|
Duzzy Funlop posted:Hang on, going by the update on FOX' own website: Yeah, he has Arizona so he doesn't need MI, WI AND PA, like Trump did to beat Hilary. Michigan and Wisconsin (plus I think a Nebraska electoral college vote he'll get for winning one of it's congressional districts) are enough to get him over the finish line.
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:16
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 10, 2024 01:27 |
|
|
Duzzy Funlop posted:Where's FOX getting that 95% chance to win for Biden in MI from? I'm confused Most of the outstanding votes are early/absentee ballots from Detroit and the Detroit suburbs, which are going to be overwhelmingly Democratic. e: so really my vote saved the country, you're welcome nation
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:18
|
|
|
https://mobile.twitter.com/mviser/status/1323988214819000320 Also since it came up in thread. If I wanted to explore japanese whiskey and had ~$50 to drop what should I check out.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:22
|
|
|
*frantically pouring 2-stroke into the Schadenfreude Machine* If anyone needs me, I'll be going through the smug facebook tags from broke brained idiots over the past 12-16 hours and figuring out who gets a visual of my dick and balls, from the back, once the Lying Liberal Media start to call it for Biden, inshallah. It's not going to make anything better for y'all, but holy poo poo not having President Trump is going to shove so many cooked right wing shitheads back under the rug over here in ANZAC land.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:26
|
|
|
Turns out the Mass Incarceration ticket did not improve minority turnout
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:28
|
|
|
Soylent Pudding posted:https://mobile.twitter.com/mviser/status/1323988214819000320 I don't know the price in the US, but I liked the Yamazaki.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:31
|
|
|
I'm still not entirely convinced this is done and dusted, but it just occurred to me...if this trend continues...Trump is never going to concede
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:34
|
|
|
Trump was never going to concede, even with a blue wave. The dems will have to have a plan for that, because he's pathologically incapable of accepting a loss.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:37
|
|
|
270 To Win now has an interactive map where you can play with the remaining clinching scenarios: https://www.270towin.com/news/2020/11/04/presidential-election-undecided-remaining-paths-270-electoral-votes_1123.html (edit- Assuming Biden wins Arizona and Nevada and Trump wins Alaska, Biden wins the whole thing with any two remaining states and/or NC/WI/ME-2.) Don Dongington posted:*frantically pouring 2-stroke into the Schadenfreude Machine* I may be firing off some shitposts on Facebook like nobody's ever seen if this plays out as we all hope it does. Don Dongington posted:Trump was never going to concede, even with a blue wave. The dems will have to have a plan for that, because he's pathologically incapable of accepting a loss. Ben Goddamn Shapiro Tweeted last night that Trump declaring victory when he did was a bad loving idea. CBJSprague24 fucked around with this message at 15:49 on Nov 4, 2020 |
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:42
|
|
|
This is dumb as gently caress. If you want to know what “this” is that I’m talking about, think of something. That.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:52
|
|
|
Yesterday I was calm and relaxed but the anxiety set in today!
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:52
|
|
|
Monty, get a hold of your man.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:56
|
|
|
CBJSprague24 posted:
After the last 4 years, I think we're due a couple hours of introducing smug Trumpers to The Whole Gang.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 15:57
|
|
|
Not entirely sure what there is to be smug about even if Biden wins. A squeaker in this election says, "Hey we're FINE with the fash, just stop being so loud about it." The democrats will learn nothing because they obtained the presidency and we'll end up we'll end up with a string of 1 term Bluedog-Dem/Repub/Bluedog-Dem presidents and no shifting in congress until the fash get real froggy or Global warming does the needful.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:02
|
|
|
Defenestrategy posted:Not entirely sure what there is to be smug about even if Biden wins. A squeaker in this election says, "Hey we're FINE with the fash, just stop being so loud about it." The democrats will learn nothing because they obtained the presidency and we'll end up we'll end up with a string of 1 term Bluedog-Dem/Repub/Bluedog-Dem presidents and no shifting in congress until the fash get real froggy or Global warming does the needful. I've got thoughts that I'm not muttering out loud until the result is done and survives a court challenge.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:05
|
|
|
While it look like Biden can get to 270, I gotta admit I'm real worried about a faithless elector scenario. If that happens it'll be a loving mess.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:12
|
|
|
What this tells me is that Obama won handily not because of a liberalizing american public, but because McCain and Romney weren't fascist enough to drive heavy conservative turnout.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:16
|
|
|
Democrats will say “The Electoral College has spoken. We congratulate President Trump on his reëlection.”
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:17
|
|
|
Stultus Maximus posted:What this tells me is that Obama won handily not because of a liberalizing american public, but because McCain and Romney weren't fascist enough to drive heavy conservative turnout. Obama and Joe is a stronger ticket just on charisma value than joe kamala. Also stronger because people could believe obama might actually fight for change in society. Nobody is under that illusion for Joe.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:21
|
|
|
Defenestrategy posted:Obama and Joe is a stronger ticket just on charisma value than joe kamala. Also stronger because people could believe obama might actually fight for change in society. Nobody is under that illusion for Joe. While I do accept that, we're seeing unprecedented rural turnout for Trump right now. They didn't get motivated by mainstream conservative like McCain or Romney, but by Trump and his belligerent ignorant fascism.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:26
|
|
|
Defenestrategy posted:Obama and Joe is a stronger ticket just on charisma value than joe kamala. Also stronger because people could believe obama might actually fight for change in society. Nobody is under that illusion for Joe. Honestly I've been wondering lately how much of Obama's turn out in the 08 primary was just anti-Hillary sentiment. Sure there was his messaging which was optimistic and inclusive and for some the novelty of being able to vote for a black man for president but I think a good chunk of it was really just people hating Hillary Clinton.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:37
|
|
|
One thing the Arizona Biden turnout has taught us is that Americans really will change their vote because someone teased them on the internet (or their respected former senator).
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:37
|
|
|
As Nero Danced posted:Honestly I've been wondering lately how much of Obama's turn out in the 08 primary was just anti-Hillary sentiment. Sure there was his messaging which was optimistic and inclusive and for some the novelty of being able to vote for a black man for president but I think a good chunk of it was really just people hating Hillary Clinton. This is a stupid post.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:48
|
|
|
I'll take in victory we can get but holy poo poo, uneducated rednecks are loving trash. It's too bad the antifas aren't actually running around terrorizing their podunk towns the way we have these hick caravans clogging up our highways.Stultus Maximus posted:While I do accept that, we're seeing unprecedented rural turnout for Trump right now. They didn't get motivated by mainstream conservative like McCain or Romney, but by Trump and his belligerent ignorant fascism. These people are worthless, Democrats should definitely start coming up with their own voter suppression ideas to keep the hicks from loving this country up more than they already have.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:48
|
|
|
If they quit insisting on running Republican-lites, they wouldn't have to. They could win if they actually ran as something resembling progressive hard enough to pick any of a slate of fixes to the system that actually made elections more fair and democratic which would secure control for the rest of all our lifetimes, but they're too stupid to do that.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:55
|
|
|
Soylent Pudding posted:https://mobile.twitter.com/mviser/status/1323988214819000320 Like Anders said, Yamazaki is pretty good, but I think it's more like a $100 bottle most places. Suntory's Toki is under $40 near me and not bad, I like using it in cocktails.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:55
|
|
|
Defenestrategy posted:Obama and Joe is a stronger ticket just on charisma value than joe kamala. Also stronger because people could believe obama might actually fight for change in society. Nobody is under that illusion for Joe. There is a real charisma thing going on that Joe lacks. As a little kicker to this, AOC will turn 35 just before the 2024 elections.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 16:58
|
|
|
trump is going to campaign for another four year straight and win in 2024
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:00
|
|
|
2020: Biden wins and somehow managed to get Trump to go. GOP wins the Senate. 2021: The Covid recession finally hits. Voters blame Biden. 2022: The GOP takes the House. Biden is stymied at every turn. Any new Supreme Court openings locked shut by the Senate. 2024: Trump is uncontested in the GOP primary. He wins the presidential election with a blowout legislative victory. Supreme Court shifts 7-2. Then 8-1.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:00
|
|
|
ZombieApostate posted:If they quit insisting on running Republican-lites, they wouldn't have to. They could win if they actually ran as something resembling progressive hard enough to pick any of a slate of fixes to the system that actually made elections more fair and democratic which would secure control for the rest of all our lifetimes, but they're too stupid to do that. I can't see how people that turn out for a fascist in droves would one day decide to start voting for a progressive.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:00
|
|
|
https://mobile.twitter.com/LiamWBZ/status/1324005540004057090 Worth clicking through to the thread. 27% of mail in ballots weren't delivered to be counted in South Florida.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:01
|
|
|
Cugel the Clever posted:2020: Biden wins and somehow managed to get Trump to go. GOP wins the Senate. This kind of thing is legitimately unhealthy to do to yourself and you should stop.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:02
|
|
|
bird cooch posted:https://mobile.twitter.com/LiamWBZ/status/1324005540004057090 This is actually less of a deal than it looks. Thread from someone more on top of this beat: https://twitter.com/a_w_gordon/status/1324013049762795524?s=21
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:04
|
|
|
Vincent Van Goatse posted:This kind of thing is legitimately unhealthy to do to yourself and you should stop. Look man Harpoon scenario flavor text isn’t going to write itself.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:04
|
|
|
Thwomp posted:This is actually less of a deal than it looks. Yeah? How? https://twitter.com/CheriJacobus/status/1324015235552956423?s=20
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:05
|
|
|
Vincent Van Goatse posted:This kind of thing is legitimately unhealthy to do to yourself and you should stop. While I want to think that a different Dem candidate would have done better, I still think this election is more indicative of how pervasive the rot in the American electorate is. They're on a completely different plane of reality such that we're now stuck hoping that conservative news media and political leaders finally refuse to indulge Trump's incipient authoritarianism. poo poo's hosed.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:07
|
|
|
ZombieApostate posted:If they quit insisting on running Republican-lites, they wouldn't have to. They could win if they actually ran as something resembling progressive hard enough to pick any of a slate of fixes to the system that actually made elections more fair and democratic which would secure control for the rest of all our lifetimes, but they're too stupid to do that. It’s not that they’re stupid. It’s that they’d rather have a fascist than a social democrat.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:09
|
|
|
North Dakota elected a person who died of COVID, from the party that decries COVID as a hoax. This world is just too stupid for me.
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:11
|
|
|
We'll know more later today but TL;DR is that this number is reflective of scanning and that to make the deadlines, the USPS by-passed their normal scanning procedures to get the ballots in under the deadline. The result are these scanning numbers that look like stuff wasn't delivered but was. The VICE article has the details on the process the USPS undertook. All that said, looks like the Judge is going to allow the USPS to sweep facilities that pop up like this for ballots (with independent observers present).
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:12
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 10, 2024 01:27 |
|
|
Thwomp posted:We'll know more later today but TL;DR is that this number is reflective of scanning and that to make the deadlines, the USPS by-passed their normal scanning procedures to get the ballots in under the deadline. The result are these scanning numbers that look like stuff wasn't delivered but was. He gave that order yesterday afternoon and they just said 'nah'
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2020 17:13
|
|