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Fur20
Nov 14, 2007

すご▞い!
君は働か░い
フ▙▓ズなんだね!

Cowcaster posted:

wasn’t there one where spearman beat tanks

yes exactly that's why they developed the horse paste

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Bad Purchase
Jun 17, 2019




How are u posted:

If the CCP wants to dispel the lab leak theory then maybe they should, I dunno, let the world in to prove it wrong.

Even assuming they're completely innocent and want to cooperate, I don't think there's anything they could do to definitively prove it didn't leak from a lab. Trying to prove a negative is hard even when conspiracies aren't involved. A lot of people would continue to assume they're hiding something no matter what they share.

It also doesn't matter. Even if we had a smoking gun, what then? A bit of sabre rattling and finger pointing, but ultimately nothing changes. We already should assume every advanced country has similar labs and there's always a small risk of an oopsie because humans will find a way to gently caress up even the most well thought out safety protocols. Natural evolution is also pumping out novel viruses all the time. So it's not like the threat landscape suddenly changes. If there's anything to learn, it's not how to prevent the next covid-level virus from ever existing in the wild -- it's how to detect and respond to it when it happens again.

Dren
Jan 5, 2001

Pillbug

Anonymous Zebra posted:

As a scientist and academic who frequently works in public policy and who has spent that last year and a half working on COVID-19 and meeting research groups to adapt policy at a city, county and state level, and whom is married to an epidemiologist who has literally spent the last year studying and publishing on COVID-19 and who is also on these same policy boards, and who went to graduate school with and am still close friends with people working in the federal response to COVID-19, my advice to you is to not take any advice from a bunch of random people on SomethingAwful.com when it comes to anything related to COVID-19.

Speak to your doctor and take only the advice of other medical professionals who you have had a chance to talk with one on one. That's it. Not tweets from random people, not interpretations of tweets by other random people. Talk to your doctor, read CDC guidelines, stick to actual experts. 95% of the people in this thread over time have badly misinterpreted or simplified complex concepts beyond use. 4.99% are actively (either through malice or trolling) spreading misinformation, and the 0.1% who I've noticed actually seeming to share real nuanced data interpretation have stopped posting in here ages ago.

By all means, don't trust me, and don't listen to me, just don't listen to anyone else that you can't confirm is an expert as well.

You're not wrong but even just "ask your doctor" really sucks when regular doctors mostly just fall back on CDC and FDA recommendations. CDC and FDA have been so slow, getting an appointment to talk to a doctor is so slow, there's no way to really have a dialogue with them. My friend's doctor told him back in March of 2020 to go ahead and take a trip to Florida. I told him he was insane and Florida was a probable hotbed of covid. By the time he was on his way back he was worried about an interstate lockdown being imposed and had to navigate through an airport filled with people who'd just been kicked off cruise ships. My point isn't that my friend should listen to me instead of his doctor regarding medical advice, but that regular doctors are going to be wrong a LOT especially if they follow the CDC and FDA. It just creates a lovely situation because the experts regular people have access to have been wrong so much and so often.

My doctor refuses to do televisits and I'm very uncomfortable going to his poorly ventilated office. I'm not about to take covid advice from a guy who is operating like that. But finding a new doctor sucks too.

edit: I'll add that I have friends who buy into ivermectin and they are incredibly frustrated with the "ask your doctor" approach too because they feel like they've done their research (which they presented to the doc) and were roundly ignored. It's pretty clear to me that horse paste is a scam but I have another friend who asked their doctor about booster shots a month ago and got a brush off as well. Only now, booster shots are about to be public policy. So like, it's easy to see how trust in experts is eroded because doctors can't possibly keep up with this stuff, are wrong so often when you ask them things, and don't have the time to patiently explain rationale for treatment decisions until patients are satisfied.

Dren fucked around with this message at 22:55 on Aug 27, 2021

John_A_Tallon
Nov 22, 2000

Oh my! Check out that mitre!

Comfy Fleece Sweater posted:

Nobody is safe until everyone is safe

the US might be drowning in vaccines but if a majority of the world doesn't have even 1 dose, it's just a breeding ground for a worse variant

Mandatory international travel restrictions and quarantines, forever. There will always be another novel virus around the corner, and long quarantines are the proven effective way to stop diseases from spreading internationally.

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

https://twitter.com/bnodesk/status/1431384584869093382?s=21

Seth Pecksniff
May 27, 2004

can't believe shrek is fucking dead. rip to a real one.

:sickos:

It's time! Time for another animal -> human mutated jump!

Dren
Jan 5, 2001

Pillbug


https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7035e2.htm?s_cid=mm7035e2_w

Der Kyhe
Jun 25, 2008

low key sex master posted:

:sickos:

It's time! Time for another animal -> human mutated jump!

It more likely means that since COVID-19 can use large, common game like deers as a reserve, it will never go completely away anywhere on the planet. Even if we put all of the "muh rights"-people into a concentration camp or do mandatory vaccinations.

Rescue Toaster
Mar 13, 2003

Dren posted:

You're not wrong but even just "ask your doctor" really sucks when regular doctors mostly just fall back on CDC and FDA recommendations.

Yeah I don't think I've gotten a single useful/actionable piece of advice from any of the 3-4 doctors I've talked to since the start of the pandemic. One of them had a mask hanging around his neck when he came into the room. Regular GP's or specialists in stuff other than infectious diseases have no special insight and probably no time to look carefully enough into your situation (if your situation is unique for medical reasons). The best anyone has done is suggested a N95 might be a good option for me if I'm worried... while I was already wearing an N95.

Even the doctor that prescribed me immunosupressant drugs showed zero interest in doing antibody testing on me. When I ask them or my GP about what I'm supposed to do when COVID lasts another 3+ years due to antivax dipshits I just get a shrug.

ArcMage
Sep 14, 2007

What is this thread?

Ramrod XTreme
I thought we'd been seen SARS-CoV-2 in deer populations? Maybe this is just the first time it's been seen in Ohio?

Zugzwang
Jan 2, 2005

You have a kind of sick desperation in your laugh.


Ramrod XTreme

Dren posted:

You're not wrong but even just "ask your doctor" really sucks when regular doctors mostly just fall back on CDC and FDA recommendations. CDC and FDA have been so slow, getting an appointment to talk to a doctor is so slow, there's no way to really have a dialogue with them.
My mom is immunosuppressed due to a transplant, and I suggested that she should get a 3rd shot due to the data from Israel and publications showing improved antibody titers in transplant recipients. She checked with her transplant doctor and received a detailed email reply explaining why it was a dumb idea. A few days later, the CDC officially recommended it. lol

Raskolnikov2089
Nov 3, 2006

Schizzy to the matic
https://twitter.com/Erni3_M/status/1427631495938727948

Things are going super!

CaptainSarcastic
Jul 6, 2013



I think something that just got announced that people need to be aware of is that the new guidance is that you don't have to space out flu and covid vaccinations by 3 weeks anymore. I know people who got burned by that in the early parts of this year, where they decided to get a flu shot and then were turned down for a covid shot that became available.

Duck and Cover
Apr 6, 2007

Zugzwang posted:

I'm a scientist myself -- not an epidemiologist, but adjacent to covid -- and I have to say that I still find this situation bewildering. How can we trust the CDC when they took ages to promote mask usage or acknowledge community spread/airborne transmission? Or most recently, when they committed the disastrous blunder of saying that the vaccinated may go maskless indoors? What the hell did they think the unvaccinated (many of whom were anti-mask/anti-NPI to begin with) were going to do? While I realize that scientific information is ever-evolving and that we need to keep modifying our beliefs in accordance with new evidence, I keep seeing recommendations being made that violate the precautionary principle, and it's all very :psyduck:

Like, I'm all for not believing random tweets or internet posters. I despair at the death of expertise we're seeing due to disinformation and distrust. But I honestly have no clue how to tell who's an expert on this subject, because so many people who are supposed to be keep loving up so badly, and there's no shortage of well-credentialed hacks in the media pushing whatever agenda.

Stickman posted:

I'm pretty much in the same boat. I'm a public health statistician, but I work primarily with social and behavioral determinants of health and while I have done work with vaccinations I haven't worked directly with COVID. My partner is an epidemiologist in a CDC/state research position who works with infectious diseases but not COVID. I feel reasonably qualified to at least assess the veracity of COVID-related evidence, models, and messaging. Watching the CDC's continual missteps, "white lie" messaging, misuse of statistics, mismanagement of surveillance, and sidelining of the precautionary principle has been horrifying. I understand that politic structures and pressure make it nearly impossible to construct unified and effective pandemic responses in the US, but it's been beyond even that.

It's disheartening to not be able to say "trust the CDC's recommendations and statements about the science" when there's so much twisted misinformation being thrown around, but here we are.

Please consider posting more in COVID threads. Be the change and all that.

I'm not sure being truthful and treating the public as thinking adults would been any better. poo poo masks work? How many do I need? All of them? Okay buying all of them. What do you mean healthcare workers are unable to work? LAZY!

CDC says not to eat horse dewormer? What's this about horse dewormer? Oh gently caress I need to get me some.

Duck and Cover fucked around with this message at 02:52 on Aug 28, 2021

Tiny Timbs
Sep 6, 2008

Zugzwang posted:

My mom is immunosuppressed due to a transplant, and I suggested that she should get a 3rd shot due to the data from Israel and publications showing improved antibody titers in transplant recipients. She checked with her transplant doctor and received a detailed email reply explaining why it was a dumb idea. A few days later, the CDC officially recommended it. lol

Some transplant teams are unhelpful as poo poo and worry more about reducing their workload than helping their patients

I've been really disappointed with our new one

Tiny Timbs fucked around with this message at 02:53 on Aug 28, 2021

Bad Purchase
Jun 17, 2019




Duck and Cover posted:

I'm not sure being truthful and treating the public as thinking adults would been any better. poo poo masks work? How many do I need? All of them? Okay buying all of them. What do you mean healthcare workers are unable to work? LAZY!

CDC says not to eat horse dewormer? What's this about horse dewormer? Oh gently caress I need to get me some.

Nah, by initially telling the public not to wear masks, they didn't actually stop people from panic buying masks -- they were still sold out and hard to find in early 2020. But they did successfully hurt their own credibility. I still have family who love to point out Fauci said not to wear masks, then changed his story, so he's a liar and you can't trust him. Of course, they're all antimask chuds who are looking for any possible reason to avoid personal responsibility, but still, health officials being deceitful does nothing but supply them with fuel for the disinformation machine.

It's better for officials to just be as honest as possible than to try to be puppet masters or use reverse psychology to trick people into doing the right thing. They're not competent enough for that to work, and it only takes a small percentage of people being unconvinced to hoard the entire world's retail supply of toliet paper, n95 masks, or :horsedrugs:.

Tunicate
May 15, 2012

They specifically said that wearing a mask was worse than not wearing one. It was not just telling people not to wear them.

CaptainSarcastic
Jul 6, 2013



Zugzwang posted:

I'm a scientist myself -- not an epidemiologist, but adjacent to covid -- and I have to say that I still find this situation bewildering. How can we trust the CDC when they took ages to promote mask usage or acknowledge community spread/airborne transmission? Or most recently, when they committed the disastrous blunder of saying that the vaccinated may go maskless indoors? What the hell did they think the unvaccinated (many of whom were anti-mask/anti-NPI to begin with) were going to do? While I realize that scientific information is ever-evolving and that we need to keep modifying our beliefs in accordance with new evidence, I keep seeing recommendations being made that violate the precautionary principle, and it's all very :psyduck:

Like, I'm all for not believing random tweets or internet posters. I despair at the death of expertise we're seeing due to disinformation and distrust. But I honestly have no clue how to tell who's an expert on this subject, because so many people who are supposed to be keep loving up so badly, and there's no shortage of well-credentialed hacks in the media pushing whatever agenda.

The bolded part above is what led me to be more skeptical of the CDC at this point. I was skeptical when Trump was at the helm, but I had hoped for better after he was gone. Instead we got a practical blanket lifting of mask mandates mid-week in mid-May, and it was off to the loving races. I talked poo poo about that at the time, and it's one of those "I told you so" things that I wish I had been wrong about.

Bad Purchase
Jun 17, 2019




Tunicate posted:

They specifically said that wearing a mask was worse than not wearing one. It was not just telling people not to wear them.

My dad still claims this is true and argues with people who ask him to wear one, because the mask acts like a fisherman's net for covid particles and draws them into your mouth.

But also, if you tell him that masks are to prevent you from spewing your covid cloud to other people, he will immediately pivot to the holes in masks being too big to capture covid particles.

He has a PhD in a science (physics). It's really depressing coming to the slow realization that the parents you once thought were super smart are, and probably always have been, amazingly stupid.

ArbitraryC
Jan 28, 2009
Pick a number, any number
Pillbug

CaptainSarcastic posted:

The bolded part above is what led me to be more skeptical of the CDC at this point. I was skeptical when Trump was at the helm, but I had hoped for better after he was gone. Instead we got a practical blanket lifting of mask mandates mid-week in mid-May, and it was off to the loving races. I talked poo poo about that at the time, and it's one of those "I told you so" things that I wish I had been wrong about.

For p much everyone who's stance was "democrats only care about this pandemic for political leverage as the out of power party and will immediately flip when Biden is at the helm" it was the neon sign that they were right, politics suck, and you can in fact not get off mr bone's wild ride.

Faustian Bargain
Apr 12, 2014


Imagine hospitals just sending folks with Covid home if they aren’t vaccinated by choice.

Duck and Cover
Apr 6, 2007

Bad Purchase posted:

Nah, by initially telling the public not to wear masks, they didn't actually stop people from panic buying masks -- they were still sold out and hard to find in early 2020. But they did successfully hurt their own credibility. I still have family who love to point out Fauci said not to wear masks, then changed his story, so he's a liar and you can't trust him. Of course, they're all antimask chuds who are looking for any possible reason to avoid personal responsibility, but still, health officials being deceitful does nothing but supply them with fuel for the disinformation machine.

It's better for officials to just be as honest as possible than to try to be puppet masters or use reverse psychology to trick people into doing the right thing. They're not competent enough for that to work, and it only takes a small percentage of people being unconvinced to hoard the entire world's retail supply of toliet paper, n95 masks, or :horsedrugs:.

It's easy to go "whelp that didn't work" after the fact while being unable to tell if it would have been worse had they suggested buying masks. I of course bought masks, I'm not an idiot and I care more about myself and my family then I do about the healthcare worker I'll never know.

I prefer whatever is the most effective, and while I suspect in the long term eroding trust in the CDC is worse in the short term it might have been the right move.

Tunicate posted:

They specifically said that wearing a mask was worse than not wearing one. It was not just telling people not to wear them.

I'm going to need a source on this.

edit: Actually I didn't order n95s until 11/4/20 but we did already have some before all this started so whatever and I had a respirator as well.

Duck and Cover fucked around with this message at 04:55 on Aug 28, 2021

Zugzwang
Jan 2, 2005

You have a kind of sick desperation in your laugh.


Ramrod XTreme
Some doctors were arguing that masks were worse than no masks because they’d encourage excess face-touching, and face-touching is what everyone was obsessed with at the time. I don’t remember if the CDC was saying that though.

CaptainSarcastic posted:

The bolded part above is what led me to be more skeptical of the CDC at this point. I was skeptical when Trump was at the helm, but I had hoped for better after he was gone. Instead we got a practical blanket lifting of mask mandates mid-week in mid-May, and it was off to the loving races. I talked poo poo about that at the time, and it's one of those "I told you so" things that I wish I had been wrong about.
This kind of policy whiplash is so effective at eroding trust in authorities, it’s a thing that bad actors provoke deliberately.

Detheros
Apr 11, 2010

I want to die.



Faustian Bargain posted:

Imagine hospitals just sending folks with Covid home if they aren’t vaccinated by choice.

:crnasickos:

ymgve
Jan 2, 2004


:dukedog:
Offensive Clock

Duck and Cover posted:

I'm going to need a source on this.

I remember lots of posts in this thread being "normal people can't use masks properly and will touch their face and mask too much and it will be worse than no mask" at the start of 2020. No official source though

Inept
Jul 8, 2003

Duck and Cover posted:

I'm going to need a source on this.

the surgeon general, multiple times on fox & friends

lol

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/surgeon-general-against-masks/

Duck and Cover
Apr 6, 2007

ymgve posted:

I remember lots of posts in this thread being "normal people can't use masks properly and will touch their face and mask too much and it will be worse than no mask" at the start of 2020. No official source though

Oh absolutely I remember posts being like masks are super difficult to put on properly and if you don't put them on properly they are worthless. I'm not a super genius but gently caress people are dumb.

Inept posted:

the surgeon general, multiple times on fox & friends

lol

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/surgeon-general-against-masks/

Not CDC, but that's just me nitpicking, close enough. Thanks.

Duck and Cover fucked around with this message at 04:32 on Aug 28, 2021

Mulaney Power Move
Dec 30, 2004

Anonymous Zebra posted:

As a scientist and academic who frequently works in public policy and who has spent that last year and a half working on COVID-19 and meeting research groups to adapt policy at a city, county and state level, and whom is married to an epidemiologist who has literally spent the last year studying and publishing on COVID-19 and who is also on these same policy boards, and who went to graduate school with and am still close friends with people working in the federal response to COVID-19, my advice to you is to not take any advice from a bunch of random people on SomethingAwful.com when it comes to anything related to COVID-19.


you sure mastered the academic art of the run on sentence

Comfy Fleece Sweater
Apr 2, 2013

You see, but you do not observe.

Faustian Bargain posted:

Imagine hospitals just sending folks with Covid home if they aren’t vaccinated by choice.

Wait

So hospitals heal you, that's where you go when you can't breathe

But also the same people want to vaccinate you, but you don't want that

:thunk:

spacetoaster
Feb 10, 2014

Zugzwang posted:

Some doctors were arguing that masks were worse than no masks because they’d encourage excess face-touching, and face-touching is what everyone was obsessed with at the time. I don’t remember if the CDC was saying that though.

Yeah, Dr. Fauci was spreading that early on.

He later came out and said that he only said that so people wouldn't buy up all the masks that medical people needed.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QaZ5l1X7cTo&t=345s

acejackson42
Mar 27, 2005

You didn't say what I think you said...

Did we seriously have some fuckwit here yammering about kids being sent to school as no problem because of the CDC recommendations? When the places where this is the worst, the spread is the most uncontrolled and people are dying the fastest are places that literally make it their business to not follow any of those recommendations? There's disingenuous, and then there's just plain, rank stupidity. Dunning Kruger at it's finest.

That, and it really is a loving death cult, top to bottom.

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
US outbreaks force early reversals on in-person learning

quote:

“We just couldn’t manage it with that much staff out, having to cover classes and the spread so rapid,” said Eddie Morris, superintendent of the 1,050-student Johnson County district in Georgia. With 40% of students in quarantine or isolation, the district shifted last week to online instruction until Sept. 13.

quote:

In Georgia, more than 68,000 students — over 4% of the state’s 1.7 million in public schools — are affected by shutdowns so far. Many superintendents said they have already recorded more cases and quarantines than during all of last year, when most rural districts held in-person classes for most students.

Don’t worry. There’s a solution.

quote:

The onslaught is driving changes in mask policies. Weeks before school started, only a handful of large districts covering fewer than a quarter of students across Georgia were requiring face coverings. Now, mask mandates cover more than half of students.

Part of the mask policy change is driven by a shift in U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidance. The CDC now advises that when everyone is wearing masks, exposed students 3 feet (1 meter) or more apart don’t have to be sent home if they’re not showing symptoms.

Angela Williams, the superintendent in Burke County, Georgia, said she believes masks and that rule will allow her 4,200-student district near Augusta to avoid further disruptions after its current two-week shutdown.

“That is going to cut down on the number of students we’re having to quarantine,” Williams said.

Georgia told districts in early August that they could choose their own quarantine policy, and some loosened rules.

Zugzwang
Jan 2, 2005

You have a kind of sick desperation in your laugh.


Ramrod XTreme

spacetoaster posted:

He later came out and said that he only said that so people wouldn't buy up all the masks that medical people needed.
If only Tmrpu wasn’t president then, we could have done something like have the feds buy them all and distribute them as needed. And ensure adequate supply beyond that. And…

Platystemon posted:

Don’t worry. There’s a solution.
Where on earth did this 3 feet of distancing thing come from?

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS

Zugzwang posted:

If only Tmrpu wasn’t president then, we could have done something like have the feds buy them all and distribute them as needed. And ensure adequate supply beyond that. And…

Where on earth did this 3 feet of distancing thing come from?

This awful Massachusetts study co‐authored by thread favorite health economist Emily Oster

Zugzwang
Jan 2, 2005

You have a kind of sick desperation in your laugh.


Ramrod XTreme

Platystemon posted:

This awful Massachusetts study co‐authored by thread favorite health economist Emily Oster
lol

Imagine taking health advice from an academic version of Malcolm Gladwell who’s backed by right-wing billionaires.

You don’t have to imagine it, because tons of people are doing just that!!

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
This New York Times article has context.

quote:

The new guidance emphasizes that good air flow and ventilation in school buildings is a critical component of maintaining a safe environment, and continues to stress multiple layers of preventive behaviors including universal masking, hand washing, cleaning buildings and doing contact tracing, combined with isolation and quarantine.

They never learn.

quote:

In announcing the change, the C.D.C. director, Dr. Rochelle Walensky, cited findings from studies in several states. “We are following the science,” she said.

mkvltra
Nov 1, 2020

Anonymous Zebra posted:

As a scientist and academic who frequently works in public policy and who has spent that last year and a half working on COVID-19 and meeting research groups to adapt policy at a city, county and state level, and whom is married to an epidemiologist who has literally spent the last year studying and publishing on COVID-19 and who is also on these same policy boards, and who went to graduate school with and am still close friends with people working in the federal response to COVID-19, my advice to you is to not take any advice from a bunch of random people on SomethingAwful.com when it comes to anything related to COVID-19.

Speak to your doctor and take only the advice of other medical professionals who you have had a chance to talk with one on one. That's it. Not tweets from random people, not interpretations of tweets by other random people. Talk to your doctor, read CDC guidelines, stick to actual experts. 95% of the people in this thread over time have badly misinterpreted or simplified complex concepts beyond use. 4.99% are actively (either through malice or trolling) spreading misinformation, and the 0.1% who I've noticed actually seeming to share real nuanced data interpretation have stopped posting in here ages ago.

By all means, don't trust me, and don't listen to me, just don't listen to anyone else that you can't confirm is an expert as well.

Stickman posted:

Please consider posting more in COVID threads. Be the change and all that.

So is working at least 40 hours a week towards 'the change' not enough for you or?

Sanctum
Feb 14, 2005

Property was their religion
A church for one

Duck and Cover posted:

I'm going to need a source on this.

edit: Actually I didn't order n95s until 11/4/20 but we did already have some before all this started so whatever and I had a respirator as well.
I know in California during the 2018 fires we had elderly people dying because they were wearing properly-fitted N95 masks at all times and already suffered from difficulty breathing. The masks weren't really necessary indoors at all times. You can see the smoke between 2 rooms, you can taste it. If the air is bad indoors you will know the air is bad.

So during the 2019 fires health officials specifically recommended against wearing a mask indoors for this reason.

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS


Welcome to the forums, Doctor Walensky.

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slinkimalinki
Jan 17, 2010

Sanctum posted:

I know in California during the 2018 fires we had elderly people dying because they were wearing properly-fitted N95 masks at all times and already suffered from difficulty breathing.

Wait, what were they dying of?

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