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Ola
Jul 19, 2004

please knock Mom! posted:

and guns belonging to a government with a monopoly on violence to back it up, which is why bitcoin bounces up and down like a rubber ball while you can pay with USD around the globe

Not at all. People use USD without having made any assessment about the number of guns the government has. They only trust that they can use the USD they receive to purchase what they want later.

edit: I should add, you too are talking about how it is right now. Bitcoin is not a currency now. If you want to put it in a pigeon hole, it's an unregulated speculative commodity.

Ola fucked around with this message at 13:54 on May 21, 2021

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Ola
Jul 19, 2004



Right now, BTC is granite rock of stability next to the flailing chaos of S&P500 and the 10-year.

HamsterPolice
Apr 17, 2016

Mining crypto is to engage an arbitrage between the mining of the currency and the electric bill. This has always been the case with any sort of mining. Whichever is the cheapest source of energy to fuel the mining will win out. And that will inevitably be solar/wind combination. So the argument that mining crypto is bad for the environment is not necessarily true since by it's nature it is agnostic as to what the energy source is.

The Bloop
Jul 5, 2004

by Fluffdaddy

HamsterPolice posted:

Mining crypto is to engage an arbitrage between the mining of the currency and the electric bill. This has always been the case with any sort of mining. Whichever is the cheapest source of energy to fuel the mining will win out. And that will inevitably be solar/wind combination. So the argument that mining crypto is bad for the environment is not necessarily true since by it's nature it is agnostic as to what the energy source is.

this is pie in the sky nonsense

power is fungible unless you are a crazy hermit off the grid and noplace is fully self-sufficient on renewables. Solar/wind are not environmentally positive or neutral either, just far closer than fossil fuels. All that poo poo still has to be manufactured and transported and whatnot.

Plus if mining gets prohibitively expensive in green energy havens its not stopping people from literally firing up old coal plants to mine and burning down every forest in a developing country

pmchem
Jan 22, 2010


The Bloop posted:

this is pie in the sky nonsense

power is fungible unless you are a crazy hermit off the grid and noplace is fully self-sufficient on renewables. Solar/wind are not environmentally positive or neutral either, just far closer than fossil fuels. All that poo poo still has to be manufactured and transported and whatnot.

Plus if mining gets prohibitively expensive in green energy havens its not stopping people from literally firing up old coal plants to mine and burning down every forest in a developing country

yup

https://twitter.com/WSJmarkets/status/1395718527038918657?s=20

"Across America, older fossil-fuel power plants are shutting down in favor of renewable energy. But some are getting a new lease on life—to mine bitcoin. In upstate New York, an idled coal plant has been restarted, fueled by natural gas, to mine cryptocurrency. A once-struggling Montana coal plant is now scaling up to do the same."

Pilfered Pallbearers
Aug 2, 2007

pmchem posted:

yup

https://twitter.com/WSJmarkets/status/1395718527038918657?s=20

"Across America, older fossil-fuel power plants are shutting down in favor of renewable energy. But some are getting a new lease on life—to mine bitcoin. In upstate New York, an idled coal plant has been restarted, fueled by natural gas, to mine cryptocurrency. A once-struggling Montana coal plant is now scaling up to do the same."

gently caress this dumb earth and everyone in it.

HamsterPolice
Apr 17, 2016

The Bloop posted:

power is fungible unless you are a crazy hermit off the grid and noplace is fully self-sufficient on renewables. Solar/wind are not environmentally positive or neutral either, just far closer than fossil fuels. All that poo poo still has to be manufactured and transported and whatnot.

I wasn't saying that's the case now. But I think as the cost of materials for solar/wind get lower and lower, they will compete with the cost of running and maintaining a coal mine. I guess it just seems inevitable to me.

It's also true that the location of crypto mining operation is a huge factor. For instance, most mining is in China right now because of the cheapness of energy/lax of regulation (despite the "ban"). The opportunity of moving to another locality to take advantage of lax laws/cheap energy is a driving factor.

quote:

Solar/wind are not environmentally positive or neutral either, just far closer than fossil fuels.

I don't think anything is? So I don't know what your point is. Are you suggesting we abandon all forms of electrical generation?

quote:

Plus if mining gets prohibitively expensive in green energy havens its not stopping people from literally firing up old coal plants to mine and burning down every forest in a developing country

I think that's true but that's true for anything. Not just crypto. All the more reason to strive for cheap green energy to compete with the alternatives.

edit: leaving this white paper here https://assets.ctfassets.net/2d5q1td6cyxq/5mRjc9X5LTXFFihIlTt7QK/e7bcba47217b60423a01a357e036105e/BCEI_White_Paper.pdf

HamsterPolice fucked around with this message at 15:02 on May 21, 2021

Hoop Dreams
Oct 21, 2010
The point is even if Crypto mining was entirely green, the opportunity cost is such that power is used so other stuff needs to use less green energy. It's a waste of energy to do random calculations for no other purpose than to get digital currency. That energy could have been used for more essential poo poo.

LibCrusher
Jan 6, 2019

by Fluffdaddy
ANVS cured Alzheimer’s. Anybody here have it?

George H.W. Cunt
Oct 6, 2010





LibCrusher posted:

ANVS cured Alzheimer’s. Anybody here have it?

:eyepop: whoa

Giganticon
Mar 10, 2010

Pillbug
China produces their own digital currency right, opening up possibilities for real time economic monitoring, unlike what the west does, phone surveys and 6 month delayed meta analysis on tax documents. I don't know the details but I am certain the Beijing system doesn't pay out random payouts to mining pools. All of the utility function and benefit of crypto can be enjoyed with the ridiculous anarchist project elements removed, with the exception of speculative investment.

Ola
Jul 19, 2004

HamsterPolice posted:

Mining crypto is to engage an arbitrage between the mining of the currency and the electric bill. This has always been the case with any sort of mining. Whichever is the cheapest source of energy to fuel the mining will win out. And that will inevitably be solar/wind combination. So the argument that mining crypto is bad for the environment is not necessarily true since by it's nature it is agnostic as to what the energy source is.

But mining is the only way to increase the supply of stuff that comes out of the ground. "Mining" crypto is a metaphor for doing some arbitrary math. There is nothing about crypto in general that requires it, even if it is important to the most famous ones now.

You could dream up a new one right now, give it any qualities of immutability, anonymity and security which could be vetted by the world's cryptographic elite. Then let the World Bank decide on the supply and peg its exchange value to the front soy bean future. It wouldn't be any more out less arbitrary, from the perspective of what currency is, than fiat paper, Bitcoin or glass beads.

Residency Evil
Jul 28, 2003

4/5 godo... Schumi

Ola posted:

Fair point in today's practice but that's because it's used as a pseudo-dollar and measured relative to the purchasing power of a dollar. As a currency, it would just be another currency. If USDJPY moves 1%, you don't suddenly get 1% less/more stuff for your yen in Tokyo.

You uh, kind of do though? Prices on goods sold between the US/Japan being fairly fixed is only true because of the relative stability of exchange rates between the USD/JPY.

HamsterPolice
Apr 17, 2016

Giganticon posted:

China produces their own digital currency right, opening up possibilities for real time economic monitoring, unlike what the west does, phone surveys and 6 month delayed meta analysis on tax documents. I don't know the details but I am certain the Beijing system doesn't pay out random payouts to mining pools. All of the utility function and benefit of crypto can be enjoyed with the ridiculous anarchist project elements removed, with the exception of speculative investment.

It's centralized. It's not the same as Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.

pmchem
Jan 22, 2010


if anyone's looking to rotate into international value indexes, check out FIVA as a lesser-known value ETF. Fidelity's international value factor ETF.
https://screener.fidelity.com/ftgw/etf/goto/snapshot/snapshot.jhtml?symbols=FIVA

It uses the same index metrics as FVAL (free cash flow yield, EBITDA to enterprise value, P/B, and fwd P/E) but for developed markets. It's intriguing for both the methodology and the fact that there's no international equivalent to VTV (CRSP value index).

Very appealing to have an international counterpart to FVAL.

Ola
Jul 19, 2004

Residency Evil posted:

You uh, kind of do though? Prices on goods sold between the US/Japan being fairly fixed is only true because of the relative stability of exchange rates between the USD/JPY.

Yeah, I understand the concept of exchange rates, thanks.

The price changing 40% in a day isn't something more inherent to Bitcoin than any other security, commodity or currency, you're confusing theory with current events. And if you both earn your salary and spend it in Bitcoin, then you care less about the exchange rate than if you're making that exchange every time you make a transaction.

ranbo das
Oct 16, 2013


HamsterPolice posted:

It's centralized. It's not the same as Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.

There are several cryptocurrencies that are centralized though? I mean tether, the most traded crypto in the world, is controlled by a corporation that prints tether at will.

The Bloop
Jul 5, 2004

by Fluffdaddy

HamsterPolice posted:

It's centralized. It's not the same as Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.

Isn't bitcoin centralized in the sense that if anyone ever gets >50% they can just ratfuck the whole thing for everybody on a whim

Agronox
Feb 4, 2005

Fellas, this is the stock trading thread

HamsterPolice
Apr 17, 2016

ranbo das posted:

There are several cryptocurrencies that are centralized though? I mean tether, the most traded crypto in the world, is controlled by a corporation that prints tether at will.

Yeah and that poo poo is shady af. But it's not a true crypto. Its not decentralized and not distributed. It's just a token.

The Bloop posted:

Isn't bitcoin centralized in the sense that if anyone ever gets >50% they can just ratfuck the whole thing for everybody on a whim

That's possible but seems very hard. Like buying all the gold bars in the world and melting them down or something Joker-esque.

Cacafuego
Jul 22, 2007

We can still laugh at crypto though, can’t we? Especially the massive dump it just took (again) :lmao:

Residency Evil
Jul 28, 2003

4/5 godo... Schumi

Ola posted:

Yeah, I understand the concept of exchange rates, thanks.

The price changing 40% in a day isn't something more inherent to Bitcoin than any other security, commodity or currency, you're confusing theory with current events. And if you both earn your salary and spend it in Bitcoin, then you care less about the exchange rate than if you're making that exchange every time you make a transaction.

I guess I'm confused as to what point you're trying to make then? Bitcoin has been incredibly volatile since it's inception. Sure, in theory if Bitcoin had a fairly stable exchange rate against other major currencies, that would mean that using it in the real world would be a lot easier and you might have employers and employees much more likely to use it. Yes, sure, that is true.

BigPaddy
Jun 30, 2008

That night we performed the rite and opened the gate.
Halfway through, I went to fix us both a coke float.
By the time I got back, he'd gone insane.
Plus, he'd left the gate open and there was evil everywhere.


Even if Bitcoin was stable there is the fact that most trading in it does not happen via its wallet to wallet transaction function because it is so slow and expensive. Most exchanges just have a bunch of it in their own wallet and hold a ledger on who "owns" it. The thing that stops Bitcoin from being used on a large scale is how it can only do what 4-5 transactions per second?

Ola
Jul 19, 2004

Residency Evil posted:

I guess I'm confused as to what point you're trying to make then? Bitcoin has been incredibly volatile since it's inception. Sure, in theory if Bitcoin had a fairly stable exchange rate against other major currencies, that would mean that using it in the real world would be a lot easier and you might have employers and employees much more likely to use it. Yes, sure, that is true.

So how do you engineer in a stable exchange rate? You obviously don't, that is simply an emerged quality we appreciate and are used to, not something inherent to any currency or commodity.

Therefore, using the recent volatility as an argument against its potential use as a currency isn't valid.

PS I hate Bitcoin and can't wait for this dumb bubble to go away.

Hadlock
Nov 9, 2004

BigPaddy posted:

Even if Bitcoin was stable there is the fact that most trading in it does not happen via its wallet to wallet transaction function because it is so slow and expensive. Most exchanges just have a bunch of it in their own wallet and hold a ledger on who "owns" it. The thing that stops Bitcoin from being used on a large scale is how it can only do what 4-5 transactions per second?

This is how gold is traded, isn't it? Among many, many other places, in Dallas in the basement of some building(s) are a bunch of cubbies that hold 1-4 pallets, and very occasionally the pallets get moved from the Russia cubby to the Ecuador cubby, but in general they just keep a ledger, and the owner can take delivery if they schedule far enough in advance. I've oversimplifying it, but not by much

Residency Evil
Jul 28, 2003

4/5 godo... Schumi

Ola posted:

So how do you engineer in a stable exchange rate? You obviously don't, that is simply an emerged quality we appreciate and are used to, not something inherent to any currency or commodity.

Therefore, using the recent volatility as an argument against its potential use as a currency isn't valid.

PS I hate Bitcoin and can't wait for this dumb bubble to go away.

I’m not sure people are arguing that the volatility itself makes it unsuitable for use as a currency, rather it’s a symptom of other problems.

And I’m not sure I’d call Bitcoin only “recently” volatile.

nomad2020
Jan 30, 2007

Hadlock posted:

This is how gold is traded, isn't it? Among many, many other places, in Dallas in the basement of some building(s) are a bunch of cubbies that hold 1-4 pallets, and very occasionally the pallets get moved from the Russia cubby to the Ecuador cubby, but in general they just keep a ledger, and the owner can take delivery if they schedule far enough in advance. I've oversimplifying it, but not by much

Here's a video of a Bank of England gold vault. I know there's video tour of the New York Reserve Bank vault out there somewhere too. These sorts of reserves buy/sell/trade gold but rarely ship it anywhere.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CTtf5s2HFkA

Ola
Jul 19, 2004

Residency Evil posted:

I’m not sure people are arguing that the volatility itself makes it unsuitable for use as a currency, rather it’s a symptom of other problems.

And I’m not sure I’d call Bitcoin only “recently” volatile.

Oh FFS you are arguing against a response to the specific use of "40%", which refers to the recent event of Bitcoin crashing by that much. The use of 40% was in response to my discussion about its theoretical use as a currency. Those posts are also recent events, extremely recent. Don't you remember? You can scroll and look. Or are you just ad lib nitpicking to anything I post with a fresh blank mind?

Come to think of it, this confusing recent events for underlying theory might explain a lot about traders.

BigPaddy
Jun 30, 2008

That night we performed the rite and opened the gate.
Halfway through, I went to fix us both a coke float.
By the time I got back, he'd gone insane.
Plus, he'd left the gate open and there was evil everywhere.


Hadlock posted:

This is how gold is traded, isn't it? Among many, many other places, in Dallas in the basement of some building(s) are a bunch of cubbies that hold 1-4 pallets, and very occasionally the pallets get moved from the Russia cubby to the Ecuador cubby, but in general they just keep a ledger, and the owner can take delivery if they schedule far enough in advance. I've oversimplifying it, but not by much

You are correct, are people using bars of gold to pay for goods?

DeadFatDuckFat
Oct 29, 2012

This avatar brought to you by the 'save our dead gay forums' foundation.


LibCrusher posted:

ANVS cured Alzheimer’s. Anybody here have it?

Any med science goons here that can tell us if this means crtx is hosed

Gaius Marius
Oct 9, 2012

LibCrusher posted:

ANVS cured Alzheimer’s. Anybody here have it?

Wait in truth? This is great news

LLCoolJD
Dec 8, 2007

Musk threatens the inorganic promotion of left-wing ideology that had been taking place on the platform

Block me for being an unironic DeSantis fan, too!
I'm curious what a healthy diet and sauna regimen would do to these inflammatory markers that the ANVS study is discussing.

BigPaddy
Jun 30, 2008

That night we performed the rite and opened the gate.
Halfway through, I went to fix us both a coke float.
By the time I got back, he'd gone insane.
Plus, he'd left the gate open and there was evil everywhere.


Gaius Marius posted:

Wait in truth? This is great news

My grandfather died after suffering from Parkinsons for over a decade. If this works then it is a great advancement and will stop millions from suffering a slow degradation and millions more from having to watch their love ones waste away.

Orange DeviI
Nov 9, 2011

by Hand Knit

LLCoolJD posted:

I'm curious what a healthy diet and sauna regimen would do to these inflammatory markers that the ANVS study is discussing.

Lol

Ola
Jul 19, 2004

Ola posted:



Right now, BTC is granite rock of stability next to the flailing chaos of S&P500 and the 10-year.



I see now the error of my ways. It's been a journey of humility, growth and wisdom.

LLCoolJD
Dec 8, 2007

Musk threatens the inorganic promotion of left-wing ideology that had been taking place on the platform

Block me for being an unironic DeSantis fan, too!

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29897261/

Orange DeviI
Nov 9, 2011

by Hand Knit

More self administered questionnaire bullshit, just what we need in these tough times

Whoreson Welles
Mar 4, 2015

ON TO THE NEXT PAGE!

LibCrusher posted:

ANVS cured Alzheimer’s. Anybody here have it?

Why couldn’t this one be the $GOON?

Rad news, though.

Giganticon
Mar 10, 2010

Pillbug
I don't know how to trade pharmaceutical companies. One time Moderna strait up cured hepatitis C, and they lost me money. Releasing the Harvoni drug was in Oct 2014 and its effectively the all time high of the stock (it was higher like a month in 2015) then it fell from 118 to 60-70 where it remains today. I guess everyone with Hep C had been cured? I had some Mylan back when they were in the news for their crooked EpiPen monopoly yet somehow even gouging 1000% their stock did horribly.

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The Anime Liker
Aug 8, 2009

by VideoGames
It wasn't $GOON because their ground floor was ages ago

But holy crap, a jump from $25 to $75 in a day, god drat

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