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There looks like a tonne a good value can be found on this card. I'm interested to know if you had to pick one underdog from it, which would you take? Tucker and Anders aren't the longest odds but look like the best value to me in that I think they both stand a really good chance of winning.
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Mar 13, 2021 18:27
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Horse Inspector posted:There looks like a tonne a good value can be found on this card. I'm interested to know if you had to pick one underdog from it, which would you take? Tucker and Anders aren't the longest odds but look like the best value to me in that I think they both stand a really good chance of winning. In the monthly thread we were discussing how Rafa Garcia is an interesting underdog, but that bet has all of the risks of a guy making the jump to the big leagues. TL;DR though he's a Mexican fighter (i.e. probably has good hands) who is an undefeated Combate Americas champion (has gone 5 full rounds) fighting a guy who has been KOed on the feet, and he has fought UFC vets. Apparently he also has an iron chin.
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Mar 13, 2021 18:34
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Those look like fun bets. 2k on Garcia @+375 2k on Anders @+150 2k on Tucker @+130
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Mar 13, 2021 19:34
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GOOD LORD MAN are you trying to kill me.CommonShore posted:In the monthly thread we were discussing how Rafa Garcia is an interesting underdog, but that bet has all of the risks of a guy making the jump to the big leagues. TL;DR though he's a Mexican fighter (i.e. probably has good hands) who is an undefeated Combate Americas champion (has gone 5 full rounds) fighting a guy who has been KOed on the feet, and he has fought UFC vets. Apparently he also has an iron chin. Thanks, I just didn't know enough about him to have any insight. Combate is generally not a joke promotion, so that's a reasonable pedigree for him.
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Mar 13, 2021 19:47
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Horse Inspector posted:GOOD LORD MAN are you trying to kill me. I do a quick breakdown of every fight for every ufc card in the monthly thread and just pull out interesting things that I find. One fighter on this card has a Win by "Illegal Bite".
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Mar 13, 2021 20:09
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1K on Garcia +450 Shocked his odds keep going up meant to place this yesterday at ~350.
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Mar 13, 2021 21:14
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10 bucks on garcia at 5.250 let's do this baby, all in 
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Mar 13, 2021 21:34
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$10 on Garcia at +350 I'm so excited to be a part of something!
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Mar 13, 2021 22:11
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Sorry boys. Just to make sure I went down with the ship I toxxed a 24h prob on Garcia too. It was a competitive fight, at least.
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Mar 14, 2021 00:42
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jase1 posted:Those look like fun bets.  e: I was playing video games and missed what happened in the other two fights. to all your bets today.
Mr. Nice! fucked around with this message at 03:41 on Mar 14, 2021 |
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Mar 14, 2021 03:36
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I’m in Sacramento and the time change hosed me up. I guess it was for the best. When is the next ufc event?
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Mar 14, 2021 04:04
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jase1 posted:I’m in Sacramento and the time change hosed me up. I guess it was for the best. When is the next ufc event? Next Saturday is normal, 10et main
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Mar 14, 2021 04:07
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Well gently caress, Anders was literally about to win, all he had to do was *not* that. Considering last week as well... What does a no decision mean for a bet anyway? As for Tucker... well... shows how much I know! Never consider my picks to be good ones is the lesson here.
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Mar 14, 2021 19:50
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Jesse Strader +450 Montell Jackson -900 
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Mar 17, 2021 01:51
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stipe's at +102 on draftkings. i love francis and will be rooting for him, but stipe as a dog seems crazy to me. i also am unsure of Almeida at +240, and I think Woodley could be decent value at +210. but i will never ever bet on Tyron Woodley
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Mar 24, 2021 07:13
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I’m betting on Stipe just not sure how much. I’m still on the west coast so I have to remember the time to watch it. It starts at 7pm Cali time right?
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Mar 25, 2021 21:56
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The main card will begin 10pm eastern, 7pm west coast. Also, https://nextufc.com/ the down arrow shows odds. moctopus fucked around with this message at 22:11 on Mar 25, 2021 |
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Mar 25, 2021 22:09
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moctopus posted:The main card will begin 10pm eastern, 7pm west coast. Thanks but my bookie has his own odds which are sometimes different that. He uses some stupid Canadian betting site to get the odds.
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Mar 25, 2021 22:51
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jase1 posted:Thanks but my bookie has his own odds which are sometimes different that. He uses some stupid Canadian betting site to get the odds. what are you getting on Stipe? i think i bet him down to -200, so i'm happy he's a dog at all
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Mar 26, 2021 00:35
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jase check your pm box
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Mar 26, 2021 01:14
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Everyone knows I know absolutely nothing about MMA. Here is my gut feeling. Stipe has had a great run but I actually think he loses this fight. I’m rethinking my betting here. Which I really don’t want to do. I love Stipe I have played poker with the guy and he is so down to earth and really cool so it loving crushes me that I might bet against him. I don’t know what to do and might wait until closer to fight time to place my bet.
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Mar 26, 2021 01:52
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Bet on Stipe. Is online gambling legal yet? I’ll throw a few Hundo at Stipe if he’s a dog.
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Mar 26, 2021 02:25
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I think Francis lands a punch and Stipe goes to sleep. Francis only loses in the same way he did last time. The question is: can Stipe avoid getting hit before he can get ahold of Francis and lean on him? He made it through last time. I don't think he does it again. Stipe could get slept at any point. Ngannou has scary strength, and he has only gotten better over time.
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Mar 26, 2021 02:57
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jase1 posted:My Cleveland Homie makes this not that bad of a night. Never forget.
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Mar 26, 2021 03:23
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Mr. Nice! posted:I think Francis lands a punch and Stipe goes to sleep. This is my thinking. I feel like Stipe is gonna get knocked out in the first round.
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Mar 26, 2021 04:23
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I'm not a betting man fellas, but we've seen nothing from Francie (as much as I love him) that will convince me he even gets a chance to knock stipe out. Stipes too disciplined and solidly defensive to get caught by the old ford escort. Francis always has the punchers chance, but I think Its going to be a big over reach by francis, he'll leave himself out of position and stipe will go straight to a double or single leg and thats what round after round is going to look like, (it'll get easier as ngannou gases) because he is never going to stand and trade with the guy. Top tier heavyweight kickboxers certainly could but I don't think anyone in the UFC could do it for long. Now Im not hugely confident stipe could win this fight this time next year. So I see him retiring with most of his brain cells intact fairly soon. Atleast I hope so. He's the heavyweight goat at this point anyway. Chances are good its the winner of this vs JBJ next for the heavyweight championship.
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Mar 26, 2021 04:54
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I am enjoying all these perspectives but gently caress me I still cant decide! Everyone makes good points. I am just gonna drop some shrooms when the event starts and then when I hit peak choose my bet.
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Mar 26, 2021 05:26
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jase1 posted:I am enjoying all these perspectives but gently caress me I still cant decide! Everyone makes good points. I am just gonna drop some shrooms when the event starts and then when I hit peak choose my bet. this is the only true way to bet. i think stipe is a really good bet at even or any dog, but I am thinking of not betting because I really like Francis and want to see a changing of the guard
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Mar 26, 2021 18:10
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jase1 posted:I am enjoying all these perspectives but gently caress me I still cant decide! Everyone makes good points. I am just gonna drop some shrooms when the event starts and then when I hit peak choose my bet. As good a betting system as I've ever heard of.
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Mar 26, 2021 22:52
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I say bet on whoever the underdog is come fight time. It really could go either way even though Stipe won last time.
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Mar 27, 2021 01:07
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im betting on stipe but would not be surprised at all if he gets KOed. but i have a hard time turning down underdog odds on the champ who beat ngannou once already
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Mar 27, 2021 15:28
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$40 on Stipe to win by TKO/KO, I think he's got it in him this time.
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Mar 27, 2021 23:39
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G-Hawk posted:im betting on stipe but would not be surprised at all if he gets KOed. but i have a hard time turning down underdog odds on the champ who beat ngannou once already thats 100% my feeling but im also an idiot and not betting so 
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Mar 28, 2021 00:39
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i think stipe is a really solid bet at any dog like i said, but still: $4.30 Almeida by decision at +625 $5 Almeida at +250 $10 on Francis by KO/TKO at +210 $15 on Francis at -143
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Mar 28, 2021 01:39
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DO YALL WANT A BOXC posted:i think stipe is a really solid bet at any dog like i said, but still: Can't believe you got Francis by KO/TKO at +210. He's -111 on Betsafe for that prop and Stipe is +200 to win by KO/TKO.
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Mar 28, 2021 01:43
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Le Saboteur posted:Can't believe you got Francis by KO/TKO at +210. He's -111 on Betsafe for that prop and Stipe is +200 to win by KO/TKO. Draftkings has em at that. I was surprised the delta between him by KO/TKO and him by decision. DC said in his prefight that Francis has like 6 minutes to win, and that sounds about right lol. maybe 2 rounds, but I think he comes out, flings punches, and lands a shot
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Mar 28, 2021 01:58
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5 on stipe by sub at +1800
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Mar 28, 2021 02:26
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handsome only face posted:5 on stipe by sub at +1800 This is a great loving bet.
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Mar 28, 2021 02:31
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gently caress yeah it is! I live for poo poo like that I hope it hits. I can't bet against Stipe no matter how hard I try to convince myself. 10k on Stipe @+115 1k on Almeida to win by tko ko or DQ @+650. Come on illegal knee strike that ends the fight in a DQ!!!!!
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Mar 28, 2021 04:01
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jase1 posted:gently caress yeah it is! I live for poo poo like that I hope it hits. o7
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Mar 28, 2021 04:05
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