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Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

spaceblancmange posted:

Was there one before this or was the chat about it just in other threads up until that point? I'm sure I read about it here in December

the old one closed down because it got too many posts and was slowing down the forums. the one before that one was the original.

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Stereotype
Apr 24, 2010

College Slice

spaceblancmange posted:

Was there one before this or was the chat about it just in other threads up until that point? I'm sure I read about it here in December

i believe it was mostly being talked about in other threads

Covok
May 27, 2013

Yet where is that woman now? Tell me, in what heave does she reside? None of them. Because no God bothered to listen or care. If that is what you think it means to be a God, then you and all your teachings are welcome to do as that poor women did. And vanish from these realms forever.

Shiroc posted:

Blue Maga has controlled the narrative because any adults who die were just chuds and kids or vaxed people who die or get long covid are simply unfortunate statistical outliers that you can't change your behavior for. Zero covid was not possible. China, Taiwan, Australia and New Zealand don't exist.

About Australia...

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

i've got some classic feigl-ding's to share
https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1220843228964016130?s=20

I still wish we did that

fosborb
Dec 15, 2006



Chronic Good Poster

spaceblancmange posted:

Was there one before this or was the chat about it just in other threads up until that point? I'm sure I read about it here in December

how very right, and how very wrong this goon was, from dec 18, 2019, the doomsday econ thread:

Tashilicious posted:

So I know people keep going on about how they're going to keep the economy going until the election, but I am convinced that it's not going to work. It's a teetering castle of cards and poo poo is going to hit the fan. The harder they push it off, the worse it will hit. All it takes is for the African Swine Flu to get somewhere not-china. Or for something else to happen. For a big terrorism scare. For another SARS but this time in NewYork. Something unplanned and unforseen and just poof, gently caress us all.

Stereotype
Apr 24, 2010

College Slice

Judakel posted:

the old one closed down because it got too many posts and was slowing down the forums. the one before that one was the original.

there have been 5 total covid threads including this one. there was the original in January 2020, then they went monthly after The Great Panic and there was a new one in April, then another in May, but then the June one lasted until just recently when this thread (the fifth) was started.

RC Cola
Aug 1, 2011

Dovie'andi se tovya sagain
Covid over why are we posting about Covid

Zeriel
Nov 6, 2004

COVID? I barely know her! :haw:

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

https://twitter.com/ferrisjabr/status/1220963553911271424?s=20
https://twitter.com/ferrisjabr/status/1220969972215631872?s=20
https://twitter.com/ferrisjabr/status/1221147251386380288?s=20

lol Eric was right even if the specifics were wrong

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Stereotype posted:

there have been 5 total covid threads including this one. there was the original in January 2020, then they went monthly after The Great Panic and there was a new one in April, then another in May, but then the June one lasted until just recently when this thread (the fifth) was started.

they just bled together in my mind

TotalHell
Feb 22, 2005

Roman Reigns fights CM Punk in fantasy warld. Lotsa violins, so littl kids cant red it.


Judakel posted:

if you're posting in this thread, you're in on the ground floor, because covid will destroy the world that tries to live with it and this process will take decades:)

oh sweet, the ground floor!!

Der Meister
May 12, 2001

fosborb posted:

check this poo poo out:



:cripes:

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

lmao literally just a science writer

Stereotype
Apr 24, 2010

College Slice

RC Cola posted:

Covid over why are we posting about Covid

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

i love this guy.
https://twitter.com/ferrisjabr/status/1224779636170604544?s=20

early 2020 was such a different time. except the media is saying the same stuff now so idk, maybe it was the same

RC Cola
Aug 1, 2011

Dovie'andi se tovya sagain

Yeah it's over its fine brunch

Stereotype
Apr 24, 2010

College Slice
eric crackl-ping found people who had estimated a October/November 2019 start to the disease back in January 2020

https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1221141364647264256

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

fosborb posted:

wherein zeynep discovers that yes, the outbreak that hit loving CNN breaking news on Dec 31st was in fact known by actual, serious scientists around the world a bit ahead of that

https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1432869196216651777?s=19

this timeline was even in that netflix documentary last year too. jfc we have to stop giving these people platforms

I tried to dig into this, and there appears to be some merit to her surprise.

gradenko_2000 posted:

I went back to the very first COVID-19 thread and we started in January 23, 2020, after Wuhan had already gone into lockdown.

I'm trying to find whatever articles may have existed from as early into the outbreak as possible.

By January 9th, there was already one death and it was hitting mainstream news: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/1/9/china-says-wuhan-disease-outbreak-may-be-new-coronavirus-report

I narrowed my search further into January 3rd and found this report from SCMP: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3044535/wuhan-pneumonia-dramatic-rise-cases-44-11-serious

It links back to a report from December 31st, 2019: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3044050/mystery-illness-hits-chinas-wuhan-city-nearly-30-hospitalised

Also on this day, Peter Daszak (why the hell does this guy keep coming up in connection with coronavirus?) was tweeting about it:

https://twitter.com/PeterDaszak/status/1212013576241733633

The post he links in that tweet cites a couple of articles dated Dec 30, 2019.

does anyone have any links to any articles that could narrow it down earlier? Most for archival / historical purposes.

I couldn't find anything earlier than December 30, 2019 as a public report acknowledging the COVID outbreak, and Tufekci specifically addresses that she's familiar with this ProMED email that Daszak was posting about on the 30th, but that's the 30th - not the 15th.

https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1432872308822233089

Having said that, it's likely that Lipkin is merely getting his dates wrong.

There's a difference between "we know now that the virus started spreading earlier than when we thought it did" and "what was the earliest date that people knew about it, at the time"

Stereotype
Apr 24, 2010

College Slice
so i guess jeffery epstein had a 90 day timer on his dead-man's switch that released covid

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool

the surface thing turned out to be wrong but lol

Caseman
Mar 21, 2006

This has been posted before but this feels like the opposite of a crack ping, I kinda feel like my entire brain structure has collapsed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JhRb5hnTseU
Dr. John has been a primary source for me this entire pandemic. I believe I found him from CSPAM COVID thread one. I tend to believe he has a good idea what the medical consensus is and a pretty good idea of where we're heading.

So we've just given up? If the current situation in hospitals and schools is us giving a poo poo about this virus, what the gently caress is giving up going to do?
They're going to stop doing free public testing. The number doesn't matter anymore because everyone is going to get it. Everyone. The number of cases will eventually just be the number of people. This is the bleakest this has seemed to me since it began.
Herd Immunity is impossible, it is never coming. This virus is just going to mutate and re-spread through the entire population over and over again until what?

Is public health really completely incompatible with our culture, economy, and government? COVID just wins because we're all so loving stupid? After all the goddamn insane poo poo humanity has managed to survive, this is the thing that's going to actually turn us into a scene from Children of Men.

razorscooter
Nov 5, 2008


https://twitter.com/debdrens/status/1432893092110249984

you can just put it in a smoothie or coffee if you're worried about flavor, smh

Der Meister
May 12, 2001

i am in llove with Eric crack ping

Shiroc
May 16, 2009

Sorry I'm late

Covok posted:

About Australia...

Failing now but did a really good job there for a while.

Fasdar
Sep 1, 2001

Everybody loves dancing!
Yeah so what exactly is the "psychological harm" bullshit regarding masks and preventative, pro-social behavior that seems to have really taken off recently? Like, is the argument that it is psychologically harmful to be concerned about at risk individuals and the on-going death toll of COVID? Or that the masks, themselves, cause some kind of psychological harm because mouths are magic?

Did I just accidentally summarize it or is there more to this line of nonsense?

Shiroc
May 16, 2009

Sorry I'm late
Masks means a bad thing is happening. No masks means no bad things because unless the deaths impact you, they aren't real. Don't listen to the news man because its just depressing and you have to live your life.

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



lol at this poo poo idiot country. open up and let everyone die. third impact this bitch

McNugget Buddy
Aug 14, 2021

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Fasdar posted:

Yeah so what exactly is the "psychological harm" bullshit regarding masks and preventative, pro-social behavior that seems to have really taken off recently? Like, is the argument that it is psychologically harmful to be concerned about at risk individuals and the on-going death toll of COVID? Or that the masks, themselves, cause some kind of psychological harm because mouths are magic?

Did I just accidentally summarize it or is there more to this line of nonsense?

This is the policy Capitalist countries are following: The Great Barrington Declaration

quote:

The Great Barrington Declaration was sponsored by the American Institute for Economic Research, a libertarian free market think tank associated with climate change denial.

quote:

The declaration says that lockdowns have adverse effects on physical and mental health, for example, because people postpone preventive healthcare. They propose reducing these harms by ending mandatory restrictions on most activities for most people. Without these restrictions, more people will develop COVID-19. They believe that these infections will produce herd immunity (the idea that when enough people become immune, then the virus will stop circulating widely), which will eventually make it less likely that high-risk people will be exposed to the virus.

The authors say that, instead of protecting everyone, the focus should instead be on "shielding" those most at risk, with few mandatory restrictions placed on the remainder of the population. Stanford epidemiologist Yvonne Maldonado said that 40% of Americans have an elevated risk of dying from COVID-19, so this would require keeping the 40% of people with known risk factors away from the 60% of people without known risk factors.

The declaration names specific economic changes that the signatories favour: resuming "life as normal", with schools and universities open for in-person teaching and extracurricular activities, re-opening offices, restaurants, and other places of work, and resuming mass gatherings for cultural and athletic activities. By October, many of these things had already happened in some parts of the world, but likewise were being restricted elsewhere; for instance the UK saw quarantines of students, travel advisories, restrictions on meeting other people, and partial closures of schools, pubs and restaurants.

The declaration does not provide practical details about who should be protected or how they can be protected. For instance, it does not mention testing any people outside of nursing homes, contact tracing, wearing masks, or social distancing. It mentions multi-generational households but does not provide any information about how, for example, low-risk people can get infected without putting high-risk members of their household at risk of dying.

McNugget Buddy fucked around with this message at 05:34 on Sep 1, 2021

Blackhawk
Nov 15, 2004

Lmao I think I figured out why New Zealand is so keen on sticking to the elimination approach:

quote:

Auckland's hospitals are asking other DHBs to send intensive care nurses to bolster numbers, with dozens in hospital.

The call-out went out last night after the number of Covid-19 positive people in intensive care across the region reached eight, with three of them on ventilators.

There is a nationwide shortage of the highly specialised nurses in New Zealand. They provide one-on-one care to intensive care patients.

Director General of health Ashley Bloomfield says other nurses and health care assistants are also being asked to help in Auckland.

Our current outbreak has a total of 682 cases across the whole country, we have 8 people in ICU and we're reaching the comfortable capacity of our intensive care facilities and staff in our largest city...

Shifty Nipples
Apr 8, 2007

Fasdar posted:

Yeah so what exactly is the "psychological harm" bullshit regarding masks and preventative, pro-social behavior that seems to have really taken off recently? Like, is the argument that it is psychologically harmful to be concerned about at risk individuals and the on-going death toll of COVID? Or that the masks, themselves, cause some kind of psychological harm because mouths are magic?

Did I just accidentally summarize it or is there more to this line of nonsense?

People a scared and don't like being "not in control".

Fasdar
Sep 1, 2001

Everybody loves dancing!

Shiroc posted:

Masks means a bad thing is happening. No masks means no bad things because unless the deaths impact you, they aren't real. Don't listen to the news man because its just depressing and you have to live your life.

Ah, so with this and the general "our capitalist society is actually good for mental health despite all evidence to the contrary" argument, it is basically saying that it is uncomfortable to confront the reality in which we live in a visceral way, and therefore harmful to the denial with which our society is perpetuated.

Lovely, thanks for clarifying.

Delta-Wye
Sep 29, 2005

Shifty Nipples posted:

People a scared and don't like being "not in control".

i love this because their actions are so counterproductive. i can exercise control by implementing NPIs in my life, and then i don't need to be scared. imagine how scary an uncontrolled pandemic is going to be because thats what we chose instead.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

Delta-Wye posted:

i love this because their actions are so counterproductive. i can exercise control by implementing NPIs in my life, and then i don't need to be scared.

yeah going around doing errands in my respirator is loving cool because I'm invincible

UnfortunateSexFart
May 18, 2008

𒃻 𒌓ð’‰𒋫 𒆷ð’€𒅅𒆷
𒆠𒂖 𒌉 𒌫 ð’®𒈠𒈾𒅗 𒂉 𒉡𒌒𒂉𒊑


mastershakeman posted:

What the gently caress, why the sudden change? Just that numbers weren't dropping and syndey kicked off a prisoners dilemma?

Last time we did a strict lockdown the numbers plummeted after like 3 weeks. This time they nearly doubled in a day. Delta is different. Here's the chart before today's 120.



There's hardcore lockdown fatigue at this point and compliance is clearly wavering, especially in ESL areas where they don't get the messaging.

The economy here is hosed too, so many abandoned stores with retail shut for so long. My local commercial street used to be the most vibrant in the country, similar rep to something like 5th Ave in NY (with a bit of times square mixed in) and now it's nothing but empty storefronts.

I don't agree with giving up but I can understand why they're feeling defeated. Especially with Sydney waving the white towel.

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

the ruling class in the US can find willing collaborators, but they are the ones that made the decision to ignore the disease completely once Biden was in office. The few months of a social safety net to fight the pandemic saw the largest protest movement in recent memory, so they're not trying that strategy again.

The US making that decision makes it hard for Europe and the Americas to try a different policy, even if they wanted too. Most of Africa and Asia has even less capacity to go for zero COVID.

So China and New Zealand stand along against the rest of the world.

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

gradenko_2000 posted:

yeah going around doing errands in my respirator is loving cool because I'm invincible

people give you a really nice sized personal bubble when you're wearing one, an added bonus

Spoondick
Jun 9, 2000

saw a maskless woman in costco pick her nose, eat the booger while sucking on her fingers for a good 5 seconds, then pick up several products to look at them before putting them back on the shelf

ram dass in hell
Dec 29, 2019



:420::toot::420:

Der Meister
May 12, 2001

Spoondick posted:

saw a maskless woman in costco pick her nose, eat the booger while sucking on her fingers for a good 5 seconds, then pick up several products to look at them before putting them back on the shelf

ssorry about that

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Homocow
Apr 24, 2007

Extremely bad poster!
DO NOT QUOTE!


Pillbug
lol at this article from 2017

The World Is Not Ready for the Next Pandemic

quote:

But microbes evolve about 40 million times as fast as humans do, and we are losing ground. “Of all the things that can kill millions of people in very short order,” says Dr. Ashish Jha, director of the Harvard Global Health Institute, “the one that is most likely to occur over the next 10 years is a pandemic.” The question is how policy–and the government dollars that back it–can catch up with the science and keep the world safe.
...
For all the advances in finding dangerous pathogens, the simple truth is that neither the world as a whole nor the U.S. in particular is at all prepared to handle a major infectious-disease pandemic–and a significant reason for that is a failure to invest in things now that can keep us safe later.
lol lmao

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