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Freudian slippers
Jun 23, 2009
US Goon shocked and appalled to find that world is a dirty, unjust place

G-Hawk posted:

2 freak leg tkos and rose with the leg kick ko, just like I drew it up

The rare leg kick to the head, seen here in the wild!

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Nystral
Feb 6, 2002

Every man likes a pretty girl with him at a skeleton dance.
I had a 4 leg parlay on Hall / Shevchenko / Rose / Usman +850

That was made after Crute went down and killed my 5 leg parlay.

It’s the first 3+ leg parlay that’s paid off in about a year. I’m still down for the year because I make these stupid af parlays.

Don’t gamble.

STING 64
Oct 20, 2006

thug rose head kicked my 5 teamer :( had a little saving grace by hitting the usman KO prop though

Fozzy The Bear
Dec 11, 1999

Nothing much, watching the game, drinking a bud
I guess everyone lost all their money and no more bets?

DO YALL WANT A BOXC
Jul 20, 2010

HAHA! WOOOOOOO WOOO!
Fun Shoe
the odds on this weekend's cards are nutty. i don't get it. i got:

$20 on Moreno at +195. deveison is good but the fight was really close and I think Moreno might have just a little more this time
$10 on Diaz at +385. i don't get this one. leon is really good and bigger but it is a 5 rounder. i can see leon as the favorite but +385 is nutty imo

i also like vettori at +235 but i don't wanna bet against izzy

e: also maia at +180 is a live dog over muhammad. he's gatekept a lot of people

handsome only face
Apr 22, 2010

Cockroach went out of the room in anger. And roach's go to empty room...

Cockroache's Anarchist


i'm up from last couple of fights namely rose & charles oliviera so here's some sutpid little bets to have some fun. will probably fall asleep before main card though

5 on paul craig & joanne calderwood scottish double +450
2.50 on paul craig by submission +700
5 on nate diaz +400
5 on israel ko/tko +200
5 on israel win rd 2 or 3 +600
2.50 on figueiredo by sub +700
5 on figueiredo any finish +115

G-Hawk
Dec 15, 2003

+430 diaz
+180 moreno
-110 hooper

wanted to bet the izzy fight but just cant figure out what

DO YALL WANT A BOXC
Jul 20, 2010

HAHA! WOOOOOOO WOOO!
Fun Shoe

G-Hawk posted:

+430 diaz
+180 moreno
-110 hooper

wanted to bet the izzy fight but just cant figure out what

i liked the +230ish odds i could have gotten in Vettori but I think Izzy wins it and i don't like to root against him

DO YALL WANT A BOXC
Jul 20, 2010

HAHA! WOOOOOOO WOOO!
Fun Shoe

DO YALL WANT A BOXC posted:


$20 on Moreno at +195. deveison is good but the fight was really close and I think Moreno might have just a little more this time
$10 on Diaz at +385. i don't get this one. leon is really good and bigger but it is a 5 rounder. i can see leon as the favorite but +385 is nutty imo

30s away from a really good night, but up overall because of Moreno. noice

handsome only face
Apr 22, 2010

Cockroach went out of the room in anger. And roach's go to empty room...

Cockroache's Anarchist


didnt make a penny last week not even on Paul Craig's submission because it was ruled as a technical sub eat moy poo poo.

got 30 between Matt brown, Olienik + TKZ Good bye money

STING 64
Oct 20, 2006

handsome only face posted:

didnt make a penny last week not even on Paul Craig's submission because it was ruled as a technical sub eat moy poo poo.

got 30 between Matt brown, Olienik + TKZ Good bye money
you lost but not in the way you would have expected

Brut
Aug 21, 2007

:10bux: on Boser, Valiev and Volkov, each.

G-Hawk
Dec 15, 2003

15 on volkov
.

leftist heap
Feb 28, 2013

Fun Shoe
$5 on a 4 fight parlay

Smolka +345
Burns +110
Niko Price +135
Ryan Hall +175

Eat This Glob
Jan 14, 2008

God is dead. God remains dead. And we have killed him. Who will wipe this blood off us? What festivals of atonement, what sacred games shall we need to invent?

https://twitter.com/NumbersMMA/status/1412063099960573957?s=20

fun stat but im still not betting lol

CommonShore
Jun 6, 2014

A true renaissance man



One time I worked this out for a few fighters and the best "I bet on every one of their fights" money maker I found was Roxanne loving Modafferi. She has multiple >400 upsets on her resume.

I don't think I saved the spreadsheet.

Troy Queef
Jan 12, 2013




CommonShore posted:

One time I worked this out for a few fighters and the best "I bet on every one of their fights" money maker I found was Roxanne loving Modafferi. She has multiple >400 upsets on her resume.

I don't think I saved the spreadsheet.

wasn’t she something like +900 when she fought Barber?

CommonShore
Jun 6, 2014

A true renaissance man


Troy Queef posted:

wasn’t she something like +900 when she fought Barber?

Yeah I think so. At least in that ballpark

Screama
Nov 25, 2007
Yes, I am very cereal.
$20 on J. Maia + O'Malley by KO

Brut
Aug 21, 2007

I'm probably putting a few bucks on Giles because I think he'll win, a few on Tuivasa because I want him to win, and of course Poirier for both reasons.

Griffin probably beats Condit but I'm not sure if it's worth -195, Hall vs Topuria, Price vs Pereira and Burns vs Thompson are super DO NOT BET fights, I dunno what the gently caress's gonna happen, could be anything.

Tempted to put a few bucks on Moutinho, +600 is juicy. I'm not doing any of that poo poo until I see the weigh ins though, see ya'll when I wake up.

Southpaugh
May 26, 2007

Smokey Bacon


on the other hand, price vs pereira is almost certainly ending in knock out. I'd like price in that match up. Despite how wild he is hes more consistent than pereira.

G-Hawk
Dec 15, 2003

$25 poirier+150 (draftkings boost)
$25 burns+155 (draftkings boost)
$25 tuivasa-130

probably will end up on niko price and maybe ryan hall also later

Brut
Aug 21, 2007

Brut posted:

I'm probably putting a few bucks on Giles because I think he'll win, a few on Tuivasa because I want him to win, and of course Poirier for both reasons.

Griffin probably beats Condit but I'm not sure if it's worth -195, Hall vs Topuria, Price vs Pereira and Burns vs Thompson are super DO NOT BET fights, I dunno what the gently caress's gonna happen, could be anything.

Tempted to put a few bucks on Moutinho, +600 is juicy. I'm not doing any of that poo poo until I see the weigh ins though, see ya'll when I wake up.

Odds for Giles got a bit better so I went for it:

10 bucks each:
Trevin Giles +100
Max Griffin -175
Kris Moutinho +600
Tai Tuivasa -125
Dustin Poirier -133

10 bucks on a parlay of all 5 of those, and another 10 on a parlay of 4 of them (all but Moutinho).

kimbo305
Jun 9, 2007

actually, yeah, I am a little mad

G-Hawk posted:

(draftkings boost)

What is that?

G-Hawk
Dec 15, 2003

kimbo305 posted:

What is that?

they artifically boost the odds on certain bets for every event as a promo/user retention thing (with usually 25 or 50 dollar max bets). Just mentioning because those odds arent gonna be available elsewhere

Le Saboteur
Dec 5, 2007

I hear you wish to ball, adventurer..
Two Parleys placed, first one is the feel good parlay (Tai Tuivasa to win, Kris Moutinho to win $20 wins $249.60) and second is my go with the gut parlay (Dustin wins by KO/TKO, Max Griffin to win, Niko Price to win, Sean O'Malley to win $20 wins $260.20)

Oh and it looks like they have boosted odds on Poirier/McGregor so got the max stake of $5 on Poirier to win so even if all my parlays fail a Poirier win gets me back my money + $10.

And with a remaining $5 a 10 match parlay of all these fighters to win: Zhumagulov, Akhmedov, Maia, Giles, Hall, Price, Griffin, O'Malley, Burns, Poirier. $5 wins $2425.25

Le Saboteur fucked around with this message at 23:13 on Jul 10, 2021

DO YALL WANT A BOXC
Jul 20, 2010

HAHA! WOOOOOOO WOOO!
Fun Shoe
5 @ Condit +155
20 @ Hall +190 (this seemed like a great bet, Hall is so dangerous)
25 @ McGregor +150 (DraftKings boost)
5 @ Condit/Hall/McGregor parlay +1435

fiancee has 10 @ Dustin in R3 +900

STING 64
Oct 20, 2006

vegas cleaned up big tonight.

CommonShore
Jun 6, 2014

A true renaissance man


DO YALL WANT A BOXC posted:

5 @ Condit +155
20 @ Hall +190 (this seemed like a great bet, Hall is so dangerous)
25 @ McGregor +150 (DraftKings boost)
5 @ Condit/Hall/McGregor parlay +1435

fiancee has 10 @ Dustin in R3 +900

:rip:

deadkiller615
Aug 7, 2007
yea, I kill dead stuff. so what?

Conejo +400 seems pretty good

Brut
Aug 21, 2007

Stolzfus +180
Parsons +285
Morozov +117
Tate -155
Stephens +205
Ruiz +400

:10bux: each.

G-Hawk
Dec 15, 2003

$10
main event under 4.5 rds+100
tate by decision+110
stephens ko+410
quarantillo decision+250
morozov decision+200
conejo+355

Brut
Aug 21, 2007

:10bux: on Elise Reed at +350. I don't see anything else on this card worth touching.

Was gonna put 10 on Aspen Ladd too if that fight didn't get pulled.

Angry Asian
May 24, 2006
*BOOMSHAKALAKA*
Looking at Lewis vs Gane and Lewis is at +275????? That seems ridiculous to me but wtf do I know, time to throw :10bux:

Brut
Aug 21, 2007

:10bux: each on Simmons, Penne, Hill and Lewis.

G-Hawk
Dec 15, 2003

$20 lewis by ko +350 (obviously)
$20 luque by ko +260
maybe yadong too later

Troy Queef
Jan 12, 2013




https://twitter.com/Showtimepettis/status/1426368931510448132?s=20
https://twitter.com/Showtimepettis/status/1426392920886710276?s=20
https://twitter.com/Showtimepettis/status/1431807153099079685?s=20
only bet on MMA if you were on a Wheaties box

kimbo305
Jun 9, 2007

actually, yeah, I am a little mad
What does "win 9000 to play 11000" mean? Like that's the casino chips value?

STING 64
Oct 20, 2006

kimbo305 posted:

What does "win 9000 to play 11000" mean? Like that's the casino chips value?

The win is what you profit, the pay is how much you're physically receiving over the counter since you also get back the $2,000 you put up when wagering.

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kimbo305
Jun 9, 2007

actually, yeah, I am a little mad
Oh, duh, pay 11000.

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