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Cold on a Cob
Feb 6, 2006

i've seen so much, i'm going blind
and i'm brain dead virtually

College Slice
NUMBER of stuck container ships go UP

https://www.businessinsider.com/shipping-delays-china-supply-chain-record-ships-stuck-california-ports-2021-8

quote:

Forty-four container ships are stuck outside California ports, worsening shipping delays and costs.
This tops the previous pandemic record, set in February, of 40 ships.
The ports account for about one-third of US imports, serving as a main source of trade with China.

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meanolmrcloud
Apr 5, 2004

rock out with your stock out

really feeling for the 40 million new iPhones that will either be stuck in mainland China, or stuck on a boat, or stolen from its packing by a min wage slave before reaching customers

Torpor
Oct 20, 2008

.. and now for my next trick, I'll pretend to be a political commentator...

HONK HONK

is the TEU amounts they are handling that much higher than before?

cool av
Mar 2, 2013

Often Abbreviated posted:

I feel like post 2016 we've switched firmly into the era of "the pie in shrinking faster and faster every year", and anyone whose job is in pie growth or pie maintenance knows this, knows there's nothing they can do about it, and so lies that pie is growing bigger and faster than ever whilst stealing whatever crumbs they can for themselves before it's all gone.

hmmm....number go up, you say?

cool av
Mar 2, 2013

brb, i'm gonna go invest in some stocks

Azuth0667
Sep 20, 2011

By the word of Zoroaster, no business decision is poor when it involves Ahura Mazda.

This isn't that good because it relies upon declared disasters. lovely chud governors aren't going to declare a disaster if they can avoid it.

Torpor
Oct 20, 2008

.. and now for my next trick, I'll pretend to be a political commentator...

HONK HONK
https://www.portoflosangeles.org/business/statistics/container-statistics/historical-teu-statistics-2019

https://www.portoflosangeles.org/business/statistics/container-statistics/historical-teu-statistics-2021



The numbers dont seem that much higher, but what do I know I don't run a port.

Azuth0667
Sep 20, 2011

By the word of Zoroaster, no business decision is poor when it involves Ahura Mazda.

Pittsburgh Fentanyl Cloud posted:

The Poconos is a nest of resentment right now because there's talk of a commuter train from NYC to there 3x a day eventually and they're upset that the wrong type of people might show up. I wouldn't live in NE Pennsylvania right now if I were given a house for free.

e: I just looked at that living wage link you sent and that's no bueno, Schuylkill County is *NOT* the Poconos and it's an utter shithole. Don't go near the coal region.

Anywhere in Pennsylvania outside of State College, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia is a place you won't want to live. It's all chuds, rotting small towns and awful old people.

Palladium
May 8, 2012

Very Good
✔️✔️✔️✔️

"It's all China's fault for our lovely infra"

China's has top 7 spots out of the world's top 10 ports in TEU, and their last of the 7 still beats LA and Long Beach combined

China alone also has 56% of TEU handled in the top 50 ports in 2020, lmao

HAIL eSATA-n
Apr 7, 2007


Azuth0667 posted:

Anywhere in Pennsylvania outside of State College, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia is a place you won't want to live. It's all chuds, rotting small towns and awful old people.

this applies to all of the US

Spime Wrangler
Feb 23, 2003

Because we can.


Looking at just Jan-July it's 17% higher total import volume than 2019 (+487k TEU), and 36% more total volume (+1.7m TEU).

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
dont move to pennsylvania

rex rabidorum vires
Mar 26, 2007

KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN KASPERI KAPANEN

Torpor posted:

is the TEU amounts they are handling that much higher than before?

We've been through this multiple times already lol. Covid is loving up stevedores, equipment is breaking and there aren't parts/bodies to fix it, the ports are backed up with tons of empties that can't go anywhere because full ship isn't/can't be worked quickly enough, getting loaded stuff off port is utterly and completely broken in multiple different ways, and direct rail off port to in land is also utterly hosed for many of the same reasons.

In Training
Jun 28, 2008

don't move or I'll shoot!!!!

biceps crimes
Apr 12, 2008


You assume I have roots and community in the yuppieville I currently occupy. Everyone is either a transplant or a soon to die old local who will be replaced by a transplant because none of their children can afford the property taxes

Azuth0667
Sep 20, 2011

By the word of Zoroaster, no business decision is poor when it involves Ahura Mazda.

HAIL eSATA-n posted:

this applies to all of the US

You have not been to Pennsylvania. It's like worst parts of the stereotypical south.

Judakel posted:

dont move to pennsylvania

Torpor
Oct 20, 2008

.. and now for my next trick, I'll pretend to be a political commentator...

HONK HONK
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4THv2qQjLhc

Michael Hudson explains what we're seeing and how it is the intended product of American economic orthodox.

Bar Ran Dun
Jan 22, 2006




Torpor posted:

is the TEU amounts they are handling that much higher than before?

no but as ships got larger US marine terminals didn’t really keep up. before the pandemic they were always just barely hanging on on the West Coast with regards to capacity and container flow rates.

it’s hard to ever get out of a hole if you were only able to tread water before the poo poo hit the fan.

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool

Torpor posted:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4THv2qQjLhc

Michael Hudson explains what we're seeing and how it is the intended product of American economic orthodox.

buddy i love being a complete grognard when it comes to loving economics but theres no way in the loving world im watching an hour and fifty minutes of this poo poo, gimme the tl;dr

actionjackson
Jan 12, 2003

Trabisnikof posted:

Being in the footprint of the Peshtigo fire is just as much of a climate fire risk as being in the footprint of the Paradise fire.


I'm confused, there are wildfires constantly in the west, but the midwest fire you cite was... 150 years ago?

Torpor
Oct 20, 2008

.. and now for my next trick, I'll pretend to be a political commentator...

HONK HONK

anime was right posted:

buddy i love being a complete grognard when it comes to loving economics but theres no way in the loving world im watching an hour and fifty minutes of this poo poo, gimme the tl;dr

an hour and 50 minutes? try 4 x 1 hour and 30 minute lectures :buddy:

He is basically talking about how classical economics gave way to financialization bringing back the evils of pre-capitalism in the form of monopolies, big banks, and land lords, the Rentier class. Whereas capitalism was intended to be a market free from monopolies, banks, and rentier classes. It wasn't quite working as intended so at some point in the 1800s they tried to further tweak the system into more socialism and trying to industrialize. In order to run an industrial capitalist economy the central government needs to be strong and reduce the price of labor by providing utilities and infrastructure and keeping housing prices low.

You can tell the US is heavily invested in financial capitalism because the price of labor is high as well as housing and healthcare, etc. A large reason for this is the economic schools and textbooks teach an unrealistic form of economics where every country should specialize in its own area of expertise and trade that for some other country's chosen specialy. The problem with this orthodoxy is that it produces a rentier class that produces nothing and essentially collects rent from people being alive.


more or less

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool

Torpor posted:

an hour and 50 minutes? try 4 x 1 hour and 30 minute lectures :buddy:

He is basically talking about how classical economics gave way to financialization bringing back the evils of pre-capitalism in the form of monopolies, big banks, and land lords, the Rentier class. Whereas capitalism was intended to be a market free from monopolies, banks, and rentier classes. It wasn't quite working as intended so at some point in the 1800s they tried to further tweak the system into more socialism and trying to industrialize. In order to run an industrial capitalist economy the central government needs to be strong and reduce the price of labor by providing utilities and infrastructure and keeping housing prices low.

You can tell the US is heavily invested in financial capitalism because the price of labor is high as well as housing and healthcare, etc. A large reason for this is the economic schools and textbooks teach an unrealistic form of economics where every country should specialize in its own area of expertise and trade that for some other country's chosen specialy. The problem with this orthodoxy is that it produces a rentier class that produces nothing and essentially collects rent from people being alive.


more or less

ty

Relevant Tangent
Nov 18, 2016

Tangentially Relevant

Lostconfused posted:

Starting to feel like things are going to be a bit too unpredictable and unstable for automation to really do its thing in the future.

automation with human characteristics

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

actionjackson posted:

I'm confused, there are wildfires constantly in the west, but the midwest fire you cite was... 150 years ago?

i cited it because it was the deadliest wildfire in american history. but there are lots of ongoing fires in the midwest too, like the Greenwood Fire burning in MN right now.

and climate change is going to make it a lot worse:

https://www.ucsusa.org/sites/default/files/legacy/assets/documents/global_warming/greatlakes_final.pdf

quote:

Prior to widespread fire-suppression efforts during the twentieth century, fire was an important agent shaping the composition and distribution of forests in the region.134 Fires swept through the northern
forests every 10 to 50 years, maintaining nearly 75 percent of the land area as young, recently burned forest stands. Surface fires that consumed dead leaves and twigs lying on the ground were common in hardwood forests growing on moist soils, whereas severe canopy-consuming fire often destroyed red and jack pine forest on dry, sandy soil.135 Fire history studies have shown that over the past 750 years, fire was more frequent during periods of warm temperatures and low precipitation,136 which suggests forest fire frequency is likely to increase as the climate turns warmer and summers become drier. In fact, as a result of the projected higher temperatures and lower summer precipitation, models suggest decreased soil moisture during summer and autumn,* which would not only increase the fire risk but also limit forest growth in drier areas for more weeks per summer. In wetter areas, forest growth is rarely water limited. The response to changing soil moisture will also interact with changes in fire frequency, since forests in drier areas are more fire-prone.


the whole point is you can't just look at large swaths of america and assume the climate risks are evenly distributed. you have to look at specific locales to understand their specific risks. Even down to the specific trees and aquifers. Jack Pines are hosed, Oaks are less hosed. And so on.

Centrist Committee
Aug 6, 2019

SKULL.GIF posted:

feudalism but the lords won't even bother even pretending that they'll go to fight for you

Skull, let be perfectly frank. This is the most important election of our lifetime. I am asking for your support as I fight to the deliver bold, lasting change that we all deserve. Will you join me?

GEMorris
Aug 28, 2002

Glory To the Order!
The catabolism druid guy wrote a good follow up article thats timely:

https://www.resilience.org/stories/2021-04-09/a-sense-of-deja-vu/

actionjackson posted:

how many SF is your house lol

3000 above grade (with high ceilings), with a conditioned basement of 1500 sq ft. In reality it needed two 2.5 ton units but Trane doesnt make the units I wanted in that size, so I had to go up.

Figured the extra capacity would be good dealing with climate change heat events provided the power stays on. Lmao.

Trabisnikof posted:

... focus on where you have in-group status instead of marginal climate scores.

because while we might guess the invasive species timeline wrong, or deplete this aquifer over that aquifer we know that when things go bad its worse to be an outsider.

This right here is some sage loving advice.

actionjackson
Jan 12, 2003

wait you have a 4500 square foot home

why

GEMorris
Aug 28, 2002

Glory To the Order!

actionjackson posted:

wait you have a 4500 square foot home

why

Well I took my remote tech job to a cheaper market and I found someone's lifelong passion project which was a reproduction of the "Lightfoot House" from Williamsburg VA. It was in our price range and fit our aesthetic and I'm glad we bought it even if it is more than we need.

Also the basement is conditioned but not finished. Its a basement. Only count those sq ft if you'd also count garage sq ft (our house does not have a garage).

2fat4sex
Apr 18, 2005



Azuth0667 posted:

Anywhere in Pennsylvania outside of State College, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia is a place you won't want to live. It's all chuds, rotting small towns and awful old people.

Please don't denigrate the Eastern Seaboard Warehouse Park, formerly known as the Lehigh Valley

BornAPoorBlkChild
Sep 24, 2012
The Boomers Are At It Again

dunno why Meemaw N' Pepep felt the need to turn LinkedIn into another Facebook, but here we are

Mr. Lobe
Feb 23, 2007

... Dry bones...


skooma512 posted:

Does America even have any long term plans? Even on paper?

I'm seriously asking. We all know the real answer is funneling cash to their donors, but what is the PR? Is there even any?


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i7Cs30k0j60

Boywhiz88
Sep 11, 2005

floating 26" off da ground. BURR!

GEMorris posted:

Also the basement is conditioned but not finished. Its a basement. Only count those sq ft if you'd also count garage sq ft (our house does not have a garage).

What. That space is magically unusable or not part of your house? Just shut up and own up that you have a ridiculously sized house and that includes its basement. Otherwise, seal the basement off like the Cask of Amontillado.

Cold on a Cob
Feb 6, 2006

i've seen so much, i'm going blind
and i'm brain dead virtually

College Slice

GEMorris posted:

The catabolism druid guy wrote a good follow up article thats timely:

https://www.resilience.org/stories/2021-04-09/a-sense-of-deja-vu/


quote:

(I should probably pause here to deal with the most common response to Jevons’ Paradox, which amounts to an anguished cry of “But that’s not fair!” No, it’s not fair, but it’s true anyway. The universe has never heard of human notions of fairness. If by some bizarre chance it did hear about those notions, it would simply shrug and keep on doing things the way it likes, since the universe cares about the preferences of one species of social primate on the third rock from a nondescript star in the suburbs of an ordinary galaxy about as much as you care about the preferences of the bacteria on the soles of your shoes. Does that makes you very, very upset? Here again, the universe will not notice, much less care. Screaming at the laws of nature may make you feel better temporarily, but it won’t budge them one iota.

(And if it seems paradoxical to you that a Druid who prays to pagan deities and practices ceremonial magic should be saying this in response to the behavior of people who by and large consider themselves practical-minded rationalists, trust me, the irony has not escaped my attention either. Thank you, and we now return to this week’s regularly scheduled post.)

i loving love this guy

Mr Hootington
Jul 24, 2008

I'M HAVING A HOOT EATING CORNETTE THE LONG WAY
Europe’s Factory Backlog Hits Record on Global Supply Squeeze



quote:

European factories saw unfilled orders rise to an unprecedented level in August as companies struggled to meet demand amid widespread bottlenecks in the global supply chain.
There were “clear signs of strong capacity constraints,” according to an IHS Markit survey of purchasing managers, which showed the shortfall of manufacturing production relative to orders surpassing a 24-year record seen in July.

While the euro-area economy is rebounding from coronavirus lockdowns, shortages of parts and raw materials and a lack of shipping capacity are proving more stubborn than initially expected, threatening to delay the recovery.

The issue also risks fueling inflation, which is already running at a 10-year high of 3% due to energy and a range of special factors. The survey found some of the cost pressures facing manufacturers and their customers easing slightly, while remaining at historically high levels.
“Euro-zone manufacturers reported another month of buoyant production in August,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit. “The overriding issue was again a lack of components, however, with suppliers either unable to produce enough parts or are facing a lack of shipping capacity to meet logistics demand.”
There were also signs that southern-European countries, which were initially hit much harder by the pandemic than their northern neighbors, are catching up. While the overall indicator of euro-area manufacturing activity slipped to 61.4 from 62.8 a month earlier, it rose in Italy, Spain and Greece.


It is weird to me that various concerns outlined in the article are not applied to USA manufacturing and Inflation.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

unfinished basement is not normally counted in the sq ft. it’s a big deal for taxes and marketing sometimes

cold air goes down so you don’t need to cool below grade rooms in the basement usually

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

I’m listening to local news in a waiting room and the stories are : industrial supply disruptions, ending unemployment benefits, evictions, spread of corona, and closing schools

Lmao

Palladium
May 8, 2012

Very Good
✔️✔️✔️✔️

Wraith of J.O.I. posted:

rentier economy we love it folks don’t we

with bootstraps

Minera
Sep 26, 2007

All your friends and foes,
they thought they knew ya,
but look who's in your heart now.

Mr Hootington posted:

Europe’s Factory Backlog Hits Record on Global Supply Squeeze


It is weird to me that various concerns outlined in the article are not applied to USA manufacturing and Inflation.

the factory i work at has orders backed up to the next two years and they're currently falling behind like 20-30% of their production schedule

their solution to this was to move to a 24/7 schedule and increase their worker count by a third, and so they've had a huge hiring push to pick up nearly a hundred people by the middle of September

over the past month they've managed to hire 13 people and they had to fire two of them already lmfao

Tubgoat
Jun 30, 2013

by sebmojo
The hotel at which I work nights is not slowing down. :(

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mawarannahr
May 21, 2019

business is good: good for business!

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