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Djarum
Apr 1, 2004

by vyelkin

Scooter_McCabe posted:

I've seen jaded alcoholic public defenders offer a better defense. The lack of refutation begs the introduction of witnesses. The opening by Pat was damning in a "we have to destroy the president in order to save him" banannas kind of way.

If you are a moderate Republican you are screaming you need more thanbvb this to cover. Even Susan Collins is sentient enough that this will end her if she rolls along with an aquital.

I'm chuckling at the thought of McConnell promising rewards and punishment. The man is old enough that any long term prospects of his patronage is a joke. Also no way Trump can be trusted for a golden parachute the way he shits through appointees.

There are going to be witnesses called if Monday's performance matches today. Trump can't be happy with this less than forceful performance.

I think their plan is to end it as quickly as possible still. It seems that the idea is that getting it over quickly is the least amount of damage they will take. Personally I think it is going to backfire more than dragging it out.

I wouldn't take a threat from McConnell seriously at all. I will be amazed if he survives the next election.

Honestly the person to watch right now is Matt Geatz since he was so cozy with Trump and now seems to be on the outside. I think he is going to show a path for other Republicans to survive outside of Trump which will be the chink in his armor.

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eke out
Feb 24, 2013



also, the 2 days of alternating questions will be basically rebuttal for dems

quote:

“We will be posing questions that will very pointedly give House managers an opportunity to rebut some of the distortions and misstatements that we've seen here, and we are framing those questions so that there will be, in effect, an opportunity to dispute some of those facts,” Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) told reporters Saturday after the Trump defense team wrapped up their opening presentation.

The question and answer session is expected to begin Tuesday or Wednesday depending on when the Trump team wraps, and the trial then will shift to 16 hours of Q&A with senators writing down their questions that Chief Justice John Roberts will read aloud.

“We will use all 16 hours,” Blumenthal predicted. ”We have as many questions as we will have time to present.” — Darren Samuelsohn

and Schumer on TV just said that they're going to ask a question in such a way that lets the impeachment managers play the tape of Trump demanding Yovanovich be fired to Parnas/etc lol

Lambert
Apr 15, 2018

by Fluffdaddy
Fallen Rib

eke out posted:

trump's legal geniuses making the case that we just don't know what happened

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1221124060530257921

if Manchin feels like he has cover to say this kind of thing and stay closely in line with the democrats here, it's a very good sign

How is this a "good sign"? I'm perplexed.

FizFashizzle
Mar 30, 2005







Djarum posted:



I wouldn't take a threat from McConnell seriously at all. I will be amazed if he survives the next election.

Honestly the person to watch right now is Matt Geatz since he was so cozy with Trump and now seems to be on the outside. I think he is going to show a path for other Republicans to survive outside of Trump which will be the chink in his armor.

McConnell is not going to lose his next election. That's a pipe dream.

Gaetz is from the reddest district in Florida and while he has some views on marijuana that diverge from the party (and probably line up more with the electorate just like everywhere else in the country) he's a member of the house who doesn't matter at all. He could lose half his support and still win comfortably, and his family is still in control of the political machine back home.

Lambert posted:

How is this a "good sign"? I'm perplexed.

Manchin hedging like this means it's close enough that he doesn't want to be the deciding vote.

His MO is always siding with the dems when it's necessary, but switching to the GOP when it's a blowout.

eke out
Feb 24, 2013



Lambert posted:

How is this a "good sign"? I'm perplexed.

manchin is saying "Trump's lawyers did a great job, but it seems like they've confirmed we have a factual dispute, so we need to hear from the witnesses who can testify about those facts"

this is literally the thing you will be hearing Susan Collins and friends say if the democrats prevail on the witness issue.

Alkabob
May 31, 2011
I would like to speak to the manager about the socialists, please

Lambert posted:

How is this a "good sign"? I'm perplexed.

He'd love to hear from witnesses. For a DINO that has to kiss Trumper rear end it's practically a scream he will break ranks to vote for witnesses.

Basically its less poltically damaging for his future to go against the president.

eke out
Feb 24, 2013



Scooter_McCabe posted:

He'd love to hear from witnesses. For a DINO that has to kiss Trumper rear end it's practically a scream he will break ranks to vote for witnesses.

Basically its less poltically damaging for his future to go against the president.

and if Manchin sees it as damaging to not vote for witnesses, that's a great sign. national polls are at like 2/3 in favor of witnesses right now

i'm not saying that it's definitely going to happen or anything, just that it's a sign that they've done a good job on this issue so far. if they'd done poorly and the wind was blowing the other way, you can bet Manchin would be saying something else

sexpig by night
Sep 8, 2011

by Azathoth

eke out posted:

and if Manchin sees it as damaging to not vote for witnesses, that's a great sign. national polls are at like 2/3 in favor of witnesses right now

i'm not saying that it's going to happen, just that it's a sign that they've done a good job on this issue so far

yea I don't expect witnesses but I do at least expect 'these loving simps wouldn't even vote to listen to witnesses because they're so up Trump's rear end' to be a fairly good cudgel in november

eke out
Feb 24, 2013



FYI Romney just gave NBC a statement saying he's "very likely to vote for witnesses"

Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1221140946320084995

look at this lap.

Djarum
Apr 1, 2004

by vyelkin

FizFashizzle posted:

McConnell is not going to lose his next election. That's a pipe dream.

Gaetz is from the reddest district in Florida and while he has some views on marijuana that diverge from the party (and probably line up more with the electorate just like everywhere else in the country) he's a member of the house who doesn't matter at all. He could lose half his support and still win comfortably, and his family is still in control of the political machine back home.

McConnell is underwater in Kentucky. Talking to people I know in the state even the most hardcore Republicans are tired of him at this point. It depends on his opponent, although he is going to have a fight on his hands even with the primary as Wesley Morgan has been drawing a lot of support. While him losing isn't a sure thing let's not say that him winning re-election is a sure thing here. He is going to have a battle unlike anything he has had in decades.

As for Geatz because he is in a safe seat he can show that path away from Trump. I think he is a loathsome scumbag but I would love nothing more than to have Trump's ire focused on him and it does nothing. If Romney grows a spine somehow I imagine we would see much the same effect.

Literally Kermit
Mar 4, 2012
t

Djarum posted:

McConnell is underwater in Kentucky. Talking to people I know in the state even the most hardcore Republicans are tired of him at this point. It depends on his opponent, although he is going to have a fight on his hands even with the primary as Wesley Morgan has been drawing a lot of support. While him losing isn't a sure thing let's not say that him winning re-election is a sure thing here. He is going to have a battle unlike anything he has had in decades.

As for Geatz because he is in a safe seat he can show that path away from Trump. I think he is a loathsome scumbag but I would love nothing more than to have Trump's ire focused on him and it does nothing. If Romney grows a spine somehow I imagine we would see much the same effect.

“If”.

Djarum
Apr 1, 2004

by vyelkin

eke out posted:

FYI Romney just gave NBC a statement saying he's "very likely to vote for witnesses"

I keep thinking that they will vote to call witnesses, the House managers will call Bolton, Mulvaney and Pompeo. Trump will again block them and the Senate will do nothing about it. "Welp, you got to call your witnesses. Too bad."

Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.

Djarum posted:

I keep thinking that they will vote to call witnesses, the House managers will call Bolton, Mulvaney and Pompeo. Trump will again block them and the Senate will do nothing about it. "Welp, you got to call your witnesses. Too bad."

sure but that won't help trump at all and it will turn into even a bigger circus.

Thom12255
Feb 23, 2013
WHERE THE FUCK IS MY MONEY
Did Fox broadcast the impeachment with sound today now that its Trumps defense time?

ManBoyChef
Aug 1, 2019

Deadbeat Dad



Orange Devil posted:

Then you report every single day that the government won't answer any questions on anything anymore and you explain to your audience why this is a Very Bad Thing in a democracy. You keep painting them as detached elitists who think they are so much better than you they don't even have to explain themselves to you. Basically put their contempt, for the press, for the democratic process and for the public, front and center every single day.

Ofcourse, nobody gives a poo poo about contempt for the American press because American reporters are so loving garbage at their job that they are contemptible. What passes for your democratic process is also contemptible. But you know, it's up to these assholes to redeem themselves and make people give a poo poo, rather than burying their tongue in the rear end of every authoritarian they can find.

Dude you are right on the money. Our press is really run by advertisers so ratings is what they are after rather than an informed electorate. They don't want to lose access so they won't ever press an issue or follow up on a question that the person in the admin wouldn't want to answer. Also they are corporate owned so someone like Bernie Sanders either doesn't get any press or they smear him in such a contemptible fashion. Its basically a big bag of gently caress you to the american people. Don't get me started about Fox Entertainment (can't call it news).

E:I wanted to add to the discussion that the GOP has the most well developed propaganda machines in the US. It doesn't really matter how lovely the defense lawyers do because all the bucktooth applejohns that watch fox are going to be getting a completely different story.

ManBoyChef fucked around with this message at 20:25 on Jan 25, 2020

DarkHorse
Dec 13, 2006

Vroom vroom, BEEP BEEP!
Nap Ghost

Thom12255 posted:

Did Fox broadcast the impeachment with sound today now that its Trumps defense time?

I've been wondering that too, but not enough to actually check :shrug:

Phil Moscowitz
Feb 19, 2007

If blood be the price of admiralty,
Lord God, we ha' paid in full!
Is there anything stopping Congress from legislating itself a subpoena/contempt enforcement division with arrest powers, so we don’t have to deal with the quite obvious problem of congress being dependent on the executive branch to enforce oversight efforts against itself?

Other than the constitution I guess lol

TheSpartacus
Oct 30, 2010
HEY GUYS I'VE FLOWN HELICOPTERS IN THIS GAME BEFORE AND I AM AN EXPERT. ALSO, HOW DO I START THE ENGINE?

Phil Moscowitz posted:

Is there anything stopping Congress from legislating itself a subpoena/contempt enforcement division with arrest powers, so we don’t have to deal with the quite obvious problem of congress being dependent on the executive branch to enforce oversight efforts against itself?

Other than the constitution I guess lol

It's called inherent contempt, they already have the power

Phil Moscowitz
Feb 19, 2007

If blood be the price of admiralty,
Lord God, we ha' paid in full!
I mean I understand the unitary executive concept but I’m not aware of any Supreme Court decision on this particular subject.

TheSpartacus
Oct 30, 2010
HEY GUYS I'VE FLOWN HELICOPTERS IN THIS GAME BEFORE AND I AM AN EXPERT. ALSO, HOW DO I START THE ENGINE?

Phil Moscowitz posted:

I mean I understand the unitary executive concept but I’m not aware of any Supreme Court decision on this particular subject.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jurney_v._MacCracken

Inherent contempt is when the house or senate sends their sergeant at arms to arrest someone anywhere in the US.

Phil Moscowitz
Feb 19, 2007

If blood be the price of admiralty,
Lord God, we ha' paid in full!

TheSpartacus posted:

It's called inherent contempt, they already have the power

Yeah and they don’t ever use it for some reason, or haven’t in like 100 years. Seems toothless.

TheSpartacus
Oct 30, 2010
HEY GUYS I'VE FLOWN HELICOPTERS IN THIS GAME BEFORE AND I AM AN EXPERT. ALSO, HOW DO I START THE ENGINE?
Your right, we've never had a justice department so partisan.

They could use it, but are afraid of the political consequences.

empty whippet box
Jun 9, 2004

by Fluffdaddy

Literally Kermit posted:

Then loving TELL THEM, dude.

What are you, one of them “nothing matters” types?

How the gently caress do you think I know they don't know, idiot?

I live in South Mississippi, the gently caress do you expect out of chudland?

Phil Moscowitz
Feb 19, 2007

If blood be the price of admiralty,
Lord God, we ha' paid in full!

TheSpartacus posted:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jurney_v._MacCracken

Inherent contempt is when the house or senate sends their sergeant at arms to arrest someone anywhere in the US.

I meant I’m not aware of any case that says the Congress can’t create itself such a statutorily defined enforcement agency, free from oversight by DOJ or the executive, so that its inherent contempt powers are clearly laid out and enforcement is mandatory.

Djarum
Apr 1, 2004

by vyelkin

Dapper_Swindler posted:

sure but that won't help trump at all and it will turn into even a bigger circus.

Trump doesn't care. It will deflect and delay which is their strategy all along. Their bet is to either run out the clock to make it not matter or muddy the water so much that it isn't effective anymore.

HootTheOwl
May 13, 2012

Hootin and shootin

Phil Moscowitz posted:

I meant I’m not aware of any case that says the Congress can’t create itself such a statutorily defined enforcement agency, free from oversight by DOJ or the executive, so that its inherent contempt powers are clearly laid out and enforcement is mandatory.
I would argue the basic structure of our government would make such a thing unconstitutional. Congress clearly was not given the power to enforce law so how would that get the ability to just gave themselves an enforcement agency?

eke out
Feb 24, 2013



https://twitter.com/JasonLeopold/status/1221161548363657217

Phil Moscowitz
Feb 19, 2007

If blood be the price of admiralty,
Lord God, we ha' paid in full!

HootTheOwl posted:

I would argue the basic structure of our government would make such a thing unconstitutional. Congress clearly was not given the power to enforce law so how would that get the ability to just gave themselves an enforcement agency?

It’s not that clear actually. If the power to enforce congressional authority was meant to be exclusive to the executive branch, they could have said so.

Chef Boyardeez Nuts
Sep 9, 2011

The more you kick against the pricks, the more you suffer.

eke out posted:

FYI Romney just gave NBC a statement saying he's "very likely to vote for witnesses"

Romney's moral courage here is illusory because of alphabetical order. By the time he has to vote he'll already know how Alexander, Collins, Murkowski and Manchin have voted.

Fart Amplifier
Apr 12, 2003

Phil Moscowitz posted:

It’s not that clear actually. If the power to enforce congressional authority was meant to be exclusive to the executive branch, they could have said so.

It would be drawn out in court for years

Phil Moscowitz
Feb 19, 2007

If blood be the price of admiralty,
Lord God, we ha' paid in full!

Fart Amplifier posted:

It would be drawn out in court for years

Oh ok, so different from how it is now.

I’m not really talking about a solution to this acute problem we are having now, just in general.

Chef Boyardeez Nuts
Sep 9, 2011

The more you kick against the pricks, the more you suffer.

Djarum posted:

I keep thinking that they will vote to call witnesses, the House managers will call Bolton, Mulvaney and Pompeo. Trump will again block them and the Senate will do nothing about it. "Welp, you got to call your witnesses. Too bad."

If they vote to allow witnesses, Roberts will have the authority to rule on privilege issues and I can't see even him accepting Republican's "gently caress you" theory of executive privilege. The Senate can vote to overrule, but any Republican who has already defected has zero reason to turn back.

Phenotype
Jul 24, 2007

You must defeat Sheng Long to stand a chance.



Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

Romney's moral courage here is illusory because of alphabetical order. By the time he has to vote he'll already know how Alexander, Collins, Murkowski and Manchin have voted.

Is that really how it works? If I got elected to the Senate, I could change my name to Zzzphenotype and always vote last?

Lambert
Apr 15, 2018

by Fluffdaddy
Fallen Rib

Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

If they vote to allow witnesses, Roberts will have the authority to rule on privilege issues and I can't see even him accepting Republican's "gently caress you" theory of executive privilege. The Senate can vote to overrule, but any Republican who has already defected has zero reason to turn back.

Maybe we should remember the words of the great William Rehnquist: "I did nothing in-particular, and I did it very well"

Platonicsolid
Nov 17, 2008

Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

If they vote to allow witnesses, Roberts will have the authority to rule on privilege issues and I can't see even him accepting Republican's "gently caress you" theory of executive privilege. The Senate can vote to overrule, but any Republican who has already defected has zero reason to turn back.

The entire point of Roberts is to give right-wing authoritarianism the window-dressing of reasonable legality.

Munkeymon
Aug 14, 2003

Motherfucker's got an
armor-piercing crowbar! Rigoddamndicu𝜆ous.



Lambert posted:

Maybe we should remember the words of the great William Rehnquist: "I did nothing in-particular, and I did it very well"

IIRC he didn't need to do anything because politics wasn't quite broken enough to allow for the president to tell witnesses (which I think there were) not to testify and to tell the senate to gently caress itself without consequence

Chef Boyardeez Nuts
Sep 9, 2011

The more you kick against the pricks, the more you suffer.

Platonicsolid posted:

The entire point of Roberts is to give right-wing authoritarianism the window-dressing of reasonable legality.

Very true, but Roberts wants to be remembered as reasonable. There is literally no way to square Trump's "you can't talk to anyone or review any documents" with Congress's oversight power. He'll usher law and policy to the right wherever he can, but I don't think he wants gently caress all to do with preserving Trump's prestige.

Djarum
Apr 1, 2004

by vyelkin

Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

Very true, but Roberts wants to be remembered as reasonable. There is literally no way to square Trump's "you can't talk to anyone or review any documents" with Congress's oversight power. He'll usher law and policy to the right wherever he can, but I don't think he wants gently caress all to do with preserving Trump's prestige.

Roberts can rule that privilege but that still doesn't mean anything will happen. The DOJ isn't going to do anything and there is no mechanism in place to force them to do anything otherwise. They will vote to not convict Trump citing "lack of evidence". Roberts and the GOP have their cover. The chuds will laugh at "owning the libs".

I really, really hope for a different outcome but as of the moment I don't see it working out any way but this.

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Alkabob
May 31, 2011
I would like to speak to the manager about the socialists, please

Djarum posted:

Roberts can rule that privilege but that still doesn't mean anything will happen. The DOJ isn't going to do anything and there is no mechanism in place to force them to do anything otherwise. They will vote to not convict Trump citing "lack of evidence". Roberts and the GOP have their cover. The chuds will laugh at "owning the libs".

I really, really hope for a different outcome but as of the moment I don't see it working out any way but this.

Not every single Trumper is a die hard follower. There will be those that become disillusioned if he hides behind the senate and doesn't respond with all the sound and fury he promised on twitter. Those people may not be convinced to vote Democrat, but they may just opt out of voting in the next election. This will also galvanize everyone just left of center to get out and vote. The GOP has run off the myth the country is more conservative than it is because Hilary was such an awful candidate: she assumed the presidency was her's, she didn't campaign in the blue wall states to ensure the wall remained, she was already disliked and the debacle with Bernie buried her. 2016 wasn't an embrace of conservatism it was a middle finger to the Clinton's and Hilary especially. The next candidate isn't saddled with her baggage, plus Florida will be a hilarious if the Democrats get all the ex-convicts to register to vote since they can do that now. Oh yeah that reminds me last election when Hilary ran out of funds for her get out and vote initiatives, she didn't plunk more money down to keep it going, she stopped and that lack of effort didn't help.

The whole "own the libs" thing doesn't work unless you make a vulgar display of power to show dominance. Nothing so far has come close to that.

Edite:

Literally this is the bare minimum that needs to happen to see Trump gone:



This is doable.

Alkabob fucked around with this message at 22:52 on Jan 25, 2020

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