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FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

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Zisky
May 6, 2003

PM me and I will show you my tits
Annnd we're off!

Mr. Lobe
Feb 23, 2007

... Dry bones...


-500 points, not great, not terrible

Archduke Frantz Fanon
Sep 7, 2004

Oils up over 100%! crank up the frackers boys economys back on the menu

JAY ZERO SUM GAME
Oct 18, 2005

Walter.
I know you know how to do this.
Get up.


genericnick
Dec 26, 2012

FizFashizzle posted:

Saudi Arabia likely has enough liquidity reserves to survive this, and at the end will likely come out stronger.

This is going to cripple the oil industry in the United States. Thing in Russia and Venezuela are going to get....interesting.

also lmao shipping companies

At this rate the Houthis are going to do the Ghana funeral dance in Riyadh.

poty
Jun 21, 2008

虹はどこで終わるのですか? あなたの魂の中で、または地平線で?

dex_sda posted:

your brainstem would literally get all the ions ripped out of it and completely disintegrate from a biological standpoint before you could feel any pain

sign me up

fanfic insert
Nov 4, 2009

V. Illych L. posted:

i think the failure point of the scandinavian path to socialism was around the time of the saudi oil crisis - the single critical moment imo was when the swedish social democratic party went against LO (the trade union confederation) in the implementation of the meidtner plan for phasing out private property in the economy. since then our societies have drifted towards liberalisation the same as everyone else, driven by cheap disenfranchised migrant labour and trade regulations fuelling a labour aristocracy and a bourgeoisie which is now looking at turning on that labour aristocracy

a big part of all this is the end of industry as a mass employer driven by the enormous drive for productivity, which has always been a big part of tripartism. it's all breaking down now though

Bonus knife twist was when Palme decided to adopt the rights economic policies of holding back wage growth in favor of letting corporations pocket the profits on the flimsy pretext that they'd use it to develop their companies rather than just pay it out as bonuses, even though he had spent 2 months campaigning specifically on the idiocy of such policies.

As a man of huge contrast, he surely knifed the socdems to ideological death.

oxsnard
Oct 8, 2003
The economy seems, well, bad

Ash1138
Sep 29, 2001

Get up, chief. We're just gettin' started.

oxsnard posted:

The economy seems, well, bad

turn ur monitor upside down

rump buttman
Feb 14, 2018

I just wish I had time for one more bowl of chili



Ash1138 posted:

turn ur monitor upside down

splendid

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost

oxsnard posted:

The economy seems, well, bad

not a problem, the fed can buy up all that oil - plenty of room in the reflecting pool!

BRAKE FOR MOOSE
Jun 6, 2001

this is amazing

https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/g5e3e5/i_bought_oil_at_32_yesterday_and_made_26000_sort/

dude held his oil futures contract to close, not knowing that the rule he was going to use to get out of it does not apply to WTI, so now he has to figure out a way to take delivery of 42,000 gallons of oil

uncop
Oct 23, 2010
The Nordic Model is best understood as a compromise that all sides entered to gain something and that all sides retained the power to pull out of. Capital needed it because Nordic countries were small and most of them relative latecomers to the list of highly developed economies. Capital needed to be amassed through cooperative efforts to pay the entry fee of sorts to the market, the cost of the state-of-the-art infrastructure, production facilities and so on, designed by and for the largest corporations of the era. Those who can't pay the entry fee become or stay as subordinate economies, and subordinate economies are manipulated to keep them unable to pay it.

Once the countries had achieved the necessary concentration of capital into private hands, once they had the globally competitive giant corporations of their own that they are known for now, that motivation wasn't there anymore. There was just inertia and the idea that things had worked well this far with the system they had. But capital has been pulling out of the deal everywhere it has been advantageous for them, and the technocrats and labor aristocrats have stayed busy trying to come up with deals that would make preserving more of the system for now advantageous enough for capital to consider.

The tripartite corporate system is syndicalist in a similar way fascists were syndicalist, the point of having labor organizations on the negotiation table was to negotiate the loyalty of labor to the nation in service of productivist competition between nations. It sought to bring in the actual labor movement rather than trying to form a totally subordinate fake labor movement and declaring it the only game in town, but it still sought to split and direct the labor movement by privileging team players and disprivileging rabble-rousers who could as well be foreign agents. So I guess it's pretty much universal that decades later, there are hardly any people left who can think in terms other than advocating for the bourgeoisie to be as loyal to the nation and its people as they are?

Egg Moron
Jul 21, 2003

the dreams of the delighting void

just pour the oil onto my bedroom floor with the rest of the garbage

Justin Tyme
Feb 22, 2011


Maybe a dumb question but does the strategic oil reserve not have room? Wouldn't it be a win-win for everyone for the government to buy up the negative priced oil and put a shitload in the strategic reserve?

Cnidaria
Apr 10, 2009

It's all politics, Mike.

whole lot of unused public pools right now

papersack
Jul 27, 2003

I'm thinking about cashing out my 401k today. Better to do it now before the market finally comes to reality in the next month. I'd rather pay the 30% penalty than lose that same amount of value and have to wait 10 years for it to recover in a place I can't touch.

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

fanfic insert
Nov 4, 2009
Don't forget that capital was forced to compromise because of the mass migration to the US, basically leaving them with a much smaller work force which was all sick and tired of their poo poo already and suddenly had a larger base of power as they became less replaceable.

Flash forward today after a few decades of promoted immigration they created another class of workers that are even more disfranchised from decision making while simultaneously being blamed for the shortcomings of the welfare state. Even though it's increasingly poor performance is due to privatization and reduced investment in it.

Obviously not against migration but in the case of Swedish socdems there's a bunch of them who praise Borg as a great finance minister even though he told a group of Americans that "you create the wars, we take the refugees, win/win!" with the obvious intention of it being the division of the labour force.

fanfic insert fucked around with this message at 15:42 on Apr 21, 2020

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

uncop posted:

The Nordic Model is best understood as a compromise that all sides entered to gain something and that all sides retained the power to pull out of. Capital needed it because Nordic countries were small and most of them relative latecomers to the list of highly developed economies. Capital needed to be amassed through cooperative efforts to pay the entry fee of sorts to the market, the cost of the state-of-the-art infrastructure, production facilities and so on, designed by and for the largest corporations of the era. Those who can't pay the entry fee become or stay as subordinate economies, and subordinate economies are manipulated to keep them unable to pay it.

Once the countries had achieved the necessary concentration of capital into private hands, once they had the globally competitive giant corporations of their own that they are known for now, that motivation wasn't there anymore. There was just inertia and the idea that things had worked well this far with the system they had. But capital has been pulling out of the deal everywhere it has been advantageous for them, and the technocrats and labor aristocrats have stayed busy trying to come up with deals that would make preserving more of the system for now advantageous enough for capital to consider.

The tripartite corporate system is syndicalist in a similar way fascists were syndicalist, the point of having labor organizations on the negotiation table was to negotiate the loyalty of labor to the nation in service of productivist competition between nations. It sought to bring in the actual labor movement rather than trying to form a totally subordinate fake labor movement and declaring it the only game in town, but it still sought to split and direct the labor movement by privileging team players and disprivileging rabble-rousers who could as well be foreign agents. So I guess it's pretty much universal that decades later, there are hardly any people left who can think in terms other than advocating for the bourgeoisie to be as loyal to the nation and its people as they are?

i think this is understating the very real socialism of the post-war social democrats. erlander and gerhardsen in particular were sincerely committed to a socialist project, but were also intensely skeptical of the Soviet programme, and the norwegian labour party was pretty much bought over by the marshall plan. nevertheless, until the seventies the social democrats were pretty clearly committed to incrementalist progress towards socialism, nationalising businesses and developing structures meant to make the transition as smooth as possible - you had union reps take courses in accounting and finance in major factories, under the auspices of the LO unions, I.e. worker representation in tripartism.

tripartism was always a compromise accepting the framework of the national state, but it used to be a compromise between parties who both thought they were going to win - unfortunately capital seems to have been right

mystes
May 31, 2006

Mozi posted:

not a problem, the fed can buy up all that oil - plenty of room in the reflecting pool!
Now I'm imaging the Trump administration trying to store oil everywhere in DC.

BeefThief
Aug 8, 2007

the oil is going to be dumped in the ocean hth

oxsnard
Oct 8, 2003
gently caress yeah, I think the collapse is here. New lows coming

oxsnard
Oct 8, 2003
Wow, so I posted about my friend who is a BP trader yesterday (he predicted oil would go negative)

He just made $28 million on a trade yesterday and got notice this morning that they're laying off 30% of the staff in their group, likely to be based entirely on seniority.

He's probably out of a job this week

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

BeefThief posted:

the oil is going to be dumped in the ocean hth

the ultimate thrill

Egg Moron
Jul 21, 2003

the dreams of the delighting void

given the gigantic moves that have been made to stabilize the number down situation, what can even be done?

the only impulse number wizards have is "give rich people more money" so I suspect there will be more of that

FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

oxsnard posted:

Wow, so I posted about my friend who is a BP trader yesterday (he predicted oil would go negative)

He just made $28 million on a trade yesterday and got notice this morning that they're laying off 30% of the staff in their group, likely to be based entirely on seniority.

He's probably out of a job this week

wages of sin and all that jazz

dex_sda
Oct 11, 2012


oxsnard posted:

The economy seems, well, bad

hmmm not sure of this

PawParole
Nov 16, 2019

oxsnard posted:

Wow, so I posted about my friend who is a BP trader yesterday (he predicted oil would go negative)

He just made $28 million on a trade yesterday and got notice this morning that they're laying off 30% of the staff in their group, likely to be based entirely on seniority.

He's probably out of a job this week

early retirement lmao. 28 million is more than most ppl make in their lives

oxsnard
Oct 8, 2003

FAUXTON posted:

wages of sin and all that jazz

he crack pinged in 2016 and i think this year he's 90% of the way to becoming a full communist though. So he's not even mad, it's weird. He expects no loyalty from capital

PawParole posted:

early retirement lmao. 28 million is more than most ppl make in their lives

he made the trade but BP is the one profiting for the record

Pick
Jul 19, 2009
Nap Ghost

PawParole posted:

early retirement lmao. 28 million is more than most ppl make in their lives

You don't get to keep it. That's making a trade on behalf of the company that hired you.

The Alpha Centauri
Feb 15, 2019

Over Easy posted:

given the gigantic moves that have been made to stabilize the number down situation, what can even be done?

the only impulse number wizards have is "give rich people more money" so I suspect there will be more of that

give every individual 2k/mo for the next 6 months and just see what happens

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

PawParole posted:

early retirement lmao. 28 million is more than most ppl make in their lives

When traders say that they mean they made $28mil for their company yesterday.

Admiral Ray
May 17, 2014

Proud Musk and Dogecoin fanboy

PawParole posted:

early retirement lmao. 28 million is more than most ppl make in their lives

traders aren't making the money for themselves, it's for their employer or their employers clients, eg a retirement account or Jeff Bezos's hairless ballsack fund.

dex_sda
Oct 11, 2012


oxsnard posted:

he crack pinged in 2016 and i think this year he's 90% of the way to becoming a full communist though. So he's not even mad, it's weird. He expects no loyalty from capital


he made the trade but BP is the one profiting for the record

lol

oxsnard
Oct 8, 2003
so most people don't know this, but BP has divested almost entirely from their physical assets. They're 90% a financial firm. Buddy says there's a decent chance BP is the surprise Lehman for this cycle

RIP Syndrome
Feb 24, 2016

V. Illych L. posted:

sort of

the same government that did the sovereign wealth fund also sold a huge amount of the government's share in important companies and established a norm saying that government ownership should be mostly silent except for preventing off-shoring of strategic assets. the government has an effective share of 67% in equinor (formerly statoil) and owns a narrow majority in telenor which used to be the state telecoms monopoly and has significant shares in most large industrial concerns. the arrow has mostly been pointing in a very market-oriented direction for the last thirty or so years, though, which might be changing now

Norway's also retained many important characteristics that favor labor. The union membership rate has remained fairly stable since the 70s/80s at ~50%. That's behind the other nordic countries, but way ahead of the US (~10%). And the government still directly runs the lion's share of health and education services as well as the highest quality and most powerful broadcaster/news org (of course, the current admin has it in its crosshairs). The party with a stated goal of abolishing Capitalism gets a fairly consistent GE share of ~2.5% with one seat in parliament (giving it a voice and potential tiebreaker status) and is well represented in local elections. So while it could be a lot better, the situation isn't horrible.

I think the biggest worry right now is that the labor party has been going hard 3rd way for a while, and its traditional base is demoralized and fragmenting. Some of the support is going to cryptoconservative or outright conservative parties and it's starting to tip the balance into territory where they will be able to start looting in earnest. In that regard, the corrupt pension fund dealings/hiring is another bad omen.

fart simpson
Jul 2, 2005

DEATH TO AMERICA
:xickos:


lol

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uncop
Oct 23, 2010

V. Illych L. posted:

i think this is understating the very real socialism of the post-war social democrats. erlander and gerhardsen in particular were sincerely committed to a socialist project, but were also intensely skeptical of the Soviet programme, and the norwegian labour party was pretty much bought over by the marshall plan. nevertheless, until the seventies the social democrats were pretty clearly committed to incrementalist progress towards socialism, nationalising businesses and developing structures meant to make the transition as smooth as possible - you had union reps take courses in accounting and finance in major factories, under the auspices of the LO unions, I.e. worker representation in tripartism.

tripartism was always a compromise accepting the framework of the national state, but it used to be a compromise between parties who both thought they were going to win - unfortunately capital seems to have been right

I don't disagree without that many of these people were real socialists, but I wasn't understating their socialism, their ideology was just beside the point. My point was structural, and these personalities weren't big enough to change the outcome of the structures long-term, perhaps also if they were predisposed to playing nice and working where they encountered less resistance. We wouldn't be talking nostalgically about historical leaders if there people like them had been cultivated to exist right now.

Regarding my use of "labor aristocrat", it's an objective position that a subjective socialist can occupy, they're mediators between labor and capital that rise out of common workers, basically selected by both to play that role. The former selects them by vote, the latter by choosing who they agree to negotiate with and make favorable deals with, increasing their trust among workers by giving them results to show off to them.

uncop fucked around with this message at 16:14 on Apr 21, 2020

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