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(Thread IKs: fart simpson)
 
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OhFunny
Jun 26, 2013

EXTREMELY PISSED AT THE DNC

Mr Hootington posted:

I mistyped 50%! Still an insane number! Sorry!

I don't find that accurate either.

It's a ~12% bump per year over the next five years, so Taiwan will be spending $73 billion vs $65 billion through 2026 on its military. We saw similar increases from Japan back in 2015.

Had they announced next year's budget would be $21 billion that would be an eye popping jump.

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genericnick
Dec 26, 2012


Wasn't the US desperately searching for places around China to put more missiles in, with everyone telling them they positively love getting caught in a nuclear dick waving contest, feel free, death is great. Wait, no everyone told them to gently caress off. Seems to me the fella down under is not that bright, is he?

Throatwarbler
Nov 17, 2008

by vyelkin

genericnick posted:

Wasn't the US desperately searching for places around China to put more missiles in, with everyone telling them they positively love getting caught in a nuclear dick waving contest, feel free, death is great. Wait, no everyone told them to gently caress off. Seems to me the fella down under is not that bright, is he?

This is a relatively small missile that's launched from ships and submarines.

Mr Hootington
Jul 24, 2008

I'M HAVING A HOOT EATING CORNETTE THE LONG WAY

OhFunny posted:

I don't find that accurate either.

It's a ~12% bump per year over the next five years, so Taiwan will be spending $73 billion vs $65 billion through 2026 on its military. We saw similar increases from Japan back in 2015.

Had they announced next year's budget would be $21 billion that would be an eye popping jump.

I have reread the numbers and not only am I math bad. I am illiterate. Thank you for bringing this to my attention!

Palladium
May 8, 2012

Very Good
✔️✔️✔️✔️

OhFunny posted:

I believe Mr. Hootington is posting hyperbole.

Taiwan spends $13 billion a year on its military and announced they will spend an additional $8.7 billion over the next five years. I can't find anything about a 500% increase.

https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4288910

That's still a lot of dough for their next batch of pristine American boneyarded hardware

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
On of the Taiwan political show I watched, one of the Taiwanese congressman (whatever they are called officially) mentioned that Taiwan government already had 300 billion Taiwan dollar (10 billion usd) stashed in US. The Taiwanese are not getting their cash out of the US, the only options they have are different outdated US weapon they can get out of their money.

So from the mainland's POV, the Taiwanese had already paid for their future US weapon acquisition, its just matter of what weapon. The more outdated the better.

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011


Operation Mongoose Wombat is going to be wild

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

BrutalistMcDonalds posted:

mearsheimer is a weirdo because his whole approach is to explain all the ruthless stuff that the U.S. is going to do to grind your country into bonemeal, and then when called on it, says "i'm not saying that's good, i'm just saying that's what's going to happen, i'm just a structuralist!" it's very strange.

watch this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M37Wxt5yLUI&t=288s

tian wei, the interviewer, is like *cringe* "uhh yeah ok"

That attitude is some real cheap mobster nonsense
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bo7zkd0kRS4

I don't think it's good we're doing this, but logic dictates that we must. Nothing personal!

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

The EU's Indo-Pacific strategy also came out today.

https://twitter.com/JosepBorrellF/status/1438533599628832777?s=20

Focus on cooperation, not competition

https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_21_4704

Gorman Thomas
Jul 24, 2007
I think Mearsheimer has a pretty good handle on how to interpret and predict the actions of the US, and by proxy the West in general. What I don't get is his insistence on mapping his theories 1 to 1 onto China. I've had his book on the Israel lobby on my reading list for a while, might have to dip into it soon.

edit: is Mearsheimer considered a DC insider? His attitude in that is video is annoying af

Gorman Thomas has issued a correction as of 18:44 on Sep 16, 2021

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
I find Mearsheimer not very useful in forecasting US actions personally. He also speak in higher abstraction than what the usual Sect of State and NSA operate at.

He also doesn't seem to see the important of the geography factor.

Some Guy TT
Aug 30, 2011

indigi posted:

that seems loving insane why would the electorate put up with that

military budget increases are really easy to justify if you just pretend they never actually happened south koreas military budget has jumped up twenty five percent since moon took office and the only places that have acknowledged this has happened are either dedicated military publications who report on this stuff for every country or dumbass liberals who think moon is playing fifth dimensional chess

paul_soccer12
Jan 5, 2020

by Fluffdaddy
rules-based regional order slam that poo poo into my jugular please

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

All this talk of military budgets, wanted to look it up in a bit more detail.

https://sipri.org/media/press-release/2021/world-military-spending-rises-almost-2-trillion-2020

quote:

In addition to China, India ($72.9 billion), Japan ($49.1 billion), South Korea ($45.7 billion) and Australia ($27.5 billion) were the largest military spenders in the Asia and Oceania region. All four countries increased their military spending between 2019 and 2020 and over the decade 2011–20.

That Taiwan bump doesn't look all that big compared to rest of the US goons.

indigi
Jul 20, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 14 hours!
what does Japan spend all that money on

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

indigi posted:

what does Japan spend all that money on

ships probably, their navy is p decent

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

indigi posted:

what does Japan spend all that money on

Handouts to the Mitsubishi Zaibatsu

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mogami-class_frigate

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mitsubishi_F-X

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_10

Lostconfused has issued a correction as of 19:34 on Sep 16, 2021

OhFunny
Jun 26, 2013

EXTREMELY PISSED AT THE DNC
https://twitter.com/NikkeiAsia/status/1438517397762109448?s=20

Interesting.

Joining requires all existing members to agree and I can't see Australia acceding based on recent events.

edit: This is the trade pact Obama negotiated and Trump dumpstered in case someone here wasn't aware.

OhFunny has issued a correction as of 19:42 on Sep 16, 2021

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

Also however much the protection payments USA extracts from them for all those bases.

Although I have no idea if that's part of the military budget.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Omoiyari_Yosan

quote:

The appropriation amount steadily increased from 1978 to 2001, but has since declined due to pressures placed on the Japanese government (see Opposition below). The 2012 Japanese defense budget allocated ¥186.7 billion for cost sharing (¥144.4 billion of which are SMA-related payments.)[15] This represents a 0.5% increase from the previous year and a 10.4% decrease from 5 years earlier.[16]

Going to take that as a yes.

Lostconfused has issued a correction as of 19:52 on Sep 16, 2021

Mr Hootington
Jul 24, 2008

I'M HAVING A HOOT EATING CORNETTE THE LONG WAY
https://twitter.com/PriapusIQ/status/1438574036620087305?s=19

I think this is relevant to this thread.

indigi
Jul 20, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 14 hours!

OhFunny posted:

https://twitter.com/NikkeiAsia/status/1438517397762109448?s=20

Interesting.

Joining requires all existing members to agree and I can't see Australia acceding based on recent events.

edit: This is the trade pact Obama negotiated and Trump dumpstered in case someone here wasn't aware.

are they trying to make people pissed at Australia when they say no? that’s good trolling

Throatwarbler
Nov 17, 2008

by vyelkin
Wouldn't joining entail lifting the tariffs on Australian exports and thus benefit Australia?

GoLambo
Apr 11, 2006

indigi posted:

that’s interesting, is it legal there or a “well it’s not legal but everyone does it so w/e” type deal

https://www.exutopia.com/on-smoking-weed-in-north-korea/

Here is a guy going to a shopping stall in NK and buying a big ol bag full of weed, like a pound of dirt weed, for 50 cents.

And then smoking it in a local restaurant.

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
I think China get in the CPTPP application queue so the US won't join. That's my theory.

The hardest part for China to comply is independent labor union but I think there is work around if Japan actual say yes (they won't).

But it's going to be funny as hell if the entire East Asia block + ASEAN + Australia join in both RCEP and CPTPP.

stephenthinkpad has issued a correction as of 20:06 on Sep 16, 2021

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

GoLambo posted:

https://www.exutopia.com/on-smoking-weed-in-north-korea/

Here is a guy going to a shopping stall in NK and buying a big ol bag full of weed, like a pound of dirt weed, for 50 cents.

And then smoking it in a local restaurant.

quote:

Corrections to this Article
Updated August 2020

This article got a lot of media attention when I published it back in 2013… and much of that attention focussed on a claim I shared in the original version: that cannabis use was legal in North Korea. My source for this piece of information was an article about the subject in January 2013, in the reliable outlet NK News, titled ‘Struggle is the Enemy, Weed is the Remedy: The Truth About Marijuana in North Korea’ (which was also published on VICE).

I have since learned that this is not the case. NK News have taken down their article on the subject, and my own article above has been edited to remove all unverified claims, and now simply reflects my own personal observations on this trip. I have kept it online as a matter of record, and because I think it’s a good story – an honest account of visiting some lesser-seen corners of the DPRK.

In light of all I’ve learned since publishing this article, I believe the substance we smoked in Rason market that day was probably not so much weak weed as feral hemp. An un-policed roadside herb rather than an illegally cultivated drug, but with a THC content, in my opinion, closer to “low” than to “negligible.” For further reading on the subject, I recommend this article which explores the long history and current status of cannabis use on the Korean Peninsula.

indigi
Jul 20, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 14 hours!

GoLambo posted:

https://www.exutopia.com/on-smoking-weed-in-north-korea/

Here is a guy going to a shopping stall in NK and buying a big ol bag full of weed, like a pound of dirt weed, for 50 cents.

And then smoking it in a local restaurant.

that’s a great article, though it does look to be more tolerated than officially legal. I want to go smoke with Russians in North Korea now

I wonder why they’re less harsh on it than China/Cuba/Vietnam etc. I suppose the drug trade is often used as a cover for CIA poo poo but since trade isn’t much of a thing in North Korea they don’t have to worry as much

hot witch divorcee
Jan 4, 2021

is that a tower in your pants or are you just happy to see me
assuming weed is illegal in dprk comes from assuming they are very conservative and controlling and that therefore they must be for the thing the conservative and controlling west really likes to do. also that south korea are absolute dicks about it. dprk is also not china, and the drug in question isn't opium, and the marijuana isn't being pushed on the dprk to do imperialism like the opium wars. domestically there is really no reason to make it illegal in dprk, it isn't causing problems and they don't need wedges like the US does, nor obscene amounts of state violence, nor excuses to enact any

none of this is direct proof or evidence or whatever but i find i come to more correct conceptualizations of what is going on in the dprk if i piece together things like this

hot witch divorcee has issued a correction as of 20:38 on Sep 16, 2021

Flavahbeast
Jul 21, 2001


OhFunny posted:

https://twitter.com/NikkeiAsia/status/1438517397762109448?s=20

Interesting.

Joining requires all existing members to agree and I can't see Australia acceding based on recent events.

edit: This is the trade pact Obama negotiated and Trump dumpstered in case someone here wasn't aware.

Wasn't the TPP a sovereignty destroying handout to the elites? why would China want to join such a pact

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Throatwarbler posted:

Wouldn't joining entail lifting the tariffs on Australian exports and thus benefit Australia?

I think the idea might be to force such a choice. The US would not be pleased with Australia receiving such a benefit from China.

hot witch divorcee
Jan 4, 2021

is that a tower in your pants or are you just happy to see me

Flavahbeast posted:

Wasn't the TPP a sovereignty destroying handout to the elites? why would China want to join such a pact

it seems like bluff calling to me

Serf
May 5, 2011


this might actually fit better here

https://twitter.com/JustKiyan/status/1438099802558844930?s=20

indigi
Jul 20, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 14 hours!

Flavahbeast posted:

Wasn't the TPP a sovereignty destroying handout to the elites? why would China want to join such a pact

idk cause that article highlights the fact they’d have to undo a whole bunch of poo poo the CCP has been pushing the past 3 years esp as regards SOEs. unless they think they can just bully everyone into concessions, in which case why not

OhFunny
Jun 26, 2013

EXTREMELY PISSED AT THE DNC

Flavahbeast posted:

Wasn't the TPP a sovereignty destroying handout to the elites? why would China want to join such a pact

The clauses you're thinking of were suspended after the US withdrew.

https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2018/03/08/591549744/the-tpp-is-dead-long-live-the-trans-pacific-trade-deal

quote:

The new version, which goes by CPTPP or TPP-11 for short, also suspends some two dozen provisions that the U.S. had fought for but that the other countries had been reluctant to include.

indigi
Jul 20, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 14 hours!
there’s still a bunch of stuff in there I’d have thought China wouldn’t agree to

Antonymous
Apr 4, 2009


- No items
- Fox Only
- Final Destination

Antonymous
Apr 4, 2009

I wanna see the chinese cause 'no content depicting democracy' makes no sense since China considers itself a democracy and writes the word democracy on all their propaganda

indigi
Jul 20, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 14 hours!

Antonymous posted:

- No items
- Fox Only
- Final Destination

-No games depicting a haughty Yuan emperor allowed
-No DLC that includes the Noid or the 7-Up Spot as Playable characters allowed
-No claiming you got surf Pikachu in gen 1 allowed

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

Antonymous posted:

I wanna see the chinese cause 'no content depicting democracy' makes no sense since China considers itself a democracy and writes the word democracy on all their propaganda

it’s some bullshit from the steam forum system it’s fake

dead gay comedy forums
Oct 21, 2011



this sort of stuff got me thinking a while

the worst part about getting informed about China is how much translation/context buffer there is that simply isn't mediated responsibly by most major vehicles and it's best to just hop on twitter and ask an English-speaking Chinese what they know about the situation

of course, that's intentional. I am reminded of my prof of international econ talking about how the iron curtain was a western imposition on the USSR, talking about how sinister their closed society is, but institutional interest to get people to read Cyrillic was none (from the USA/UK at least). Obfuscation happens due to cultivated ignorance, not because the other side is casting shadows on themselves

It seems a hundred times worse with China because of orientalism too tbqh. China is one of the oldest civilizations of the world, Mandarin is a tough language, etc so it is much easier to mystify the Chinese into a cipher, which, of course, works totally in favor with institutional interest. However, the feedback effect is such that while hot takes abound, nobody does the actual hard work of developing context

and from the perspective of an imperial government, that's really loving bad, because you are wide loving open to liars, scammers and cretins of every sort, with incompetence seeping higher and higher until people who should know better look at a discord screenshot and think "holy poo poo that's some incredibly hot info!". Then it turns out that this dolt is a high state department official. loving lmao

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Serf
May 5, 2011


when i asked for sources on that stuff i got links to a couple of instances of developers modifying their games which apparently means all of it is true lol

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