|
Baddog posted:Hmm just tightened up to 17k votes, was that Camden? Not sure. I can't say I'm a huge fan of playing the "wager on the reporting speed of the jurisdictions" game in states that I'm not terribly familiar with.
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 04:58
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 2, 2024 10:26 |
|
|
Baddog posted:Man, I dunno, I just punched out. Essex is in, almost all of Passaic, and he's still down by 1.3? Apparently 2/3 of the absentee ballots have not been counted
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:06
|
|
|
Vox Nihili posted:Apparently 2/3 of the absentee ballots have not been counted Which have been overhwelmingly for Murphy according to my expert knowledge of skimming the internet a couple minutes ago.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:08
|
|
|
Merlot Brougham posted:Which have been overhwelmingly for Murphy according to my expert knowledge of skimming the internet a couple minutes ago. Yep, I maxed out for D again. Phone ran out of juice right as I was mashing the max button, haha. Should have just held on through the whole thing, but got in for *nearly* the same basis i started with.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:09
|
|
|
Baddog posted:Yep, I maxed out for D again. Good lad.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:09
|
|
|
All that and I’m gonna end up like 30$ thanks to VA and short three hours of sleep I needed
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:12
|
|
|
weekly font posted:All that and I’m gonna end up like 30$ thanks to VA and short three hours of sleep I needed As Big Ern would say, "lt's fun though, isn't it?"
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:15
|
|
|
Unless of course Gregg Mele fucks the whole thing up for everyone.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:18
|
|
|
Merlot Brougham posted:Unless of course Gregg Mele fucks the whole thing up for everyone. Passaic actually breaking red now at 60%?
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:20
|
|
|
Baddog posted:Passaic actually breaking red now at 60%? That's just those jerks over in Wanaque reporting. Nothing to worry about.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:23
|
|
|
Apparently the State Senate leader is about to lose to a truck driver who spent $100 on his campaign.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:32
|
|
|
Merlot Brougham posted:That's just those jerks over in Wanaque reporting. Nothing to worry about. Burlington is in now, sussex and salem are only red counties with good chunks of votes, and I think the 10% left in Essex is about equal to that population. 13% more in camden should more than outweigh the remaining odds and ends. plus up to 600K remaining absentee? wasn't sure if that was on top of the % reporting numbers NYT is showing.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:37
|
|
|
Baddog posted:Burlington is in now, sussex and salem are only red counties with good chunks of votes, and I think the 10% left in Essex is about equal to that population. Bergen's current numbers also figure in 0 mail-in ballots.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 05:44
|
|
|
78/22 market now lol
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:12
|
|
|
i say swears online posted:78/22 market now lol It'e been all over the place, but NYT showing Essex at 90% is clearly wrong, as everywher else has higher vote totals listed and is in still reporting 70%. They're showing 90% with 152,000 votes cast, when there were more than that difference cast in 2017 and turnout is far higher across the board.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:18
|
|
|
i say swears online posted:78/22 market now lol Sussex came in, thats all the red votes. 45K lead to eat with 18% of the vote still to count? I think its D.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:29
|
|
|
Baddog posted:Sussex came in, thats all the red votes. 45K lead to eat with 18% of the vote still to count? I think its D. DDHQ has the highest reported raw vote total and now shows it within 2k votes with 36% of essex yet to report.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:31
|
|
|
Merlot Brougham posted:DDHQ has the highest reported raw vote total and now shows it within 2k votes with 36% of essex yet to report. Huh the NYT numbers are just way behind and/or off huh. Maybe they all went home. Looks good!
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:36
|
|
|
Baddog posted:Huh the NYT numbers are just way behind and/or off huh. Maybe they all went home. They don't count the same counties in the same order. It can get real confusing going between the two, and DDHQ notably makes more mistakes in data input (but all sites do sometimes).
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:40
|
|
|
Make sure to scoop up your Biden to be nominated in 2024 shares that are getting cheaper due to tonights disaster but will rebound in a few days for some quick money.
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 06:50
|
|
|
unless he just dies
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 09:30
|
|
|
Two big elections in a row, the January Georgia runoffs and yesterday's Virginia's governor's race, FiveThirtyEight's polling aggregate helped me win $$$ betting against people who bet on the huge swings that happen early in returns Terry hosed me on the overall result, but I clawed back some cash with the vote margin markets
|
|
#
?
Nov 3, 2021 13:45
|
|
|
please let there be a recount
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2021 12:52
|
|
|
loving these $.10 spreads in the NJ market right now
|
|
#
?
Nov 4, 2021 16:37
|
|
|
Parakeet vs. Phone posted:I sneaked back in on some Youngkin 1-2% at 9 cents after doing a few flips which might pay off. Otherwise it's a total wipe. I sincerely hope you held these.
|
|
#
?
Nov 5, 2021 21:51
|
|
|
Merlot Brougham posted:I sincerely hope you held these.  . Yeah, although I held them past the first big spike into the 80s and got to go through the crash. I went with my gut and just got now out like I should have before. Little gunshy after all these flips. Once my NO Younkin 3%+ settle I should go from a wipeout to a small profit which I'll be very happy with. That's been one hell of a market.
|
|
#
?
Nov 6, 2021 03:07
|
|
|
The most important thing I've learned is not to be afraid to cut my losers. In a frothy near-resolution market like this, gently caress holding anything longer than a couple hours.
|
|
#
?
Nov 6, 2021 03:19
|
|
|
 house republicans are having a press conference today at 2PM eastern to announce a bill federally legalizing weed, get in before the pop.https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7363/Will-marijuana-be-rescheduled-under-the-Controlled-Substances-Act-by-April-20 http://mace.house.gov/sra
|
|
#
?
Nov 15, 2021 17:33
|
|
|
https://mobile.twitter.com/RepNancyMace/status/1459565180585656325
|
|
#
?
Nov 15, 2021 17:38
|
|
|
Easy money on Abbott yes here: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7566/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-gubernatorial-election
|
|
#
?
Nov 15, 2021 20:42
|
|
|
shame on an IGA posted:
Threw in  on this!
|
|
#
?
Nov 15, 2021 21:05
|
|
|
JosefStalinator posted:Easy money on Abbott yes here: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7566/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-gubernatorial-election 20% in a year barely beats inflation now!
|
|
#
?
Nov 15, 2021 22:09
|
|
|
There's also Republican Nominee for Texas Governor
|
|
#
?
Nov 15, 2021 22:26
|
|
|
shame on an IGA posted:
So my lesson from this was that it can be, ahem, challenging to escape from a bad trade when you bought 10x the average daily volume of the market
|
|
#
?
Nov 16, 2021 19:40
|
|
|
yah it sucks when a market has no volume riding swings in an outcome you dont think will happen is dangerous
|
|
#
?
Nov 16, 2021 20:22
|
|
|
shame on an IGA posted:So my lesson from this was that it can be, ahem, challenging to escape from a bad trade when you bought 10x the average daily volume of the market I have way too much money locked up in the market that will never end: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7119/How-many-Biden-Cabinet-members-will-Josh-Hawley-vote-against
|
|
#
?
Nov 16, 2021 23:57
|
|
|
MAGA Money getting in early
|
|
#
?
Dec 20, 2021 04:29
|
|
|
rip your money to inflation
|
|
#
?
Dec 20, 2021 04:32
|
|
|
i say swears online posted:rip your money to inflation
|
|
#
?
Dec 20, 2021 04:34
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 2, 2024 10:26 |
|
|
Waiting for the year to end on the filibuster market to free up some money that, for now looks like will be moving over to the French Election market. The Josh Hawley fiasco will never end and I have money stuck there until it does.
|
|
#
?
Dec 20, 2021 06:51
|
|