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John Wick of Dogs posted:https://twitter.com/CharlotteAlter/status/1323665756702363648?s=19 Yeah, I expect she was asked a very direct question, ie: "Can you win without PA and FL?"
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Nov 3, 2020 20:53
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britishbornandbread posted:I was sent this in the WhatsApp group with my friends and had to call on the wonderful Polliwonks thread to help me put them right. I know, I got that story from you
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Nov 3, 2020 20:54
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Handsome Ralph posted:If you live in Arlington and haven't gone to Burrito Brothers yet, lol @ you. 
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Nov 3, 2020 20:54
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Vorik posted:thats not good.. It's fine for Biden: berserker posted:Maricopa's early vote totals exceeded the 2016 total vote totals, and we have a lot of independent voters.
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Nov 3, 2020 20:55
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Vorik posted:thats not good.. Crossposting from the Polliwonks thread exquisite tea posted:To elaborate, Maricopa County in Arizona comprises the major suburbs of Phoenix in the East Valley and contains over half the registered voters in the state. It's also traditionally very Republican-leaning, and in 2016 was the largest county by population in the US to vote for Donald Trump. But that has shifted greatly in recent years. Kyrsten Sinema WON Maricopa over McSally by over 60,000 votes, and that was with a significantly higher banked early vote advantage for Republicans that year.
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Nov 3, 2020 20:55
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Youth Decay posted:https://twitter.com/SamuelHHoward/status/1323651199556530182 Pumpkin is cool and good and my absolute unit of a friend. That is the chillest cat I have ever pet.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:02
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Youth Decay posted:they're just gearing up for the "our cat ate the ballots" excuse I don't want to fatcatshame but it does look like it
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Nov 3, 2020 21:06
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Today is... a challenge.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:09
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At what point on Election Day 2016 did plugged in insiders get an inkling that something was not quite going Hillary’s way? And are we past that point yet?
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Nov 3, 2020 21:09
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B B posted:For anyone looking for non-corporate media election day coverage, Majority Report stream is starting: Beau of the Fifth Column is going to do a stream and that's what I'll be following. https://www.youtube.com/user/unvoicedproject
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Nov 3, 2020 21:09
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PredictIt just swung Arizona back to Biden... people had their money on Trump there for the day running up to the election. Obviously that site is loaded to the brim with scammers/pump-and-dumpers but it's giving me some hope.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:09
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davecrazy posted:At what point on Election Day 2016 did plugged in insiders get an inkling that something was not quite going Hillary’s way? Well into the evening, when states began releasing official numbers. We're still several hours away from anything that Actually Matters getting reported.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:10
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davecrazy posted:At what point on Election Day 2016 did plugged in insiders get an inkling that something was not quite going Hillary’s way? People who were Paying Attention were worried prior to the day starting. There was clear poll slippage. I don't think we have anything like that so far. poo poo wasn't obviously broken until after 7PM....but then we have the total turnout for 2016 just in early votes in many locations. It's...uh...gonna be hard to call.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:11
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davecrazy posted:At what point on Election Day 2016 did plugged in insiders get an inkling that something was not quite going Hillary’s way? Florida getting called early is when it all went sour. So we're a few hours off from that. It was rosy optimism all day up til then. This year Florida isn't thought to be decisive on its own unless Biden wins it.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:13
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Pumpkin have mercy on us all.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:14
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davecrazy posted:At what point on Election Day 2016 did plugged in insiders get an inkling that something was not quite going Hillary’s way? Early turnout numbers were not what people wanted in 2016, but we had far less data in 2016 so it wasn't until 7PMish. I would not compare 2020 to 2016. There's already 100+ million votes banked.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:14
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davecrazy posted:At what point on Election Day 2016 did plugged in insiders get an inkling that something was not quite going Hillary’s way? we should have been way more worried than we were, tbh, people were saying 'uh hey it's weird how madly in flux hillary's 'lead' has been in these key states right?'
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Nov 3, 2020 21:15
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OAquinas posted:People who were Paying Attention were worried prior to the day starting. There was clear poll slippage. I felt bad the day before the election. This doesn't really feel comparable to this year but when I knew things where really wrong was when Florida came in bad that evening.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:15
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Ror posted:Pumpkin have mercy on us all.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:16
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Phlegmish posted:I don't want to fatcatshame but it does look like it First time I saw pumpkin I thought he was a stuffed animal. Fucker is cool as a cucumber.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:16
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I see it's the lazy fat cats in charge.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:16
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davecrazy posted:At what point on Election Day 2016 did plugged in insiders get an inkling that something was not quite going Hillary’s way? A week before when it was clear Comey's bullshit had traction. It was already a tight race and polls were getting fucky in the run-up. I'm not going to say Biden is a slam dunk, but he's got no Comey, a much bigger lead, and even though there's some poll slippage, it's gonna take a much bigger fuckup in tracking the data for a blindside Trump win. That said, thanks to how hosed up the EC is, Trump still has some solid paths to victory if Biden is soft in Michigan, Wisconsin, or PA like Clinton was. mango sentinel fucked around with this message at 21:20 on Nov 3, 2020 |
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Nov 3, 2020 21:17
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Rodenthar Drothman posted:Pumpkin is cool and good and my absolute unit of a friend. Ginger cats are the best cats
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Nov 3, 2020 21:18
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Vorik posted:thats not good.. this is fine, really.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:18
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Hail Pumpkin, Full of treats, the Needle is with thee. Blessed art thou among cats, and blessed is the fruit of thy office, Ballots. Holy Pumpkin, Chonk of Athens, pray for us voters now, and at the hour of the closing of the polls. Amen.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:20
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davecrazy posted:At what point on Election Day 2016 did plugged in insiders get an inkling that something was not quite going Hillary’s way? Purely anecdotally (btw I'm in the UK so wouldn't see anything on the ground), but about a week before the election I stumbled upon r/The_Donald and after about ten minutes of looking through it I got the most terrible sinking feeling that he was actually going to win. There was something about the sheer chuddery violence and orgy of excitement and hatred that was beyond anything I expected. I then ignored it, instead listening to all the clever people saying 'oh Trump can't win'. Yeah
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Nov 3, 2020 21:20
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Today will be weirder too because the more plugged in people can read County numbers, so we could read stuff really early to predict how the rest goes. Now we have early voting everywhere and who the hell knows how this is going to go or be reported.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:23
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As long as we're reminiscing about the before-time, I had a panic attack and started dry heaving by the end of the night in 2016. That election fuckin' damaged my brain and is making me fear the worst this time around.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:23
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Should I be worried about this? Starting to panic a bit https://twitter.com/pixelatedboat/status/1323443352214274050?s=19
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Nov 3, 2020 21:23
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Mainwaring posted:Should I be worried about this? Starting to panic a bit In 2016 Trump had two sacks of votes, so this is a very encouraging swing against Trump.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:25
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Mainwaring posted:Should I be worried about this? Starting to panic a bit No, so far Kamala has been following him around saying "Donald, no swiping," which is in line with expectations
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Nov 3, 2020 21:25
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Mainwaring posted:Should I be worried about this? Starting to panic a bit well, poo poo
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Nov 3, 2020 21:25
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Excellent, Behind the Bastards released a new episode where they read Ben Shapiro's terrible novel, this is legitimately exactly what I needed today to get through this
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Nov 3, 2020 21:28
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I was looking for live election coverage on youtube, and found these guys with 6 current viewers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1dQyibqAbc BLESS THEM
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Nov 3, 2020 21:29
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Arist posted:Excellent, Behind the Bastards released a new episode where they read Ben Shapiro's terrible novel, this is legitimately exactly what I needed today to get through this I think that's an old episode but it is absolutely amazing and I cant recommend it enough.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:29
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Mainwaring posted:I think that's an old episode but it is absolutely amazing and I cant recommend it enough. No I mean another one, this is like the fifth time they've done it
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Nov 3, 2020 21:30
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https://twitter.com/jr50903400/status/1323692968050610177?s=19 Seems like Pennsylvania is ground zero for fuckery this year.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:32
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Aidan_702 posted:I was looking for live election coverage on youtube, and found these guys with 6 current viewers. oh my gosh they're adorable they obviously worked super hard on this, good job kiddos
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Nov 3, 2020 21:33
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Ms Adequate posted:Today is... a challenge. We see you, friend. It is a challenge. We will get through it together.
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Nov 3, 2020 21:33
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Aidan_702 posted:I was looking for live election coverage on youtube, and found these guys with 6 current viewers. gonna download this from youtube after the stream to help me sleep at night.
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