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bob dobbs is dead
Oct 8, 2017

I love peeps
Nap Ghost

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

someone please let prester jane out of the chinese room

i and a bunch of buddies got a chance to grill john searle on different poo poo and we slowly realized over the course of 5 minutes that he knew absolutely nothing in any way shape about computers. didn't know what linux was

this stops and has stopped 0 philosophers throughout history but lol at the fact that we got to do this at a comp sci convention dealio

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Terrorist Fistbump
Jan 29, 2009

by Nyc_Tattoo

Cease posting

succ
Nov 11, 2016

by Cyrano4747

Prester Jane posted:

Good news, all the bad numbers have gone way way down:

https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1227416839338299397?s=19

Looks like spraying all that disinfectant worked

CPA Hell
Apr 15, 2007

I like to press the number six!


someone deleted the formula cell in the spreadsheet that “adjusts” all the numbers and no one can remember what it was

SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017


https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1227427924732776448

Prester Jane
Nov 4, 2008

by Hand Knit
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZWn-K2sBo-8

Lote
Aug 5, 2001

Place your bets

SKULL.GIF posted:

That is almost 3 times as much as what was reported as new cases (1,638). Where are you getting these numbers?

https://twitter.com/slastses/status/1227371683817934848?s=21

This thread. I don’t speak Chinese but it seems like positive tests without symptoms are not being counted anymore.

vyelkin
Jan 2, 2011
If so, that might be a contributing factor to the apparent decline in new daily cases.

https://twitter.com/CGTNOfficial/st...est-update-news

Doorknob Slobber
Sep 10, 2006

by Fluffdaddy

Prester Jane posted:

Good news, all the bad numbers have gone way way down:

https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1227416839338299397?s=19

we're SAVED thank you communist china may i please move to your wonderful country

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.
I should really learn how to read Chinese

A Gnarlacious Bro
Apr 25, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Doorknob Slobber posted:

we're SAVED thank you communist china may i please move to your wonderful country

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.

I don't know about the rest of your videos but this was pretty interesting.

I'm awaiting the next episode of this soap opera

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


vyelkin posted:

If so, that might be a contributing factor to the apparent decline in new daily cases.

https://twitter.com/CGTNOfficial/st...est-update-news

yeah this thing is slowing down and going to be contained

RandomBlue
Dec 30, 2012

hay guys!


Biscuit Hider

Sheng-Ji Yang posted:

yeah this thing is slowing down and going to be contained

It's already contained... in my heart.

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.
The real pandemic was the friends you met along the way.

Sab0921
Aug 2, 2004

This for my justices slingin' thangs, rib breakin' kings / Truck, necklace, robe, gavel and things / For the solicitors seein' them dissents spin and grin / That robe with the lace trim that win.
For less fear monger-y and more academic discussions regarding the outbreak, a friend who is an ID specialist recommended these guys as follows on Twitter: Trevor Bedford, Michael Mina, Justin Lessler.

This is a good thread about working through models and hypotheses about the spread of the disease, trying link its rapid and severe spread in Hubei vs more limited transmission seen elsewhere.

https://twitter.com/JustinLessler/status/1227375168130928641?s=19

Prince Myshkin
Jun 17, 2018

Lote posted:

https://twitter.com/slastses/status/1227371683817934848?s=21

This thread. I don’t speak Chinese but it seems like positive tests without symptoms are not being counted anymore.

They're conforming to WHO guidelines on probable vs. confirmed cases. Confirmed cases need lab testing.

Grandpa Palpatine
Dec 13, 2019

by vyelkin

Real hurthling! posted:

the last time a cop got G-B he became the mastermind of the mcdonalds monopoly scam

i too have read the article / seen the first two episodes of mcmillions

Grandpa Palpatine
Dec 13, 2019

by vyelkin
loving Cinemax keeps showing "Contagion" and as much as I love that movie, the director of programming is a sick fucker

Happy Thread
Jul 10, 2005

by Fluffdaddy
Plaster Town Cop

bob dobbs is dead posted:

i and a bunch of buddies got a chance to grill john searle on different poo poo and we slowly realized over the course of 5 minutes that he knew absolutely nothing in any way shape about computers. didn't know what linux was

this stops and has stopped 0 philosophers throughout history but lol at the fact that we got to do this at a comp sci convention dealio

this is hilarious. that dude had such an impact on the debate over whether or not AI is philosophically possible, and afaik it took decades for most researchers to dismiss his thought experiment as meaningless.

AceOfFlames
Oct 9, 2012

Grandpa Palpatine posted:

loving Cinemax keeps showing "Contagion" and as much as I love that movie, the director of programming is a sick fucker

That rules.

CodeJanitor
Mar 30, 2005
I still can't think of anything to say.

Grandpa Palpatine posted:

loving Cinemax keeps showing "Contagion" and as much as I love that movie, the director of programming is a sick fucker

Or he knows whats up and is trying to prepare everyone :tinfoil:

Grandpa Palpatine
Dec 13, 2019

by vyelkin
lol it's prob my favorite Soderberg film. the whole sequence when it's showing landmarks and main streets completely empty. I wonder if he got the idea from 28 Days Later. but yea it conveys that the whole planet is shut down

Prince Myshkin
Jun 17, 2018

Grandpa Palpatine posted:

lol it's prob my favorite Soderberg film. the whole sequence when it's showing landmarks and main streets completely empty. I wonder if he got the idea from 28 Days Later. but yea it conveys that the whole planet is shut down

Che, my man.

Grandpa Palpatine
Dec 13, 2019

by vyelkin

haven't seen it

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

Sheng-Ji Yang posted:

yeah this thing is slowing down and going to be contained

I sure hope so. Not for the lives saved, but for all the gloating about CCP and Xi prevailing once again.

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.

Mantis42 posted:

I sure hope so. Not for the lives saved, but for all the gloating about CCP and Xi prevailing once again.

Regardless of how the CPC may spin this, it was a major loss economically and a major loss of face. And the worst economic consequences are probably yet to come.

America Inc. fucked around with this message at 08:45 on Feb 12, 2020

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-51470363

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005


:gb2gbs:

sincx
Jul 13, 2012

furiously masturbating to anime titties

LookingGodIntheEye posted:

Regardless of how the CPC may spin this, it was a major loss economically and a major loss of face. And the worst economic consequences are probably yet to come.

The CPC cares far more about domestic control than its international image (which also explains its regular temper tantrums). If it survives this, it'll come out with more domestic control.

redleader
Aug 18, 2005

Engage according to operational parameters
lmao whole lotta crack pinging going on itt

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
Is the 3 new death number real? Whats the actual new daily death number?

redleader
Aug 18, 2005

Engage according to operational parameters
if i may indulge in some crack pinging of my own...

i saw this reddit post, made about a week ago, that fit the cases and deaths to a near-perfect quadratic curve (R2 = 0.9995):



in the comments, the op makes some predictions:

quote:

If I'm right, this near perfect "Chinese Propaganda" quadratic model will provide the world press and the WHO with the following numbers over the next few days:

05/02/2020 23435 cases 489 fatalities
06/02/2020 26885 cases 561 fatalities
07/02/2020 30576 cases 639 fatalities
08/02/2020 34506 cases 721 fatalities
09/02/2020 38675 cases 808 fatalities
10/02/2020 43084 cases 900 fatalities
11/02/2020 47733 cases 997 fatalities

looking at the WHO situation reports, here's the predicted vs actual deaths (total, in china)
pre:
	Predicted deaths	Actual deaths
2/6	561			564
2/7	639			637
2/8	721			723
2/9	808			812
2/10	900			909
2/11	997			1017
now these seem pretty darn close. but i'm no epidemiologist, and i have no idea if this sort of accuracy is normal or expected. anyone have any idea?


i note that the predicted vs actual cases (rather than deaths) is much less accurate:
pre:
	Predicted cases	Actual cases
2/6	26885		28060
2/7	30576		31211
2/8	34506		34598
2/9	38675		37251
2/10	43084		40235
2/11	47733		42708

Farm Frenzy
Jan 3, 2007


my god, we've lost contact with the chinese national health commission

hallebarrysoetoro
Jun 14, 2003

Farm Frenzy posted:

my god, we've lost contact with the chinese national health commission

they must have been burned in that random field that gets posted every other page with 50k other corpses in a big ol' body pile like i see in my Doom 2 vidya game

rip china

Grandpa Palpatine
Dec 13, 2019

by vyelkin

Farm Frenzy posted:

my god, we've lost contact with the chinese national health commission

https://twitter.com/PuReRiLeY/status/1227402351796981760?s=19

Farm Frenzy
Jan 3, 2007

officials described the virus as 'everywhere' and 'coming out of the goddam walls' shortly before a burst of gunfire was heard and the transmission was cut

AceOfFlames
Oct 9, 2012

Farm Frenzy posted:

officials described the virus as 'everywhere' and 'coming out of the goddam walls' shortly before a burst of gunfire was heard and the transmission was cut

QuarkJets
Sep 8, 2008

no, john. you are the coronavirus

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Volcott
Mar 30, 2010

People paying American dollars to let other people know they didn't agree with someone's position on something is the lifeblood of these forums.
What does crack ping mean?

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