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Count Roland posted:loving lol. Credit to the BBC for having a service in a language I hadn't heard of until a few months ago. tbf it’s the 3rd largest language in sub-Saharan Africa, with 40 million speakers. I think Somali has 10 million less and there’s been a bbc Somali so long that most Somalis wouldn’t know it’s British. PawParole fucked around with this message at 12:29 on Aug 15, 2021 |
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Aug 15, 2021 12:25
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It’s Abiys birthday today, so the TPLF decided to celebrate by taking another city. They spent 2 weeks brutally besieging Woldiya, and there’s a massive swarm of Amhara refugees flowing south. https://mobile.twitter.com/MapEthiopia/status/1426921452939485190 https://www.wsj.com/articles/ethiopias-war-in-tigray-sees-minorities-targeted-across-the-country-11628687936 The Ethiopian Goverment is rounding up Tigrayans from across Ethiopia and detaining them in camps in the Danakil desert.
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Aug 15, 2021 16:21
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OLA captured the entire guji zone recently and has most of borana. Negelle Borana may fall soon. Almost all of southern and western Oromia is under OLA now, and they’ve captured the Moyale checkpoint with Kenya.
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Aug 17, 2021 03:27
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kTWjNbvDvuw Well, how novel, a President that accept he lost. I was going to type "African President", then I remembered what Trump did. "Zambia, better at accepting political realities than the USA".
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Aug 17, 2021 11:49
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How are we feeling about prospects for Zambia under Hichilema? No reason for optimism right?
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Aug 17, 2021 20:09
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Jesus loving christ
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Aug 19, 2021 16:53
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The ENDF recaptured Gashena today (a major town on the main east-west road across central Amhara, just south of Lalibela) which would be the first city the ENDF has recaptured since running out of Tigray with their tails between their legs two months ago. https://twitter.com/qomche/status/1428714856686014470?s=21
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Aug 20, 2021 19:50
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Saladman posted:The ENDF recaptured Gashena today (a major town on the main east-west road across central Amhara, just south of Lalibela) which would be the first city the ENDF has recaptured since running out of Tigray with their tails between their legs two months ago. The TDF controls the suburbs and roads. It’s not their doctrine to engage in urban conflict.
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Aug 20, 2021 21:29
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PawParole posted:The TDF controls the suburbs and roads. It’s not their doctrine to engage in urban conflict. Gashena is sitting on a major road that TPLF needs to control; if they give up Gashena then they give up the road, which seems to be the case as their salient towards Debre Tabor appears to have collapsed. There's no way forward that way without controlling Gashena; there are no roads crossing the Tekeze in that area, and it is insanely hilly with an incredible number of different ravines, and getting things through by donkey track would take forever.
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Aug 22, 2021 18:37
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So what if anything is the African Union doing about the war in Ethiopia?
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Aug 24, 2021 12:42
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Count Roland posted:So what if anything is the African Union doing about the war in Ethiopia? Absolutely nothing. The AU is headquartered in Addis Ababa so the Ethiopian government has a fair bit of influence, and Ethiopia is vehemently rejecting what few statements the AU made on the conflict with "it's an internal police matter".
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Aug 24, 2021 15:11
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https://twitter.com/breaking_bre/status/1430908292100882437 The government is blaming the OLA, who are claiming that they did it in self defense. https://olacommunique.com/2021/08/25/press-release-regarding-the-situation-in-east-walaga/amp/?__twitter_impression=true NAMA and other Amhara nationalists are claiming Abiy plotted it or allowed it to go through.
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Aug 26, 2021 17:59
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https://mobile.twitter.com/addisstandard/status/1432673815650254852
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Aug 31, 2021 18:13
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That sounds like chucking your future into the oven to keep yourself warm for just a little while longer, without ultimately changing your fate. They must be really desperate.
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Aug 31, 2021 18:44
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Nothing new has been reported on Ethiopia Twitter Map (or elsewhere) in the past week, since the ENDF recaptured Gashena and the TNDF salient to the west collapsed. Who knows what's happening though. There are some recent photos of a church near Debre Zebit, recently recovered by the ENDF, as being badly damaged ( Checheho Medhanealem ). There is still no news out of Lalibela – I don't know if the TPLF captured areas still have had their internet cut, or what the deal is but people are saying they can't get in touch with their families there since the TPLF captured it, and I haven't seen any leaked photos of Lalibela recently, although there must be some somewhere. Ethiopia previously had extremely extensive 3G coverage but I guess it would be easy for the central government to shut off non-satellite internet access to recently-captured areas, and I don't think satellite phones are very common in Ethiopia since they're expensive and the cell service is usually good.
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Aug 31, 2021 19:12
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Saladman posted:Ethiopia previously had extremely extensive 3G coverage but I guess it would be easy for the central government to shut off non-satellite internet access to recently-captured areas, and I don't think satellite phones are very common in Ethiopia since they're expensive and the cell service is usually good. We were told when we were there a decade ago that sat phones are actually illegal.
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Sep 1, 2021 07:57
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New coup just dropped in Guinea. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zoOHI9VWVW0
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Sep 5, 2021 23:12
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hmm, rule by french operators something tells me he's gonna be a violent psycho
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Sep 6, 2021 04:11
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Zedhe Khoja posted:hmm, rule by french operators https://twitter.com/PopulismUpdates/status/1434518734534635520 Yup
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Sep 6, 2021 04:31
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https://twitter.com/TelegraphWorld/status/1434532668910325769 Can't comment on the source. This is near the tri-point of Ethiopia, Sudan, and Eritrea.
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Sep 6, 2021 06:12
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Vivian Darkbloom posted:https://twitter.com/TelegraphWorld/status/1434532668910325769 The Telegraph is a major UK newspaper. They're more reliable than a random twitter account, at least.
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Sep 6, 2021 11:25
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Count Roland posted:The Telegraph is a major UK newspaper. They're more reliable than a random twitter account, at least. They're a far-right tabloid that still think they're a broadsheet, but their international coverage mostly meets basic journalistic standards.
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Sep 6, 2021 11:40
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https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1434857203186405379?s=19 Oh man who could have done this?
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Sep 6, 2021 22:29
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Lawman 0 posted:https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1434857203186405379?s=19 Some military leaders who want to get rich? This isn't even the first recent junta, it's not like they wouldn't have considered it without the insidious whispers of the CIA. Non westerners have agency sometimes.
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Sep 6, 2021 22:37
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Lawman 0 posted:https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1434857203186405379?s=19 Given that by all accounts Condé seems to have had no problem letting mining interests exploit Guinea's resources, I'm gonna say...the people who did the coup, who aren't complete idiots? (Mind you, when you aren't self aware enough to recognize that you're commiting West African Coup Ver.1.222a, you probably aren't going to be terribly familiar with, say, Mossadegh.)
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Sep 6, 2021 23:55
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https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/the-interview/20210908-exclusive-uganda-s-museveni-says-guinea-coup-leaders-should-get-outquote:Exclusive: Uganda's Museveni says Guinea coup leaders 'should get out' I just think of that old shmorky animation "computer fight", where the one computer says to the other: "big talk, coming from a giant vagina"
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Sep 8, 2021 16:02
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GreyjoyBastard posted:Some military leaders who want to get rich? This isn't even the first recent junta, it's not like they wouldn't have considered it without the insidious whispers of the CIA. Non westerners have agency sometimes. probably the french at least okayed this. west african special forces have pretty tight institutional connections to the french military and unless i misremember this guy is married to a french woman and a former legionnaire
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Sep 10, 2021 17:21
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KOTEX GOD OF BLOOD posted:https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/the-interview/20210908-exclusive-uganda-s-museveni-says-guinea-coup-leaders-should-get-out he compared Somali politics to "political aids" which is lol
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Sep 10, 2021 20:45
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PawParole posted:he compared Somali politics to "political aids" which is lol  so apt though, like would YOU want to stick your country's military/political dick into political AIDS?
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Sep 10, 2021 22:20
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The new president of Guinea Colonel Doumbouya, seen driving a new Tesla Model X, has issued a statement "new boss same as old boss"
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Sep 11, 2021 02:46
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V. Illych L. posted:probably the french at least okayed this. west african special forces have pretty tight institutional connections to the french military and unless i misremember this guy is married to a french woman and a former legionnaire Absolutely, I'm just saying the causation might flow "aspiring dictator checks with his buddies" rather than "colonialists install random dictator". The ultimate result is not terribly different but one of these options involves (horrible) locals having their own agency. which is in turn closely linked to why a lot of these programs are indirectly horrible
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Sep 11, 2021 02:55
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https://mobile.twitter.com/OromiaWa...%5Es1_&ref_url= The OLA has been gaining in popularity in Eastern Oromia every day Jawar Mohamed has been in prison. Qeerroo have been defecting to OLA for months and now there are full blown OLA guerrilla cells in Arsi and Hararghe. This is a problem Abiy created for himself with his heavy handed treatment of Jawar and the other Qeerroo leaders, who did not advocate for violence against the state, just for more rights and freedoms in Ethiopia. The OLA have captured a number of villages and towns around Addis Ababa it just isn't getting a lot of press attention. The OLA have effectively cut Addis Ababa off from Amhara region by capturing the highway, which is why Abiy is supplying his army from airports (Gonder and Diredawa) via Ethiopian Airways flights, which is illegal for a commercial airline to do. He can do this because his opponents won't dare shoot down commercial airliners, and he mixes the military supply flights with normal civilian passenger and cargo flights. Abiy as always is playing with fire.
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Sep 11, 2021 19:32
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:The new president of Guinea Colonel Doumbouya, seen driving a new Tesla Model X, has issued a statement "new boss same as old boss" Well, good to know at least the 21st century dictators are going green now. Just waiting for a photo of MBS's gold-plated Plaid Model S. Also can you link that photo/statement? I can't find a photo or anything else saying that.
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Sep 12, 2021 20:22
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PawParole posted:The OLA have captured a number of villages and towns around Addis Ababa it just isn't getting a lot of press attention. The OLA have effectively cut Addis Ababa off from Amhara region by capturing the highway, I saw that announced like a month ago but I'm still skeptical of it, as there have been no additional posts either by the OLA or anyone else regarding the state of the road. If true, then how is Addis still getting anything itself? It's cut off then from Sudan, from Kenya, and from Djibouti (railway closed, road might still be open?). Information out of Ethiopia is garbage right now but Gondar and Bahir Dar are big cities so if they were closed for weeks to through-traffic to Addis I imagine it would have gotten at least some news. ENDF also seems to have recaptured a fair bit of ground in the past week too, e.g. pushing north of Debark quite far down the face of the Simien mountains, pushing towards Lalibela, and also pushing towards Weldiya.
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Sep 12, 2021 20:28
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:The new president of Guinea Colonel Doumbouya, seen driving a new Tesla Model X, has issued a statement "new boss same as old boss" That would certainly save the next coup plotters the time and effort of blowing him up themselves.
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Sep 12, 2021 20:32
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Are international journalists allowed to report from Ethiopia? I find the lack of reliable sources to be odd given the scale and international character of this conflict. I basically only see Tigray get mentioned but little mention of Oromia or the OLA.
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Sep 12, 2021 23:41
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Count Roland posted:Are international journalists allowed to report from Ethiopia? I find the lack of reliable sources to be odd given the scale and international character of this conflict. I basically only see Tigray get mentioned but little mention of Oromia or the OLA. total press blackouts has become standard practice in dealing with internal conflicts over... i'd say the last five to ten years? i think they've realised that they can actually just turn off the internet and refuse to guarantee reporters' safety and foreigners will actually not take the risk, and because of the political economy of the media it actually won't be a big deal it seems a part of the complete disintegration of the informal ethics of government that's been going on over the past years. at some point the forces that established a sort of governmental common-sense just atrophied and now various powerful people are pushing against it and finding that there's nothing much there. even in syria, a very well-covered war, you had blackout zones and the whole weird thing with the white helmets was going on
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Sep 13, 2021 00:06
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Saladman posted:Well, good to know at least the 21st century dictators are going green now. Just waiting for a photo of MBS's gold-plated Plaid Model S. Sorry it was sarcasm. I was joking about the fact that he said "the mineral contracts will continue without interference" or something like that. The Tesla model X joke was about Bolivian lithium coup
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Sep 13, 2021 02:12
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Count Roland posted:Are international journalists allowed to report from Ethiopia? I find the lack of reliable sources to be odd given the scale and international character of this conflict. I basically only see Tigray get mentioned but little mention of Oromia or the OLA. The internet/vulture capital completely gutted foreign affairs reporting. The old model of thousands of smaller newspapers paying for agency/news wire reporting no longer exists and there's been belt tightening on international reporters all around for the last 15 years. For most international conflicts why have a reporter on the ground when there's think tank analysts and the internet doing work for you and besides local and national news is what most people want to hear (especially in a pandemic)?
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Sep 13, 2021 04:28
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