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(Thread IKs: fart simpson)
 
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mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011

gradenko_2000 posted:

okay sorry folks I was zonked out on painkillers last night so I didn't get to post

I'm reading "Deng Xiaoping's Long War" by Xiaoming Zhang. I have no idea if it'a a reliable source so if anyone wants to correct me that this is Western propaganda feel free.

anyway, this is just from the introduction, but the thesis laid out in the book is that once the US was defeated in Vietnam, the PRC had come to regard the USSR as the greater threat, and given that the PRC saw the USSR and the SRV (Socialist Republic of Vietnam, otherwise previously known as North Vietnam) as allies, the PRC under Deng Xiaoping decided to attack the SRV partly as a way to secure its land borders*, but also to curry favor with the United States, which the PRC wanted in order to secure favorable trade deals and technology transfer necessary for economic development. Basically, the PRC and the SRV were merely allies of convenience, cooperating with each other so long as their US was still in their backyard, but once that was over and done with, the PRC's perception of the SRV as a Soviet proxy meant that, supposedly, they were fated to want to settle this score sooner or later.

other countries in Southeast Asia, which feared the SRV as a potential regional power, and not withstanding their attacks on then Pol Pot's Kampuchea, did not speak up about the PRC's invasion, and the run-on effect was that not only did the conflict allow Pol Pot's regime to persist that much longer, but it also supposedly prevented Western-leaning Thailand from falling into Vietnam's sphere-of-influence. Relations between Vietnam and China remained relatively hostile, with Vietnam not being able to send a diplomatic entourage to China until after the Soviet bloc collapsed in 1990.

the ploy did work as far as getting the United States to cooperate with China - the book mentions that the US provided the PRC with weapons and military technology and in return the PRC set-up intelligence listening stations along their northern and western borders to spy on the Soviets.

the book also mentions that the conflict was part of Deng's attempts to modernize the PLA and give them a chance to show their prowess, while also centralizing power unto himself and using a foreign adventure to win support for his domestic economic development programs, but I haven't gotten that far into it yet

personally, I knew about the Sino-Soviet split in vague terms, but I never realized that the rift ran so deep as for the PRC to think that the USSR was an existential problem for them (again, taking this book at face value).

___

* this was also supposedly why the PRC was involved opposite the USSR in their invasion/occupation of Afghanistan - they wanted the Soviets to fail there, because they saw a Soviet-occupied/controlled Afghanistan as an encroaching threat on their borders.

the PRC allying with the US to prop up cambodia and invading vietnam is one of the few legit criticisms you could bring up against chinese foreign policy post mao, i'm surprised it's not brought up more by anti china propagandists but the inconvenient fact of US involvement and anti-USSR policy probably gets in their way

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genericnick
Dec 26, 2012

mila kunis posted:

the PRC allying with the US to prop up cambodia and invading vietnam is one of the few legit criticisms you could bring up against chinese foreign policy post mao, i'm surprised it's not brought up more by anti china propagandists but the inconvenient fact of US involvement and anti-USSR policy probably gets in their way

How would they bring it up? As far as I can figure out the Sino-Soviet split is still treated as a communist plot in polite company.

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
China also allied with US and helped the "brave Mujahideen fighters of Afghanistan" via Pakistan. I don't know whether that count as good or bad.

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011

stephenthinkpad posted:

China also allied with US and helped the "brave Mujahideen fighters of Afghanistan" via Pakistan. I don't know whether that count as good or bad.

looking at the wreckage of the last 30 years, i would venture "bad"

Some Guy TT
Aug 30, 2011

its wild how such a basic foundational element of cold war history is completely whitewashed in english language education because everyone knows that all communists are basically the same

imagine people in china right now thinking that the united states and russia must be best buds since theyre both capitalists

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011
afghanistan hosed up so much poo poo. for example, by the 70s kashmir had for the most part settled down and had started becoming an integrated part of india, hindu/muslim sectarianism in the country was muted compared to partition. then afghanistan happened, the cia and the sauds flooded pakistan with cash, weapons and ideology and the pakistanis made full use of it to stir kashmir up again. which led to a feedback loop when the indian state responded with brutality, directly led to the rise of the hindu nationalist right wing we all know and love today.

the radio war nerd guys keep banging on about how 1979/80 was a massive turning point in history, and it really was across multiple regions of the world for disparate but slightly connected reasons

mawarannahr
May 21, 2019

mila kunis posted:

the radio war nerd guys keep banging on about how 1979/80 was a massive turning point in history, and it really was across multiple regions of the world for disparate but slightly connected reasons

do they tie in to gladio ops in Turkey and the 1980 coup?

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
the anti-China propagandists can't bring it up because it'll bring up all sorts of uncomfortable questions like "wait so the communist countries weren't just one monolith?" and "we backed Pol Pot?" and "we were fine with working with China when it came to Afghanistan?" and "we sent arms to China in the 70s?"

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
Also US dumped Taiwan and moved all the US soldiers out of the island for cheaper manufacturing base in mainland.

Throatwarbler
Nov 17, 2008

by vyelkin

stephenthinkpad posted:

China also allied with US and helped the "brave Mujahideen fighters of Afghanistan" via Pakistan. I don't know whether that count as good or bad.

They're currently the government of Afghanistan, so good or bad it's at least internally consistent.

Agrajag
Jan 21, 2006

gat dang thats hot

gradenko_2000 posted:

the anti-China propagandists can't bring it up because it'll bring up all sorts of uncomfortable questions like "wait so the communist countries weren't just one monolith?" and "we backed Pol Pot?" and "we were fine with working with China when it came to Afghanistan?" and "we sent arms to China in the 70s?"

im more amused that theyre are so naturally pre-disposed to a subservient and weak china and any change in that status is an "existential threat"

Agrajag has issued a correction as of 18:46 on Mar 18, 2021

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011
https://tv.cctv.com/2021/03/17/VIDECC4oWWp83nJjnScSFaxu210317.shtml

quote:

Han Zheng goes to the NDRC to kick off 14th 5 yer plan and 2035 long term objectives implementation, now that they are officially approved. The key points:

Han Zheng pointed out that it is necessary to ensure food security, firmly hold the red line of 1.8 billion mu of cultivated land, optimize the energy structure, ensure energy security, and do a solid job in carbon peaking and carbon neutralization. We should pay attention to major social policy issues, steadily push forward the overall planning of basic old-age insurance nationwide, gradually delay the statutory retirement age, and improve the universal health insurance system. It is necessary to solve the outstanding housing problems in big cities, vigorously increase the supply of affordable rental housing, and continuously strengthen the regulation of the real estate market. It is necessary to adjust and optimize the industrial structure, continue to promote the capacity reduction of key industries, upgrade the industrial chain level, and maintain the safety of the industrial chain and supply chain. Adhere to both development and standardization, and establish and improve the platform economic governance system. It is necessary to enhance the work acumen and foresight, be good at discovering the problems with signs and regularity, and take timely targeted measures to resolve outstanding contradictions. It is necessary to accelerate the coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, promote the protection of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, enhance the integrated development level of the Yangtze River Delta, solidly promote the ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin, actively and steadily promote the construction of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, steadily promote the construction of Hainan Free Trade Port, and promote the high-quality development of "the belt and road initiative".

looks like they're getting serious about real estate affordability. pretty stark contrast to for example, the canadian government, who were insisting they needed to inflate asset prices further in the wake of covid "for the economy".

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

gradenko_2000 posted:

the anti-China propagandists can't bring it up because it'll bring up all sorts of uncomfortable questions like "wait so the communist countries weren't just one monolith?" and "we backed Pol Pot?" and "we were fine with working with China when it came to Afghanistan?" and "we sent arms to China in the 70s?"

The last few times it's come up in here iirc it was swatted away with "pol pot was never a communist and was always US backed and anything else is a lie"

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011

Grapplejack posted:

China having any positive relations with southeast asia is honestly a loving miracle, they treat them like the US treats south america

nowhere remotely close to it, your posts itt are relentlessly stupid.

indigi
Jul 20, 2004

how can we not talk about family
when family's all that we got?
what does “gradually delay the statutory retirement age” mean? is it a translation issue or are they making it a plank of their five year plan to make people work longer

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

Another [potential] hate crime, this time the [likely] attacker got owned:

https://twitter.com/DennisKPIX/status/1372241168663076864?s=20

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

mila kunis posted:

nowhere remotely close to it, your posts itt are relentlessly stupid.

Alright yeah it was just one guy

Lol remember crazy cloud

Rutibex
Sep 9, 2001

by Fluffdaddy

indigi posted:

what does “gradually delay the statutory retirement age” mean? is it a translation issue or are they making it a plank of their five year plan to make people work longer

its a translation error. this means emperor Xi plans to have his top alchemists produce enough Elixir of Immortality for everyone in China

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

gradenko_2000 posted:

the anti-China propagandists can't bring it up because it'll bring up all sorts of uncomfortable questions like "wait so the communist countries weren't just one monolith?" and "we backed Pol Pot?" and "we were fine with working with China when it came to Afghanistan?" and "we sent arms to China in the 70s?"

It also brings up questions why the Soviets and the Chinese split in the first place and somehow ended up in the US camp. Krushchev honestly screwed up, but at the same time Mao had really did put the PRC in a quite a pickle and it is fair to say that the Great Leap Forward, the Chinese Famine of 1959-60, and arguably even the Cultural Revolution would either happened differently or not at all if both sides could have reached a compromise.

Also, the PRC was developing rather rapidly in the 1950s under a centralized model and there is also an argument to be made that the PRC by 1980 would have been in better shape if they had simply continued that path. The 1980s and after becomes murkier but it is also possible the Soviets if not the entire socialist bloc would have been in significantly better shape than our timeline.

That said, I don't think that PRC could have reached the type of growth China saw until today. That required the full cooperation of the West to achieve.

indigi
Jul 20, 2004

how can we not talk about family
when family's all that we got?

Ardennes posted:

Also, the PRC was developing rather rapidly in the 1950s under a centralized model and there is also an argument to be made that the PRC by 1980 would have been in better shape if they had simply continued that path. ...

That said, I don't think that PRC could have reached the type of growth China saw until today. That required the full cooperation of the West to achieve.

it seems like the USSR was able to achieve a level parity with the West in terms of growth and development, how come China couldn't follow a similar model, especially if the split hadn't happened?

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

My understanding is that Russia was a partly industrialized country that could still make deals with Western capitalists in the first decade or so of its existence. China had less industry as a semi-colonized country, and was basically entirely shut out from the capitalist world market after the Communist victory.

Ferrinus
Jun 19, 2003

i'm finding this quite easy, i guess in part because i'm a fast type but also because i have a coherent mental model of the world

mila kunis posted:

the PRC allying with the US to prop up cambodia and invading vietnam is one of the few legit criticisms you could bring up against chinese foreign policy post mao, i'm surprised it's not brought up more by anti china propagandists but the inconvenient fact of US involvement and anti-USSR policy probably gets in their way

also despite various leftists' and "leftists'" attempts to be like you see, the socialist countries did imperialism too, it's impossible to understand anything that happened in that era without taking into account the gigantic gravity well of the united states distorting every other state's actions and strategies. if there's no US then there's no incentive to stab your neighboring socialists to get good boy points and therefore capital investments

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

Ferrinus posted:

if there's no US then there's no incentive to stab your neighboring socialists to get good boy points and therefore capital investments

lol

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

indigi posted:

it seems like the USSR was able to achieve a level parity with the West in terms of growth and development, how come China couldn't follow a similar model, especially if the split hadn't happened?

There was limits to Soviet competitiveness outside some fields such as aerospace, and at best the Soviet Union was 40% of the US’ gdp. The PRC would have hit the same wall eventually.

It was accessing Western capital and tech that gave them such a huge advantage in our historical timeline.

Ferrinus
Jun 19, 2003

i'm finding this quite easy, i guess in part because i'm a fast type but also because i have a coherent mental model of the world

go on

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

you're lapsing into the same american exceptionalist mindset as neolibs in viewing all actions of China, Russia, etc as driven by and by-products of the US
read up a bit on the history of Sino-Soviet relations especially the early-mid 20th century which includes an actual border conflict between the two

KaptainKrunk
Feb 6, 2006


Krushchev was a revisionist and Mao saw that clearly.

Seriously Kruschev was bitch-made as gently caress. Should have called America's bluff on the Cuban Missile Crisis

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

mila kunis posted:

https://tv.cctv.com/2021/03/17/VIDECC4oWWp83nJjnScSFaxu210317.shtml


looks like they're getting serious about real estate affordability. pretty stark contrast to for example, the canadian government, who were insisting they needed to inflate asset prices further in the wake of covid "for the economy".

a list of technocratic tweaks including increasing the retirement age - socialism with Chinese characteristics looks suspiciously like a degraded version of social democracy

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

KaptainKrunk posted:

Krushchev was a revisionist and Mao saw that clearly.

Seriously Kruschev was bitch-made as gently caress. Should have called America's bluff on the Cuban Missile Crisis

JFK was drugged out of his mind, he would have pushed the button without hesitation

KaptainKrunk
Feb 6, 2006


Grapplejack posted:

JFK was drugged out of his mind, he would have pushed the button without hesitation

true but the world would be a maoist paradise

Maximo Roboto
Feb 4, 2012

Posadist*

Ferrinus
Jun 19, 2003

i'm finding this quite easy, i guess in part because i'm a fast type but also because i have a coherent mental model of the world

shrike82 posted:

you're lapsing into the same american exceptionalist mindset as neolibs in viewing all actions of China, Russia, etc as driven by and by-products of the US
read up a bit on the history of Sino-Soviet relations especially the early-mid 20th century which includes an actual border conflict between the two

i'm sure that kruschev and mao wouldn't have gotten along regardless, but it's rank idealism to imagine that you can just put the soviet union and china in a petri dish and put the usa into a separate petri dish and then watch the ussr and prc fight it out anyway. the looming presence of the capitalist hegemon is inseparable from basically any action taken by any socialist state, especially the biggest socialist states most likely to tangle with that hegemon directly

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

shrike82 posted:

you're lapsing into the same american exceptionalist mindset as neolibs in viewing all actions of China, Russia, etc as driven by and by-products of the US
read up a bit on the history of Sino-Soviet relations especially the early-mid 20th century which includes an actual border conflict between the two

of course the US wasn't a major factor in China-Soviet relations prior to WW2. The US hadn't become the global capitalist superpower yet.

also the USSR and China were still squabbling about borders during the split itself.

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

How is the Korean media reacting the news of the shootings in Atlanta?

On a much smaller scale, I'm wondering if this might impact the fight around this shithead professor at Harvard.
https://twitter.com/schwarz/status/1358481436798550018?s=20

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
Biden: "I'm going to punish you for what you did!!!"

Putin: "I love you."

https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1372569556015800331
https://twitter.com/getfiscal/status/1249352090033496066

BrutalistMcDonalds has issued a correction as of 02:29 on Mar 19, 2021

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

KaptainKrunk posted:

true but the world would be a maoist paradise

WW3 in 1963 means no Jakarta Method, no Operation Condor, no Gladio, no Vietnam War, etc. There'd be nothing to stop workers movements throughout the developing world.

The Soviets should have taken one for the team imo

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
https://twitter.com/cnni/status/1372712095633043461

if you read the article you'll find that CNN was able to find both the parents AND the kids, and speak to them, and put the kids in contact with the parents.

also, the article makes frequent reference to this earlier article from February: https://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2020/02/asia/xinjiang-china-karakax-document-intl-hnk/

which, you guessed it:



and then also this article: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/21/asia/xinjiang-china-response-sterilization-intl-hnk/index.html



and then it also links back to the Newlines Institute Report that we've seen earlier

Doktor Avalanche
Dec 30, 2008

yeah, but even with all the zenzposting removed what's been done to that guy and his family is abhorrent (please don't turn out to be a terrorist)

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Doctor Jeep posted:

(please don't turn out to be a terrorist)

a casual twitter search indicates that he used to intern for the UN and an Australia-based think-tank (which we know from the CNN story that he did to go AUS after leaving Malaysia)

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Doktor Avalanche
Dec 30, 2008

gradenko_2000 posted:

a casual twitter search indicates that he used to intern for the UN and an Australia-based think-tank (which we know from the CNN story that he did to go AUS after leaving Malaysia)

oof, those are 2 pretty big red flags (not for terrorism obviously, but certainly for something shady)

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