Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Baddog
May 12, 2001
Negative risk available in the virginia margin of victory market, although drat I had to work at it to squeeze out that guaranteed 5 bucks.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...



Maxing out the NJ market when it was like 88 should cancel whatever I lose in VA and if I play the night correctly might even manage to make some money there anyway.

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

Voting turnout looking high in VA today, good news for TMac shareholders. My position went from red to green overnight :toot:

ETA: Market wildly flipping back and forth right now before polls close if anyone wants to try to ride the waves. I imagine early results will look good for Tmac, if Youngkin wins it will probably take a while to show up.

ETA 2: lol nvm tmac owned

WampaLord has issued a correction as of 01:04 on Nov 3, 2021

Merlot Brougham
Dec 16, 2004

The White Darryl Strawberry


Salad Prong
I didn't get involved in Virginia but I did clock a cool 24 dollars and change in the "Reconciliation by Nov 1st Market". I will now do the same slow crawl on the filibuster marker.

Parakeet vs. Phone
Nov 6, 2009
And meanwhile I'm bummed that there's not much action in the margin market. I was hoping to see some bigger flips and actively trade, but looks like I'm just sitting on my brackets for now.

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

I think TMac may be hosed lads.

lmao the virginia model

Elephanthead
Sep 11, 2008


Toilet Rascal

WampaLord posted:

I think TMac may be hosed lads.

lmao the virginia model

yeah buy younkin for whatever you want

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

he;lp

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Baddog posted:

Negative risk available in the virginia margin of victory market, although drat I had to work at it to squeeze out that guaranteed 5 bucks.

I should have done this, would have notched a tidy little win at zero risk. Instead I rolled the dice and got owned!!!

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

WampaLord posted:

I think TMac may be hosed lads.

lmao the virginia model

Yeah he's definitely going to lose lol

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

THE DEMOCRATS

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455692529790328835

shame on an IGA
Apr 8, 2005

feels good to finally embrace the obvious reality of the past five years and just always bet on hellworld. Loaded up on youngkin >3 at .19 yesterday and just got out at .60

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...



Managed to scoot out of there with a mild loss and put it back into NJ when CHUD dummies had the Republican at .91 just after Virginia became obvious.

Grey Fox
Jan 5, 2004

Impeachment and Virginia are two big losses for me this year, oh well

Wrex Ruckus
Aug 24, 2015

I'm a big stupid idiot and blew my winnings and then some touching the poop in the margin market

The Joe Man
Apr 7, 2007

Flirting With Apathetic Waitresses Since 1984
Glad I stayed out of this one, hoooooly poo poo

Merlot Brougham
Dec 16, 2004

The White Darryl Strawberry


Salad Prong
Unscathed here. Hopefully tonight didn't go full on "Steyer Strategy" for anyone.

net work error
Feb 26, 2011

Always put money on Dems loving up imo

Baddog
May 12, 2001
loving hell, democrats just piss away everything.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Managed to get in at Youngkin 3%+ under 50% somehow during a flash crash and cover my losses

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

net work error posted:

Always put money on Dems loving up imo

a lesson learned the hard way

the biggest red flag was seeing dnd dumbasses going "you'd have to be a moron to bet on youngkin" i shoulda known

oh well i'll make it back next year during midterms

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...



chuds are chudding the nj market if you want to scrape up some extra nickles

Merlot Brougham
Dec 16, 2004

The White Darryl Strawberry


Salad Prong
Is it true what I see about Newark not even being reported yet?

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...



Merlot Brougham posted:

Is it true what I see about Newark not even being reported yet?

yeah it’s the usual big blue cities last deal

Merlot Brougham
Dec 16, 2004

The White Darryl Strawberry


Salad Prong

weekly font posted:

yeah it’s the usual big blue cities last deal

Got in at .86

Merlot Brougham
Dec 16, 2004

The White Darryl Strawberry


Salad Prong
Should have waited.

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...



This is going to be much closer than it should be but I’m still on that Essex county dump being massive blue.

If not I’m out of gambling on politics forever lmao hail satan

Merlot Brougham
Dec 16, 2004

The White Darryl Strawberry


Salad Prong

weekly font posted:

I’m still on that Essex county dump being massive blue.

Of course, but is it enough?

e: I hate doing my research after the money's down.

Bergen county was +100k Democrat in the last election, so math math, yeah, looks ok for now.

e2: Essex county, rather.

Merlot Brougham has issued a correction as of 04:07 on Nov 3, 2021

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...



Merlot Brougham posted:

Of course, but is it enough?

Most other years I’d say yes but we’re going to hell tonight. If I still have money on Predict after this I’m not putting it anywhere but the Dems loving up bigly in 2022.

Parakeet vs. Phone
Nov 6, 2009

WampaLord posted:

a lesson learned the hard way

the biggest red flag was seeing dnd dumbasses going "you'd have to be a moron to bet on youngkin" i shoulda known

oh well i'll make it back next year during midterms

I'll admit seeing a certain DnD someone gloat pushed me into finally depositing again and betting. I didn't like the Win or Lose market odds so I got in on some bets across the margin market betting on a tight race either way (2% either ways, with a plan to exit over the course of the blue-red-blue wave) or a TMAC surprise blowout in case I was really wrong. Lol. I made a little flipping and then watched my holdings lose value all night, with the only plus being that I sneaked back in on some Youngkin 1-2% at 9 cents after doing a few flips which might pay off. Otherwise it's a total wipe.

At least it was interesting.

Parakeet vs. Phone has issued a correction as of 03:56 on Nov 3, 2021

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...



Jack Gabagool underperformed slightly in Middlesex. Some heavy R like Sussex are still out but they’re drops in the bucket compared to Passaic and Essex.

Definitely sweating this one but not abandoning ship.

Merlot Brougham
Dec 16, 2004

The White Darryl Strawberry


Salad Prong

weekly font posted:

Jack Gabagool underperformed slightly in Middlesex. Some heavy R like Sussex are still out but they’re drops in the bucket compared to Passaic and Essex.

Definitely sweating this one but not abandoning ship.

The comments section is getting decidedly more racist now, so I think that means this one's almost over in our favor.

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...



I think I’m gonna make last swing push if Sussex and Salem come in before mail ins.

Baddog
May 12, 2001
Man, I dunno, I just punched out. Essex is in, almost all of Passaic, and he's still down by 1.3?

Edit, well half of Passaic.

Merlot Brougham
Dec 16, 2004

The White Darryl Strawberry


Salad Prong

Baddog posted:

Man, I dunno, I just punched out. Essex is in, almost all of Passaic, and he's still down by 1.3?

Where are you seeing complete essex results?

Baddog
May 12, 2001

Merlot Brougham posted:

Where are you seeing complete essex results?

Nyt has it at 90%

Merlot Brougham
Dec 16, 2004

The White Darryl Strawberry


Salad Prong

Baddog posted:

Nyt has it at 90%

Amd NYT has passaic at 48% sill. 83 in Camden, and no large R counties with signifcant numbers left to report. I don't know.

Baddog
May 12, 2001

Merlot Brougham posted:

Amd NYT has passaic at 48% sill. 83 in Camden, and no large R counties with signifcant numbers left to report. I don't know.

Hmm just tightened up to 17k votes, was that Camden?

Maybe I paper handed out too soon.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

weekly font
Dec 1, 2004


Everytime I try to fly I fall
Without my wings
I feel so small
Guess I need you baby...



I might be out if I can get to break even just cause I want to go to bed.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply