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Lmao 4 more years of trunp gently caress me
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Nov 4, 2020 02:29
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Trumps lawyers getting warmed up in the bullpen.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:29
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eggyolk posted:I don't want 4 more years of the orange game-show host lying rapist. Maybe you should have voted more?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:29
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loooooooool
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Nov 4, 2020 02:30
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berserker posted:Decision Desk HQ moves Michigan into the Trump zone
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Nov 4, 2020 02:30
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Baronash posted:The shading is just what candidate is leading in the vote totals in that exact moment. It's not a "call." That's why I said just moved into the zone
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Nov 4, 2020 02:30
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Biden is ahead of 2016 Clinton pace when looking at % of the vote in the largest counties in Ohio: Cuyahoga County 77% (2020) vs 66% (2016) Franklin County 76% vs 60.5% Hamilton County not reporting yet (was 53% in 2016) Montgomery County 63% vs 47% Summit County 69% vs 52% only question is whether these totals are skewed by the early / mail in vote being counted prior to day of election vote. all of the counties are reporting at around 50% except for Hamilton. **for what it's worth I looked at a random sampling of 5 or 6 of the bumbfuck rural counties with 50k odd voters and Biden is outpacing Clinton's percentage in those races too. Starsfan fucked around with this message at 02:37 on Nov 4, 2020 |
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Nov 4, 2020 02:32
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Why is this country so broken 
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Nov 4, 2020 02:32
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It's starting to look like all non-white groups are showing up in far fewer numbers than expected, and Trump is taking a much bigger chunk of the ones that have voted. Biden's "electability" argument that he could win back a lot of the suburban white vote seems to be correct in that aspect, but it's failing in general because it looks to have cost the most reliable Democratic demographics. This bodes extremely poorly for Pennsylvania.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:32
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Does this include early voting or just in person?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:32
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This is fuckin stressful dudes
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Nov 4, 2020 02:33
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Beefeater1980 posted:Well if it’s true that older white people have broken for Biden then that means the demographic they actually care about has deserted them. I've only seen stats out of Florida...there, they've shifted, but not by a huge amount. Not enough to offset Trump's gain among Hispanics.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:33
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Inferior Third Season posted:It's starting to look like all non-white groups are showing up in far fewer numbers than expected, and Trump is taking a much bigger chunk of the ones that have voted. I loving told y'all.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:34
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the big brain strat of this idiot explicitly outlining that latinos aren't a part of the strategy to win is legit the dumbest thing any candidate has ever done. even if he does end up winning this election, the consequences of this are going to turbofuck the democrats so badly in the future. saying 'gently caress it' when it comes to minorities and instead turning all their attention to old white conservatives is going to destroy them when those old white conservatives don't have a trump to vote against and minorities have been even further disillusioned by this party that clearly and explicitly does not give even one single semblance of a gently caress about them.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:34
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So wait, why are people freaking out? I'm seeing biden with a 12% lead in OH with half the vote in, is there any reason to believe that won't hold or are people just burned because they wanted FL?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:34
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First of May posted:Why is this country so broken One party offers things that its constituents want, and the other gaslights and blackmails their constituents into voting for them.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:35
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Maybe Biden was a weak candidate and too racist to win?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:35
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BougieBitch posted:So wait, why are people freaking out? I'm seeing biden with a 12% lead in OH with half the vote in, is there any reason to believe that won't hold or are people just burned because they wanted FL? North Carolina
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Nov 4, 2020 02:35
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BougieBitch posted:So wait, why are people freaking out? I'm seeing biden with a 12% lead in OH with half the vote in, is there any reason to believe that won't hold or are people just burned because they wanted FL? They’re counting mail-in first iirc.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:35
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Is the CNN Election desk known to be more optimistic? NYT and CNN have some big gaps it seems
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Nov 4, 2020 02:35
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Starsfan posted:Biden is ahead of 2016 Clinton pace when looking at % of the vote in the largest counties in Ohio: The pace does not matter. There's no way to come to conclusions unless the precincts are mostly fully reported.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:36
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BougieBitch posted:So wait, why are people freaking out? I'm seeing biden with a 12% lead in OH with half the vote in, is there any reason to believe that won't hold or are people just burned because they wanted FL? The mail in vote is all counted in OH which was expected to favor Biden and now it's time to finish counting the votes heavily favoring trump.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:36
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Heck Yes! Loam! posted:North Carolina Where.... Biden is ahead? You guys are obsessing over the needle, aren't you?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:36
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With these kinds of numbers the odds of Trump claiming victory tonight (knowing that counting won't be finished) has to go up right? Claim these leads and continue arguing against the later counted mail ballots?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:36
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BougieBitch posted:So wait, why are people freaking out? I'm seeing biden with a 12% lead in OH with half the vote in, is there any reason to believe that won't hold or are people just burned because they wanted FL? It's a question of how much polling is off, if polling isn't off as much in the midwest as it is in FL (and GA) then that bodes well for PA/WI/MI, even if OH doesn't completely close the gap. I believe OH was the most-Trump (outside of Indiana) of the Great Lakes states.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:37
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 I'm shocked.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:37
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LegendaryFrog posted:Where.... Biden is ahead? Yes
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Nov 4, 2020 02:37
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Heck Yes! Loam! posted:North Carolina He’s cleaning up in wake county and beating Hilary by ~3% in rural counties?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:37
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Starsfan posted:Biden is ahead of 2016 Clinton pace when looking at % of the vote in the largest counties in Ohio: trump won by 500k last time around though. those improvements have to be huge for biden to stand a chance
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Nov 4, 2020 02:37
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syntaxrigger posted:Is the CNN Election desk known to be more optimistic? NYT and CNN have some big gaps it seems Every decision desk had to completely change their formulas in light of the large early vote, almost everyone is being more cautious. Foxnews is by far the most bullish on Biden.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:37
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why is everyone freaking out about NC? what am I missing?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:37
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Thanks for the info about Cuban-Americans, I hadn't been aware of the credit the Clintons had got among that community.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:37
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poo poo is intense man.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:38
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Inferior Third Season posted:It's starting to look like all non-white groups are showing up in far fewer numbers than expected, and Trump is taking a much bigger chunk of the ones that have voted. There's a lot more white people than minorities. That means flipping 2% of white people is as substantial as losing 10%~ of a minority population.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:38
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Biden is doing worse than expected in Florida and about as well as expected everywhere else. He’s going to win
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Nov 4, 2020 02:38
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Yeah I'm not really feeling the dread yet
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Nov 4, 2020 02:38
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https://twitter.com/briantylercohen/status/1323795986997669891
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Nov 4, 2020 02:38
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I am feeling the dread and I'm honestly not sure why.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:39
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I don't know how they conduct polling these days but I'm drat near 40 years old and lol if I'd answer some strange number on my phone. I don't think of myself as a trendsetter but I figure it's worse for those younger than me? Have they figured out a way around that yet?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:39
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Iron Lung posted:why is everyone freaking out about NC? what am I missing? ~The Needle~ is not very optimistic
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Nov 4, 2020 02:39
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