil Swamp Booger Baby posted:

It's all going to be ok

That's what a line out of the world war z book... A line that scared a chinese docter about how hosed they were.

Gents, it's brown trousers time.

Lil Swamp Booger Baby
Aug 1, 1981

Foul Ole Ron posted:

That's what a line out of the world war z book... A line that scared a chinese docter about how hosed they were.

Gents, it's brown trousers time.

That book sucks

Ansar Santa
Jul 12, 2012

Yeah, you can sit in your house and subsist on canned food for a few months like a coward

Or, you can face up to your responsibility as goons and live up to this forum's historic destiny. Lick doorknobs in public buildings. cough and sneeze without covering your mouth. Instead of washing your hands after you pee, smear them all over the tap, the doorknob, the crank or lever on the paper towel dispenser. Let each goon be a footsoldier in the war against mankind, and let it be a war of extermination. The coronavirus and the something awful forums, marching shoulder to shoulder towards the great and noble goal of human extinction. Forward!

Outrail
Jan 4, 2009

www.sapphicrobotica.com
:roboluv: :love: :roboluv:

A Russian troll farm posted:

Yeah, you can sit in your house and subsist on canned food for a few months like a coward

Or, you can face up to your responsibility as goons and live up to this forum's historic destiny. Lick doorknobs in public buildings. cough and sneeze without covering your mouth. Instead of washing your hands after you pee, smear them all over the tap, the doorknob, the crank or lever on the paper towel dispenser. Let each goon be a footsoldier in the war against mankind, and let it be a war of extermination. The coronavirus and the something awful forums, marching shoulder to shoulder towards the great and noble goal of human extinction. Forward!

Bug catcher fetishist spotted.

Lil Swamp Booger Baby
Aug 1, 1981

I'm ready to die but it seems to be odd, that bleeding is better than breathing to God.

Nastyman
Jul 11, 2007

There they sit
at the foot of the mountain
Taking hits
of the sacred smoke
Fire rips at their lungs
Holy mountain take us away

Lil Swamp Booger Baby posted:

I'm ready to die but it seems to be odd, that bleeding is better than breathing to God.

boomer god, so what

Aoi
Sep 12, 2017

Perpetually a Pain.

TOOT BOOT posted:

I'm skeptical, people were freaking out about Ebola too and it wasn't that bad outside of Africa. This is also like one dude with 3k followers and doesn't have a checkmark.

The things about Ebola is that it isn't nearly as contagious as the flu (let alone this coronavirus), and that it's *so* lethal and lethal *so* fast that it tends to burn out hot zones by killing everyone it can touch before they can get out to spread it further, and it's fairly easy to tell when someone is infected, so they can't go ahead and travel internationally without being spotted.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
Frankly the prognosis looks fairly good if you actually have access to proper healthcare and disease control

So far it's looking like the biggest factor contributing to mortality is being in China

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
*solemnly* I'm afraid I have some bad news. The tests are back, and they're positive. You have stage three China.

Wild Horses
Oct 31, 2012

There's really no meaning in making beetles fight.

Outrail posted:

Bug catcher fetishist spotted.

Its really gross poz my neg hole is a thing

it dont matter
Aug 29, 2008

https://twitter.com/guardiannews/status/1220953759158800384?s=20

Guardian is also reporting that a medical centre in China has a notice saying all appointments cancelled because staff are infected.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

Outrail posted:

No looking good friends. Worst case scenario everything shuts down for a few months and noone interacts socially until the infected die off/get better. Then we deal with flare-ups every few months/years until medicos devise a vaccine for a rapidly mutating flu virus.
the CDC and World Health Organization lie and collaborates with the pharmaceutical companies. the virus was hatched inside a chinese bacteriological warfare plant and was deliberately released. it's in their interests to actually SPREAD the virus while the only way to stop it is to subscribe to a six-month dosage of my gravy-flavored TRUTH SERUM® with a hint of my special sauce available at the FACT FORCE website

Wild Horses
Oct 31, 2012

There's really no meaning in making beetles fight.

EimiYoshikawa posted:

The things about Ebola is that it isn't nearly as contagious as the flu (let alone this coronavirus), and that it's *so* lethal and lethal *so* fast that it tends to burn out hot zones by killing everyone it can touch before they can get out to spread it further, and it's fairly easy to tell when someone is infected, so they can't go ahead and travel internationally without being spotted.

Ebola had a few factors that maximized it’s spread too. Geographically it was really hard to oversee and stop people from moving over the borders in countries: it was just different types of bush and forest in west Africa

Infrastructure is bad but that also meant medical teams had a harder time reaching zones with big infection rates.
Also people in these afflicted places have no real education and distrust for medical personnel, so they won’t report the sick.
All in all Ebola was worse than it could have been, but still fairly good all things considered

Wild Horses fucked around with this message at 10:51 on Jan 25, 2020

Carlos Lantana
Oct 2, 2003

I'm really sorry, your avatar is giving me a boner and while that is perfectly OK and I don't want to kink shame anyone, its making me feel really weird getting a boner in a Trump thread.

Sincerely,

Jailbrekr
Lets all do The Nurgle.

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?
Second opinion on the holy mother of god guy. "Here" is his own replies to his tweet, which you can see by clicking on the tweet.

https://twitter.com/ferrisjabr/status/1220963553911271424

Kingo Ligma
Aug 24, 2019

Ask me about calling people racist because I failed geography.

GenericOverusedName posted:

Wait, so what supplement should I take if I want to die of the hellplague?

TCM

Niwrad
Jul 1, 2008

Zotix posted:

I'm not a scientist but gently caress. When a Harvard scientist is like hold on to your pants boys this is gonna be a wild ride, you kind of are inclined to pay attention.

The part where he's like containment will fail is not very reassuring.

He apparently is going off of a dates model that is being revised down to an R0 of 2.5 as more information comes in. That being said that seems far more infectious to that of the regular flu or any other epidemics in the past 100 years.

The guy is using outdated and unreliable data. He also really wants to be on cable news shows scaring people.

Jamsta
Dec 16, 2006

Oh you want some too? Fuck you!

Imperial College London estimates the current trans rate is 2.6

https://twitter.com/MRC_Outbreak/status/1221032729971773440

Ugly In The Morning
Jul 1, 2010
Pillbug

Jamsta posted:

Imperial College London estimates the current trans rate is 2.6

https://twitter.com/MRC_Outbreak/status/1221032729971773440

Influenza’s R0 is usually around 1.5, for comparison.

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

Jamsta posted:

Imperial College London estimates the current trans rate is 2.6

https://twitter.com/MRC_Outbreak/status/1221032729971773440

This is interesting but there is a lot of missing data and assumptions made

A Grand Egg
Jan 12, 2020

by Pragmatica



médecins sans préservatif

A Grand Egg fucked around with this message at 13:44 on Jan 25, 2020

Sunswipe
Feb 5, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Another Bill posted:



Phew that's a relief good luck everyone else

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pn0WdJx-Wkw

Backweb
Feb 14, 2009

Asia-based goon here. Went out to the museums today. Lots of people wearing masks. Not dead yet. Will try harder tomorrow.

Anyway, can someone explain what R0, 1.5, and 2.6 means? (and could you explain it like you would to a child? :shobon: ) Thanks.

Son of Rodney
Feb 22, 2006

ohmygodohmygodohmygod

Wild Horses posted:

one positive is that medical masks and filter masks will be more popular in europe, which is sweet.

maybe i can wear/force others to wear masks when they're sneezing or coughing in the subway without looking like a psychopath

this will never, ever happen because those masks do absolute nothing and are stupid as gently caress

you will continue to look like a psychopath, rightfully so

Sunswipe
Feb 5, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Backweb posted:

Asia-based goon here. Went out to the museums today. Lots of people wearing masks. Not dead yet. Will try harder tomorrow.

Anyway, can someone explain what R0, 1.5, and 2.6 means? (and could you explain it like you would to a child? :shobon: ) Thanks.

You're going to die.

Ugly In The Morning
Jul 1, 2010
Pillbug

Backweb posted:



Anyway, can someone explain what R0, 1.5, and 2.6 means? (and could you explain it like you would to a child? :shobon: ) Thanks.

The R0 is how many people you expect each sick person to infect.

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

Ugly In The Morning posted:

The R0 is how many people you expect each sick person to infect.

So the 1.5 means one person would infect 1.5 people. 2.6 is pretty high.

Ugly In The Morning
Jul 1, 2010
Pillbug

MarcusSA posted:

So the 1.5 means one person would infect 1.5 people. 2.6 is pretty high.

2.6 is insane. There’s higher ones out there but those typically have vaccines which reduces their in-reality R0.

down n out
Sep 16, 2008

Nap Ghost
Build a wall and have people dangling mouth masks over the top.

Backweb
Feb 14, 2009

Thanks for the clarification!


Sunswipe posted:

You're going to die.
I know that's why I said I'll try harder tomorrow jeez can't you read? :confused:

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

Honestly though watch the movie contagion if it’s on streaming or you can find it.

It actually explains a lot of this pretty well.

It’s not a terrible movie either!

Son of Rodney
Feb 22, 2006

ohmygodohmygodohmygod

man saying a virus is " a 2.6" is the lamest way to classify these things

if you want the average human to take this seriously give it a cool name like "the virus is omega level" or "the virus is dragon class", that sounds dope as gently caress. "This is a 2.6" is for nerds.

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MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

Son of Rodney posted:

man saying a virus is " a 2.6" is the lamest way to classify these things

if you want the average human to take this seriously give it a cool name like "the virus is omega level" or "the virus is dragon class", that sounds dope as gently caress. "This is a 2.6" is for nerds.

lol you ain’t wrong

This is the scene that explains it decently.


https://youtu.be/VrATMF_FB9M

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