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pixaal
Jan 8, 2004

All ice cream is now for all beings, no matter how many legs.


Josh Lyman posted:

So... buy Logitech for the webcams?

The most expensive thing is that chair they all use that looks a bit like an aeron with LEDs. They also generally talk up their mouse and make sure the razor logo shows. They never show their webcam no idea what they use, and most viewers yell at a streamer that their $10 walmart mic sounds fine when they try and talk up the nice $200-500 mic they are using. (Seriously buy a nice mic in the $50-60 range it will last you for 20-30 years, same with good headphones, don't buy a headset the mic being movable like that is a recipe for the thing failing in under 4 years).

I thought I was replying to a post in the general covid thread for some reason, not sure I'd actually go long on anything I mentioned, but that's what would be in view and being advertised by a streamer. Though I have seen some people chill all sorts of stuff from sponsors.

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pram
Jun 10, 2001
0dte spy calls on friday in the final hour of trading. I love it

skipdogg
Nov 29, 2004
Resident SRT-4 Expert

pmchem posted:

reddit is claiming there will be a huge short squeeze Friday before close with 211m shares of SPY having to be purchased due to expiring options, and SPY going to the moon as a result.

how much of that is pure bullshit vs. possibly real, legit analysis?

No idea, but I was willing to gamble a bit on them being right. Worst case I’m out 108 bucks.

resident
Dec 22, 2005

WE WERE ALL UP IN THAT SHIT LIKE A MUTHAFUCKA. IT'S CLEANER THAN A BROKE DICK DOG.

pmchem posted:

reddit is claiming there will be a huge short squeeze Friday before close with 211m shares of SPY having to be purchased due to expiring options, and SPY going to the moon as a result.

how much of that is pure bullshit vs. possibly real, legit analysis?

edit: example,

I'd imagine HFTs would be providing enough liquidity to keep SPY tracking its underlying assets. Someone is gonna make a lot of money (and it won't be day traders).

Woodchip
Mar 28, 2010
playing an overnight bounce w spxl, will sell at open.

Fate Accomplice
Nov 30, 2006




listening to the Bill Ackman 'rant' right now, he seems remarkably lucid

Josh Lyman
May 24, 2009


pmchem posted:

reddit is claiming there will be a huge short squeeze Friday before close with 211m shares of SPY having to be purchased due to expiring options, and SPY going to the moon as a result.

how much of that is pure bullshit vs. possibly real, legit analysis?

edit: example,
Friday Feb 14 doesn't count bc that was before the downturn that started Feb 20.

Friday Mar 13 was because of Trump's press conference.

The other 3 may be legit but only represent ~2% moves in SPY.

Josh Lyman
May 24, 2009


ketchup vs catsup posted:

listening to the Bill Ackman 'rant' right now, he seems remarkably lucid
Are you being facetious? I honestly can't tell anymore.

CNBC anchors got phone calls during Ackman's call saying "get him off he's talking down the market!"

FreelanceSocialist
Nov 19, 2002

ketchup vs catsup posted:

listening to the Bill Ackman 'rant' right now, he seems remarkably lucid

Yeah - this doesn't strike me as a breakdown. This is frustration at the madness he sees unfolding.

Ulio
Feb 17, 2011


I do think we are in for a bear market bounce, with option expiry we will see some weird movements for sure.

I really hope we have another overnight limit down I think it will make for a perfect condition for a rally into friday.

saintonan
Dec 7, 2009

Fields of glory shine eternal

The big take I got from Altman's interview is that we're not near an equities bottom yet. Back in 2008-2009 the buzz was around "capital preservation", getting into things that would keep your little pile from getting smaller, not aggressively looking for things not likely to pay off for several months or years. There was very little talk about 3 to 5 year time horizon investing. Until people I see on these shows talk about preservation and not aggressive investment, we still have further to fall.

Josh Lyman
May 24, 2009


Ulio posted:

I do think we are in for a bear market bounce, with option expiry we will see some weird movements for sure.

I really hope we have another overnight limit down I think it will make for a perfect condition for a rally into friday.
Yeah I'm looking to buy calls for Monday expiration just bc Friday afternoon is gonna be weird.

Communist Q
Jul 13, 2009

The vote on the first stimulus bill is happening right now if you care to watch. It's not the helicopter money one yet, so it might not cause that big of a reaction, but who knows!

Doccykins
Feb 21, 2006
friday was up, monday was down, yesterday was up, today is down, tomorrow ??? but everyone's pattern finding brains (including mine) are saying green tomorrow - it really depends on what news rather than the end of period washup which happens every day/week/month

Lote
Aug 5, 2001

Place your bets

Ur Getting Fatter posted:

Closed my PENN position too as it's been stuck for a bit and I'm kind of scared of the dead cat bounce after what Lote said, although honestly it could very well tank even further.

Thinking of opening an on OTM call BYD.

The intraday bounce with $RRR was so big that I just shorted more. I covered around $3 and shorted more around $4

doingitwrong
Jul 27, 2013

ketchup vs catsup posted:

listening to the Bill Ackman 'rant' right now, he seems remarkably lucid

Have you gotten to the second half where his voice starts to break as he talks about saving his father's life by staying in? I'm not calling it a breakdown, but it is a surprisingly emotional call for business TV.

pixaal
Jan 8, 2004

All ice cream is now for all beings, no matter how many legs.


Josh Lyman posted:

Yeah I'm looking to buy calls for Monday expiration just bc Friday afternoon is gonna be weird.

Buy a strangle, they've been pretty drat profitable during this when I don't have a good guess on which direction it will go but I know for drat sure it's not staying here. (It's not staying here).

Fate Accomplice
Nov 30, 2006




doingitwrong posted:

Have you gotten to the second half where his voice starts to break as he talks about saving his father's life by staying in? I'm not calling it a breakdown, but it is a surprisingly emotional call for business TV.

I got to that part a couple minutes after posting, and yeah I can see a billionaire saying this stuff in TV tanking the Number a bit more.

tumblr hype man
Jul 29, 2008

nice meltdown
Slippery Tilde

Tokyo Sex Whale posted:

WTF is up with DFS? I mean I know consumer credit is not going to perform great here but is there some sort of underlying issue with how they fund themselves or something? Down almost 2/3 in 3 weeks.

DFS is heavily heavily exposed to subprime consumer revolving debt, a bunch of which may charge off. They also appear to be heavily reliant upon higher cost brokered funding sources than other Banks. 85% of revenue was from interest income.

Communist Q
Jul 13, 2009

First coronavirus bill is about to pass the senate.

LLCoolJD
Dec 8, 2007

Musk threatens the inorganic promotion of left-wing ideology that had been taking place on the platform

Block me for being an unironic DeSantis fan, too!

ketchup vs catsup posted:

listening to the Bill Ackman 'rant' right now, he seems remarkably lucid

A shutdown wouldn't eliminate the virus, and it would still get here from abroad once the quarantine ended. Imagine the panic of a 30-day national shutdown, let alone one that didn't work.

Capitalism won't shut down if the alternative is to tell the vulnerable members of society to lay low for three months. The machine will inevitably grind on even if 1% die from it. It goes without saying that this is awful any way you slice it.

Woodchip
Mar 28, 2010
TLT is slowly dropping, in the 140s now. Hope you all re-fi'd last week.

Bored As Fuck
Jan 1, 2006
Fun Shoe
All my puts expire 4/17 or later. I'm sticking it out. Getting greedy, but I still think we've got a long way to go on Tesla, Wynn, Disney, PENN, CACC, and Zillow.

dpkg chopra
Jun 9, 2007

Fast Food Fight

Grimey Drawer
Holy poo poo BMRA

Oh to be an insider trader fly on that boardroom wall

Jesus In A Can
Jul 2, 2007
From Concentrate

Woodchip posted:

TLT is slowly dropping, in the 140s now. Hope you all re-fi'd last week.

Only benefit I'm seeing in all of this, I helped my mom get hers refinanced last week.

Sepist
Dec 26, 2005

FUCK BITCHES, ROUTE PACKETS

Gravy Boat 2k
Bought SPXL stock and SPY calls at the bottom of the knife, gonna try and follow the trend of green days following red days (and assuming we need some green to deal with the 1.4 trillion in SPX shorts expiring this week)

Ulio
Feb 17, 2011


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ETaOGqVXQAEITpJ?format=png&name=small

The panic is real boys, I am gonna keep playing near term short on options and long term long stock.

Jack Daniels
Nov 14, 2002

lol @:
JNUG = -53%
JDST = +19%

3x ETF opposite pairs working like a charm :thumbsup:

Ulio
Feb 17, 2011


Shorting TLT and VXX.

Josh Lyman
May 24, 2009


Bored As gently caress posted:

All my puts expire 4/17 or later. I'm sticking it out. Getting greedy, but I still think we've got a long way to go on Tesla, Wynn, Disney, PENN, CACC, and Zillow.
Yeah I bought my MAR puts at 1pm right before we hit the circuit breaker and they're down 24% but they're 4/17 expiration and just lol if you don't think the hotels are going down from here. Tomorrow might have been a better day to get in but I said that about CZR and never got in.

I got a pretty good price on my SPY 250 calls expiring Monday at 3:48pm, they're up nicely.

Woodchip
Mar 28, 2010
Is there an inverse UVXY?

e: duh, SVXY

dougdrums
Feb 25, 2005
CLIENT REQUESTED ELECTRONIC FUNDING RECEIPT (FUNDS NOW)

resident posted:

I'd imagine HFTs would be providing enough liquidity to keep SPY tracking its underlying assets. Someone is gonna make a lot of money (and it won't be day traders).

Jack Daniels posted:

lol @:
JNUG = -53%
JDST = +19%

3x ETF opposite pairs working like a charm :thumbsup:
QQQ was off by at least a percent yesterday, somehow

dougdrums
Feb 25, 2005
CLIENT REQUESTED ELECTRONIC FUNDING RECEIPT (FUNDS NOW)
unless futures weren't tracking the index, I didn't look at the index

Agronox
Feb 4, 2005

lol what the gently caress?

Yesterday, I had written some 2400 ES puts expiring today... and they expired worthless! Saved in the last two minutes of trading.

Jack Daniels
Nov 14, 2002

Woodchip posted:

Is there an inverse UVXY?

e: duh, SVXY

SVXY, but its not double like UVXY

also watch out because there used to be SVXY and XIV, but XIV blew up and was cancelled (any shares worth ZERO)... it was pretty wild lol

Lote
Aug 5, 2001

Place your bets
I expect a slow bleed down for casino stocks from here on out with dead cat bounces all the way down. Once the biggest casino operator or regional casino operators start declaring bankruptcy in mid to late May/June/July, then the rest of the casino stocks will get swept up and start trading below $1. The first one to go will be $RRR, $CZR, or $PENN, likely in that order. $RRR has the most debt and is a purely regional casino operator and doesn't have as big of a credit line and is a small fish. $CZR has more wiggle room but much more debt. $PENN has less debt but more national exposure.

shame on an IGA
Apr 8, 2005

pmchem posted:

The Dystopian ETF now includes:
Amazon
Boeing
American Homes 4 Rent
Invitation Homes
Facebook
Baidu
Goldman Sachs
JPMorganChase
Walmart
Comcast
Exxon
Chevron
BlackRock
Service Corp International (funerals)
Sun Communities (trailer park REIT)
Equity LifeStyle Properties (trailer park REIT)

I couldn't find a popular private security company listed on a US exchange, but, maybe I missed some OTC stock? Anyone know of a private security stock?

What other companies should be included in a hellworld dystopian nightmare portfolio?

GFSZS, SCTBF

Jack Daniels
Nov 14, 2002

Woodchip posted:

Is there an inverse UVXY?

e: duh, SVXY

ok now go look at the SVXY chart back in FEB 2018... not very long ago. thats when XIV imploded and all shares cancelled/zero'd.

Ulio
Feb 17, 2011


Josh Lyman posted:

Yeah I bought my MAR puts at 1pm and they're down 24% but they're 4/17 expiration and just lol if you don't think the hotels are going down from here. Tomorrow might have been a better day to get in but I said that about CZR and never got in.

I got a pretty good price on my SPY 250 calls expiring Monday at 3:48pm, they're up nicely.

Airliners/Hotels options historically have very low ivs, even now for their current climate they are not that volatile.

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Josh Lyman
May 24, 2009


Ulio posted:

Airliners/Hotels options historically have very low ivs, even now for their current climate they are not that volatile.
Are you saying my Marriott puts are unlikely to be profitable/I won’t be able to exit without eating that loss, or are you saying I shouldn’t worry about short term volatility since expiration is a month out?

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