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spacemang_spliff
Nov 29, 2014

wide pickle

Zil posted:

positively moist

well poo poo

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shyduck
Oct 3, 2003


https://twitter.com/phillywx/status/1431306027790655491?s=19

Philly about to get flooded out

shirts and skins
Jun 25, 2007

Good morning!
Boy, that escalated quickly

https://twitter.com/capitalweather/status/1431310214343626758?s=19

Thesaurus
Oct 3, 2004


it'll probably just spin itself out

Cao Ni Ma
May 25, 2010



I remember the days when storm systems would form in like africa and slowly gather strength through the Atlantic and Caribbean instead now they form in the Caribbean or the gulf and wreck things anyways.

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"

Thesaurus posted:

it'll probably just spin itself out

"These things go away when it gets hot." :smugdon:

Cao Ni Ma posted:

I remember the days when storm systems would form in like africa and slowly gather strength through the Atlantic and Caribbean instead now they form in the Caribbean or the gulf and wreck things anyways.

Another few years and we'll have TDs, TSes, and Cat 1s forming in the new nursery off of the Carolinas.

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

https://kalshi.com/markets/HURSZ-004

betting market has ida reach cat2 at 86% chance, which i think is fair or even conservative

Raine
Apr 30, 2013

ACCELERATIONIST SUPERDOOMER



i say swears online posted:

https://kalshi.com/markets/HURSZ-004

betting market has ida reach cat2 at 86% chance, which i think is fair or even conservative

:chloe:

Thesaurus
Oct 3, 2004


i really miss a lot about living in the Caribbean, but not the existential threat of cataclysmic hurricanes half of the year

Dayvan Cowboy
Feb 11, 2014

Cao Ni Ma posted:

I remember the days when storm systems would form in like africa and slowly gather strength through the Atlantic and Caribbean instead now they form in the Caribbean or the gulf and wreck things anyways.

Eh. Caribbean storms have always kinda been a thing. Wilma, for example, formed in basically the same spot that Ida did.

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"

Thesaurus posted:

i really miss a lot about living in the Caribbean, but not the existential threat of cataclysmic hurricanes half of the year

And soon(ish), closer to three-quarters of the year! :shepface:

Thorn Wishes Talon
Oct 18, 2014

by Fluffdaddy
it'll be a cat 4 landfall imo

Pryor on Fire
May 14, 2013

they don't know all alien abduction experiences can be explained by people thinking saving private ryan was a documentary

With no jet stream or a less consistent jet stream I think hurricanes will have more time to stay together and stronger much farther north. We won't see a crazy cat 5 hitting NY probably, but stronger storms smacking directly into the east coast is going to become a more regular thing.

Crunchy Black
Oct 24, 2017

by Athanatos
yeah looking at the GOES 16 data

*whistles*

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005


if you can't make money on this hellish world then what joy even is there

shirts and skins
Jun 25, 2007

Good morning!

Cao Ni Ma posted:

I remember the days when storm systems would form in like africa and slowly gather strength through the Atlantic and Caribbean instead now they form in the Caribbean or the gulf and wreck things anyways.

This is like the same way Camille formed in 1969 lol

E. drat almost the *exact* same track

Apropos of nothing (not saying this happens, just a crazy story) the remnants of Camille caused a shitload of flooding in rural Virginia, where it rained so hard meteorologists described it as near the theoretical scientific maximum. Like hard enough you may have trouble breathing in it.

shirts and skins has issued a correction as of 19:25 on Aug 27, 2021

spacemang_spliff
Nov 29, 2014

wide pickle

shirts and skins posted:

This is like the same way Camille formed in 1969 lol

E. drat almost the *exact* same track

Apropos of nothing (not saying this happens, just a crazy story) the remnants of Camille caused a shitload of flooding in rural Virginia, where it rained so hard meteorologists described it as near the theoretical scientific maximum. Like hard enough you may have trouble breathing in it.

like theoretical maximum in that it's no longer rain and just a column of water?

Thesaurus
Oct 3, 2004


fish just swimming up into the clouds

shirts and skins
Jun 25, 2007

Good morning!

spacemang_spliff posted:

like theoretical maximum in that it's no longer rain and just a column of water?

Pretty much lol

https://encyclopediavirginia.org/entries/hurricane-camille-august-1969/

OK baizuo
Mar 19, 2021

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Are the servers still in nola? I'm guessing no

RadiRoot
Feb 3, 2007

shirts and skins posted:

Yeah this one looks genuinely bad, leave if you can. Basically no wind shear, very warm water, really dangerous track.

https://twitter.com/capitalweather/status/1431291292542177287?s=19

George Bush Joe Biden doesn't care about black people

Zil
Jun 4, 2011

Satanically Summoned Citrus


Radirot posted:

George Bush Joe Biden doesn't care about black people

I'm sure Fox News is readying the script as we speak.

Luneshot
Mar 10, 2014


I know the NAM is not realistic for hurricanes, but I can never turn down the chance to gawk at an 883mb hellstorm

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Luneshot posted:


I know the NAM is not realistic for hurricanes, but I can never turn down the chance to gawk at an 883mb hellstorm
Hell yeah Murdercane baby

Pryor on Fire
May 14, 2013

they don't know all alien abduction experiences can be explained by people thinking saving private ryan was a documentary

This is the worst case track for Lake Pontchartrain flooding everywhere :rip:

Real hurthling!
Sep 11, 2001




more like bay pontchartrain

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Now it’s forecast to be a Cat 4 at landfall

Woodchip
Mar 28, 2010

Radirot posted:

George Bush Joe Biden doesn't care about black people

This is Obama's vice president's Katrina

Thorn Wishes Talon
Oct 18, 2014

by Fluffdaddy

FlamingLiberal posted:

Now it’s forecast to be a Cat 4 at landfall

Thorn Wishes Talon posted:

it'll be a cat 4 landfall imo

:smug:

Thorn Wishes Talon
Oct 18, 2014

by Fluffdaddy
this thing is gonna hot NOLA on the anniversary of katrina

Floor is lava
May 14, 2007

Fallen Rib
This just happened here out my window in Indiana:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FeSL2IhPGBI

We have our own Cat4's here

Real hurthling!
Sep 11, 2001




trees are down, caller

SpaceCadetBob
Dec 27, 2012

Thorn Wishes Talon posted:

this thing is gonna hot NOLA on the anniversary of katrina

Mother Nature not being very subtle.

Looks like Sunday night is gonna be a long one for some peeps.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Floor is lava posted:

This just happened here out my window in Indiana:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FeSL2IhPGBI

We have our own Cat4's here

that storm's supposed to be hitting my place right as I'm getting home on a Friday night after a hell week so I just know it's gonna take my internet and power out lmao

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

Epic High Five posted:

that storm's supposed to be hitting my place right as I'm getting home on a Friday night after a hell week so I just know it's gonna take my internet and power out lmao

load up some podcasts now lol

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



i say swears online posted:

load up some podcasts now lol

Switch and Kindle status: charged

shyduck
Oct 3, 2003


Luneshot posted:


I know the NAM is not realistic for hurricanes, but I can never turn down the chance to gawk at an 883mb hellstorm
Gonna break out NOGAPS

fits my needs
Jan 1, 2011

Grimey Drawer
https://twitter.com/Jay_WAFB/status/1431372505734914050?s=20

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



As someone who went through Andrew, nobody needs that

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Zig-Zag
Aug 29, 2007

Why don't we just start shooting tar heroin instead?
Heart of Nola goon here. I'm considering leaving not because of the flooding but because of the power outages. Wish me luck. This being on the anniversary of Katrina got me shook yall.

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