|
There’s going to be a klobbering in New Hampshire.
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 02:52
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 10, 2024 17:24 |
|
|
got filled at 80 on NH, still holding CA and DC, bernie's gonna win
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 03:39
|
|
|
NH up to 80?!?!
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 05:43
|
|
|
The North Tower posted:NH up to 80?!?! 81 right now
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:00
|
|
|
Managed to get Buttigieg nos when it was around 70 cents for NH. Not planning on playing any flips since I have to work during most of this. Also grabbed some Buttigieg nos for second place just for the hell of it, gonna see what happens.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:11
|
|
|
Garrand posted:Also grabbed some Buttigieg nos for second place just for the hell of it, gonna see what happens. There is a nonzero chance Klobmentum surges past Pete for 2nd, but he definitely seems like the favorite for the silver medal based on poll trends
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:17
|
|
|
NV is shaping up to be another ratfuck, they're going with a blackbox app and apparently they hired a buttgig person to be in charge of electoral integrity. lol. NV butt could be worth a punt
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:17
|
|
|
Got in on Bloomberg No but I'm worried it'll take a while before I can make a profit
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:17
|
|
|
Yeah my NH got filled at 82 earlier this morning. Not sure where to put it to catch a post-NH bump now. Kinda get the feeling I should just roll state win profits in to the nomination itself at this point. Betting margin of victory feels like a fool's errand.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:18
|
|
|
jumped in for SC with the bern dog in the low 40s so we'll see which one i lose all my money on
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:18
|
|
|
bawfuls posted:Yeah my NH got filled at 82 earlier this morning. Not sure where to put it to catch a post-NH bump now.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:20
|
|
|
i'm sad the very stupid town of dixville notch did not cause a bloomberg spike
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:20
|
|
|
bawfuls posted:Yeah my NH got filled at 82 earlier this morning. Not sure where to put it to catch a post-NH bump now. Kinda get the feeling I should just roll state win profits in to the nomination itself at this point. Betting margin of victory feels like a fool's errand. Ain't that the truth
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:22
|
|
|
Every time I spare up some cash on other smaller bets I keep going back to Bernie in Iowa, lol.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:26
|
|
|
looking at the rules, the funniest thing that could happen is that the Iowa caucus is just tossed completely in which case all bets resolve as ‘no’
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 06:35
|
|
|
bernie win new hampshire so i can get my money bitch!
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 07:24
|
|
|
ScrubLeague posted:got filled at 80 on NH, still holding CA and DC, bernie's gonna win The smart money was on buying Bernie Y and Butt N while Iowa was still contested. I got both at 69 (nice) and 30. e: I misread your post and it looks like you did that exact thing.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 07:55
|
|
|
Klob is hovering at 4¢ in NH. I know she won’t win but I grabbed shares this morning to sell later today when (hopefully) she’s closer to 7-8¢ its a risky strategy but we’ll see how it plays out
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 12:34
|
|
|
I’m getting out of the NV caucus market. Too many signs they are setting it up to be as hosed up as Iowa so I’m taking my 23 cent gains and running.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 16:20
|
|
|
Burn Zone posted:Klob is hovering at 4¢ in NH. I know she won’t win but I grabbed shares this morning to sell later today when (hopefully) she’s closer to 7-8¢ I grabbed like 300 shares at .03 and sold for .05. Maybe I could have held for a bit more but it's $6 versus $12. Whatever. Still all-in on Bern to win.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 16:24
|
|
|
Toxic Mental posted:I grabbed like 300 shares at .03 and sold for .05. Maybe I could have held for a bit more but it's $6 versus $12. Whatever. Still all-in on Bern to win. lmao I just sold mine and bought all in on Bern, I thought there would be more movement on Amy once people started to wake up this morning but I guess not.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 16:31
|
|
|
Comrayn posted:I’m getting out of the NV caucus market. Too many signs they are setting it up to be as hosed up as Iowa so I’m taking my 23 cent gains and running. I’m of the ‘everyone will be watching this time’ strain of thought, but definitely not as confident as I would be if Pete staffers weren’t running it.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 19:24
|
|
|
bernie is sitting at 38 cents in mississippi because of bloomberg being hilariously overvalued there if you think bloomberg's stop and frisk audio has some play
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 19:47
|
|
|
Next to drop out of the race has gone up big for Bennet. I tossed a couple bucks at Tulsi and Yang on the cheap.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 20:37
|
|
|
Just signed up for this and dipping my toe in Yang dropping out
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 21:09
|
|
|
people have no idea what to expect in the MN primary, Klob is fluctuating by like 7 cents at a time because home state! but last time MN went hard for Bernie! But home state!
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 21:19
|
|
|
Rip_Van_Winkle posted:people have no idea what to expect in the MN primary, Klob is fluctuating by like 7 cents at a time because home state! but last time MN went hard for Bernie! But home state! Nobody cared about Klobuchar's seat in both the primary and the general because Franken's old seat was up at the same time. I completely forgot there were 2 senate races until I saw the ballot. DFL won both senate elections easily though so 
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 21:45
|
|
|
After seeing this thread, I joined the night of the Iowa caucus and holy poo poo I'm hooked after that wild ride. For someone new to this kind of trading, is just taking the profit on 80 cent markets as they resolve a bad plan? I'm working on understanding a lot of the concepts in this thread as far as actual trading strategies, but just betting the front runner in primaries seems like free money if you time it right.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 23:42
|
|
|
joined up a week ago and my strategy has been getting a few cents here and there just putting money into knee-jerk reaction stuff. has been successful so far.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 23:49
|
|
|
zynga dot com posted:After seeing this thread, I joined the night of the Iowa caucus and holy poo poo I'm hooked after that wild ride. For someone new to this kind of trading, is just taking the profit on 80 cent markets as they resolve a bad plan? I'm working on understanding a lot of the concepts in this thread as far as actual trading strategies, but just betting the front runner in primaries seems like free money if you time it right. That's just what I would call a conservative investment strategy. When the chance of something is 99%, but the market's only 80%. I did that recently with Trump Conviction No and Bloomberg No. Two things to watch out for though. 1. Make sure the chance is actually higher than what you're paying. If you're buying shares of something with a 4/5 chance for 80 cents, you're not actually making money. 2. Making money this way will be slow. Markets like this usually take a while to resolve (that's part of what causes the uncertainty) and your payout is only 125%.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 23:49
|
|
|
the best way to play was to put $60 on bernie a year ago when he was sitting at 10 cents and then remembering predictit exists when iowa goes fucky and discovering its now $200 to play with
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 23:50
|
|
|
Don't play to make money unless you really know how to gamble.
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 23:53
|
|
|
When Beto was favored to win sometime last year I logged in and saw I had $7 in my account, put it all on Beto NO and forgot. Remembered Predict it this weekend and logged in to find $35 that I promptly put into Bernie Yes NH
|
|
#
?
Feb 11, 2020 23:54
|
|
|
Raskolnikov38 posted:the best way to play was to put $60 on bernie a year ago when he was sitting at 10 cents and then remembering predictit exists when iowa goes fucky and discovering its now $200 to play with Remember Predictit when Bernie has a heart attack and drop $5k into this stupid thing in a desperate attempt to get back your $4k in losses from the 2016 general.
|
|
#
?
Feb 12, 2020 00:05
|
|
|
Raskolnikov38 posted:the best way to play was to put $60 on bernie a year ago when he was sitting at 10 cents and then remembering predictit exists when iowa goes fucky and discovering its now $200 to play with 
|
|
#
?
Feb 12, 2020 00:07
|
|
|
when do NH results start trickling in I need to dump these klobmentum places second shares I picked up before then. only up five cents right now.
|
|
#
?
Feb 12, 2020 00:34
|
|
|
Comrayn posted:when do NH results start trickling in I need to dump these klobmentum places second shares I picked up before then. only up five cents right now. polls close at 8pm Eastern
|
|
#
?
Feb 12, 2020 00:39
|
|
|
i bought some klob in the 2020 dem nominee market last night. already gone up. dunno if it will go up further. if the dems ratfuck bernie out of NH i'm gonna be pissed
|
|
#
?
Feb 12, 2020 00:46
|
|
|
Comrayn posted:I’m getting out of the NV caucus market. Too many signs they are setting it up to be as hosed up as Iowa so I’m taking my 23 cent gains and running. bawfuls has issued a correction as of 00:49 on Feb 12, 2020 |
|
#
?
Feb 12, 2020 00:46
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 10, 2024 17:24 |
|
|
Behold the Klob
|
|
#
?
Feb 12, 2020 01:22
|
|
