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(Thread IKs: fart simpson)
 
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Dreddout
Oct 1, 2015

You must stay drunk on writing so reality cannot destroy you.

Antonymous posted:

A majority of UK citizens went against the 'one europe' principle and left the continent after a popular vote, normalizing their rouge island status. No bloodshed.

edit: yeah I agree, Taiwan leadership knew, or at least thought, that waiting longer put more cards into their hands, until suddenly it didn't and it looks like time will never be on their side again.

The UK never claimed to be europe

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Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

UK / Ireland is a better example

Antonymous
Apr 4, 2009

bro there's no perfect analogy it was meant as a joking example of nonviolent secession in the modern era

the implication Taiwan 'claims to speak for all of China' is also a very skewed reading of the facts

edit: this thread thinks it's still 1955-1975. I asked for an example of Taiwanese politics following US politics and the example was Taiwan's support for south Vietnam which was one democracy and three dictators ago brother. 50 years ago is the example that comes to mind when talking about 2021 and now you're pulling out Taiwan's claims on Mainland lmao

edit2: It's not to say there isn't a critical view you can take but you're all talking out of your rear end based on what you read on wikipedia

Antonymous has issued a correction as of 23:05 on Jan 11, 2021

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Throatwarbler posted:

In the event of a theoretical reunification, why would the PRC want anything other than functional autonomy in internal affairs for Taiwan?

In Hong Kong the PRC stuck to its one country 2 systems deal even though most Hong Kongers probably didn't *want* a local government completely beholden to real estate developer interests, but probably because at the time the deal struck was between the mainland and those real estate developers, and the Hong Kong commoner had no say in it regardless.

In Hong Kong, there wasn't just a transfer of sovereignty but a transfer of the monopoly of force. In Taiwan, that isn't possible without the "a Normandy style" invasion, but the question is if the Mainland actually wants that type of control "at any cost" or if there is actually bigger fish for the PRC and Taiwan is more or a medium-weight issue.

Also, as far as confederations go, I don't think the Mainland is against the idea but they are going to want some more leverage on particularly the relationship between the ROC and the US military. I don't think the Mainland has a problem with the ROC/Taiwanese military being autonomous but they do have a problem with them buying American weapons.

A lot of it depends on how much of an extreme position Beijing will take.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 23:10 on Jan 11, 2021

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

A lot of it comes down to the nationalists within the CCP and what they want; from what we've heard recently it seems they have a much larger influence than most people would assume, and they would want control over Taiwan to be absolute

Antonymous
Apr 4, 2009

Ardennes posted:

Also, as far as confederations go, I don't think the Mainland is against the idea but they are going to want some more leverage on particularly the relationship between the ROC and the US military. I don't think the Mainland has a problem with the ROC/Taiwanese military being autonomous but they do have a problem with them buying American weapons.

America is the only nation that can get away with selling to Taiwan, I do think China has pushed Taiwan away and into the US MIC's cold embrace. I think China must be in a catch 22 because the attitudes towards Taiwan are not one that makes the people there feel the CCP has their interests in mind, quite the opposite, but that aggressive negative treatment just makes reunification that much harder.

China is even banning attendance of Golden Horse. I cannot think of better ways to link the countries than cultural exchanges like that but nope. Then Taiwanese see themselves excluded from the WHO, with China claiming to 'speak for its territory in Taiwan' but then not inviting any Taiwanese to participate or sharing any WHO info with Taiwan, which feels murderous.

Top City Homo
Oct 15, 2014


Ramrod XTreme

stephenthinkpad posted:

My opinion on this subject is that in modern times (as in post cold war), only region where people are willing to shed blood will have a chance to gain independence. Look at East Timor for an example the kind of adversity the native people need to overcome. Therefore, I don't think Catalonia will ever get their independence. However, the Kurds still have a good chance. And I don't think this condition can guarantee the independence. Look at the brutal crackdown of the Tamal Tiger movement in the Sri Lanka civil war for a failed example. Based on my observation of Taiwan society, they don't possess this prerequisites will for independence.


I have said it before, if Taiwan was willing to give naval base to China they would have gotten maximum amount of autonomy in a confederation format a long time ago. They could have gotten their own UN and trade organizations representatives; their own passport and visa policy; their own elected officials and supreme court. They could have everything a normal nation has except foreign policy. And a lot of small nations don't set their own foreign policies anyway.

Taiwan had the biggest negotiation power against mainland in the 80s when they had relatively the biggest economy power and military power. After 2000 their hand of card are always getting worse year after year. I don't think 1C2S is even on the negociate table anymore after HK 2019.

basically become a sort of gibralter?

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Grapplejack posted:

A lot of it comes down to the nationalists within the CCP and what they want; from what we've heard recently it seems they have a much larger influence than most people would assume, and they would want control over Taiwan to be absolute

It really depends on what Xi wants and honestly he seems to be playing the long game here.

Antonymous posted:

America is the only nation that can get away with selling to Taiwan, I do think China has pushed Taiwan away and into the US MIC's cold embrace. I think China must be in a catch 22 because the attitudes towards Taiwan are not one that makes the people there feel the CCP has their interests in mind, quite the opposite, but that aggressive negative treatment just makes reunification that much harder.

China is even banning attendance of Golden Horse. I cannot think of better ways to link the countries than cultural exchanges like that but nope. Then Taiwanese see themselves excluded from the WHO, with China claiming to 'speak for its territory in Taiwan' but then not inviting any Taiwanese to participate or sharing any WHO info with Taiwan, which feels murderous.

Lets be honest here and the ROC government wasn't just going to side with Beijing on a whim and that the US' has a lot of leverage on Taipei, but not infinite leverage. As far as aggressive treatment, it comes and goes, and Beijing is being "hard on Taiwan" to send a message to Tsai but if the KMT was back in power, it would be all smiles again. The ultimate issue is while the US had far more leverage over the situation, it is being strained and eventually I think larger Taiwanese corporations are going to be putting pressure on the DPP to let it get out of hand.

sincx
Jul 13, 2012

furiously masturbating to anime titties
.

sincx has issued a correction as of 05:32 on Mar 23, 2021

Antonymous
Apr 4, 2009

Sincx yes I know lol it was all over the news. The festival didn't do that tho, am attendee who happened to win did. Beijing is just buttmad they have no way to punish the attendee so they hamstring their own cultural ties to Taiwan.

No one gives a poo poo about golden rooster or 100 flowers or Shanghai film festival. Golden horse was the only serious chinese language film festival and if China and HK boycott it's bad for Chinese culture as well. Very sad.

Yah under 馬 relations were warming with Mainland which was mostly good imo but then KMT hosed up real bad I think culminating when the students took over the 立法院. Now we have DPP and lucky for this thread you can blame everything on one woman

Prince Myshkin
Jun 17, 2018

stephenthinkpad posted:

The current doctrines of CCP does not promise "socialism" with a set date. I think you guys are looking at China with this classical Marxism tinted glasses. Currently CCP promise "eradication of extreme poverty", "entering well-off society" and lastly "great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation" as in the revival of the Chinese civilization. All of these have long term date stamped on them.

CCP literally spelled it out to you why reclaiming Taiwan is its core priority.

Also, Taiwan is a very valuable military geopolitical location, way more important than the iPhone chips they are fabbing.

The current doctrines state China is in the primary stage of socialism. "China socialist by 2049" is a made up meme based on the second centenary goal, which is that by then China will be:

"a great modern socialist country that is prosperous, strong, democratic, culturally advanced, harmonious, and beautiful."

Stairmaster
Jun 8, 2012

we're all dead in a few decades and china cant save us

sincx
Jul 13, 2012

furiously masturbating to anime titties
.

sincx has issued a correction as of 05:32 on Mar 23, 2021

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
I don't know why you guys make a deal out of the Golden Horse. The cross-strait"cultural exchange" activities has gotten much uglier under Tsai than the Golden Horse thing. DPP literally put mainland college student in jail for "spying" and refuse to let him leave Taiwan after his jail term is served for "ongoing investigation. " Taiwan officials literally said "we are not going to send mainland one mask" when the Covid just happened in Wuhan and everybody was scrambling.

Golden Horse speech is nothing. We are way past that. All you need to do is read some TW news in the last 3 years. Or just the last 3 weeks. DPP officials still use "nasty words again China" as an important resume item to ensure their career advancement.

Antonymous
Apr 4, 2009

I think it's a predictable response from China's approach to the situation, and also the green party has a lot of poo poo heads who sound exactly like their mainland counterparts

Antonymous
Apr 4, 2009

I remember in 2010 or so that many of my friends, early to mid 20s, were pretty positive about getting closer to China. A lot of it was opportunity and making money, maybe, and I lived in Taipei, but since 2014 and obv. especially starting in 2016 the CCP has squandered, in my view, any of the positivity of being connected to China. It's easy to make them look bad on Taiwanese media and they have no ground game to make that up. Which makes any chance of peaceful reunification go up in smoke. You can say that 'china has no responsibility to a rouge state's citizens' bu the CCP's whole angle is that they are the rightful government. It seems they want the land and to hell with the people there - anyone can tell you this is a dumb strategy. Their best 'diplomatic' effort is to poach talent and bring them to the mainland which obviously is a mixed bag at best at winning the hearts and minds.

Antonymous has issued a correction as of 02:02 on Jan 12, 2021

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

Stairmaster posted:

we're all dead in a few decades and china cant save us

indigi
Jul 20, 2004

how can we not talk about family
when family's all that we got?

Stairmaster posted:

we're all dead in a few decades and china cant save us

maybe you are but I’m a survivor bitch

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
https://twitter.com/thegrugq/status/1348708040975937537

:smugdon:

indigi
Jul 20, 2004

how can we not talk about family
when family's all that we got?
whoa!

Cao Ni Ma
May 25, 2010




owned

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
lmao hosed around and found out

Kindest Forums User
Mar 25, 2008

Let me tell you about my opinion about Bernie Sanders and why Donald Trump is his true successor.

You cannot vote Hillary Clinton because she is worse than Trump.

wow

Kindest Forums User
Mar 25, 2008

Let me tell you about my opinion about Bernie Sanders and why Donald Trump is his true successor.

You cannot vote Hillary Clinton because she is worse than Trump.
Imagine if the United States nationalized Amazon and Paypal at the same drat time, and when they're extremely healthy and growing - not a bailout. Unimaginable.

sum
Nov 15, 2010

Stairmaster posted:

we're all dead in a few decades and china cant save us

Probably not, unless you're Maldivian. Even then you'll probably just end up in a squalid refugee camp.

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Kindest Forums User posted:

Imagine if the United States nationalized Amazon and Paypal at the same drat time, and when they're extremely healthy and growing - not a bailout. Unimaginable.

This is why America will fail.

THS
Sep 15, 2017

man i wish xi had been president of the US in 2008

Rand Paul
Aug 2, 2009


the only named source this cites is radio free asia, lol.

AnimeIsTrash
Jun 30, 2018

Judakel posted:

lmao hosed around and found out

Cao Ni Ma
May 25, 2010



Rand Paul posted:

the only named source this cites is radio free asia, lol.

NEDed again

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
Is this real? Why nationalize the shopping mall platdorm though? Just nationalize Alipay and let the 4 national banks run it.

sincx
Jul 13, 2012

furiously masturbating to anime titties
.

sincx has issued a correction as of 05:32 on Mar 23, 2021

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011
this is huge if it stands

https://twitter.com/FinancialTimes/status/1348993173901762561?s=19

e-dt
Sep 16, 2019

Has anyone here read "Rise of the Red Engineers"? I've heard it's good.

Dreddout
Oct 1, 2015

You must stay drunk on writing so reality cannot destroy you.
can anyone itt explain to me the causes of the cambodian people's party political 180?

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011


It's apparently just a pause in implementation? seems like the farmers unions are going to continue protesting until there is a full repeal.

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011
yeah, hence "if it stands"

Bathtub Cheese
Jun 15, 2008

I lust for Chinese world conquest. The truth does not matter before the supremacy of Dear Leader Xi.
https://twitter.com/Karl_Was_Right/status/1349058475653951488?s=20

sincx
Jul 13, 2012

furiously masturbating to anime titties
.

sincx has issued a correction as of 05:32 on Mar 23, 2021

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Stairmaster
Jun 8, 2012


true

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