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(Thread IKs: fart simpson)
 
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Rutibex
Sep 9, 2001

by Fluffdaddy

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJL-gEpAuTc

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Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.
https://twitter.com/MazMHussain/status/1450870151495176195?s=20

Wraith of J.O.I.
Jan 25, 2012


we should expropriate harvard's endowment as punishment for this grievous act

lobster shirt
Jun 14, 2021

thats cultural appropriation, only american war criminals are allowed to go to harvard

OhFunny
Jun 26, 2013

EXTREMELY PISSED AT THE DNC

Well yeah. A nuclear exchange with the USSR would been across the Artic since that was the shortest distance between the two.

How much it would cost to expand it's system to cover every attack vector? Obviously a lot more than for China to build a few missiles.

FrancisFukyomama
Feb 4, 2019

Some Guy TT posted:

yeah when im talking about the morale of the voting left being poo poo in south korea stuff like labor leaders still being locked up while the liberal president and his supermajority legislature brag about what a good job theyre doing working with giant corporations is a pretty big reason for that

don’t even socdem parties regularly get banned? I remember checking out the parasite guy’s politics and he was a member of a banned party for a bit and looking at said party’s activities before being banned it was just normal socdems. not even nominally socialist

Rutibex
Sep 9, 2001

by Fluffdaddy

OhFunny posted:

Well yeah. A nuclear exchange with the USSR would been across the Artic since that was the shortest distance between the two.

How much it would cost to expand it's system to cover every attack vector? Obviously a lot more than for China to build a few missiles.

china will just make a tunnel through the core of the earth

Femur
Jan 10, 2004
I REALLY NEED TO SHUT THE FUCK UP
How cheap and easy are icbm anyways? Like why make anything else other than logistics?

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

Seems like poor decision on the part of US defense planners. Western USA is going to be uninhabitable even if nobody nukes it.

30.5 Days
Nov 19, 2006

Femur posted:

How cheap and easy are icbm anyways? Like why make anything else other than logistics?

I believe the big deal is that things things spend a lot less time in the part of the atmosphere where anti-missile systems can try to hit them. If you accept as true that US missile systems can stop an ICBM with any kind of consistency, then this is the thing you want to build. I don't know that anybody believes that's true, but a lot of nuclear stuff comes down to posturing, so having a missile that obviously cannot be stopped may be valuable.

Lady Militant
Apr 8, 2020

The history of all hitherto existing society is the history of class struggles.
missile defense is entirely a numbers game. which makes concentrating them in an dense area make sense because it makes it harder to counter your N+1 strat unless the enemy does the same. this gets around that by approaching from an entirely different direction, though as pointed out by others this means all we'd need to do to defend against it would be put missile batteries on all borders.

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

Lostconfused posted:

Seems like poor decision on the part of US defense planners. Western USA is going to be uninhabitable even if nobody nukes it.

the shield is for the entire country. it's just that alaska and montana or w/e would be the closest places to intercept even missiles on their way to DC. not anymore! lol

Lady Militant posted:

missile defense is entirely a numbers game. which makes concentrating them in an dense area make sense because it makes it harder to counter your N+1 strat unless the enemy does the same. this gets around that by approaching from an entirely different direction, though as pointed out by others this means all we'd need to do to defend against it would be put missile batteries on all borders.

if only there were some sort of analogue we could make about forcing a country to up its military spending to unsustainable levels. hilarious that lockheed is probably champing at the bit for a tripling of funding over this. perverse incentives abound

i say swears online has issued a correction as of 22:04 on Oct 20, 2021

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

i say swears online posted:

the shield is for the entire country. it's just that alaska and montana or w/e would be the closest places to intercept even missiles on their way to DC. not anymore! lol

So not much of a difference then?

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

Lostconfused posted:

So not much of a difference then?

lockheed will be hiring

Rent-A-Cop
Oct 15, 2004

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!

i say swears online posted:

lockheed will be hiring
LockMart is always hiring. War is good business.

Last I checked they'll still give you a full ride through college if you're the right kind of engineer and you agree to go work for them.

Truga
May 4, 2014
Lipstick Apathy

lol who's this https://mobile.twitter.com/wheazypeezy/status/1450601812877266950

Some Guy TT
Aug 30, 2011

https://mobile.twitter.com/johncarlbaker/status/1450866181129318406

Torpor
Oct 20, 2008

.. and now for my next trick, I'll pretend to be a political commentator...

HONK HONK
the Soviet’s fielded a system like that for like 15 years and abandoned it because it isn’t really a practical system.

I think it was the r-36(O).

It is also a sign that the Chinese deem a nuclear first strike a viable strategy.

Rutibex
Sep 9, 2001

by Fluffdaddy

Torpor posted:

It is also a sign that the Chinese deem a nuclear first strike a viable strategy.

its just a mind game. its the ronald regan "star wars" strategy but turned against the US. now this bloated collapsing empire is going to have to build lots of fancy defense systems and waste even more money

Crusader
Apr 11, 2002

Rutibex posted:

its just a mind game. its the ronald regan "star wars" strategy but turned against the US. now this bloated collapsing empire is going to have to build lots of fancy defense systems and waste even more money

30.5 Days
Nov 19, 2006

Torpor posted:

the Soviet’s fielded a system like that for like 15 years and abandoned it because it isn’t really a practical system.

I think it was the r-36(O).

It is also a sign that the Chinese deem a nuclear first strike a viable strategy.

I would say that evading missile defense would be key to deterring a first strike. Maybe they do deem it viable or maybe they don't, but this weapons program doesn't really indicate either way.

Mr Hootington
Jul 24, 2008

I'M HAVING A HOOT EATING CORNETTE THE LONG WAY

Rutibex posted:

its just a mind game. its the ronald regan "star wars" strategy but turned against the US. now this bloated collapsing empire is going to have to build lots of fancy defense systems and waste even more money

On the other hand I have an article here that says the Chinese minds never conceived of Chinese chess so this strategy is beyond them. I'm a very serious person who is smart.

Some Guy TT
Aug 30, 2011

FrancisFukyomama posted:

don’t even socdem parties regularly get banned? I remember checking out the parasite guy’s politics and he was a member of a banned party for a bit and looking at said party’s activities before being banned it was just normal socdems. not even nominally socialist

that was the last president during the dark era now in the era of light leaders just do electoral reform to intensify the first past the post system making it impossible for soc dem parties to compete its good because they are cringe and dont deserve to have representation anyway

30.5 Days
Nov 19, 2006
That's the problem with going up against the chinese. While we're playing checkers, they're playing chinese checkers.

hot witch divorcee
Jan 4, 2021

is that a tower in your pants or are you just happy to see me

Mr Hootington posted:

On the other hand I have an article here that says the Chinese minds never conceived of Chinese chess so this strategy is beyond them. I'm a very serious person who is smart.

next on the atlantic, chinese skulls indicate a genetic inability to create mk 2 hypersonic missiles,

TheBuilder
Jul 11, 2001

Rutibex posted:

its just a mind game. its the ronald regan "star wars" strategy but turned against the US. now this bloated collapsing empire is going to have to build lots of fancy defense systems and waste even more money

Its a greenlight for the US to deploy space based incerceptors that loiter over possible launch sites

Spergin Morlock
Aug 8, 2009

gonna laugh when china tries to use one of those and accidentally slams into a starlink satellite on the way to its target

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

This would've been really goddamn useful in DEFCON

HerraS
Apr 15, 2012

Looking professional when committing genocide is essential. This is mostly achieved by using a beret.

Olive drab colour ensures the genocider will remain hidden from his prey until it's too late for them to do anything.



lmao lol rofl at the idea of the us being able to put anything into space anymore

Spergin Morlock
Aug 8, 2009

HerraS posted:

lmao lol rofl at the idea of the us being able to put anything into space anymore

the Lucy mission just launched the other day so it can study some asteroids 12 years from now after a series of complicated slingshot maneuvers

HerraS
Apr 15, 2012

Looking professional when committing genocide is essential. This is mostly achieved by using a beret.

Olive drab colour ensures the genocider will remain hidden from his prey until it's too late for them to do anything.



wow Im sure orbital death lasers are the next step from taking a probe and chucking it in the right direction

TheBuilder
Jul 11, 2001
SpaceX launches classified poo poo constantly

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
spacex is headed up by a meth addict

MSDOS KAPITAL
Jun 25, 2018





30.5 Days posted:

I would say that evading missile defense would be key to deterring a first strike. Maybe they do deem it viable or maybe they don't, but this weapons program doesn't really indicate either way.
I thought *missile defense* was key to deterring a first strike, not evading it. That, and a shitload of redundant missiles. At least from a MAD perspective the idea of a first strike is to knock out literally every single missile your enemy can launch at you, thereby eliminating their ability to strike back (or strike back enough to push your losses over whatever you consider acceptable), thereby mitigating MAD at all. That's why we have submarines that you can't target with missiles, and early warning systems so we can launch missiles after they've launched theirs but before theirs have landed, and generally just a shitload of missiles to raise the likelihood that we have something left over in the event we take a first strike. That's all to keep MAD in play.

Ignoring submarines for a moment, if they can evade missile defense / early warning systems, that doesn't really give us any reason not to conduct a first strike because the calculus on our side is the same. And of course, if you don't ignore submarines then this is kinda moot I think since MAD still applies to both sides that way - which indicates to me that this doesn't indicate like a sea change in Chinese posture or whatever.

Cao Ni Ma
May 25, 2010



https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-58922011

why arent they making an article about us??

30.5 Days
Nov 19, 2006

MSDOS KAPITAL posted:

I thought *missile defense* was key to deterring a first strike, not evading it. That, and a shitload of redundant missiles. At least from a MAD perspective the idea of a first strike is to knock out literally every single missile your enemy can launch at you, thereby eliminating their ability to strike back (or strike back enough to push your losses over whatever you consider acceptable), thereby mitigating MAD at all. That's why we have submarines that you can't target with missiles, and early warning systems so we can launch missiles after they've launched theirs but before theirs have landed, and generally just a shitload of missiles to raise the likelihood that we have something left over in the event we take a first strike. That's all to keep MAD in play.

Ignoring submarines for a moment, if they can evade missile defense / early warning systems, that doesn't really give us any reason not to conduct a first strike because the calculus on our side is the same. And of course, if you don't ignore submarines then this is kinda moot I think since MAD still applies to both sides that way - which indicates to me that this doesn't indicate like a sea change in Chinese posture or whatever.

The idea of a first strike is shooting them with nukes and they can't hit you with nukes. That could come from just going hog wild with nukes on their nuke throwing stuff, or it could come from missile defense that can stop their nukes from hitting you. Making sure US missile defense doesn't work is part of deterring a US first strike.

30.5 Days
Nov 19, 2006

Cao Ni Ma posted:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-58922011

why arent they making an article about us??

Weird that the rise of chinese nationalism coincides perfectly with the presence of chinese citizens on the internet. Back when our only source for chinese sentiment was the western media? no nationalism, unheard of. Now that you can just go online and see what chinese people have to say, bam! All this nationalism out of nowhere!

Tankbuster
Oct 1, 2021

Some Guy TT posted:

that was the last president during the dark era now in the era of light leaders just do electoral reform to intensify the first past the post system making it impossible for soc dem parties to compete its good because they are cringe and dont deserve to have representation anyway

So the ROK's political system is what americans pretend they have? Somewhat more meaningful flavor differences between largely neoliberal parties?

tractor fanatic
Sep 9, 2005

Pillbug

Torpor posted:

the Soviet’s fielded a system like that for like 15 years and abandoned it because it isn’t really a practical system.

I think it was the r-36(O).

It is also a sign that the Chinese deem a nuclear first strike a viable strategy.

Missile defense systems are inherently aggressive in a MAD scenario, since missile defense cannot possibly stop a first strike, but they might be able to stop a weakened second strike. The Chinese building systems to defeat missile defense is a defensive move to maintain a nuclear deterrent. Crazy weapons delivery systems are meant to keep MAD functioning.

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Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Cao Ni Ma posted:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-58922011

why arent they making an article about us??

suddenly, patriotism is bad

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