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yeah the reason why we've finally arrived at "build more supply" as literally the only loving solution left is because Vancouver has layered on the following: * Foreign buyer Tax (now 20%!) * Speculation Tax (ie. you must rent out your secondary home to avoid) * CoV empty home tax * CoV Airbnb regulation (ban on renting your secondary home/laneway house/basement suite) and all of these demand side measures moved the rental vacancy rate from..... ~1% to ~2.6%. The demand side measures well is dry. To get to a healthy 5%+ vacancy more homes are needed. What else is left on the table? Not to say that any of the above was a waste of time. Quite the opposite. As a result of these measures thousands of apartments appeared on the market overnight. That's not nothing, but it's clear that the scale of the problem is so much bigger than most imagined and these demand side measures alone are not enough. quote:Three years in, has B.C.'s speculation and vacancy tax made a difference? Davidoff here is correct. Pavlov definitely is not. The biggest change coming from all these taxes is that the market for condos has severely diminished to almost nothing. Overnight a bunch of developers that already had rezonings good to go for condo towers went back to the CoV to ask them to re-rezone them for apartments. At this point everyone is making purpose built rental. Goes to show that although it was small, the pied-a-terre market that the speculation tax crushed may have been significant enough to influence what developers built. Femtosecond fucked around with this message at 02:33 on Nov 19, 2021 |
# ? Nov 19, 2021 02:30 |
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# ? May 24, 2024 18:39 |
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I used to be much much more demand side. Clearly there's probably enough housing, the demand is entirely for money laundering and speculation. But over the last ~5 years I've realized that yes, demand side is not something you should ignore, you really need to look at both and there's no harm being aggressive with both. Cities around the world that added a ton of rental stock over the last years have seen rents not go up remotely as much as cities that have not. There's basically no downside to adding more supply, the only problem is that our hosed up nimby zoning systems push development onto existing affordable rental supply rather than single family housing. When SFH is developed no one loses as the owners cash out by their own choice and can use their windfall to relocate. When affordable rentals are redeveloped the renters are entirely hosed. I say upzone the gently caress out of everything, abandon the concept of single family zoning, protect existing affordable rentals, and go hog wild. Just keep everything walking, cycling, and transit based in that order. Also yeah, massive investment into affordable housing would be nice too. But going hog wild with transit-oriented-upzoning doesn't preclude that at all. It's never been one or the other. Just attack the problem from every possible angle using every resource you have at hand.
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# ? Nov 19, 2021 02:57 |
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One demand side fix that hasn't been tried yet is raising property tax. Make it toxic to own, and raise funds for public works like rail transit, parks, public events, public art. This city would be awesome to live in, but instead we have a bunch of rich boomers. oh welp
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# ? Nov 19, 2021 02:58 |
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Mantle posted:One demand side fix that hasn't been tried yet is raising property tax. Make it toxic to own, and raise funds for public works like rail transit, parks, public events, public art. This city would be awesome to live in, but instead we have a bunch of rich boomers. oh welp I really wish cities had a lot more taxation power. That's basically the only reason we got Red Vienna, they were able to tax what and how they wanted. Property tax is good, but I'd love to see some city level wealth taxes. Make it a very unattractive place to park wealth.
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# ? Nov 19, 2021 03:29 |
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Mantle posted:One demand side fix that hasn't been tried yet is raising property tax. Make it toxic to own, and raise funds for public works like rail transit, parks, public events, public art. This city would be awesome to live in, but instead we have a bunch of rich boomers. oh welp Renters also pay property tax, ultimately, so wouldn’t massive increases in property tax also decrease rent affordability?
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# ? Nov 19, 2021 03:40 |
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Mantle posted:One demand side fix that hasn't been tried yet is raising property tax. Make it toxic to own, and raise funds for public works like rail transit, parks, public events, public art. This city would be awesome to live in, but instead we have a bunch of rich boomers. oh welp It has been tried a tiny bit... Along with the Speculation Tax, the BC NDP also raised the "School Tax" (a portion of the property tax) on homes worth over $3M. But yes the City of Vancouver could def raise property taxes and that would have a big impact but it also seems like a sure fire way to get booted from office. I'd like very much like to see this though. A lot of peeps on the yimby left have suggested that Vancouver property taxes are much too low versus other cities, but it's not clear to me that this is actually true. Very easy to lie with statistics in this area. There's other good ideas like adding an extra land value tax on sale and such, which I believe Vancouver city staff is looking into. Subjunctive posted:Renters also pay property tax, ultimately, so wouldn’t massive increases in property tax also decrease rent affordability? I think the rent is based on the market. If property taxes are high and the rental property is not breaking even, welp too bad? The landlord can certainly try to raise rents, but if market rent is lower then everyone is simply going to move. That is if they can move. This is why it's so crucial to get to a reasonable vacancy to have a healthy rental market. At the moment in Vancouver with sub 3% vacancy, landlords just raise the rent every year and what can tenants do? lol nothing. Baronjutter posted:I used to be much much more demand side. Clearly there's probably enough housing, the demand is entirely for money laundering and speculation. But over the last ~5 years I've realized that yes, demand side is not something you should ignore, you really need to look at both and there's no harm being aggressive with both. Cities around the world that added a ton of rental stock over the last years have seen rents not go up remotely as much as cities that have not. There's basically no downside to adding more supply, the only problem is that our hosed up nimby zoning systems push development onto existing affordable rental supply rather than single family housing. When SFH is developed no one loses as the owners cash out by their own choice and can use their windfall to relocate. When affordable rentals are redeveloped the renters are entirely hosed. Re: the bolded section: Years ago I used to be a bit concerned about redevelopment of old east van SFHs that were affordably shared by a bunch of young people, as this would be a replacement of cheap working class, working artist housing with brand new rentals for yuppies. However as the crisis has become more and more dire it's sadly apparent that those renting SFHs are inevitably hosed in all cases, and we might as well rezone for apartments. What we've seen is those cheap rental SFHs inevitably get bought out by rich yuppies or retirees that sold their Dunbar place, and so a house that affordably housed several young people now occupied by fewer, richer persons. Better to rezone the whole area for rental apartments and at least get more rental vacancy. So yeah I feel I'm in the same place as you. Create very strict rental replacement policies, policies to give renters a bunch of cash if they're evicted for redevelopment, and go hog wild on rental development. Ideally maybe there's some way we can bias redevelopment toward the rich areas of the city that are predominantly owner occupied SFHs? I dunno how we do that but that'd be the best case scenario.
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# ? Nov 19, 2021 04:45 |
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Femtosecond posted:Pavlov says the tax can devalue a new housing asset because it reduces flexibility in its use This is what we're trying to accomplish right? Devalue housing. This sounds like an accomplishment to me, not a problem. I'm assuming 'flexibility' here refers to things like AirBnb rental, unoccupied vacation home, and speculative asset holding. It's a home, people should live in it. Femtosecond posted:A lot of peeps on the yimby left have suggested that Vancouver property taxes are much too low versus other cities, but it's not clear to me that this is actually true. Very easy to lie with statistics in this area. I don't think there's any lie with statistics here exactly. I think they've gone up a bit recently but bubbly cities in BC (Vancouver, Kelowna, Victoria) and Toronto have extremely low tax rates as a percentage compared to say Ottawa, Winnipeg, Frederiction, etc. But looking at it from a dollar amount raised per square foot it certainly gets a lot closer. It's definitely annoying to know that I pay more property tax on a 500k property than someone in Vancouver with a 1.5million property though. They're trying to avoid the look of huge property taxes on someone who has owned a home since 1990, which I understand, but I suspect they've held back a little too much on property tax increases. Anyway, I think you're right that a more equitable way to increase revenue would be if the city had some other tool besides taxing property to extract revenue from the wealthy.
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# ? Nov 19, 2021 14:52 |
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Ontario condo developer suddenly cancels years-long sales deal — unless buyers pay $100K more
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# ? Nov 19, 2021 17:26 |
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Fidelitious posted:This is what we're trying to accomplish right? Devalue housing. This sounds like an accomplishment to me, not a problem. I'm assuming 'flexibility' here refers to things like AirBnb rental, unoccupied vacation home, and speculative asset holding. It's a home, people should live in it. Yeah we've eliminated the "flexible" uses that had harmful secondary effects. Seems good to me. I was disagreeing with his Pavlov's first line tho: quote:He believes the increase in rental units is tied to the premium price for new units in the market, units that haven’t been subject to rent controls. The CMHC report noted the average asking rent for vacant units was 21.4 per cent higher than the overall average rent for occupied units in Metro. Brand new market rental has always rented at a premium (because it's new!) versus old units with rent control. Literally nothing changed here. Demand for new rental has always been high. What has changed is that we've eliminated demand for foreign owned pied a terres, and now the equation for developers has rebalanced such that condo demand is less and that product is less profitable. Fidelitious posted:I don't think there's any lie with statistics here exactly. I think they've gone up a bit recently but bubbly cities in BC (Vancouver, Kelowna, Victoria) and Toronto have extremely low tax rates as a percentage compared to say Ottawa, Winnipeg, Frederiction, etc. But looking at it from a dollar amount raised per square foot it certainly gets a lot closer. It's definitely annoying to know that I pay more property tax on a 500k property than someone in Vancouver with a 1.5million property though. Yeah the right way to look at it is to try to figure out taxes per square foot or taxes per capita or some other way of normalizing the data so that cities can be compared. The "lying with numbers" approach that I've seen from people that should really know better is to compare mill rate to mill rate. This is completely disingenuous imo. Even with the first approach there's probably issues to be sorted out in comparing different jurisdictions (eg. how is transit paid for in Ottawa vs Vancouver?). Tbh I'd love love to see someone do the tough work and try to to arrive at a clear and good comparison. There was a New Westminster councillor that made a blog post trying to compare property taxes per capita within Metro Vancouver, so at least in this case they'd all have a similar tax regime being in the same province, and he found that City of Vancouver was pretty much middle of the pack.
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# ? Nov 19, 2021 20:43 |
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We could tax land based on opportunity cost rather than just the assessed value of whatever building happens to be on it. A SFH in an urban area is expensive but if you can knock it and the three neighboring houses down and build a 10 storey building with dozens lf living spaces in it then the land is actually worth way more. Instead the rich owners of bigger houses in big cities just lobby their city councilor to prevent any rezoning, so the real value of that land can't ever be realized.
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# ? Nov 19, 2021 21:41 |
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jettisonedstuff posted:We could tax land based on opportunity cost rather than just the assessed value of whatever building happens to be on it. A SFH in an urban area is expensive but if you can knock it and the three neighboring houses down and build a 10 storey building with dozens lf living spaces in it then the land is actually worth way more. That's definitely already a thing though, although I'm not sure if it applies to residential. Commercial buildings in Vancouver are taxed based on the development potential of the zoning, not the building. I recall that we had an office above an art gallery in a 3-storey building in downtown Vancouver. The annual property tax was something crazy like $60,000. You're still stuck on the rezoning though.
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# ? Nov 20, 2021 15:32 |
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Hey, Femtosecond. Check this out. https://vancouversun.com/news/local...using-proposals posted:
... The proposed upcoming changes to the Local Government Act are pretty interesting. Here's the gist: (1) Public hearings will no longer be required for rezonings consistent with an Official Community Plan (OCP). The LGA already allows a local government to waive the public hearing requirement in these same set of circumstances, but the new legislation no longer makes a standard obligatory requirement (if that makes sense). (2) Certain variance powers (like reducing parking requirements, setback relaxations, etc) can FINALLY be delegated to staff rather than always having to go through Council. Hubbert fucked around with this message at 16:36 on Nov 20, 2021 |
# ? Nov 20, 2021 16:27 |
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The federal government should be doing that too, but it's going to result in a pretty extreme reactionary turn by homeowners. Most homeowners would be on board with abolishing healthcare and instituting the draft to avoid having their neighborhoods even gently densified.
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# ? Nov 20, 2021 17:03 |
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jettisonedstuff posted:The federal government should be doing that too, but it's going to result in a pretty extreme reactionary turn by homeowners. Most homeowners would be on board with abolishing healthcare and instituting the draft to avoid having their neighborhoods even gently densified.
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# ? Nov 20, 2021 17:58 |
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This is what we get for doing away with the minister for middle class prosperity. Thanks turdeau
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# ? Nov 20, 2021 20:14 |
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Hubbert posted:Hey, Femtosecond. I saw this but forgot to post it. Glad you did. With the proposed changes it still seems pretty weak to me or rather it's oriented toward giving political cover to councils that want to build. quote:...the province introduced legislation last month that would allow housing projects to be approved without going to a public hearing, if it matches the official community plan. However, a municipality can order a public hearing if it believes it is in the public interest. An anti-housing council could presumably continuously say that every and any rezoning requires a public hearing because it's "in the public interest." That being said Eby is clearly upset with the do nothing councils that are opposed to housing for the poor. quote:He suggested he might use that stick with municipalities that refuse to acknowledge there is a housing supply problem that needs to be addressed. The big question for me is whether "the stick" will only be used for belligerent councils that oppose housing for the poor and disabled, or for anti-housing councils in general, that oppose even market rental housing for the regular working and middle class. I'd def like to see the latter! Hopefully this is just the start of the changes that Eby will be bringing in.
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# ? Nov 20, 2021 21:04 |
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Femtosecond posted:With the proposed changes it still seems pretty weak to me or rather it's oriented toward giving political cover to councils that want to build. I don't think it would give an elected Council any cover whatsoever. A Council must live with the consequences of not having a public hearing for controversial projects. It's a clever way for the Province to start exerting pressure, and it really should continue to do so. Hubbert fucked around with this message at 02:31 on Nov 21, 2021 |
# ? Nov 21, 2021 02:28 |
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Hubbert posted:Hey, Femtosecond.
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# ? Nov 21, 2021 02:49 |
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Purgatory Glory posted:Just curious why the article says they needed reports submitted by April 2021? Is it an old article or a typo or am I missing something? Looks like a typo. https://www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content/housing-tenancy/local-governments-and-housing/policy-and-planning-tools-for-housing/housing-needs-reports posted:Municipalities and regional districts in B.C. are required to complete housing needs reports by April 2022 and every five years thereafter. These reports will help local governments and the B.C. government better understand and respond to housing needs in communities throughout B.C. It's a legislative requirement. Hubbert fucked around with this message at 02:59 on Nov 21, 2021 |
# ? Nov 21, 2021 02:56 |
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The overall philosophy here I agree with. BC Government going to the cities saying, "hey so the Feds are letting in 400k+ people and because our economy is one of the best in the country, a huge chunk of that will come our way. Come up with a plan for how you're going to build the expected newcomers and you can't say no." The key though is what does the Province do when West Van submits a report saying that yeah they'll plan to accept whatever thousand people over the next few years, but then says "yeah nah" to any and all proposed development and it becomes clear there's no path to their target.
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# ? Nov 21, 2021 03:01 |
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Femtosecond posted:The overall philosophy here I agree with. Build provincially-funded social housing in the middle of West Van, while telling the municipality to get hosed when they object?
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# ? Nov 21, 2021 03:42 |
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Build it in the British Properties IMO
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# ? Nov 21, 2021 05:34 |
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Hubbert posted:The proposed upcoming changes to the Local Government Act are pretty interesting. Here's the gist: Yes, stop asking the public about these things. The public is full of idiots, they aren't city planners, and all they're going to do is complain about any change whatsoever.
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# ? Nov 21, 2021 15:19 |
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If sea levels are rising anyway why can't we just build underwater housing? Plus the jokes about mortgages write themselves. We can start by filling in marinas and yacht clubs. Next, golf clubs.
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# ? Nov 24, 2021 03:39 |
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eXXon posted:If sea levels are rising anyway why can't we just build underwater housing? Plus the jokes about mortgages write themselves. Sumas
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# ? Nov 24, 2021 03:47 |
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eXXon posted:If sea levels are rising anyway why can't we just build underwater housing? Plus the jokes about mortgages write themselves. Marinas are all being bought up and turned into expensive waterside condos anyway, it's almost impossible to find a spot, which is a shame because it's a great low-cost housing alternative
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# ? Nov 24, 2021 07:19 |
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Bank of Canada's blurb about household debt and housing: "So many people taking out mortgages that they won't be able to afford with rate increases? Better delay the increase to get more folks in the pyramid scheme. " Purgatory Glory fucked around with this message at 22:53 on Nov 24, 2021 |
# ? Nov 24, 2021 16:53 |
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Decrease the size of that image my man. How many mortgage bonds does the BoC have on their books now? I wonder if they're more worried about those assets going to zero, I hardly think they care about the average home owner losing their home since they seem eager to blame people for piling into hard assets when interest rates are effectively 0%.
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# ? Nov 24, 2021 20:58 |
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Made it a thumbnail, not sure if that fixed it. On a phone so it just screen caps.
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# ? Nov 24, 2021 22:54 |
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quote:Only about 5 per cent, or one in every 20 properties in Ontario are currently inspected at any point before or after the sale, according to Len Inkster, executive secretary of the Ontario Association of Certified Home Inspectors. Lol
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# ? Nov 25, 2021 20:21 |
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I mean, unless you lie on the disclosure, too loving bad. Curious how many people dumped their problem property's during the frenzy.
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# ? Nov 25, 2021 22:19 |
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lmao jesus christ
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# ? Nov 25, 2021 22:35 |
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Purgatory Glory posted:I mean, unless you lie on the disclosure, too loving bad. Curious how many people dumped their problem property's during the frenzy. Tons. Just another reason not to buy during one, it's easily the best time to get rid of your derelict shack.
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# ? Nov 25, 2021 22:48 |
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We bought without seeing in-person during the pandemic (due to circumstances) so I'm not going to say we're geniuses but we did at least get a full inspection and full conditions on the purchase. I imagine the lawyer they quoted just spends her days charging people $200 to laugh at them on the phone because they want sue on their no-inspection no-condition home purchase.
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# ? Nov 26, 2021 14:29 |
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Alctel posted:lmao jesus christ Ooooh, and its in Winchester, Ontario. I wonder if they know that whenever there is a good North wind, the entire town - which lies south of both the Parmalat and city sewage lagoons - smells like a mix of pungeant soggy fecal material.
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# ? Nov 26, 2021 14:40 |
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If you're anywhere near Toronto (the
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# ? Nov 26, 2021 15:51 |
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I'm guessing the whole point of cool off periods is to allow an inspection during the cool off. "That property's had 3 cool offs".
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# ? Nov 26, 2021 16:40 |
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If I had to spend millions of dollars without knowing whether it would kill and/or bankrupt me I simply would not buy a house.
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# ? Nov 26, 2021 16:46 |
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Sage Grimm posted:If you're anywhere near Toronto (the Yeah, the best you can hope for is that the seller had an inspection done by Carson Dunlop, since they have a reputation to care about.
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# ? Nov 26, 2021 16:49 |
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# ? May 24, 2024 18:39 |
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evilpicard posted:If I had to spend millions of dollars without knowing whether it would kill and/or bankrupt me I simply would not buy a house. It won't bankrupt you because in a year it will be worth 20% more because you are such a savvy investor
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# ? Nov 26, 2021 17:06 |