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JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver
(sigh) well maybe the BBB will get through eventually

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a.lo
Sep 12, 2009
Probation
Can't post for 5 hours!

Buckwheat Sings posted:



I hope progressives stick to their guns and that these bills die. Vote blue no matter who is cancer.

Infrastructure just passed

Sharkie
Feb 4, 2013

by Fluffdaddy

morothar posted:

I’d love to see an expanded analogy that explains how “taking healthcare away from millions” is merely ‘something worse’ relative to “squabbling over how to spend $T on beneficial causes”

They're both bad op.

I mean are you asking me for a list of everything that Democratic Party members are poo poo about? Climate, cops, housing, college, etc. etc. Once again, they are both bad. So I'm not going to support either. You don't have to, either, as well!

I mean if I were you I'd ask what it means when the leaders of my party literally want a strong Republican party, there might be some clues there.

Stickman
Feb 1, 2004

icantfindaname posted:

The problem is that politics should be based in class-conscious self interest, not in middle-class philanthropic concern for unfortunate others

You're in luck, that's our current system!

Aztec Galactus
Sep 12, 2002

Zeron posted:

Bipartisan Infrastructure bill has passed, rip the BBB. Only concession the progressives got before folding was a written promise that those couple of moderates will, maybe, vote on the BBB later, worth exactly as much as the paper it was written on. Amazing how completely worthless the progressive caucus is.

they technically aren't breaking their promise if manchin and/or sinema sink the bill in the senate and it never comes to a vote

BRAKE FOR MOOSE
Jun 6, 2001

Well, that's a hell of a gamble, and I think it is an incredibly stupid gamble to take. All leverage is gone and dependent entirely on the goodwill of a group of obstructionist fuckheads. If BBB doesn't pass (and without substantial changes from the current version) then I'll never vote for a Democrat again.

Mendrian
Jan 6, 2013

a.lo posted:

guys don't worry BBB will be passed by christmas. A christmas miracle one would say

I don't know what's worse; bbb being dead or something called bbb eventually being passed that actually sucks rear end.

Baronash
Feb 29, 2012

So what do you want to be called?

Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

The conflict between Progressives and House moderates was whether to pass it today or after the CBO score.

Yes, I saw that reported. And since my eyes are connected to my brain, I’m capable of asserting that house moderates don’t give a gently caress about CBO scores so much as they want to decouple these bills by any means necessary.

So again, why would they want to do that unless it’s to take a hammer to everything in BBB not named SALT?

morothar
Dec 21, 2005

Sharkie posted:

They're both bad op.

I mean are you asking me for a list of everything that Democratic Party members are poo poo about? Climate, cops, housing, college, etc. etc. Once again, they are both bad. So I'm not going to support either. You don't have to, either, as well!

I mean if I were you I'd ask what it means when the leaders of my party literally want a strong Republican party, there might be some clues there.

Nope. I’m asking how actively attempting to take healthcare away from millions is merely a worse form of squabbling over how to spend a few $T on largely good causes.
And in consequence I suppose, how voting for the party that does the latter isn’t a form of harm reduction over voting for the party that does the former.

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster

Buckwheat Sings posted:

gently caress the moderates. They act like its still the 80s and that people still care about bipartisanship which is funny as gently caress considering we just got out of Trump land.

I hope progressives stick to their guns and that these bills die. Vote blue no matter who is cancer.

The Progressives don't want either bill to die. Nobody actually opposes the bipartisan bill on the merits (because it is 95% just "hard" infrastructure that was taken out of the original $4.2 trillion BBB plan and put into it's own bill), they were holding it for assurances to get the BBB vote.

The whole reason they are going for this agreement is to get momentum on getting both bills out of the House. They won't make the deal to get momentum on passing them just to kill both of them. The members who oppose the BBB would love for someone else to tank it for them.

Hellblazer187
Oct 12, 2003

Sanguinia posted:

If them getting blamed is what's destined to happen, the logical argument might be that they were about to lose this leverage anyway. If things descend into blame gaming in the media before anything gets accomplished, and we assume they would inevitably lose the media fight, their leverage dies anyway. So the better move is to put it on the table, get what you can get for it, and toss the dice. Either it all turns to poo poo and you get blamed, which would have happened if you didn't try as well, or good things happen and you reap the benefits because you played ball at the key moment rather than holding out for better odds.

I'm not saying I endorse this logic, but its logic that makes sense. If your options really have come down to Lose or Try And Probably Lose But Maybe Have A Tiny Chane To Win, better the latter.

Maybe that makes sense if this is like, the final negotiation of all time. But since it's not, and this now a guarantee that

TheIncredulousHulk posted:

Nobody's ever going to take any of her threats seriously again

Probably it was dumb to throw away any and all leverage on this and also anything else that might ever happen again.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
How long can a bill sit at the executive before it needs to be signed/vetoed?

The only way I see the BBB not being dead (rest in peace) is if they go with not signing BIF until BBB is on the desk with it. I dont trust Biden to be that clever, though.

paranoid randroid
Mar 4, 2007

Zeron posted:

Bipartisan Infrastructure bill has passed, rip the BBB. Only concession the progressives got before folding was a written promise that those couple of moderates will, maybe, vote on the BBB later, worth exactly as much as the paper it was written on. Amazing how completely worthless the progressive caucus is.

Pelosi knew she had the R votes to make them not matter. the only purpose this whole charade served was to humiliate the CPC.

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
Doesn't the BIP allow for the privatization of some public infrastructure as well? Just a terrible bill on that alone.

Deteriorata
Feb 6, 2005

Neurolimal posted:

How long can a bill sit at the executive before it needs to be signed/vetoed?

The only way I see the BBB not being dead (rest in peace) is if they go with not signing BIF until BBB is on the desk with it. I dont trust Biden to be that clever, though.

10 days, then it becomes law whether he signs it or not.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



BBB is toast, RIP.

Byzantine
Sep 1, 2007

Worthless loving cowards.

HonorableTB
Dec 22, 2006
i am going to take a break from following this thread for a bit and get drunk because if i dont then my mental and emotional health are going to collapse, peace out for a while nerds

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Moderates want the SALT stuff, but I doubt Manchin cares. He’s going to get the bill he wants and that will be the ballgame

Ershalim
Sep 22, 2008
Clever Betty

Sanguinia posted:

In terms of only political power dynamics, its probably worth considering that up until now the media coverage of this fight on mainstream sources has been all about Manchin and Sinema vs Biden and Progressives. The House shuffle has been ignored outside political outlets like The Hill and whatnot. After Virginia, there is zero doubt in my mind that if Progressives had spiked Infrastructure tonight every story tomorrow would have been about them being the bad guy. By holding their ground tonight long enough to get an explicitly worded promise to vote on the bill as-is on a specific day, if nothing else they've kept the public eye on the Moderates and off themselves. They can say honestly that they did their part, and if the Moderates reneg on their black-and-white written deal for any reason other than the out they made for themselves, the CBO score, that is then the story every news show runs.

I don't believe this is possible. The progressives are by their very nature antithetical to the party's established interests, and so they are, and ust always be the bad guys. It hasn't coalesced entirely yet, but even Virginia's abysmal results are getting blamed on vague "wokeness" and such because it's inconceivable that a centrist might fail to appeal to people. It has to be the outsiders, and since we're trying to court the less insane republicans, that really only leaves one group. The progressives don't set the media narrative, hell, even the mainstream democrats don't. The hack gap is wildly in favor of whatever the republicans say, and they'll say "socialist!" and so the only thing the party can do (since it can't go against the establishment that it serves) is to blame progressives. No matter what happens.

Sanguinia posted:

The Progressives looked at the board, decided the hand they had was a losing one, and cashed it out for one they hope still has a chance to win. It's that simple.

I think that's their reasoning, yes.

Stickman posted:

You're in luck, that's our current system!

:v:

JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver
Even if the BBB gets passed in a form essentially as last reported (unlikely) this is just an awful look for the Progressive Caucus. Talking poo poo for weeks about only voting for the bipartisan infrastructure bill after getting firm commitments about BBB and then everyone but the Squad caves.

Spoke Lee
Dec 31, 2004

chairizard lol

virtualboyCOLOR posted:

Absolutely shameful that anyone would suggest Dems as the party of harm reduction or the lesser of two evils.

Privileged scumbags.

I'm going to quote myself:

quote:


Can we cut this horseshit? I get you are angry and frustrated, but there are immediate consequences felt by the vulnerable that are avoided. Do you think ADAPT were dragged out of their wheelchairs and to the floor for loving fun? We were 1 vote away from block granting Medicaid. That means community based supports for the disabled are reduced and we don't get enough personal care hours to live in our own homes, in our communities. When that happens we are forced into institutions where we are physically, mentally, and sexually abused.

This is not some rare occurrence. I knew someone who killed themselves earlier this year because they couldn't find personal care assistants. They were so terrified of going back to a facility, they would rather choose death.

Just be accurate and say there is no difference to YOU because people like the disabled might as well not exist unless we are in someone's way.

Are we shameful? Is stripping our independence and abusing us not harm?

To be clear, I support killing the bill unless both pass.

Zeron
Oct 23, 2010

paranoid randroid posted:

Pelosi knew she had the R votes to make them not matter. the only purpose this whole charade served was to humiliate the CPC.

The CPC has 95 members, there absolutely would not have been enough Republican votes to make up for it. Either the CPC has no control over the caucus and knew they wouldn't listen anyway, or they knowingly gave in to kill the BBB. Either way they've proven that they have no teeth or integrity. Why should anyone go along with the progressive agenda when they know that they will cave in every single time rather than following through with sinking a bill? Securing the BBB vote in the House means literally nothing, now that it's separated from the bipartisan bill it'll just be sunk by Manchin and Sinema in the Senate.

Even if she had somehow had the Republican votes to make up for it, they should have forced that and made her pass the bill with huge Dem/Rep defections.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



FlamingLiberal posted:

Moderates want the SALT stuff, but I doubt Manchin cares. He’s going to get the bill he wants and that will be the ballgame

They're in luck then because they'll definitely get it, just in a different bill they demand it added to later

ex post facho
Oct 25, 2007

JT Jag posted:

Even if the BBB gets passed in a form essentially as last reported (unlikely) this is just an awful look for the Progressive Caucus. Talking poo poo for weeks about only voting for the bipartisan infrastructure bill after getting firm commitments about BBB and then everyone but the Squad caves.

Yeah, they showed that they can be safely ignored. They sacrificed all their leverage after months of insisting they'd only vote on the bills in tandem.

I'm expecting that the Dems will likely lose both houses in 2022 now, and then the White House in 2024 to Pence, DeSantis or worse. VA gov was just a sneak preview.

Completely from their own doing.

morothar
Dec 21, 2005

WTF. Was expecting both bills to be pushed to next week at this point.
Gotta hand it to them though. My bar was basically on the ground, and they still managed to fumble and disappoint.

Sharkie
Feb 4, 2013

by Fluffdaddy

morothar posted:

Nope. I’m asking how actively attempting to take healthcare away from millions is merely a worse form of squabbling over how to spend a few $T on largely good causes.
And in consequence I suppose, how voting for the party that does the latter isn’t a form of harm reduction over voting for the party that does the former.

How can you say the Democratic Party sucks, when they have not infact skinned thousands of people alive, like the Assyrian Empire. I demand you answer.

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster

Judakel posted:

Doesn't the BIP allow for the privatization of some public infrastructure as well? Just a terrible bill on that alone.

No, they were floating asset recycling (which is not necessarily privatization - although it can be - it usually involves selling airplanes/trucks/boats or renting out warehouses) as a way to pay for it without raising taxes initially. But, they decided to just go with budget gimmickery that ends up increasing the debt by $220 billion anyway.

Neurolimal posted:

How long can a bill sit at the executive before it needs to be signed/vetoed?

The only way I see the BBB not being dead (rest in peace) is if they go with not signing BIF until BBB is on the desk with it. I dont trust Biden to be that clever, though.

Pocket veto takes effect after 10 days + Congress is out of session.

BRAKE FOR MOOSE
Jun 6, 2001

paranoid randroid posted:

Pelosi knew she had the R votes to make them not matter. the only purpose this whole charade served was to humiliate the CPC.

If the CPC held strong, she would have needed to peel off far more Republicans, and it also wouldn't give us yet another example of impotent progressives shooting themselves in the foot, even if Pelosi somehow pulled that off.

I can only assume that the CPC started falling apart as the day went on, and Jayapal had to get some kind of deal together because if Pelosi called their bluff and brought it to the floor, Jayapal had no guarantee she could keep anyone but the squad as No votes.

What a lot of loving cowards.



vvv

Hellblazer187 posted:

Did the entire CPC cave? Where can I find the actual vote counts? I guess it doesn't really matter, though. The CPC as a block with any power is totally done.

All except Pressley, AOC, Omar, Tliab, Bowman, Bush. The usual.

BRAKE FOR MOOSE fucked around with this message at 04:50 on Nov 6, 2021

Hellblazer187
Oct 12, 2003

Did the entire CPC cave? Where can I find the actual vote counts? I guess it doesn't really matter, though. The CPC as a block with any power is totally done.

JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver
https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1456803572625068040The leadership of the Progressive Caucus caved because Biden said "just trust me bro"

I don't even know what to say

Lemming
Apr 21, 2008

JT Jag posted:

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1456803572625068040The leadership of the Progressive Caucus caved because Biden said "just trust me bro"

I don't even know what to say

"lmfao"

Edit: The superpower of democratic presidents is to phone people who have leverage and tell them to give up and they inexplicably comply

ex post facho
Oct 25, 2007

Hellblazer187 posted:

Did the entire CPC cave? Where can I find the actual vote counts? I guess it doesn't really matter, though. The CPC as a block with any power is totally done.

https://twitter.com/kenklippenstein...ingawful.com%2F

Zeron
Oct 23, 2010

Hellblazer187 posted:

Did the entire CPC cave? Where can I find the actual vote counts? I guess it doesn't really matter, though. The CPC as a block with any power is totally done.

Six Democrats against, 13 Republicans for. They had just enough hall passes for the Squad (I assume).

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

No, they were floating asset recycling (which is not necessarily privatization - although it can be - it usually involves selling airplanes/trucks/boats or renting out warehouses) as a way to pay for it without raising taxes initially. But, they decided to just go with budget gimmickery that ends up increasing the debt by $220 billion anyway.

Pocket veto takes effect after 10 days + Congress is out of session.

Wall Street wanted it, so it most likely would've been privatization.

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster

Hellblazer187 posted:

Did the entire CPC cave? Where can I find the actual vote counts? I guess it doesn't really matter, though. The CPC as a block with any power is totally done.

Only 6 Dems voted against. 90% of the CPC voted for it because of the agreement to vote on BBB by the 15th.

Judakel posted:

Wall Street wanted it, so it most likely would've been privatization.

Probably true. They never actually specified what it would be.

Hilariously, the BBB in its current form spends $1.85 trillion and raises $1.9 trillion, so it lowers the deficit. While the BIF adds $220 billion.

Sharkie
Feb 4, 2013

by Fluffdaddy

Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

Only 6 Dems voted against. 90% of the CPC voted for it because of the agreement to vote on BBB by the 15th.

What are the punishments if they don't vote on the 3B by the 15th? Are we talking jail time, asset forfeiture, or what?

TheIncredulousHulk
Sep 3, 2012

morothar posted:

WTF. Was expecting both bills to be pushed to next week at this point.
Gotta hand it to them though. My bar was basically on the ground, and they still managed to fumble and disappoint.

Why were you expecting that lol

Blind Pineapple
Oct 27, 2010

For The Perfect Fruit 'n' Kaman

1 part gin
1 part pomegranate syrup
Fill with pineapple juice
Serve over crushed ice

College Slice
I actually do believe the house moderates will live up to their end of the bargain and vote for BBB this month, but is there any other endgame here besides the senate butchering the bill to the point of worthlessness, or just voting it down outright behind Sinema and Manchin?

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WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

Supreme Premier Trump is advocating for the progressives to FIght for the BBB and start the Marxist revolution

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