Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Dixville
Nov 4, 2008

I don't think!
Ham Wrangler

not an endorsement posted:

i think that's a completely valid thing to investigate in doing a systematic review of inpatient cases released v. dead, but the potential mediation effect of bcg on a lethal respiratory inflammation cascade doesn't even fit the narrative that people are leaping to that having the vaccine decreases likelihood of being a case at all, just mortality figures

Wouldn't the bcg be causing people to be more mild or asymptomatic carriers? I feel like that's a pretty big win since the whole concern with this virus is clogging up hospitals and the deaths from the severe cases...

Edit and they probably wouldn't be "cases" because they wouldn't get tested with mild to no signs of infection.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Flesh Forge
Jan 31, 2011

LET ME TELL YOU ABOUT MY DOG

WarEternal posted:

I wonder why the % of positive tests and hospitalizations are decreasing in NY but people dying at home is increasing and their average weekly deaths are way above rate.

:thunk:

well it's all just a numbers game until we get our testing up to snuff!! *defunds testing support*

Moongrave
Jun 19, 2004

Finally Living Rent Free

Hot Karl Marx posted:

its because the economy, people need to get back to work asap

fermun
Nov 4, 2009

WarEternal
Dec 26, 2010

Goodness no, now that wouldn't do at all!

Hot Karl Marx posted:

its because the economy, people need to get back to work asap

B-b-b-but why would Cuomo lie? He's a Democrat, they're the good guys. He would make Trump look bad if he could. Even Cuomo loves Trump's response to virus crisis, he's doing a very good job! Back to work everyone! It will be very safe in just a couple weeks, unbelievably safe.

not an endorsement
Mar 14, 2008


Personally, I think it's problematic that a sitting Senator has a racial slur for a last name.



twoday posted:

Yeah my hunch is that it reduces mortality figures mostly, rather than case rates. However, if this mechanism reduces the ability of the virus to multiply in the lungs then it would also reduce viral load and prevent spread, by effectively inducing herd immunity

But I really have no idea what I'm talking about, just spit balling here

Dixville posted:

Wouldn't the bcg be causing people to be more mild or asymptomatic carriers? I feel like that's a pretty big win since the whole concern with this virus is clogging up hospitals and the deaths from the severe cases...

i don't see how any of what you linked can be interpreted as influencing morbidity, just the onset of ards -- which at that point the person would not be mobile anyway. it's not as if the entirety of the upper respiratory symptoms rely on this massive release of interleukins (see this paper someone just spat out on biorxiv, like, yesterday): https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.06.027854v1

quote:

The most vulnerable group in corona epidemic is elderly, malnourished, hypertensive, diabetic, immune compromised, cancer and cardiovascular patients, as well as pregnant women. Despite wide spread COVID-19 infection, the numbers of fatally infected children cases are less reported so far, possible mechanism might be an unknown protective interaction between immune system and respiratory pathway.5 COVID-19 spreads through droplet infection and fomites, from infected person during coughing and sneezing. Majority of symptoms are sore throat, breathing difficulty and fever, although GI and musculoskeletal system are also involved.6,7 Clinical course is somehow showing a predictable pattern. On around day five, flu like symptom starts, common are fever, headache, dry cough, myalgia (and back pain), nausea (without vomiting), abdominal discomfort with some diarrhea, loss of smell, anorexia and fatigue. Around same time symptoms can worsen leading to shortness of breath due to bilateral viral pneumonia from direct viral damage to lung parenchyma. Around day 10, cytokine storm kicks in, subsequently acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and multi organ failure ensues. This degradation usually happens in matter of hours. Hospitalized patients in moderate to severe cases usually come in hypoxic stage without dyspnea. China reported 15% cardiac involvement and serious final outcome. In most of the chest X-rays, bilateral interstitial pneumonia or ground glass opacities are seen. Hypoxia mostly does not correlate well with the chest x-ray findings. Chest auscultations are not of great help. Blood reports show, in the most cases, WBC is low, i.e. mostly lymphocytopenia, low platelet count whereas pro-calcitonin are mostly normal. Most consistently, CRP and ferritin levels are elevated and similarly CPK, D-dimer, LDH, ALKphos/AST-ALT levels are also high. It has been seen a ratio of absolute neutrophil count to absolute lymphocyte count, greater than 3.5, may be the highest predictor of poor outcome. An elevated level of IL-6 is of grave concern of cytokine storm.8,9

anyway, regardless: the point is that individuals should not attempt to haphazardly apply preliminary works without consensus on their own lives, and feel as if they are in danger if they are not taking a particular medication/vaccine/lifestyle factor that's been reported twice in small sample sizes at most

twoday
May 4, 2005



C-SPAM Times best-selling author

Dixville posted:

Wouldn't the bcg be causing people to be more mild or asymptomatic carriers? I feel like that's a pretty big win since the whole concern with this virus is clogging up hospitals and the deaths from the severe cases...

Edit and they probably wouldn't be "cases" because they wouldn't get tested with mild to no signs of infection.

This would explain the statistics in eastern Europe pretty well

twoday
May 4, 2005



C-SPAM Times best-selling author

not an endorsement posted:

i don't see how any of what you linked can be interpreted as influencing morbidity, just the onset of ards -- which at that point the person would not be mobile anyway. it's not as if the entirety of the upper respiratory symptoms rely on this massive release of interleukins (see this paper someone just spat out on biorxiv, like, yesterday): https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.06.027854v1


anyway, regardless: the point is that individuals should not attempt to haphazardly apply preliminary works without consensus on their own lives, and feel as if they are in danger if they are not taking a particular medication/vaccine/lifestyle factor that's been reported twice in small sample sizes at most

I agree! My suspicion is that it influences mortality, not morbidity. If you don't enter the second phase of the illness, maybe you think that you just had a cold for a few days (I call this the "just the flu bro" effect)

As for the second point, I am just investigating mechanisms that could potentially explain the correlation studies that have been coming out, that's why I'm sharing this on c spam

Just spitballing, looking for feedback

twoday has issued a correction as of 12:13 on Apr 11, 2020

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Hot Karl Marx
Mar 16, 2009

Politburo regulations about social distancing require to downgrade your Karlmarxing to cold, and sorry about the dnc primaries, please enjoy!
6G will give you a big dicks/titties

not an endorsement
Mar 14, 2008


Personally, I think it's problematic that a sitting Senator has a racial slur for a last name.



Hot Karl Marx posted:

6G will give you a big dicks/titties

count me in

Agrajag
Jan 21, 2006

gat dang thats hot

oh god the germans are goign to kill us all

i KNEW it!

Bulgakov
Mar 8, 2009


рукописи не горят

Hot Karl Marx posted:

6G will give you a big dicks/titties

i knew surviving through this 5g pandemic would be worth it!!


(i assume with the slash you meant AND)

not an endorsement
Mar 14, 2008


Personally, I think it's problematic that a sitting Senator has a racial slur for a last name.



twoday posted:

I agree! My suspicion is that it influences mortality, not morbidity

As for the second point, I am just investigating mechanisms that could potentially explain the correlation studies that have been coming out, that's why I'm sharing this on c spam

Just spitballing, looking for feedback

i think with what you posted it deffo could possibly maybe reduce the chance of dying from your immune system having a party if you're a hospitalized case

anyway it's fun to see how many papers are being spammed into preprint atm:

https://www.biorxiv.org/search/sars-cov-2
https://www.medrxiv.org/search/sars-cov-2

Bulgakov
Mar 8, 2009


рукописи не горят

gimme a third hand because that's a lot to fondle

Bulgakov
Mar 8, 2009


рукописи не горят

not an endorsement posted:

i think with what you posted it deffo could possibly maybe reduce the chance of dying from your immune system having a party if you're a hospitalized case

anyway it's fun to see how many papers are being spammed into preprint atm:

https://www.biorxiv.org/search/sars-cov-2
https://www.medrxiv.org/search/sars-cov-2

yah i feel that's what twoday has been posting about

the vaccine leading to some difference in immune response that doesn't end up with a persons immune system drowning itself


i dunno!!!! im dumber than hell

Bulgakov
Mar 8, 2009


рукописи не горят

here is a cool animation with calligraphy that i, bulgakov, made right now using my fountain pen (??? ive already forg0t)

twoday
May 4, 2005



C-SPAM Times best-selling author

Bulgakov posted:

yah i feel that's what twoday has been posting about

the vaccine leading to some difference in immune response that doesn't end up with a persons immune system drowning itself


i dunno!!!! im dumber than hell

Yeah I guess so I also have no idea what I'm talking about and a month ago I thought my lungs were pretty much bagpipes made of meat

Tei
Feb 19, 2011
Probation
Can't post for 4 days!

Funerals are high risk, about the first thing that got cancelled in places with lock-downs. Do people still have them? how stupid is that.

Bulgakov posted:

here is a cool animation with calligraphy that i, bulgakov, made right now using my fountain pen (??? ive already forg0t)




Theres really one quote for everything.

Owlofcreamcheese
May 22, 2005
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
Buglord

twoday posted:


As for the second point, I am just investigating mechanisms that could potentially explain the correlation studies that have been coming out, that's why I'm sharing this on c spam


Are you a doctor or anything? Is there a reason you think you should be doing medical research by just randomly searching things on google?

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

Tei posted:

Funerals are high risk, about the first thing that got cancelled in places with lock-downs. Do people still have them? how stupid is that.



Theres really one quote for everything.

here in LA they are still taking the covid bodies to mortuaries.

A woman I work with, her daughter is an undertaker and has been picking up lots of covid bodies.

:shrug:

she said they are extra super wrapped up but still.

twoday
May 4, 2005



C-SPAM Times best-selling author

Owlofcreamcheese posted:

Are you a doctor or anything? Is there a reason you think you should be doing medical research by just randomly searching things on google?



No, that's why I am posting this on the c-spam subforum of the something awful dot com comedy website and not trying to submit this to a medical journal

This is a very advanced and niche type of shitposting

Dixville
Nov 4, 2008

I don't think!
Ham Wrangler

not an endorsement posted:

i don't see how any of what you linked can be interpreted as influencing morbidity, just the onset of ards -- which at that point the person would not be mobile anyway. it's not as if the entirety of the upper respiratory symptoms rely on this massive release of interleukins (see this paper someone just spat out on biorxiv, like, yesterday): https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.06.027854v1


anyway, regardless: the point is that individuals should not attempt to haphazardly apply preliminary works without consensus on their own lives, and feel as if they are in danger if they are not taking a particular medication/vaccine/lifestyle factor that's been reported twice in small sample sizes at most

That's true. We still don't have a lot of info. I also have no idea how feasible it is to start giving everyone BCG or the possible side effects of it so maybe it's a moot point. Would be good if there is something, anything that can possibly keep so many frickin people from dying though.
We can also possibly use immune modulating/suppressing drugs that work at IL6 and IL8 for the severe ARDS cases instead of taking the time to implement some kind of BCG vaccine system I suppose. Don't know how much thise have been used. Here's a basic article that talks about tocilizumab possibly being used that way...
https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-covid-19-treatments.html

Trumps Baby Hands
Mar 27, 2016

Silent white light filled the world. And the righteous and unrighteous alike were consumed in that holy fire.
I know he or she is probably just another poor paycheck-to-paycheck millennial, but I really feel that Steakumms tweeter should be the first person against the wall

Bulgakov
Mar 8, 2009


рукописи не горят

twoday posted:

Yeah I guess so I also have no idea what I'm talking about and a month ago I thought my lungs were pretty much bagpipes made of meat

i thought you were like dutch american not a scot!!

Mr. Pizza
Oct 5, 2009


will we see an Easter Bump?

Zisky
May 6, 2003

PM me and I will show you my tits

Owlofcreamcheese posted:

Are you a doctor or anything? Is there a reason you think you should be doing medical research by just randomly searching things on google?



Was the D&D thread not thrilling enough for you today?

not an endorsement
Mar 14, 2008


Personally, I think it's problematic that a sitting Senator has a racial slur for a last name.



i am doing a phd but its on omics of human neuromuscular disorders and not viruses

do i still get a google certificate, is my ethos big enough

Bulgakov
Mar 8, 2009


рукописи не горят

Mr. Pizza posted:

will we see an Easter Bump?

easter bumpy

Hot Karl Marx
Mar 16, 2009

Politburo regulations about social distancing require to downgrade your Karlmarxing to cold, and sorry about the dnc primaries, please enjoy!
i love how woke brand media twitters have migrated into trying to tie the brand into actually caring about people when they support the capitalist system that is destroying us, stupid loving woke brand media account

Hot Karl Marx
Mar 16, 2009

Politburo regulations about social distancing require to downgrade your Karlmarxing to cold, and sorry about the dnc primaries, please enjoy!
and all the dumbass morons poisoned by capitalism will think its a good idea steakums or w/e is saying this stuff

gh0stpinballa
Mar 5, 2019

2000 deaths in a single day and the US is certainly undercounting. christ.

Bulgakov
Mar 8, 2009


рукописи не горят

Hot Karl Marx posted:

and all the dumbass morons poisoned by capitalism will think its a good idea steakums or w/e is saying this stuff

those peoples boss's boss's boss's franchise owners' boss's boss's boss investment fund owner prolly has zero idea that their company has a twitter and from there infinitely less idea what some BRAND ACCOUNT is saying

Hot Karl Marx
Mar 16, 2009

Politburo regulations about social distancing require to downgrade your Karlmarxing to cold, and sorry about the dnc primaries, please enjoy!

Hot Karl Marx
Mar 16, 2009

Politburo regulations about social distancing require to downgrade your Karlmarxing to cold, and sorry about the dnc primaries, please enjoy!

Bulgakov posted:

those peoples boss's boss's boss's franchise owners boss's boss's boss investment fund owner prolly has zero idea that their company has a twitter and from there infinitely less idea what some BRAND ACCOUNT is saying

nah these decisions come from the top asking how they can fit in with the woke kids on twitter

Often Abbreviated
Dec 19, 2017

1st Severia Tank Brigade
"Ghosts of Honcharivske"

Owlofcreamcheese posted:

Are you a doctor or anything? Is there a reason you think you should be doing medical research by just randomly searching things on google?

It's perfectly reasonable for people to do research on their own as long as they're honest about their knowledge, and totally is noncomparable with hucksters selling snake oil for profit. Acting like this is some sort of heinous crime rather than engaging honestly, even if that engagement is a similar "I dunno, and I think the data are too unclear to support any of this", is anti-intellectual, authoritarian, elitist bullshit.

Hot Karl Marx
Mar 16, 2009

Politburo regulations about social distancing require to downgrade your Karlmarxing to cold, and sorry about the dnc primaries, please enjoy!
love to capitalize on a crisis with woke branding in order to sell stuff during a pandemic

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007


this is the weirdest timeline

Moongrave
Jun 19, 2004

Finally Living Rent Free

Dixville posted:

I also have no idea how feasible it is to start giving everyone BCG or the possible side effects of it

I mean, we used to, and "you get a little scar" is the usual side effect.

It's incredibly safe, comparatively.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Vesi
Jan 12, 2005

pikachu looking at?

Hot Karl Marx posted:

and all the dumbass morons poisoned by capitalism will think its a good idea steakums or w/e is saying this stuff

it could help shift the overton window, maybe just like there's no ironic racism there's no ironic socialism either

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply