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https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/1279025019511885831?s=19 Corbyn Did It Does mean that now that Brexit is down we're likely to see a big swing back to Labour though. Lucky for Starmer.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 15:49 |
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# ? May 28, 2024 14:18 |
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https://twitter.com/HouseofCommons/status/1279000022189817857 Ah yes, 'conversion therapy' is definitely an issue that has two equally valid sides to it and is worthy of debate... In all seriousness though I'm very skeptical, especially as the Tories threw out the GRA consultation. I know it's common in TERF-y circles to claim that allowing people to transition is a form of 'conversion therapy', completely ignoring the fact that transphobia exists and that many trans people are LGB. It's hard not to see how they could try and weaponise a ban on 'conversion therapy' against trans people. I've replied to the survey stating explicitly that 'conversion therapy' against lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender people should be outlawed but they've already shown they'll just throw out responses they don't want, so who knows?
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:02 |
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Yeah they're going to try to pull some bullshit, you know they are. Terves already try to refer to menstrual suppression and puberty blockers as 'chemically castrating children' and the cabinet is full of reactionary shites so you know this is just a vector for attacking trans rights. We've even outright seen "homophobic (but somehow not transphobic) parents are transing their gay kids" as an argument in the wild.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:05 |
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sebzilla posted:https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/1279025019511885831?s=19 There's this in the replies. I know one is older than the other but that's a big swing. https://twitter.com/Citadelen/status/1279039943411712001
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:14 |
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CoolCab posted:I think that's the innate contradiction at the heart of a flawed pandemic strategy - I think some people will gladly and fragrantly take risks. I suspect they are a noisy minority. The real problem is when everything opens up and the majority of people stay home, and as such there's a fraction of the demand needed to keep businesses running. This is on top of social distancing obligations which will also radically impact footfall. Yeah, it looks like they'll be a minority: https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1279064804821544961
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:16 |
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sebzilla posted:https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/1279025019511885831?s=19 Labour lost 2 million votes. Lib dems gained 1.3 mil votes, while the Conservatives only 300k. Fixating on Lab to Con switchers (and only 49% of those!) is such pathetic clutching at straws.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:20 |
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the 10% who just won't ever go back to a pub regardless of anything, i mean can you blame them entirely
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:21 |
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Pistol_Pete posted:Yeah, it looks like they'll be a minority: The funny thing is, even if it's only 8%, that's still enough to infect the rest of the country
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:24 |
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https://twitter.com/the_tuc/status/1278971626718212096?s=21 lol Starmerites
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:26 |
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Where is that later YouGov poll anyway, I cannot find a link to the tabs This was the 'official' YouGov analysis, from mid Dec StatsForLefties had been riding on this horse for a while https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/1218171839454662656 but no link to poll breakout, only the aggregated Times graphs if the finding here "result is very sensitive to framing" it wouldn't shock me entirely
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:28 |
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Well this is interesting. I knew it anyway but it is in black & white in that bastion of small businesses and Middle England, the Daily Heil: Alec Reed is the head of Reed agency. (my highlight). quote:... source: heil/money/recoverymoney/article-8482995/Alec-Reed-Scrap-income-tax-work-35-hours-Saturday.html Having seen yet another one of those "the rich pay the most tax" things going around lately - in quantitative terms yes, pro rata to income? Unlikely. People forget there are other taxes apart from income tax: NI, TV licence, road tax, VAT etc etc. (I can't recall the exact cut off figure for NI and I can't be assed to google, but it's around £42k or so.)
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:30 |
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sebzilla posted:https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/1279025019511885831?s=19 Voters who voted Lab in 2017 but not in 2019 were asked to list the main reason for their vote. The results were: 34% ~ To get Brexit done 18% ~ To stop Brexit
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:30 |
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Ah, that makes sense one is "to any party" the other is "to the Tories" e: or maybe not? That would still conflict with the Opinium. Pretty big shift too, since about 10% of LAB voters defected to CON could be a framing effect ronya fucked around with this message at 16:35 on Jul 3, 2020 |
# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:32 |
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Bobstar posted:Voters who voted Lab in 2017 but not in 2019 were asked to list the main reason for their vote. The results were: Sample size 137 internet poll. https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5db0ca668552dd5ab1168a91/t/5df3b3521678ca75389801cf/1576252248629/Reasons-OmPoll-13-12-2019.pdf Also ignores people who voted Lab in 2017 and didn't vote at all in 2019. Stats for lefties is a lovely statistician. Fangz fucked around with this message at 16:46 on Jul 3, 2020 |
# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:43 |
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8% of the country will be in the pub at 6 am.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:46 |
Alot of the "red wall" seats fell because there were plenty of Lab->Brexit voters, but not many direct Lab->Tory switchers. If you look at the seat by seat breakdowns, you usually had a big drop in labour % but not a huge rise in Tory %. The question is of course whether they'll go back to voting labour, or having not voted labour once it's an easier transition to the tories.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 16:50 |
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I mean in the last two months you have the fastest Lab gain (vs Con) in opinion polls in 25 years so
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:04 |
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starmwaffen?
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:11 |
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faster than the 2017 campaign?
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:11 |
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XMNN posted:faster than the 2017 campaign? Yes. monthly polling averages, Con % - Lab %. Black dots are general elections. Fangz fucked around with this message at 17:18 on Jul 3, 2020 |
# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:15 |
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yes you see Labour's numbers getting better from -20 is good no the fact that half of that was Starmer making them worse doesn't matter also absolute that we're back to "but look at the polls!!!" 4+ years out from the next GE
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:27 |
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Julio Cruz posted:yes you see Labour's numbers getting better from -20 is good Hey it's not like Labour plans to have policies under Starmer so what else is there to talk about?
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:34 |
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Some local CLP drama for you all. London Borough of Tower Hamlets are imposing a new contract on all staff. Part of this is actually relatively benign - they've insourced a load of services (particularly refuse and maintenance) over the last few years but for the most part the insourced workers were still on their old private-sector contracts, and for various reasons there's a big overlapping mess of different contracts over different parts of the council, so some degree of harmonisation was required. However, while for the most part the contract is okay (some big pay rises for areas that they're struggling to recruit in social work and care, improved holiday terms for all, ) there are a lot of problems, especially for staff that have worked there for some time: - A new grievance procedure with less protections for workers who had previously been on the old union-negotiated contract, and no access to the procedure for "probationary" staff - A *massive* cut to redundancy pay (from SRP+120% to SRP+40%, with no uplift at all for some workers) - No automatic pay rises per-grade, raises will be at the discretion of line managers - "Equalisation" of grades across departments, with no raises for some grades until other staff catch up - Loss of top-ups for unsociable hours and on-call staff - Protections from pay cuts for the above only lasting two years - Some workers losing access to flexible working altogether, most having it considerably restricted - No travel expenses for travelling into Zone 1 - workers are expected, if they have to visit the western edge of the borough (or visit the GLA, other London-wide bodies, or Westminster) to pay their own way or walk/bus up from Zone 2 stations - There's also some pissing about with pension contributions but nobody seems to understand if they're good or bad. Three unions - Unite, Unison and GMB - are represented in the council. There is, of course, some drama here too. Most of the old guard are in Unison and most of the insourced workers are GMB, with Unite spread between them. All three balloted their members on the new contract, GMB enthusiastically accepted because it mostly represented a good deal for them, Unite quietly accepted, but Unison rejected it because they represent the staff most adversely-effected by the new contract. It's all been through the usual rigmarole of ACAS etc, but the council were unwilling to negotiate even a continuation of the old contracts for Unison or, crucially, the compromise offered of accepting the other changes but rejecting the redundancy cut and flexible working changes (many staff of course rely on flexible hours for child care or other responsibilities, losing it basically makes it impossible for them to do their job). Unison called a strike, which was a bit of a black eye for a Labour council that represents an area that is the birthplace of the modern trade union movement, but then it all got a bit loving weird last night (the first day of action is today). Poplar and Limehouse MP Apsana Begum (who replaced walking bucket of jizz Jim Fitzpatrick in 2019 and is in the Campaign Group) has come out in support of the strikers and spoke at a rally for them today. Poplar and Limehouse CLP's Twitter account tweeted out a flyer for the rally last night: https://twitter.com/LabourPandL/status/1278723376035627008 P&L is split into two branches for totally not-racist reasons, and the secretary of the Canary Wharf branch was *not* happy about this: https://twitter.com/AdamAllnutt/status/1278754767129501696 Allnutt has apparently been doing the Milliband Shuffle (I'll admit I've not even attempted to bother keeping up with CLP poo poo since December) throughout this. Suspiciously quickly after this, the mayor emailled all Labour members and affiliates in the borough with a frantic "No honestly it's a good contract" which completely ignored most of the points the strike was over, suggested that they were being incredibly generous by letting people have anything more than SRP, and repeating the "We're actually increasing the wage budget" line they've used throughout to hide the other bullshit they're sneaking in. Side note: Along with my good self in that thread you've got one of three (claimed!) GMB members from not-London who were turning up in the mentions of any conversation about the strike repeating the "How can it be a bad contract if they're increasing the budget?" line and not taking questions - two of them seem to have deleted their posts at some point today and I don't think it's because they've had a Damascene conversion. This morning, Unison picketed six sites (and I'm not accusing them of poo poo-stirring but every one of those sites were ones with much higher proportions of GMB and Unite staff than average). At one of those pickets, at the dustcart depot, Unite workers refused to cross the picket line meaning - and Tower Hamlets Council *called the police* to try and get them to disperse the picket because between the strikers and the workers not crossing, it was basically impossible for them to get any of the dustcarts out. Fair play to Plod, they turned up (apparently having been told that there were people actually blocking the road), looked around, and told the manager to do one. That's right, a Labour council called in the police to try and break up a picket line and force workers to work.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:37 |
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Fangz posted:Yes. e: Wait no I'm reading it backwards, based on Blair and Starmer both being poo poo. Guavanaut fucked around with this message at 18:02 on Jul 3, 2020 |
# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:37 |
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Julio Cruz posted:yes you see Labour's numbers getting better from -20 is good of course, I forgot, you're only meant to look at the polls when they support your POV well, go back to discussing how that single 137 sample size poll proves everything then
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:48 |
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Sensible daddy Keir actually is a secret socialist. Going along with a Tory government that is using a virus to liquidate people in carehomes is just part of his very clever strategy, you'll see!!!
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:49 |
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Fangz posted:of course, I forgot, you're only meant to look at the polls when they support your POV lol how on earth did you get "we can trust the good polls but not the bad ones" from my post saying that, uh, polls are meaningless generally and extremely meaningless 4 years out from a GE
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:56 |
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Four day week? What a stupid loving policy from Commie Corbyn, no wonder he lost https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1279056897056870400 Well, nevertheless...
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:59 |
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goddamnedtwisto posted:Some local CLP drama for you all. loving hell that's both unsurprising because Labour councils have done some grim poo poo but also entirely depressing.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 17:59 |
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Noxville posted:Fresh from celebrating the deaths of stabbing victims, Ash Sakar is now committing heinous antisemitism by asking what kosher salt is For anyone else who has been confused when trying to follow an American recipe that calls for "kosher salt", it's literally just coarse salt like you can find in any supermarket for 90p per kilo.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 18:08 |
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Is it... like rock salt that hasn't come from the sea therefore doesn't potentially break the shellfish rule or something?
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 18:27 |
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OwlFancier posted:Is it... like rock salt that hasn't come from the sea therefore doesn't potentially break the shellfish rule or something? Coarse edible salt is a kitchen staple, but its name varies widely in various cultures and countries. The term kosher salt gained common usage in North America and refers to its use in the Jewish religious practice of dry brining meats, known as kashering, and not to the salt itself being manufactured under any religious guidelines. Some brands further identify kosher-certified salt as being approved by a religious body.[6]
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 18:35 |
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sebzilla posted:Four day week? What a stupid loving policy from Commie Corbyn, no wonder he lost
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 18:46 |
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Isn't the Mayor of Tower Hamlets a centrist twat?
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 18:47 |
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Bobby Deluxe posted:At this point though, isn't this a middle class only issue? Given that most working class people are either gig work or zero hours, and therefore this would only apply to salaried office workers? There's 3 times as many people working full time jobs (at the end of 2019) than part time. So no it's a huge issue for a lot of people regardless of whether you'd say they're middle class or not and that's not including part time workers who would benefit from suddenly having a whole extra day of the week being time and a half or some other bonus for weekend working. Sticking point is getting '4 day work week without loss of pay', as that's the good version but a 20% pay increase seems to act as a disincentive for people unless they're very confident in their sense of worker power. namesake fucked around with this message at 19:04 on Jul 3, 2020 |
# ? Jul 3, 2020 19:02 |
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Angepain posted:Coarse edible salt is a kitchen staple, but its name varies widely in various cultures and countries. The term kosher salt gained common usage in North America and refers to its use in the Jewish religious practice of dry brining meats, known as kashering, and not to the salt itself being manufactured under any religious guidelines. Some brands further identify kosher-certified salt as being approved by a religious body.[6] If you kasher a black pudding you end up with a bowl of oatmeal.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 19:07 |
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I do 4x 10 hour days and can confirm it's legit and everyone should do it, no loss of pay since it's the same amount of hours as five 8 hour days just condensed. Bing bong so simple
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 19:09 |
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Pint of bitter, packet of Scampi Fries, and a lonely coughing death please. Edit: New thread title please.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 19:17 |
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Scampi Fries are piss
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 19:20 |
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# ? May 28, 2024 14:18 |
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big scary monsters posted:For anyone else who has been confused when trying to follow an American recipe that calls for "kosher salt", it's literally just coarse salt like you can find in any supermarket for 90p per kilo. More specifically (for some recipes) its salt that hasn't been fortified with iodine - regular US table salt normally is thusly, while ours isn't. Edit: two pints of lager and a packet of crisps, please. Prawn cocktail.
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# ? Jul 3, 2020 19:44 |