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pancake rabbit posted:looking forward to 78%! lol lmao 
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Feb 5, 2020 22:05
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SpiderHyphenMan posted:I will not vote for a liberal under any circumstances.
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Feb 5, 2020 22:05
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lmao he just remembered he needed to win some black voters
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Feb 5, 2020 22:05
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Grey Fox posted:I'm unclear on how the Iowa Caucus directly benefits the Clintons? it hurts sanders
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Feb 5, 2020 22:06
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SpiderHyphenMan posted:I will not vote for Pete Buttigieg under any circumstances. as a canadian, hell, same
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Feb 5, 2020 22:07
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:Wow I can't believe all these discrepancies are only significant at p=0.06 As a biostatistician I appreciate this comment
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Feb 5, 2020 22:08
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it’s cool watching the same people who said Bernie had a minority problem in 2015 gloss over the fact that Pete literally said “all lives matter” at a black conference the same year
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Feb 5, 2020 22:10
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Sir Tonk posted:it hurts sanders The projected winner is winning. His closest competition are either getting dragged and implicated in an attempted ratfucking or utterly BTFO. Hilariously this is close to a best case scenario.
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Feb 5, 2020 22:11
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So given what they do have released that means in that county there are just under 600 Butt votes outstanding and over 900 Bernie votes outstanding.
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Feb 5, 2020 22:12
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Sir Tonk posted:it hurts sanders Because of the way results are being dribbled out the only person being hurt by Iowa right now is Biden because it just gets worse for him. Bernie's numbers continue to galvanize his popular vote lead. It would actually have been worse for him if they released all 100% at once and Buttigieg ended up having the SDE lead after 100% reported but not the popular vote. Buttigieg would have got his mini coronation and a big mostly legitimate victory speech. This process just continues to muddle the waters, watering down Pete's potential SDE lead in the process.
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Feb 5, 2020 22:12
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Dog Toothbrush posted:it’s cool watching the same people who said Bernie had a minority problem in 2015 gloss over the fact that Pete literally said “all lives matter” at a black conference the same year
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Feb 5, 2020 22:13
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World War Mammories posted:lmao wait, sanders has 4% more votes, 4,000 people, and is simultaneously behind on State Delegate Whatevers? ahahahahahahha Democrats care deeply about the popular vote, you see, so I'm sure they'll honor it this time
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Feb 5, 2020 22:14
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honestly if ratbert is trying to follow in obamas steps, hiring Goldman people at the literal first opportunity is a good effort
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Feb 5, 2020 22:15
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gieg has pulled ahead of sanders in polk 
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Feb 5, 2020 22:17
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Thoguh posted:So given what they do have released that means in that county there are just under 600 Butt votes outstanding and over 900 Bernie votes outstanding. Yeah I did some quick math and there's actually a disproportionate amount of Bernie's votes still uncounted based on that dude's Facebook post and the data already available.
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Feb 5, 2020 22:18
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85% in, Pete's sde lead getting bigger. I'm feeling dumb about buying Bernie on predictit at 30 cents 507 to 463
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Feb 5, 2020 22:19
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PostNouveau posted:Holy poo poo did that 4% of precincts add literally 2 percentage points to Bernie's lead? That's enormous My precinct literally just got added and it was a Bernie Blowout precinct, lololol
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Feb 5, 2020 22:19
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pancake rabbit posted:WHY DO YOU NEED TO MATCH JUST SCRAP THE APP INPUTS JESUS gently caress TROY PRICE STRAIGHT TO HELL typical homophobic bernie bro bullshit
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Feb 5, 2020 22:20
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Wait 85 is in now gimme a link
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Feb 5, 2020 22:21
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well, now i'm concerned that they're just gonna gently caress with the vote total https://results.thecaucuses.org
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Feb 5, 2020 22:21
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I hope Iowa becomes the last state to vote after this
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Feb 5, 2020 22:22
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RaySmuckles posted:well, now i'm concerned that they're just gonna gently caress with the vote total Where's the popular vote? I don't care about this nebulous bs SDE factor.
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Feb 5, 2020 22:22
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They're gonna tie in delegates and Bernie is gonna be the clear popular vote leader but the news coverage is gonna continue to be Butt leading in SDEs, a number that matters exactly zero.
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Feb 5, 2020 22:22
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Dog Toothbrush posted:honestly if ratbert is trying to follow in obamas steps, hiring Goldman people at the literal first opportunity is a good effort the article saying that is almost a year old lol
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Feb 5, 2020 22:22
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https://twitter.com/lib_crusher/status/1225167351617712128?s=20 https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1225167727192694789?s=20
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Feb 5, 2020 22:23
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PostNouveau posted:Where's the popular vote? I don't care about this nebulous bs SDE factor. NYT has the popular vote but hasn't updated yet https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/04/us/elections/results-iowa-caucus.html
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Feb 5, 2020 22:23
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https://twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/1225167212048191490?s=21
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Feb 5, 2020 22:23
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fucken lmao
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Feb 5, 2020 22:23
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PostNouveau posted:Where's the popular vote? I don't care about this nebulous bs SDE factor. You have to add up all the stuff on the bottom , just let Nate silver do it I think butt has the sdes as tabulated, he's up 26 to 24. I still don't understand why they're using decimals though
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Feb 5, 2020 22:23
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PostNouveau posted:Where's the popular vote? I don't care about this nebulous bs SDE factor. You have to pull it out of the aggregate precinct data. Or more realistically wait for someone else to do that.
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Feb 5, 2020 22:23
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Uh oh
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Feb 5, 2020 22:23
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Can someone explain the SDE or whatever, because my caucus results are up and it doesn't line up with our delegate count? Our delegate count: Bernie 5, Pete 4, and Biden 3. SDE results: Bernie .500, Pete .500, Biden .333
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Feb 5, 2020 22:24
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here we loving go
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Feb 5, 2020 22:24
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BARONS CYBER SKULL posted:https://twitter.com/lib_crusher/status/1225167351617712128?s=20 heeeeere we go!
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Feb 5, 2020 22:24
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 https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1225168116994445312
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Feb 5, 2020 22:24
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^^^ edit ^^^
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Feb 5, 2020 22:24
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BARONS CYBER SKULL posted:https://twitter.com/lib_crusher/status/1225167351617712128?s=20 And there it is, they found ballots to throw out so now the rest of the results will come rolling in
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Feb 5, 2020 22:24
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BARONS CYBER SKULL posted:https://twitter.com/lib_crusher/status/1225167351617712128?s=20 jesus loving christ
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Feb 5, 2020 22:24
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Lol it's looking like buttigieg won the popular vote too. RIP
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Feb 5, 2020 22:24
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https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1225168116994445312
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Feb 5, 2020 22:24
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