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PERPETUAL IDIOT
Sep 12, 2003
So apparently this is why the Cuba op failed, lol. The Guaido stooge-to-be was Cuban intelligence.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1qezipvu5E

Edit: nm, looks like its an older op but still the same scam.

PERPETUAL IDIOT has issued a correction as of 21:55 on Sep 6, 2021

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Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.

PERPETUAL IDIOT posted:

So apparently this is why the Cuba op failed, lol. The Guaido stooge-to-be was Cuban intelligence.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1qezipvu5E

Edit: nm, looks like its an older op but still the same scam.

Turns out COINTELPRO works the other way around too

The Atomic Man-Boy
Jul 23, 2007


gently caress, I hate it when that happens.

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

https://twitter.com/markets/status/1435259599016407042?s=20

He's trying to post through it
https://twitter.com/nayibbukele/status/1435260422110732300?s=20
https://twitter.com/nayibbukele/status/1435263064933285898?s=20

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

trolling the IMF? cool. wait you're doing it how

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
is there a single article takedown that I can refer to on why El Salvador adopting bitcoin is bad and was forced upon it by the US and its comprador government

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

https://twitter.com/StateDeptSpox/status/1410667507824877570?s=20
The US clients in Central America seems to be in a weird spot right now because Biden's State Department has embraced anti-corruption campaigns as their solution to "addressing the root causes of irregular migration." Except all the people they've supported and elevated over the past century are some worst criminals in the hemisphere, so they are indicting their own puppets.

There is this article about El Salvador's plan being a tether scam. I don't know enough to judge its veracity.
https://davidgerard.co.uk/blockchain/2021/06/11/el-salvador-passes-its-bitcoin-law-and-its-a-tether-scam/

Cerebral Bore
Apr 21, 2010


Fun Shoe
its p wild to see that biden's gang are actually about as incompetent at maintaining the us empire as trump's mob was, but in an entirely different way

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!!
May 31, 2006

Cerebral Bore posted:

its p wild to see that biden's gang are actually about as incompetent at maintaining the us empire as trump's mob was, but in an entirely different way

i mean, an anticorruption angle is a great way to clean out the old puppets to make room for some new ones

see: america's best pal Manuel Noriega, and the tragic chain of events that hit him once he'd outlived his usefulness

vyelkin
Jan 2, 2011

gradenko_2000 posted:

is there a single article takedown that I can refer to on why El Salvador adopting bitcoin is bad and was forced upon it by the US and its comprador government

It's not all about bitcoin, but I did like this recent overview of how much the current president sucks: https://newleftreview.org/sidecar/posts/changemaker

WhiskeyWhiskers
Oct 14, 2013


"هذا ليس عادلاً."
"هذا ليس عادلاً على الإطلاق."
"كان هناك وقت الآن."
(السياق الخفي: للقراءة)

PERPETUAL IDIOT posted:

So apparently this is why the Cuba op failed, lol. The Guaido stooge-to-be was Cuban intelligence.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1qezipvu5E

Edit: nm, looks like its an older op but still the same scam.

lmfao. The exact same thing happened in Venezuela too.

FrancisFukyomama
Feb 4, 2019

maybe guaido was a Venezuelan double agent this whole time and that’s why he’s like he was grown in a lab to be an impotent fuckup

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.
Gringo here asking, but does CDMX have a problem with missing persons/desaparecidos? I'm passing in a Metrobús in Calle Reforma and I saw some tents with signs of people's faces saying "se lo llevaron" "Con vida lo queremos". The monitors in the bus also show missing person alerts.

I am aware that in states with serious cartel problems like Sonora or Michoacán kidnappings/secuestros are a serious problem.

Ojetor
Aug 4, 2010

Return of the Sensei

no hay camino posted:

Gringo here asking, but does CDMX have a problem with missing persons/desaparecidos? I'm passing in a Metrobús in Calle Reforma and I saw some tents with signs of people's faces saying "se lo llevaron" "Con vida lo queremos". The monitors in the bus also show missing person alerts.

I am aware that in states with serious cartel problems like Sonora or Michoacán kidnappings/secuestros are a serious problem.

There haven't been any mentions of kidnappings/disappearances being a problem in CDMX in national news that I've seen. Caveat: I'm not in Mexico City, but if it was a Big Thing it would probably be mentioned in the national press.

Reforma is traditionally where people coming to Mexico City to protest or demand action from the government camp out, since it's a wide open public space that's very close to many federal government offices. It's where the Oaxaca teacher's syndicate camped out for years to protest the education reform law, for example. Without knowing specifics, the tents you saw are more likely to be people from outside the city, not actual capitalinos.

AnimeIsTrash
Jun 30, 2018

https://twitter.com/KawsachunNews/status/1436009427568627716

:allears:

net work error
Feb 26, 2011

I can't not share this ITT
Latin America is in a ‘democratic depression,’ the worst in nearly half a century | Opinion

quote:

Political scientists have been saying for at least a decade that the world is in a “democratic recession,” because growing numbers of countries are becoming autocracies. But in Latin America, it’s getting even worse — we may already be in a “democratic depression.”

I have never seen as many Latin American countries descending to autocratic rule since the military dictatorships of the 1970s. In recent months, even the leaders of Brazil and Mexico, Latin America’s biggest democracies, have been seeking to grab unconstitutional powers.

▪ In Brazil, far-right populist leader Jair Bolsonaro, known by many as the “Trump of the tropics,” publicly suggested on Sept. 7 that he would not accept a defeat in the October 2022 elections.

Bolsonaro, who is falling in the polls, told a crowd of more than 100,000 supporters that there can be only three outcomes in next year’s elections: “my arrest, my death or my victory.” And he added, “I will never be arrested.” A day later, Bolsonaro said he had spoken in the heat of the moment, but he has been making similar statements for months now.

▪ In Mexico, nationalist-leftist President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has recently escalated his rhetoric against the National Elections Institute (INE,) the widely respected independent agency that monitors Mexico’s elections. Critics fear that he wants to destroy the INE, or restrict its powers, to be able to manipulate the 2024 elections.

In addition, Lopez Obrador lashes out almost daily against journalists and judges, and has used his congressional majority to approve an unconstitutional extension of the Supreme Court chief’s four-year mandate. Amid a national uproar, the chief justice announced that he will not stay in his job beyond his term.

▪ In El Salvador, increasingly authoritarian President Nayib Bukele’s rubber-stamp justice system on Sept. 3 tossed aside a constitutional ban on consecutive presidential elections, which will allow Bukele to seek a second term in 2024. Earlier this year, Bukele’s congressional majority had fired five Supreme Court justices in another move that legal experts say violated the Constitution. The judges were immediately replaced with Bukele loyalists.

▪ In Peru, newly elected far-left leader Pedro Castillo is seeking to convene a constitutional assembly to draft a new constitution. That’s exactly what Venezuela’s late authoritarian leader Hugo Chavez did after taking office in 1999 to seek absolute powers and indefinite re-elections.

▪ In Argentina, President Alberto Fernandez’s left-of-center government is seeking to reform the justice system in what critics say is an open effort to fire prosecutors who are pressing massive corruption charges against vice-president and former President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner.

▪ In Nicaragua, leftist dictator Daniel Ortega has in recent weeks imprisoned all seven leading opposition presidential hopefuls for the Nov. 7 elections. And last week, Ortega’s prosecutors ordered the arrest of prominent writer Sergio Ramirez, 79, who was Ortega’s long-time vice president during the 1980’s Sandinista Revolution.

▪ In Venezuela, fraudulently-elected ruler Nicolas Maduro is consolidating his country’s two-decade old dictatorship.

Maduro, who seeks to unblock international funds, is negotiating a deal with the opposition in hopes of encouraging it to participate in tightly controlled Nov. 21 regional elections. But few opposition leaders expect him to allow a free election or to abide by whatever he signs.

▪ Cuba’s six-decade-old dictatorship, meantime, continues to ban opposition parties and independent media, and is stepping up its repression of critics. At least 500 people have been arrested and many remain in jail following huge July 11 anti-government protests.

Support for democracy in Latin Americans has been diminishing over the past decade, alongside the economic slowdown that followed the 2000s commodity boom. But now, there is a new phenomenon: A new crop of democratically-elected wannabe-autocrats are taking advantage of the growing disaffection with democracy.

“This is a new element,” Sergio Fausto, a Brazilian political scientist who heads the Fernando Henrique Cardoso Foundation, told me last week. “In addition to the disaffection with democracy, we now have political leaders from the left and from the right who are successfully mobilizing the people against democratic institutions.”

That’s a bad omen, among other reasons because when autocrats attack democratic institutions such as the justice system, legal protections disappear, and investors flee their countries. And when that happens, democratic depressions very often result in economic depressions.

Don’t miss the “Oppenheimer Presenta” TV show on Sundays at 8 pm E.T. on CNN en Español. Twitter: @oppenheimera

Tony Sorete
Jun 19, 2011

Manager de rock
There's been two well-known Oppenheimers: the bad one and the guy who developed the atomic bomb

miniscule12
Jan 8, 2020

HAHA YEAH HE PEED IN HIS OWN MOUTH I'M GONNA KEEP BRINGING IT UP.

time to inject some emergency democracy in latin america

zetamind2000
Nov 6, 2007

I'm an alien.

net work error posted:

In Peru, newly elected far-left leader Pedro Castillo is seeking to convene a constitutional assembly to draft a new constitution. That’s exactly what Venezuela’s late authoritarian leader Hugo Chavez did after taking office in 1999 to seek absolute powers and indefinite re-elections.

Lol

Lmao

Honky Mao
Dec 26, 2012


Sounds bad, president Xi please liberate the people of Brazil

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

pluralistic, constitutionally-based, liberal democracy is the only kind of democracy. any deviation from this model is autocratic.

CharlestheHammer
Jun 26, 2011

YOU SAY MY POSTS ARE THE RAVINGS OF THE DUMBEST PERSON ON GOD'S GREEN EARTH BUT YOU YOURSELF ARE READING THEM. CURIOUS!
even then only if you do it white

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

In the first draft the bullet point about Brazil was about how corrupt president Lula looks set to return to office

Cup Runneth Over
Aug 8, 2009

She said life's
Too short to worry
Life's too long to wait
It's too short
Not to love everybody
Life's too long to hate


No bullet point about Bolivia? Pussies.

dead gay comedy forums
Oct 21, 2011


fyi Fernando Henrique Cardoso was the neoliberal reformer president of Brazil in the 90s

also, significant exaggeration over bolso's numbers there. he got bitchmade that the "protests" were far, far weaker than he expected and didn't mobilize nowhere near the numbers necessary to show the support he imagined he had, so by wednesday he was retracting with an open letter (written by Michel Temer whom was a major figure he rallied against during the election) to "seek conciliation" loving lmaaaoo

Plutonis
Mar 25, 2011

rip chairman gonzalo

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

Plutonis posted:

rip chairman gonzalo


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eVTXPUF4Oz4

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
red guards austin gonna light something on fire

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
https://mobile.twitter.com/eveningstxr_/status/1436735413243219971

babypolis
Nov 4, 2009

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

pluralistic, constitutionally-based, liberal democracy is the only kind of democracy. any deviation from this model is autocratic.

us journalisrs get really horrified when they realize other countries dont have the same slavering, fethistic devotion americans have to their own garbage constitution

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

pluralistic, constitutionally-based, liberal democracy is the only kind of democracy. any deviation from this model is autocratic.

wow hate Fujimori all you want but it’s racist to say Japan is an autocracy

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

eSports Chaebol posted:

wow hate Fujimori all you want but it’s racist to say Japan is an autocracy

what's their score on the Freedom Index?

https://www.cato.org/human-freedom-index/2020

CATO rates Japan as 0.05 points more free than the United States

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.

babypolis posted:

us journalisrs get really horrified when they realize other countries dont have the same slavering, fethistic devotion americans have to their own garbage constitution

Kinda giving a game away to be horrified at changing the constitution written by a fascist

Kindest Forums User
Mar 25, 2008

Let me tell you about my opinion about Bernie Sanders and why Donald Trump is his true successor.

You cannot vote Hillary Clinton because she is worse than Trump.
Should I get excited about the Chilean general election coming up? The polls look really good for the leftist coalition Apruebo Dignidad. Any good analysis of the situation?

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

there are some excellent effortposts on the election and new constitutional process way up in this thread or the d&d one

Yossarian-22
Oct 26, 2014


Huh, sounds like it's more democratic than ever actually

SexyBlindfold
Apr 24, 2008
i dont care how much probation i get capital letters are for squares hehe im so laid back an nice please read my low effort shitposts about the arab spring

thanxs!!!

Kindest Forums User posted:

Should I get excited about the Chilean general election coming up? The polls look really good for the leftist coalition Apruebo Dignidad. Any good analysis of the situation?

Here's an effortpost I wrote a couple of months ago with a quick summary of Chilean politics and an overview of the presidential candidates (post below it).

recent developments since that post:

- Lista del Pueblo (anti-establishment left) collapsed in a pretty spectacular fashion. Diego Ancalao (their prospective presidential candidate) buried the name of the coalition by having his candidacy rejected by the electoral service due to fraudulent collection of signatures (which they got by registering with a notary who, as it turned out, had been dead for two years) and constituent assembly member Rojas Vade went down in infamy after it was revealed he'd been faking a cancer diagnosis. I believe the group has effectively ceased to exist in the constituent assembly, with their members re-registering as independents. They're officially out of the presidential race and their prospects for the parliamentary elections seem dim, though Fabiola Campillay, notorious victim of police brutality, could win a seat. This would normally be to the benefit of Apruebo Dignidad, since it effectively ends the main competition they had for the leftist electorate, but LdP sympathizers might just choose to not vote instead, or even back Eduardo Artés.

- The center-left (Narváez, Provoste and Carlos Maldonado of the Radical Party, who I didn't include in the list of candidates before because he does not exist) finally managed to get its act together for a primary, except it wasn't a *legal* primary (the electoral deadline was well past that), but rather a self-managed, non-binding "citizen consultation". Provoste unsurprisingly landed the nomination, but participation was absolutely dismal (a slim fraction of AD's record-setting primary) and it was taken as a grim omen of NM's chances for the general election. They might do a bit better in the legislative races, though.

- Cristián Contreras Radovic withdrew his presidential run and will be peddling his magic crystals or whatever in a legislative campaign instead.

- Marco Enríquez-Ominami has joined the fray! A former socialist congressman, he split from the party (and the Concertación) in 2009 to create the Progressive Party (center-left). It briefly appeared that the PRO could become a viable third force (like the Frente Amplio ended up becoming a few years later), but instead it slowly sank into irrelevance as ME-O's vanity project. Enríquez-Ominami has ran in every presidential election since, halving his previous support every subsequent race (2009 - 20%, 2013 - 10%, 2017 - 5%) and all signs point towards the trend continuing, or deepening, this time around.

- Eduardo Artés has joined the fray! A candidate for the Marxist Anti-Revisionist Unión Patriótica (far left), he also ran for president in 2017, getting only 0.5% of the vote. He briefly resurfaced to the public eye during the protests. when some soundbites of his 2017 debate performance were circulated as evidence of him accurately reading the factors that would lead to the 2019 riots. Artés could theoretically stand to gain votes from disillusioned Jadue and LdP supporters, but he seems ill-equipped to appeal to that crowd, since he's become known for a socially conservative streak that would gel well with Perú's Pedro Castillo but doesn't land particularly well with the chilean leftist electorate.

- The perceived sluggish pace of the Constitutional Convention (and scandals like Rojas Vade's) has taken a toll in public approval for its work. This could be reverted once they move past the initial stage (deciding the internal rules of the convention) and into meatier areas like social rights and modes of government, which is scheduled to happen around this month, but there's still going to be a constant media effort to paint the convention as a circus, and countering it might need a degree of left-of-center unity that currently seems pretty challenging. If the Convention flounders, so does the left.

---

Overall, there's reason to be cautiously optimistic about AD's chances. The left (and AD and the Broad Front in particular) has fairly consistently over-performed polls by a significant margin in the last few elections, but there's still plenty of room for error, and the last few years have been very *eventful*, so last-minute changes in public opinion can't be ruled out, either. The momentum has been with the left so far, but that could change if support for the constitutional convention starts sagging, or if AD fucks it up on the home stretch (which is very much a posibility, as Oliva's run for governor of Santiago proved). At any rate, the most likely runoff scenario with the current numbers is Boric-Sichel, which appears safe for Boric. A majority in parliament is all but impossible, however, and if Boric does win he'll need center-left support to pass his agenda, which will be tricky, though at least nominally they're on similar pages. For the legislative elections I'm expecting results fairly similar to the numbers we got for constituent members, with the right maybe making some gains and most LdP voters going to AD or to other independent candidates.

SexyBlindfold has issued a correction as of 17:48 on Sep 13, 2021

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

babypolis i have a question for you and want to buy you plat for DMs, how do i send the code to you

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

i say swears online posted:

babypolis i have a question for you and want to buy you plat for DMs, how do i send the code to you

Get an admin to do it

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i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

Jose posted:

Get an admin to do it

reporting your post to do it, jajaja

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