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Oh my god this is such blatant bullshittery (https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3698/Who-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election)
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Feb 14, 2020 02:27
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They should at least make it more blatant so I can make some decent money off of it Bet you can't get it to 95 cents yes bloomberg
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Feb 14, 2020 02:30
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It's just a bit annoying that Bloomberg No still isn't a huge return and you're gonna have to wait forever to get your money out from it because of this pumping. But it's free money. Do you think he'll tank in price when he comes out on the debate stage and America collectively realizes he's short? I know Trump is tweeting about it all the time but the visual comparison is really gonna be something else.
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Feb 14, 2020 02:31
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WampaLord posted:It's just a bit annoying that Bloomberg No still isn't a huge return and you're gonna have to wait forever to get your money out from it because of this pumping. It depends on who is pumping it and why. Expecting anything rational put of a market that clearly isn't atm seems risky But yeah, i get you on it not being a great roi. I am not going to be throwing much money at it, if any, and while 20% is good, the $2 that that will work out to isn't worth getting excited about. Now if he finishes pumping himself up to 99 cents yes....
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Feb 14, 2020 02:37
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Really wishing that I had remembered this site back when Bernie had his heart attack. I never lost faith
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Feb 14, 2020 03:07
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WampaLord posted:It's just a bit annoying that Bloomberg No still isn't a huge return and you're gonna have to wait forever to get your money out from it because of this pumping. he'll wear like 5 inch lifts
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Feb 14, 2020 03:40
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Shear Modulus posted:he'll wear like 5 inch lifts people will notice, just like they did with Liddle Marco
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Feb 14, 2020 03:56
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The Joe Man posted:Alright, I think I'm done. Maxed out on Bernie while this fake Bloomberg surge pushes the prices down. Also made a sidebet on Gabbard for VP if Bernie soars after Super Tuesday: I bought Tulsi VP shares just to sell when she drops out and endorses Bernie. Unless he makes a shock pick that's gonna be her peak in that market.
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Feb 14, 2020 04:07
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Garrand posted:It looks like it does have historical data for past counts and also you can set it up to send alerts For erratic accounts like Trump and AOC tweet markets are basically 24-hour affairs where you can play swings. For more reliable accounts like the Biden and Sanders campaigns it's a weeklong investment where you put your money into a middle bracket based on their regular activity +/- upcoming events that will facilitate more or fewer posts.
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Feb 14, 2020 04:10
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now some biden gains
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Feb 14, 2020 04:57
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I hope I don't regret holding my Biden No in SC position through Tues night, it's down about .22 from the high that night. Still plenty of time for him to bomb another debate and finish behind Steyer in NV, I guess
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Feb 14, 2020 05:02
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Guys you were supposed to buy low!!!
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Feb 14, 2020 05:13
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Vox Nihili posted:Guys you were supposed to buy low!!! bloom no hasn't gotten low yet 
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Feb 14, 2020 05:36
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Bloomberg and Bernie tied for prez lol
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Feb 14, 2020 05:47
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lol I just lost 30% of my portfolio, gently caress off Bloomberg
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Feb 14, 2020 06:12
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lmao Bloomberg crashed in Texas after that poll got released. Seems like buying Bloomberg No in markets with upcoming polls is an easy move
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Feb 14, 2020 16:51
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FORUMS USER 1135 posted:From the Succ thread:  tempted to cash outI was expecting to be able to make a quick profit off of her terrible fundraising numbers but i guess there's still two primaries for her to do terribly in between now and March 3rd cargo cult has issued a correction as of 19:18 on Feb 14, 2020 |
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Feb 14, 2020 19:12
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cargo cult posted:just lost five bucks on this play Don't cash out. Her fundraising is likely poo poo so when FEC numbers come out there should be a spike. She may do well in NV but she sure as poo poo isn't going to in SC so you'll have the drop out Yes raising as results come in.
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Feb 14, 2020 19:19
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When are the FEC numbers out? I thought she announced $5 million since NH even though she's actively firing staffers and stuff
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Feb 14, 2020 19:30
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cargo cult posted:When are the FEC numbers out? I thought she announced $5 million since NH even though she's actively firing staffers and stuff I thought FEC was the 15th but I may be misremembering
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Feb 14, 2020 19:37
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Plot twist: Warren now playing her staffers exclusively in yes contracts
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Feb 14, 2020 19:49
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Wrex Ruckus posted:Plot twist: Warren now playing her staffers exclusively in yes contracts Double twist: All the yes contracts are for Bloomberg
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Feb 14, 2020 20:05
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any chance of bernie getting a congressional endorsement before EOD? yes is sitting at 3 cents and i think he's got like three rallies today
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Feb 14, 2020 20:34
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they added tammy baldwin to the VP market today
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Feb 14, 2020 21:48
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i think he'll pick her but more betting on her being hyped up after bernie seals the nom https://twitter.com/jacobinmag/status/1225460810807414784 BrutalistMcDonalds has issued a correction as of 23:00 on Feb 14, 2020 |
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Feb 14, 2020 21:58
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tbh if i'm bernie i'm not picking anyone outside of the campaign for VP since he actually has plans involving them
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Feb 14, 2020 23:08
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i am not sure gifting yourself a special election in wisconsin in 2021 is the best plan
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Feb 14, 2020 23:21
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jisforjosh posted:I thought FEC was the 15th but I may be misremembering I think it's the 20th for the monthlies.
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Feb 14, 2020 23:23
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pancake rabbit posted:any chance of bernie getting a congressional endorsement before EOD? lol i made a solid $300 off of this, gonna give it to berno
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Feb 15, 2020 00:14
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pancake rabbit posted:lol i made a solid $300 off of this, gonna give it to berno All my funds are tied up in the primaries and I totally missed this window. Such a good heads up though.
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Feb 15, 2020 00:58
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pancake rabbit posted:lol i made a solid $300 off of this, gonna give it to berno gently caress gently caress poo poo I had 20 bucks I was going to throw into that but then work got in my way E: I am legitimately angry at this but that's partly because work sucked too Garrand has issued a correction as of 01:20 on Feb 15, 2020 |
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Feb 15, 2020 01:00
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a new SC poll has Biden up 28-20 over Sanders, I'm bailing out of my Biden No there now. should've sold Tuesday, I guess.
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Feb 15, 2020 01:28
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wait till Biden eats poo poo in Nevada and that should impact the SC market
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Feb 15, 2020 01:32
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bawfuls posted:wait till Biden eats poo poo in Nevada and that should impact the SC market I might just reinvest into Bernie to win MI, MO and IL
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Feb 15, 2020 01:34
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skaboomizzy posted:a new SC poll has Biden up 28-20 over Sanders, I'm bailing out of my Biden No there now. should've sold Tuesday, I guess. Yeah, just like Biden was polling 22% in Iowa? And then ate poo poo? Biden No is still free money imo and his prices will plummet when he gets 3rd or worse in Nevada
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Feb 15, 2020 02:26
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WampaLord posted:Yeah, just like Biden was polling 22% in Iowa? And then ate poo poo? I had like $200 sitting around and threw it in at 10c on SC. I’m waiting until after NV to see how it goes but I’m currently 50/50 on bailing out before the SC primary. I had planned to wait until it hit 33c before I bailed with my winnings, but now I’m getting emotionally invested and am making bad decisions. At the very least I stopped adding cash to PI once I hit my planned budget. The North Tower has issued a correction as of 07:39 on Feb 15, 2020 |
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Feb 15, 2020 07:36
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Just max out on Bernie prez man, the Bloomberg push is over
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Feb 15, 2020 15:48
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WampaLord posted:Yeah, just like Biden was polling 22% in Iowa? And then ate poo poo? Be extremely wary when comparing polling in a caucus state to a normal primary. Caucuses deflate turnout and over represent the most fervent of supporters due to the time investment.
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Feb 15, 2020 16:07
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jisforjosh posted:Be extremely wary when comparing polling in a caucus state to a normal primary. Caucuses deflate turnout and over represent the most fervent of supporters due to the time investment. That makes my point even harder, who's supporters are more fervent, Bernie's or Biden's?
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Feb 15, 2020 16:12
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Vox’s take on Betfair and PredictIt https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2020/2/14/21137882/prediction-markets-bloomberg-sanders-president They hint at Bloomberg buying his own shares as well.
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Feb 16, 2020 03:23
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