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Wheezer posted:
Oh I'm sorry you were just reciting word for word their talking points http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1177725.shtml
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Jan 27, 2020 08:03
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Wheezer posted:I responded to you saying that mortality is not the only measure of severity. Those figures allow us to compare the scale of the infection to flu. Note that the flu season is a major health issue which pretty much goes unreported. The flu season gets a lot of reporting literally every year, maybe you just don't leave your goon cave often enough to notice. This whole "I don't trust statistics coming out of China" thing is entirely new, given that a very early iteration of those numbers was the entire basis of your earlier take You're now acknowledging that this virus is pretty severe, much moreso than seasonal flu. Jinkies, now if you can acknowledge that it has a comparable rate of spread then maybe you can put two and two together and figure out the mystery of the quarantined cities. My guess is a health minister looking for buried gold while dressed as a ghostly prospector but maybe you can deduce a better explanation. your blood sugar is low or something because I sure as gently caress never compared you to the CCP and no one is saying that you need to panic, idiot
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Jan 27, 2020 08:23
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Updated R0 and not for the better.... https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.916395v1 quote:We estimated that the mean R0 ranges from 3.30 (95%CI: 2.73-3.96) to 5.47 (95%CI: 4.16-7.10) associated with 0-fold to 2-fold increase in the reporting rate. With rising report rate, the mean R0 is likely to be below 5 but above 3. Conclusion: The mean estimate of R0 for the 2019-nCoV ranges from 3.30 (95%CI: 2.73-3.96) to 5.47 (95%CI: 4.16-7.10), and significantly larger than 1. Our findings indicate the potential of 2019-nCoV to cause outbreaks.
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Jan 27, 2020 08:33
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Honestly pretty surprised to learn that diseases have literal power levels this past week.
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Jan 27, 2020 08:37
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MorrisBae posted:He is Coronholio His name is Jonas
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Jan 27, 2020 08:37
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Volcott posted:Honestly pretty surprised to learn that diseases have literal power levels this past week. If only we could catch big dick disease
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Jan 27, 2020 08:38
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MarcusSA posted:Updated R0 and not for the better.... "preprint first posted online Jan. 24, 2020". This is the old estimates.
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Jan 27, 2020 08:41
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RichardA posted:"preprint first posted online Jan. 24, 2020". This is the old estimates. Guess I can’t read dates correctly! Disregard!
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Jan 27, 2020 08:42
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Flying home to NZ in a month or so through Guangzhou. Silly NZ always thinks it's so safe from these things, far away from all the war and worry. Suckers. Honestly though I'm a bit worried about the flight being cancelled or whatever. These flights are never cheap
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Jan 27, 2020 08:47
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Suzhou, Jiangxi province just announced it's joining the quarantine party. https://www.china-briefing.com/news/coronavirus-latest-emergency-measures-announced-prc-government/?from=groupmessage
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Jan 27, 2020 08:53
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Fifth confirmed case in Australia.
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Jan 27, 2020 09:02
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This was published today. https://promedmail.org/promed-post/?id=20200126.6918012 quote:These numbers fit very nicely to case data available as of January 22, 2020, but unfortunately, they are wrong. The abrupt surge in confirmed case counts (to 1423 cases as of January 26, 2020) is not compatible with the growth process described above, certainly not with a SARS-compatible generation time of 6-10 days. Indeed, the authors of the MRC model (3) noted in one of their earlier reports that the volume of observed exported cases in countries outside China suggested a much larger underlying epidemic than had been reported at that time, and this epidemic may have begun a month prior to the recognition of the market-associated outbreak, consistent with the reported timing of viral emergence based on phylogenetic analyses (5). The authors of several analyses cited above have incorporated the MRC estimates of under-reporting in order to fit their models (2, 3, 5). A second line of evidence suggesting undercounting of cases relates to the older age of cases (median 59 years in early reports), and the even older age of fatal cases (averaging around 75 years in the first 17 deaths) as contrasted with a median age of 37 or 38 years in China. Increased age in cases as compared to the population as a whole suggests that younger (likely milder) cases have been under-reported. As such, it would seem likely that at least part of the sudden apparent growth in case counts does not reflect changes in transmission, but rather increasing ascertainment of previously undercounted cases.
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Jan 27, 2020 09:37
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Exponent go up https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 
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Jan 27, 2020 09:55
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I didn't mentioned TCM just to take a shot at China, but to make it clear that just because the WHO has said or done something doesn't mean they're at all reliable or responsible.
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Jan 27, 2020 10:10
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If you don't have it you're missing out.
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Jan 27, 2020 10:12
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Volcott posted:Honestly pretty surprised to learn that diseases have literal power levels this past week. You should watch Contagion. First time I heard the term R0 was there. Better yet, watch Contagion with friends and/or family and then midway through start coughing.
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Jan 27, 2020 12:39
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have we all died yet?
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Jan 27, 2020 12:44
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I can't of course speak for everyone, but I, for one, have.
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Jan 27, 2020 12:45
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Jan 27, 2020 12:52
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Fartbox posted:have we all died yet? Yah. Who knew hell had pestilences
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Jan 27, 2020 13:04
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Famine and War are really loving it up this time around, c'mon pull up.
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Jan 27, 2020 13:16
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Charlz Guybon posted:Symptoms of the first 41 patients Thanks for that, I’m a hypochondriac, I feel like I have RNAaemia now
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Jan 27, 2020 13:26
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MarcusSA posted:This was published today. On the plus side, if milder cases are being under-recorded it means that the mortality rate is lower.
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Jan 27, 2020 13:35
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MorrisBae posted:Coronholio I NEED IC FOR MY PHLEGM HOLE
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Jan 27, 2020 13:40
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The important question, how much will you re-sell your N95 masks?
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Jan 27, 2020 13:48
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hey all i put the virus in my rear end enjoy your rear end virus lol
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Jan 27, 2020 13:58
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halokiller posted:The important question, how much will you re-sell your N95 masks? If there was an actual deadly pandemic these scalpers should be fair game 
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Jan 27, 2020 14:18
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I like how you think 
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Jan 27, 2020 14:19
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Colonel Cancer posted:Famine and War are really loving it up this time around, c'mon pull up. Famine and war just poo poo on poor people but at least pestilence and death aren’t afraid to go after everyone. Equal opportunity apocalypse and all.
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Jan 27, 2020 14:29
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lmao that people actually think gas masks are gonna protect them while walking around in the streets. Wash you are gosh dang hands people!!! You get infected by touching an infected surface someone blew their nose on, then rubbing your gross hands all over your face.
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Jan 27, 2020 14:37
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Mooey Cow posted:lmao that people actually think gas masks are gonna protect them while walking around in the streets. I’m seeing a lot of people wearing the masks here in Scotland (I work in a University and live in an area with a lot of overseas students) and I keep getting anxious about innocently coughing and terrifying them.
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Jan 27, 2020 14:44
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MarcusSA posted:This was published today.
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Jan 27, 2020 14:45
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Disco Pope posted:I’m seeing a lot of people wearing the masks here in Scotland (I work in a University and live in an area with a lot of overseas students) and I keep getting anxious about innocently coughing and terrifying them. Well considering that just 3 feet of distance between people can drastically reduce viral spread maybe the best way to stay not sick is to walk around coughing all day, people will be terrified of you and give you a nice wide berth.
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Jan 27, 2020 14:47
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Disco Pope posted:I’m seeing a lot of people wearing the masks here in Scotland (I work in a University and live in an area with a lot of overseas students) and I keep getting anxious about innocently coughing and terrifying them. If anything I think the masks are gonna give them a false sense of security.
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Jan 27, 2020 14:48
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Shinku ABOOKEN posted:hey all i put the virus in my rear end enjoy your rear end virus lol Doesn't that make it your rear end virus?
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Jan 27, 2020 14:50
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Mooey Cow posted:If anything I think the masks are gonna give them a false sense of security. The masks are, if nothing else, very good at keeping people from touching their face habitually
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Jan 27, 2020 15:08
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coolusername posted:Suzhou, Jiangxi province just announced it's joining the quarantine party. https://www.china-briefing.com/news/coronavirus-latest-emergency-measures-announced-prc-government/?from=groupmessage Suzhou is in Jiangsu. Strange that this website got that wrong
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Jan 27, 2020 15:17
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Literally everyone in Bangkok had a mask on today. The paranoia is high.
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Jan 27, 2020 15:21
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SpaceCadetBob posted:Well considering that just 3 feet of distance between people can drastically reduce viral spread maybe the best way to stay not sick is to walk around coughing all day, people will be terrified of you and give you a nice wide berth. Nice, and they said cigarettes would kill me!
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Jan 27, 2020 15:48
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Start eating snakes to build up your resistance.
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Jan 27, 2020 16:13
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