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Sarcastro
Dec 28, 2000
Elite member of the Grammar Nazi Squad that

evilweasel posted:

there's a ton of internal SCOTUS leaks in here that don't typically get made public:


Of note: the reason the 2nd Amendment cases keep getting denied is Roberts has told other conservatives he's not on board with Mandated Guns For All

I was just trying to wrap my brain around this after someone (you?) also posted this in the USPOL thread. Since it only takes 4 votes to grant cert, he must also be being mysterious enough to make the liberal wing uncertain that he'd go with them, or otherwise they'd be granting cert on these cases too, right?

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evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Sarcastro posted:

I was just trying to wrap my brain around this after someone (you?) also posted this in the USPOL thread. Since it only takes 4 votes to grant cert, he must also be being mysterious enough to make the liberal wing uncertain that he'd go with them, or otherwise they'd be granting cert on these cases too, right?

All of the lower court decisions are ones they like. No benefit to putting Roberts on the spot, even if you think it's likely he sides with you. He may not, or (perhaps more likely) he may punt in a way that makes lower courts start chipping away at gun restrictions more than they are today.

Name Change
Oct 9, 2005


evilweasel posted:

there's a ton of internal SCOTUS leaks in here that don't typically get made public:

https://twitter.com/mjs_DC/status/1287738230088044545

Of note: the reason the 2nd Amendment cases keep getting denied is Roberts has told other conservatives he's not on board with Mandated Guns For All

Social conservatives are extremely mad at the Roberts court because they thought they had their dream team for undoing the last 100 years assembled.

Nissin Cup Nudist
Sep 3, 2011

Sleep with one eye open

We're off to Gritty Gritty land




I'll put money on the leaks being someone from Alito's camp

Slaan
Mar 16, 2009



ASHERAH DEMANDS I FEAST, I VOTE FOR A FEAST OF FLESH

Sodomy Hussein posted:

Social conservatives are extremely mad at the Roberts court because they thought they had their dream team for undoing the last 100 years assembled.

The funny (read : not at all funny) part is that they actually do. Roberts is just smart enough not to force through things all at once without "balls and strikes" PR. He always puts things into his opinions that he can use a few years later to finally overturn things he doesn't like so that he can claim to just be following precedent.

He would have done much more to advance Trump policies, too, if Trump's Administration wasn't so absolutely bug gently caress stupid. If they had even a fig leaf of normality as cover, Roberts would have ok'd stuff like the census case.

Name Change
Oct 9, 2005


Slaan posted:

The funny (read : not at all funny) part is that they actually do. Roberts is just smart enough not to force through things all at once without "balls and strikes" PR. He always puts things into his opinions that he can use a few years later to finally overturn things he doesn't like so that he can claim to just be following precedent.

He would have done much more to advance Trump policies, too, if Trump's Administration wasn't so absolutely bug gently caress stupid. If they had even a fig leaf of normality as cover, Roberts would have ok'd stuff like the census case.

Roberts is incapable of 100% shamelessness and Gorsuch appears to be an actual libertarian, not just a politician who says he's one

What they need is a combination of five Alitos and Thomases, for naked political hackery and a return to colonial Virginia jurisprudence, respectively.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


Conservatives are too stupid to realize that Roberts gives them instructions on how to do their poo poo "right" when he strikes down their too hilariously awful attempts.

Sydin
Oct 29, 2011

Another spring commute
Yeah all the people who are going "wow maybe Roberts isn't that bad after all???" are just falling for his long con. The guy has ~15 years of jurisprudence on SCOTUS that will tell you exactly how ghoulish he is. It's just that he's not the shameless ghoul that Alito is: he's the banal type of evil who thinks that when you're loving the undesirables over that it's important to dot all the i's and cross all the t's in order to keep up the illusion of institutional legitimacy. This was very clear in his abortion decision last month where he all but said "look you loving idiots I want to roll back abortion rights too, but you can't just hand us the exact same case we said no on because the conservative wing picked up another justice, it makes us look like partisan hacks."

I'm sure Roberts is just as frustrated as Alito that they haven't been able to usher in conservative hellworld, but for Roberts that frustration stems from being saddled with an absolute bumfuck of a president who refuses to cover up his open malice with even the thinnest possible veneer.

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.

evilweasel posted:

there's a ton of internal SCOTUS leaks in here that don't typically get made public:

https://twitter.com/mjs_DC/status/1287738230088044545

Of note: the reason the 2nd Amendment cases keep getting denied is Roberts has told other conservatives he's not on board with Mandated Guns For All

So it's either an angry True Believer on Roberts' team or one of the other conservative justices (and/or their spouse(s))?

Slaan posted:

The funny (read : not at all funny) part is that they actually do. Roberts is just smart enough not to force through things all at once without "balls and strikes" PR. He always puts things into his opinions that he can use a few years later to finally overturn things he doesn't like so that he can claim to just be following precedent.

He would have done much more to advance Trump policies, too, if Trump's Administration wasn't so absolutely bug gently caress stupid. If they had even a fig leaf of normality as cover, Roberts would have ok'd stuff like the census case.

He also made it extremely clear that he wanted to do so and just couldn't because of how loving stupid Trump acted. This from the guy who gutted the VRA in the most naked SCOTUS politicking for his own party's gain since Bush v. Gore.

Having 5 John Roberts on the SCOTUS would result in the occasional loss for conservatives while dragging the US to the right at a fast run instead of a full sprint, and he'd do it in a way that the MSM would give him cover for unlike the batshit insanity Alito or Thomas would write. Gorsuch is a bad justice but if he sticks to his Libertarian beliefs he'll probably be the "best" conservative justice on the bench and that's terrifying.

rjmccall
Sep 7, 2007

no worries friend
Fun Shoe
The informed court watchers seem to be guessing Ginny Thomas.

Fuschia tude
Dec 26, 2004

THUNDERDOME LOSER 2019

rjmccall posted:

The informed court watchers seem to be guessing Ginny Thomas.

What, as the source?

zzzzz
Mar 11, 2020
Is it true the administration has told the Supreme Court they can pound sand in regards to their DACA decision?

There's not actually a way for the court to compel them to follow the court orders in the results of that case, is there?

Sydin
Oct 29, 2011

Another spring commute
The SCOTUS ruling was that Trump was on paper legally allowed to end DACA, but that he had not followed the proper process to do so the first time he tried and so that ending of it was unconstitutional. So now the new WH stance appears to be "okay fine we're not ending DACA, we're just going to reject all new applicants."

Lemniscate Blue
Apr 21, 2006

Here we go again.

zzzzz posted:

Is it true the administration has told the Supreme Court they can pound sand in regards to their DACA decision?

There's not actually a way for the court to compel them to follow the court orders in the results of that case, is there?

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/07/daca-donald-trump-supreme-court.html

"John Roberts has made his decision; now let him enforce it."

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.

zzzzz posted:

Is it true the administration has told the Supreme Court they can pound sand in regards to their DACA decision?

There's not actually a way for the court to compel them to follow the court orders in the results of that case, is there?

The Judiciary in the US has zero actual power. If the Executive or Legislative branches decide to ignore them there really isn't anything they can do about it. It's not like they can order someone be jailed for contempt because the DOJ could/would ignore them.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Sydin posted:

The SCOTUS ruling was that Trump was on paper legally allowed to end DACA, but that he had not followed the proper process to do so the first time he tried and so that ending of it was unconstitutional. So now the new WH stance appears to be "okay fine we're not ending DACA, we're just going to reject all new applicants."

And since this administration is out on their rear end in 5 months, thats fine. This was a snippy little reaction to mollify their base.

Raenir Salazar
Nov 5, 2010

College Slice

Evil Fluffy posted:

The Judiciary in the US has zero actual power. If the Executive or Legislative branches decide to ignore them there really isn't anything they can do about it. It's not like they can order someone be jailed for contempt because the DOJ could/would ignore them.

US Marshals no?

Jean-Paul Shartre
Jan 16, 2015

this sentence no verb


Raenir Salazar posted:

US Marshals no?

Actually an open question. The USMS is technically within the DoJ, but operates as the courts' enforcement arm. Only the Supreme Court has a police force that's fully within Article III (the Supreme Court Police report to the Marshal of the Supreme Court, who's answerable to the Court itself).

Raenir Salazar
Nov 5, 2010

College Slice

JohnCompany posted:

Actually an open question. The USMS is technically within the DoJ, but operates as the courts' enforcement arm. Only the Supreme Court has a police force that's fully within Article III (the Supreme Court Police report to the Marshal of the Supreme Court, who's answerable to the Court itself).

Yeah because I do believe there was an attempt by the DOJ(?) to ignore a court order once to deport someone and the judge made them turn the plane around by threatening them.

jeeves
May 27, 2001

Deranged Psychopathic
Butler Extraordinaire
Days since thread title relevant again: Zero (O)

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

Raenir Salazar posted:

Yeah because I do believe there was an attempt by the DOJ(?) to ignore a court order once to deport someone and the judge made them turn the plane around by threatening them.

Some low level person in DHS is still going to be wrecked for blatantly disobeying a court order like that. The question is what happens when it starting from the top and the entire institution is ordered to do ignore something.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



hobbesmaster posted:

Some low level person in DHS is still going to be wrecked for blatantly disobeying a court order like that. The question is what happens when it starting from the top and the entire institution is ordered to do ignore something.

Hold every single person that knew they were telling people to lie in contempt. Fine and/or jail each.

e: shame they're not in Florida because the sanctions for filing outright lies in Florida courts are split 50/50 between lawyer and client.

mandatory lesbian
Dec 18, 2012

Rigel posted:

And since this administration is out on their rear end in 5 months, thats fine. This was a snippy little reaction to mollify their base.

When trump gets reelected, what then will be your reason it doesn't matter?

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010
https://twitter.com/barbsolish/status/1300474953620492288

lol

Mikl
Nov 8, 2009

Vote shit sandwich or the shit sandwich gets it!
Yeah sure, let's get close to the octogenarian with precarious health without wearing a mask, why not.

FilthyImp
Sep 30, 2002

Anime Deviant
I can't wait for RBG to die in November and watch McConnell and Trump fall over their dicks to confirm Justice Ben Shapiro by Christmas.

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!

FilthyImp posted:

I can't wait for RBG to die in November and watch McConnell and Trump fall over their dicks to confirm Justice Ben Shapiro by Christmas.

Why would they need to hurry?

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Orange Devil posted:

Why would they need to hurry?

Because Trump is almost certainly going to lose, and Biden is not going to nominate a conservative justice.

LeeMajors
Jan 20, 2005

I've gotta stop fantasizing about Lee Majors...
Ah, one more!


Rigel posted:

Biden is not going to nominate a conservative justice.

lol

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Kalman
Jan 17, 2010


You say this because... what, exactly?

(Biden will most likely nominate either Ketanji Brown-Jackson or Leondra Kruger, both of whom would be good and only an insane person would call conservative. Hopefully Brown-Jackson, since it’d be nice to have a former public defender on the Court.)

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.
They laugh because the last 4 years of hell world has broken a lot of people.

Hurt Whitey Maybe
Jun 26, 2008

I mean maybe not. Or maybe. Definitely don't kill anyone.
anything short of a socialist 25 year old law school graduate is just giving in to republicans.

LeeMajors
Jan 20, 2005

I've gotta stop fantasizing about Lee Majors...
Ah, one more!


Kalman posted:

You say this because... what, exactly?

Because Biden is ancient, center right and


Hurt Whitey Maybe posted:

anything short of a socialist 25 year old law school graduate is just giving in to republicans.

yeah the GOP has poisoned our judiciary with unqualified millenial heritage foundation zealots--maybe we should return the loving favor (again lol, it would never happen)

Raenir Salazar
Nov 5, 2010

College Slice

LeeMajors posted:

Because Biden is ancient, center right and


yeah the GOP has poisoned our judiciary with unqualified millenial heritage foundation zealots--maybe we should return the loving favor (again lol, it would never happen)

Except this would be terrible though? You want a judiciary that is made up of qualified people. Simply returning to the baseline competence would be sufficient to have rulings you like.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Hurt Whitey Maybe posted:

anything short of a socialist 25 year old law school graduate is just giving in to republicans.

Anyone younger than 40 is automatically a bad pick by default. The judges people think Biden is most likely to pick from are pretty young while still being qualified.

Proust Malone
Apr 4, 2008

Rigel posted:

Because Trump is almost certainly going to lose,

Lol.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.

Hurt Whitey Maybe posted:

anything short of a socialist 25 year old law school graduate is just giving in to republicans.

And then one midlife crisis or later they're an insane right wing zealot. Picking someone who's actually established their progressive bonafides is better than going as young as possible and hoping the person you just installed for 50+ years doesn't undergo a political shift after being young and given a ton of easily abused power.



They mean before all of the vote rigging, both overt and covert.

Paul MaudDib
May 3, 2006

TEAM NVIDIA:
FORUM POLICE

Rigel posted:

Anyone younger than 40 is automatically a bad pick by default. The judges people think Biden is most likely to pick from are pretty young while still being qualified.

It seems incredibly unlikely that Republicans, if they control the senate, will let any vote happen at all.

Sydin
Oct 29, 2011

Another spring commute
Biden would probably start off with a fairly liberal SOCTUS nomination. The worry is that the GOP will still control the senate, and when they reject or even refuse flat out to vote on Joe's guy he'll default back to his "I'm a master at reaching across the isle. :smugdog:" routine and do what he used to do as VP back in the day to get the GOP on board: just flat out capitulate to all the poo poo the GOP wants, and call it bi-partisanship. I don't think you'd get another Heritage foundation guy, but it's very likely the GOP would drag him right enough to replace RBG with another Kennedy swing-vote type and Joe would smile and pass it off as an example of unity and how the country is healing under his presidency.

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Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!
Biden isn't going to win, so this whole discussion is moot. Trump is going to replace RBG.

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