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DAD LOST MY IPOD
Feb 3, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 5 hours!
yeah I think it’s more that undecideds are not breaking for bernie. which is worrying, but when you get stuff like highest primary turnout ever, you’re going to have polling errors just because pollsters were not polling a representative sample of the electorate (because they didn’t know what it would look like).

basically undecideds are flitting around between klobuchar, mayor Pete, Warren and Biden.

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Mean Baby
May 28, 2005

Pollyanna posted:

yeah, this poo poo makes me very wary of polls now. polls are way overestimating bernie’s numbers.

Primaries are tough in general and there is a large portion of the dem voters who just want to be involved and are picking at random. I think Klob benefited a lot from being the strong debate performance and being an underdog that people wanted to see do well.

Bernie needs to improve his messaging and canvassing to expand beyond his base. The hispanic turnout will be huge factor in determining his path to victory.

BIG FLUFFY DOG
Feb 16, 2011

On the internet, nobody knows you're a dog.


Broken Machine posted:

i've read that nevada is expensive / difficult to poll accurately, so we'll probably just see a few well rated polls before they caucus

No pollster has figured out how to do bilingual polling yet so any state with a big latino population really befuddles them-

Star Phlatulence
Jan 14, 2006

by Cyrano4747
Bleak Gremlin

DAD LOST MY IPOD posted:

yeah I think it’s more that undecideds are not breaking for bernie. which is worrying, but when you get stuff like highest primary turnout ever, you’re going to have polling errors just because pollsters were not polling a representative sample of the electorate (because they didn’t know what it would look like).

basically undecideds are flitting around between klobuchar, mayor Pete, Warren and Biden.

pete's support is literally 2016 republicans. you can call them "undecideds" if you really want to i guess

disinterested dems aren't bothering with the primary because they're content to Vote Blue No Matter Who

hth

Limerick
Oct 23, 2009

:parrot:
If Bernie loses NV don't arzy, it's a weird state.

Pollyanna
Mar 5, 2005

Milk's on them.


how badly does butt poll everywhere between now and Super Tuesday? like, non-viable polling?

Pollyanna
Mar 5, 2005

Milk's on them.


Limerick posted:

If Bernie loses NV don't arzy, it's a weird state.

I thought bernie was strong among hispanic voters (eg me)?

canyoneer
Sep 13, 2005


I only have canyoneyes for you
Biden campaign media guide has been updated to ask news orgs to refer to the candidate as Joe Bitin' and his wife as Jill Bitten

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

Kazak posted:

Warren's dead eyed grimace showed up on my Twitter feed and it's like looking at a painting and realizing the eyes are cutouts and there's a live set of eyeballs staring at you from behind the wall

post

BIG FLUFFY DOG
Feb 16, 2011

On the internet, nobody knows you're a dog.


Pollyanna posted:

how badly does butt poll everywhere between now and Super Tuesday? like, non-viable polling?

There have been no post Iowa Nh polls for NV and SC so no one knows. Hes obv gotten a lot of free media attention since then so who knows how much that compensates for his complete lack of infrastructure and appeal to blacks and latinos

Star Phlatulence
Jan 14, 2006

by Cyrano4747
Bleak Gremlin

Pollyanna posted:

how badly does butt poll everywhere between now and Super Tuesday? like, non-viable polling?

slightly better than ebola

Pollyanna posted:

I thought bernie was strong among hispanic voters (eg me)?

he is quite.

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

Limerick posted:

If Bernie loses NV don't arzy, it's a weird state.

He's going to win NV

Fuck You And Diebold
Sep 15, 2004

by Athanatos
https://twitter.com/NBCPolitics/status/1227642036230250496
Who

Siamang
Nov 15, 2003

Pollyanna posted:

I thought bernie was strong among hispanic voters (eg me)?

Get ready for the exact opposite of this:

https://www.cnn.com/2016/02/20/politics/casino-employees-nevada-caucuses-wait-time/index.html

quote:

Las Vegas (CNN) -

Political organizers and casino managers encouraged their workers to stay at Nevada's Democratic caucuses until they finish in order to accommodate long lines at caucus sites.

freckle
Apr 6, 2016

by Nyc_Tattoo
why did he even run lmao

Fitzy Fitz
May 14, 2005




It's really something to see the largest bloc of voters firmly settled on one candidate while all the supposed interest and momentum is centered on a bunch of fickle fair-weather moderates.

Lawman 0
Aug 17, 2010


Lmao see ya

C-SPAN Caller
Apr 21, 2010



Fitzy Fitz posted:

It's really something to see the largest bloc of voters firmly settled on one candidate while all the supposed interest and momentum is centered on a bunch of fickle fair-weather moderates.

Its just Trump all over again the question is will a knee bend happen or a ratfuck

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Bernie is likely to win almost every state but just statistically he's bound to lose a few so just stay relaxed if it happens

new kind of cat
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

the brightest stars burn out fastest

Ovenmaster
Feb 22, 2006
I am the master of ovens for some reason.

Grats to the consultants who made bank off this moron.

Limerick
Oct 23, 2009

:parrot:

Pollyanna posted:

I thought bernie was strong among hispanic voters (eg me)?

I'm expecting ratfuck.

Sir Tonk
Apr 18, 2006
Young Orc

Deified Data posted:

They're gonna try to get Klob to win NV

They're literally just gonna keep swapping support

it worked for the GOP in 16

Sir Tonk
Apr 18, 2006
Young Orc
no, wait

Sir Tonk
Apr 18, 2006
Young Orc

Pollyanna posted:

I thought bernie was strong among hispanic voters (eg me)?

Harry Reid and the casinos are a problem

Flubby
Feb 28, 2006
Fun Shoe
I finally caught up in this thread and I'm so sorry for your loss last night.

Fitzy Fitz
May 14, 2005




Sir Tonk posted:

it worked for the GOP in 16


Mind_Taker
May 7, 2007



undecideds in white states like ia and nh are old white people who just don’t want to think about politics and pick the nice looking young man

those people are a small fraction of the electorate in nv, sc, and the important Super tuesday states

bernie beat 7+ candidates in two states whose demographics are not his strongest. he’s going to win and lol at anyone who thinks otherwise

gregday
May 23, 2003

https://twitter.com/CIA/status/1227638516403843074

doing some self care after their guy lost

The Chairman
Jun 30, 2003

But you forget, mon ami, that there is evil everywhere under the sun

freckle posted:

why did he even run lmao

he had a bunch of consultants who convinced him he could be the neo-Obama moderate unity candidate, and then Bloomberg threw himself and half a billion dollars into the race the very next week

Fitzy Fitz
May 14, 2005




gregday posted:

https://twitter.com/CIA/status/1227638516403843074

doing some self care after their guy lost

the CIA are monitoring my heart rate aren't they

Fabricated
Apr 9, 2007

Living the Dream
lol goddamn virgil

https://twitter.com/virgiltexas/status/1227481617800794112?s=20

canyoneer
Sep 13, 2005


I only have canyoneyes for you

gregday posted:

https://twitter.com/CIA/status/1227638516403843074

doing some self care after their guy lost

This is actually from the manual on waterboarding

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

Mind_Taker posted:

undecideds in white states like ia and nh are old white people who just don’t want to think about politics and pick the nice looking young man

those people are a small fraction of the electorate in nv, sc, and the important Super tuesday states

bernie beat 7+ candidates in two states whose demographics are not his strongest. he’s going to win and lol at anyone who thinks otherwise

it's this folks

shocking to see so few goons get this, it's so obvious

Phlegmish
Jul 2, 2011



AppleNippleBOB posted:

I'm trying to knock every door in Orange Mound.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orange_Mound,_Memphis

Memphis, TN

Nice, seem to recall quite a few Tennessee goons in here

gregday
May 23, 2003

https://twitter.com/maxwelltani/status/1227642327344320515

Mad Doctor Cthulhu
Mar 3, 2008


Jim Messina looks like the human version of a ventriloquist's dummy.

Weedle
May 31, 2006





that man is wearing the face of a woman he murdered.

Code Jockey
Jan 24, 2006

69420 basic bytes free
bernie sanders

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Adjectivist Philosophy
Oct 6, 2003

When you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss also gazes into you.
The grim reaper comic but there are like 30 doors of dead campaigns

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