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Laranzu
Jan 18, 2002

Natty Ninefingers posted:

Pretty much. It’s a justification for views he already holds, inflamed by mass media hysteria.
If I went and bopped a few million forty year old men on the head with an inflatable alligator, one or more of them would shortly thereafter develop heart problems that required a pacemaker. This does not mean that my Alligatoridaen assault on their person caused this.

Endocarditis was an extremely rare side effect of moderna for some reason. A sailor in my command rolled snake eyes and got it. Same deal. Extremely fit before but now has pig valves transplanted in. He's still pro vaccine because he isn't an idiot.

So yeah it can cause it but you know what hosed up more people worse? COVID.

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Discussion Quorum
Dec 5, 2002
Armchair Philistine

Platystemon posted:

Moderna’s trial had someone get struck by lightning.

Probably an ungrounded 5G tower nearby smdh

CBJSprague24
Dec 5, 2010

another game at nationwide arena. everybody keeps asking me if they can fuck the cannon. buddy, they don't even let me fuck it

CommieGIR posted:

Gee, I wonder why the GOP is concerned about voter Fraud when they keep doing it.....:thunk:

You mean why they project everything they do themselves upon the Radical Socialist Left Democrats?

https://twitter.com/GoAngelo/status/1470941465828278277

I mean, the way they just keep doubling down is absolutely loving mind-boggling.

Midjack
Dec 24, 2007



Marshal Prolapse posted:

It's certainly something. The funny part is that it kind of opens like a serious thriller....and then giant cockroaches and the trip to safety in BUFFALO or somewhere goofy. Can't believe I stayed up till 4:00 PM one weekend just to finish it. Then again it was on badmovies.org, so I had to watch it after I read the reviews of it a bunch of times.
The short story it's based on is much, much better. The main character is a convict who will get pardoned if he solo drives an armored car cross country to deliver medicine to another settlement.

Terrifying Effigies
Oct 22, 2008

Problems look mighty small from 150 miles up.

Repeated lightning strikes are usually a sign of incurring the wrath of God and/or nature, good thing to compare with the control group just to be on the safe side.

That Works
Jul 22, 2006

Every revolution evaporates and leaves behind only the slime of a new bureaucracy


CBJSprague24 posted:

You mean why they project everything they do themselves upon the Radical Socialist Left Democrats?

https://twitter.com/GoAngelo/status/1470941465828278277

I mean, the way they just keep doubling down is absolutely loving mind-boggling.

Because they suffer no consequences for it

e: partially related

https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1470925874858020866?s=20

That Works fucked around with this message at 13:37 on Dec 15, 2021

Bored As Fuck
Jan 1, 2006
Fun Shoe
Is this guy full of poo poo or is his channel actually decent info?

https://youtu.be/czs0_I3-NNE

Specifically his info about weapons systems

Bored As Fuck fucked around with this message at 13:57 on Dec 15, 2021

CRUSTY MINGE
Mar 30, 2011

Peggy Hill
Foot Connoisseur
Woke up to a snow squall alert. Wind is nuts this morning.

fknlo
Jul 6, 2009


Fun Shoe

CRUSTY MINGE posted:

Woke up to a snow squall alert. Wind is nuts this morning.

Supposed to be crazy high winds today. Boulder might see 100mph.

CRUSTY MINGE
Mar 30, 2011

Peggy Hill
Foot Connoisseur
Yeah, poor Frank had to wait to piss this morning until the wind cut down to around 30mph. Power flickered a little but has been fine for an hour now.

Tumbleweeds everywhere, lol.

RFC2324
Jun 7, 2012

http 418

I got woken up by the wind howling around my windows.

This is bullshit

Loucks
May 21, 2007

It's incwedibwe easy to suck my own dick.


Surely everyone expected this. I hope he fucks up and says "black lives matter" again.

Madurai
Jun 26, 2012

Bored As gently caress posted:

Is this guy full of poo poo or is his channel actually decent info?

https://youtu.be/czs0_I3-NNE

Specifically his info about weapons systems

He doesn't go into the armaments in much detail, but what he does pretty much tracks. It's not like those systems are new and mysterious--they've used them all in the last several years, between Georgia, Crimea, and Syria.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Moderna boosters are good too! :toot:

https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1471161030835269633?t=zhW_JXYkWXPYs1q38bmioQ&s=19

Getting clearer that anyone unvaccinated is going to get omicroned pretty hard, maybe even if they got deltad.

CRUSTY MINGE
Mar 30, 2011

Peggy Hill
Foot Connoisseur
My cousin is double vaxxed and just got his booster, pcr results came back positive for covid this morning. He's doing alright, seems past the hump, doesn't know if it's delta or omicron.

Thwomp
Apr 10, 2003

BA-DUHHH

Grimey Drawer
Yeah, I think we’re beyond the point of vaccines preventing spread.

Comrade Blyatlov
Aug 4, 2007


should have picked four fingers





Hail Nurgle

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Thwomp posted:

Yeah, I think we’re beyond the point of vaccines preventing spread.

Yeah at this point its about vaccines saving your life or preventing an ER stay less preventing spread.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Thwomp posted:

Yeah, I think we’re beyond the point of vaccines preventing spread.

CommieGIR posted:

Yeah at this point its about vaccines saving your life or preventing an ER stay less preventing spread.

We still don't really know! Right now, we're still at the point where getting vaccinated makes you 5x less likely to catch it, 10x less likely to get hospitalized, and unvaccinated die at 11x the rate of vaccinateds. We don't know if that 5x number is going to hold up against Omicron or not, as America/UK is basically Law of Large Numbersing hard, making rare events (breakthroughs) into a common event.

We also don't really know if that 5x number is also a factor of vaccinated people being cautious, wearing masks, etc versus unvaccinated people coughing on each other. Or maybe the vaccinated people get it and pass it so quick that nobody notices vaccinations turning infections asymptomatic, so they never test positive.

But y'all are probably right that vaccination isn't a pure preventative like it used to be. The one thing skeptical people have been saying is now likely true - it makes more sense for big venues to do testing/mask mandates versus vaccine-only door checking.

Defenestrategy
Oct 24, 2010

facialimpediment posted:

But y'all are probably right that vaccination isn't a pure preventative like it used to be. The one thing skeptical people have been saying is now likely true - it makes more sense for big venues to do testing/mask mandates versus vaccine-only door checking.


At this point as far as I know only New York has a source of truth for vaccinations anyway. Everywhere else is on a pinky swear and easily spoofed paper token system.

Dum Cumpster
Sep 12, 2003

*pozes your neghole*
I know it's not data but my unvaccinated infant son gave it to me, my wife, and my mom, but my vaccinated + boostered mom didn't give it to my step dad or a bunch of other people she was in contact with before finding out she was poz. Maybe it helped?

Also feeling like poo poo today from booster + flu shot yesterday :toot:

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Dum Cumpster posted:

I know it's not data but my unvaccinated infant son gave it to me, my wife, and my mom, but my vaccinated + boostered mom didn't give it to my step dad or a bunch of other people she was in contact with before finding out she was poz. Maybe it helped?

That's the magic "viral load" question that sent everyone back to masking in hospitals over the summer. Wild/alpha would hit the vaccinated, but vaccinated people would only barf out a tiny percentage of COVID versus the unvaccinated. Delta more or less killed that off - vaccinated/unvaccinated people barfed out roughly equal amounts of COVID per sneeze/cough if they were infected by Delta.

But where the unvaxxed/skeptics/newsmedia went wrong is that the viral loads are equal while infected - but vaccinated people clear COVID faster! So sure, they all spread eleventy billion COVID per cough, but the unvaccinated could cough that for two weeks while the vaccinated person was only a few days. I believe that's what lead to a lot of scientists saying BOOST loving EVERYONE a few months back before a lot of the data came back, just because of the likely drop in transmissibility. And good thing that recommendation came when it did too, with omicron coming!

Loucks
May 21, 2007

It's incwedibwe easy to suck my own dick.

facialimpediment posted:

I believe that's what lead to a lot of scientists saying BOOST loving EVERYONE a few months back before a lot of the data came back, just because of the likely drop in transmissibility.

The data was pretty clear that vaccine protection starts dropping significantly after only three months or so, and as far as I know that is what drove the boosters. This is very clear in the Israeli dataset. Curious what you’re basing all these claims on.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug
Yeah the data says the boosters work to keep you alive, if not fairly healthy if you catch it. And it does significantly reduce your risk with COVID. I have not seen any data saying otherwise.

Loucks
May 21, 2007

It's incwedibwe easy to suck my own dick.

Sure, boosters are a great idea. I got mine as soon as I was eligible. I’m just saying the whole thing about “the unvaccinated could cough that for two weeks while the vaccinated person was only a few days. I believe that's what lead to a lot of scientists saying BOOST loving EVERYONE a few months back before a lot of the data came back, just because of the likely drop in transmissibility” where public health policy was allegedly set in absence of data on the basis of some hypothetical reduction in transmission instead of the loss of protection over time that was already well-documented when boosters became available seems like a really weird leap to make and I’d love to know the basis for doing so.

mlmp08
Jul 11, 2004

Prepare for my priapic projectile's exalted penetration
Nap Ghost
And sometimes transmission risk factors get lost in translation.

If a vaccine is only 50% of the time stopping you from catching it once exposed, but you already do things (stay home, wear mask, hygeine, etc) that reduce your odds to 1 in 100 to catch the virus over a 3 month period, adding the vaccine on top makes your risk more like 1 in 200. Now if you party inside with strangers all day unmasked, well…

A lot of people read “40% effective” as “60% of people WILL catch the virus” which is not how it works.

Lake of Methane
Oct 29, 2011

https://twitter.com/CavasShips/status/1471260881375879169?s=20

Qtotonibudinibudet
Nov 7, 2011



Omich poluyobok, skazhi ty narkoman? ya prosto tozhe gde to tam zhivu, mogli by vmeste uyobyvat' narkotiki

Defenestrategy posted:

At this point as far as I know only New York has a source of truth for vaccinations anyway. Everywhere else is on a pinky swear and easily spoofed paper token system.

California has a digital records system

after i renewed my drivers license it decided that my vaccine record should display "Xyzfirstname Xyzlastname" instead of "Firstname Lastname" for my name. the ticket i sent in to fix this has been under review now for ~55 days.

RFC2324
Jun 7, 2012

http 418

Defenestrategy posted:

At this point as far as I know only New York has a source of truth for vaccinations anyway. Everywhere else is on a pinky swear and easily spoofed paper token system.

I have an electronic record with the state in CO. Its up to date including the booster I got at the drive through clinic 2 days ago.

Colorado's digital ID is kinda neat

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.
Quebec’s got a QR code that restaurants scan and poo poo.

RFC2324
Jun 7, 2012

http 418

yeah, thats on the colorado ID, but I get the feeling no businesses use it, which is why it also has a digital copy of the card itself

Wingnut Ninja
Jan 11, 2003

Mostly Harmless
California's electronic thing doesn't have my shot record, maybe due to not being a resident, but some pharmacies automatically feed into MRRS so my status immediately got updated there when I got my booster.

I can't imagine forged vaccination cards make up any more than the tiniest fraction of a percent though. That's a lot of effort to go through for people who find wearing a cloth mask for 20 minutes in Walmart to be an impossible burden.

Defenestrategy
Oct 24, 2010

Wingnut Ninja posted:

I can't imagine forged vaccination cards make up any more than the tiniest fraction of a percent though. That's a lot of effort to go through for people who find wearing a cloth mask for 20 minutes in Walmart to be an impossible burden.


I mean...

quote:

The league and players' union found that Brown was among three players who misrepresented their vaccination statuses. A former personal chef of Brown's said earlier this month that the wide receiver had obtained a fake COVID-19 vaccination card over the summer.......The league's investigation found that Brown brought a fake vaccination card with him to training camp, but shortly after he arrived someone told him having one could get him in trouble, so he made the decision to get vaccinated, sources told Graziano.


https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/32772245/tampa-bay-buccaneers-wr-antonio-brown-suspended-3-games-covid-19-violation

Wingnut Ninja
Jan 11, 2003

Mostly Harmless

Sure, there's always going to be the few, the proud, the dedicated assholes, but even from that same article:

quote:

Some 80% of the NFL's vaccinated players were vaccinated at team facilities, sources told Graziano, meaning there is no question about the authenticity of their vaccination cards. The NFL also found that there has been no difference between the positivity rate among players who were vaccinated at team facilities and those who were vaccinated elsewhere, sources said, which is a reason the league does not fear a rampant fake vaccination card issue.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Loucks posted:

Sure, boosters are a great idea. I got mine as soon as I was eligible. I’m just saying the whole thing about “the unvaccinated could cough that for two weeks while the vaccinated person was only a few days. I believe that's what lead to a lot of scientists saying BOOST loving EVERYONE a few months back before a lot of the data came back, just because of the likely drop in transmissibility” where public health policy was allegedly set in absence of data on the basis of some hypothetical reduction in transmission instead of the loss of protection over time that was already well-documented when boosters became available seems like a really weird leap to make and I’d love to know the basis for doing so.

Incoming tl;dr

There were a shitload of scientists (and still are) saying boosters were far less important than getting vaccines to unvaccinated countries: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/12/who-calls-distribution-of-covid-boosters-a-scandal-as-poor-nations-struggle-to-get-first-shots.html

The data was extremely limited in the August/September timeframe when a lot of the early vaccinated hit six months (and especially the front-line first-dosed): https://www.uc.edu/news/articles/2021/08/local-12--covid-19-booster-shots--the-controversy-behind-a-third-shot-for-all.html

The money quote from back in October: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02689-y

quote:

Previous studies have found that people infected with Delta have roughly the same levels of viral genetic materials in their noses regardless of whether they’d previously been vaccinated, suggesting that vaccinated and unvaccinated people might be equally infectious. But studies also suggest that vaccinated people are less likely to spread the virus if they subsequently catch Delta: their levels of nasal virus drop faster than do those of unvaccinated infected people, and their nasal swabs contain smaller amounts of infectious virus.
-----
The authors found that although the vaccines did offer some protection against infection and onward transmission, Delta dampened that effect. A person who was fully vaccinated and then had a ‘breakthrough’ Delta infection was almost twice as likely to pass on the virus as someone who was infected with Alpha. And that was on top of the higher risk of having a breakthrough infection caused by Delta than one caused by Alpha.

Unfortunately, the vaccine’s beneficial effect on Delta transmission waned to almost negligible levels over time. In people infected 2 weeks after receiving the vaccine developed by the University of Oxford and AstraZeneca, both in the UK, the chance that an unvaccinated close contact would test positive was 57%, but 3 months later, that chance rose to 67%. The latter figure is on par with the likelihood that an unvaccinated person will spread the virus.

And from September - booster policy was a serious intergovernmental debate that the CDC director overrode her own committee about : https://www.statnews.com/2021/09/24/biden-covid-19-boosters-pitting-white-house-against-scientific-advisers/

quote:

The administration’s latest move — a decision to expand booster eligibility that came in the middle of the night Friday — puts the spotlight on Rochelle Walensky, the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, who overruled her own advisory panel of scientists to make the call. Now, she finds herself caught between the White House, which had been pushing for the expanded eligibility for weeks, and an advisory body of experts that recommended booster shots only to a smaller part of the adult population — and that the CDC has almost never overruled.
-----
There’s sound data for people over 60 to receive a booster, Topol said, though he criticized the White House for leaving people who received the Moderna or Johnson & Johnson vaccines in the dark — the only booster currently authorized is Pfizer’s. Others, though, have questioned the caliber of the data being used to support giving boosters at this point.

Even back to November, federal government panels didn't have as much data as they wanted to bless boosters for everyone, but Governors opened the floodgates on eligibility just for the hope that boosters would cut transmissibility rates and save their hospitals: https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2021/11/11/biden-administration-coronavirus-booster-shots/

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Wingnut Ninja posted:

Sure, there's always going to be the few, the proud, the dedicated assholes, but even from that same article:

It's really no surprise at all that sports teams are on the front-lines of current outbreaks. All you really have to do is watch a postgame speech for how packed in they are into small rooms. Plus, a lot of them are likely overdue for boosters that they don't want to get during the season, risking being down/sore for a few days or a week. Delta runs rampant in that kind of environment, even with the vaccinated, and Omicron would likely do the same thing too.

I'm personally surprised that we're not getting a whole lot more positives out of Congress lately. Those chucklefucks are constantly talking in close proximity to others, masked/unmasked, though we simply might not be hearing about folks getting sick because of all the proxy voting in the House. There have been some random illness missed-votes on the Republican side in the Senate lately though.

Johnny Five-Jaces
Jan 21, 2009


Defenestrategy posted:

At this point as far as I know only New York has a source of truth for vaccinations anyway. Everywhere else is on a pinky swear and easily spoofed paper token system.

dawg I have this in Wisconsin. computers and electricity exist outside of the i-95 corridor

KirbyKhan
Mar 20, 2009



Soiled Meat
Hello CE thread, I copy pasted one of my free articles to another thread, so I'm gonna ctrl+a and copy paste it here for morning reading.

https://twitter.com/adamconover/status/1471182868952928258?s=20

LA Times Article Dump posted:

Retailers say thefts are at crisis level. The numbers say otherwise

Organized retail crime is haunting the nation this holiday season.

Captured on smartphones and closed-circuit cameras, thefts involving groups of people smashing windows or individuals wheeling loaded shopping carts past security guards and out the door have been looping on social media and TV news, raising the specter that crime rings reselling boosted merchandise present a major threat to retailers.

With industry groups sounding the alarm, politicians have declared the issue a priority. California Gov. Gavin Newsom said he would increase the budget of the California Highway Patrol next year to beef up its Organized Retail Theft task force. California Atty. Gen. Rob Bonta met with retailers, online marketplace companies and law enforcement Tuesday to develop strategies to fight organized retail crime. Police and prosecutors say criminal justice reforms need to be rolled back to deter smash-and-grabs.

Although some retail and law enforcement lobbyists cite eye-popping figures, there is reason to doubt the problem is anywhere near as large or widespread as they say. The best estimates available put losses at around 7 cents per $100 of sales on average.

It’s easy to get attention for sensational claims, however, particularly when they come from official sources. Rachel Michelin, president of the California Retailers Assn., told the San Jose Mercury News that in San Francisco and Oakland alone, businesses lose $3.6 billion to organized retail crime each year.

That would mean retail gangs steal nearly 25% of total sales in San Francisco and Oakland combined, which amounted to around $15.5 billion in 2019, according to the state agency that tracks sales tax.

Can that be right? In a word: no.

The country’s largest retail industry group, the National Retail Federation, estimated in its latest report that losses from organized retail theft average $700,000 per $1 billion in sales — or 0.07% of total sales — an amount roughly 330 times lower than the CRA’s estimate.

Asked how the organization arrived at that figure, a CRA staffer said that “there’s no way of knowing exactly” how much organized retail crime affects the bottom line of businesses. The staffer said the estimate was based on a back-of-the-napkin calculation: If organized retail thieves steal $70 billion annually, and California accounts for 10% of the U.S., California’s losses add up to $7 billion, meaning the Bay Area “is likely in the billions itself.”

Leaving aside some of those assumptions, how did they come up with that $70-billion number? The staffer pointed to a report from the Retail Industry Leaders Assn. published this year. But that report didn’t find that organized retail thieves stole $68.9 billion per year at all — it estimated that all retail crime combined, including employee theft, regular shoplifting and fraud, added up to that number.

An industry advocate made a similar error in front of the Senate Judiciary Committee in early November. At a hearing on regulating online marketplaces, Ben Dugan, president of the National Coalition of Law Enforcement and Retail, or CLEAR, and director of organized retail crime response at CVS Health, told the committee that “CLEAR estimates that organized retail crime accounts for $45 billion in annual losses for retailers.”

When asked where that number came from, Rich Rossman, vice president of CLEAR and sergeant with the Broward County (Fla.) Sheriff’s Office, said that it was pulled from the National Retail Federation’s report. But the NRF puts all losses to theft and fraud from all sources at around $45 billion, not losses to organized retail crime.

The $25-billion discrepancy between the figures touted by the two industry groups suggests the difficulty of quantifying any problem in an industry as splintered as retail. When it comes to organized retail crime specifically, the best estimates appear much smaller.

With the 55 member companies that responded to its latest annual survey representing about 25% of all U.S. retail sales, the National Retail Federation has the clearest window into broader trends, said Mark Mathews, who leads the NRF’s research team.

Its latest report found that total “shrink” — the industry term for all inventory losses from theft and fraud, internal and external, as well as paperwork errors — grew from 1.4% to 1.6% of sales on average from 2015 to 2020. The estimated portion of those losses coming from organized retail crime grew from 0.045% to 0.07% in the same timeframe.

With $3.1 trillion in bricks-and-mortar retail sales in 2020, that puts estimates for total shrink at $49.6 billion and losses to organized retail crime at $2.1 billion nationwide.

Although the NRF publishes its organized retail crime estimates each year, the group stopped publishing a detailed breakdown of the sources of shrink in 2019. But in 2018 its survey found that 35.7% of shrink came from shoplifting or organized retail crime, and 33.2% came from employee theft. Both percentages had declined since 2015, and a different sort of risk — paperwork error — hit 18.8% of total shrink in 2018.

Mathews said some categories of retailers face higher rates of organized retail theft, with those that sell easily portable and salable goods at higher risk. In his Senate testimony, Dugan reported that CVS Health loses more than $200 million a year to organized retail crime, or 0.21% of its $91 billion in 2020 retail revenue, a rate three times higher than the national average.

[...]For the record:

1:37 p.m. Dec. 15, 2021An earlier version of this article incorrectly said the National Retail Federation had taken no public position on the INFORM Consumers Act. The group has endorsed a recent version of the bill with limited reporting requirements for sellers.[...]

The Retail Industry Leaders Assn. released its own report, which put that nearly $70-billion price tag on total retail crime, in late November as part of its campaign with a spin-off group, the Buy Safe America Coalition, to lobby for a federal bill that would make it more difficult for people to anonymously sell goods on internet marketplaces. An earlier version of that bill, the INFORM Consumers Act, would have required online marketplaces such as EBay, Etsy and Amazon to verify the identity of sellers who make hundreds of sales or bring in more than $5,000 a year with their accounts. The National Retail Federation, which counts Amazon among its members, has endorsed a more recent version of the bill that has more limited reporting requirements for sellers.

Mathews at the NRF found fault with the methodology behind RILA’s report, which was based on data from five retail companies and written by John Dunham & Associates, a consulting firm that produces reports for corporations and industry groups (and whose founder was an in-house economist at Philip Morris in the 1990s). “I wouldn’t feel comfortable in putting out data with that few respondents, frankly,” Mathews said.

Jason Brewer, head of communications and marketing at RILA, said that he could not provide more details on the data in the group’s study because members had submitted it confidentially, and he could not say what percentage of total sales they represent. But he did defend its significance, saying that the respondents “represent a cross section of retail, which included grocery, home improvement, pharmacy, general merchandise and clothing,” and that “based on the conversations we’ve had with asset protection professionals, these numbers are probably conservative.”

Even if the dueling retail associations can’t agree on their numbers, they agree on the principle that organized retail crime is better dealt with away from stores and at the level of the fences — the people reselling the stolen goods.

Broader crime statistics paint a picture of a decreasing problem, not one on the rise. National crime statistics from the FBI show shoplifting decreasing steadily every year from 2015 through 2020, the most recent data available. Larceny — the taking of property without using force or breaking in — declined 16% between 2010 and 2019, then dipped even lower in 2020, the data indicate.

At a local level, more up-to-date statistics sharpen the image of a waning problem. Property crime in Los Angeles is up 2.6% from last year, according to LAPD numbers published Nov. 27, but down 6.6% from 2019. The category that includes shoplifting — “personal/other theft” per LAPD — is down 32% from 2019. A San Francisco Chronicle analysis of that city’s shoplifting crime data showed that the number of monthly reports had changed little in the last three years, though it also raised some major questions about the accuracy of shoplifting reporting to law enforcement. Smash-and-grab thefts are classified differently because they involve violence, trespassing and high-value hauls, and suspects have been charged with robbery, burglary or grand theft after recent incidents in L.A. and San Francisco.

One thing that has gone up is the visibility of open theft from stores. Ubiquitous security cameras and smartphones mean that few crimes go unrecorded, and videos of people loading up bags and carts with products and walking out the door make for viral content.

The ease of committing a crime like that is, in some part, traceable to decisions made by the retailers themselves, according to industry analysts.

Tony Sheppard, an executive at Canadian loss prevention software company ThinkLP, received his first exposure to the issue as a store detective at a Montgomery Ward store in the Boston area in the 1990s. “The first shoplifter I ever went to detain was a booster stealing a whole rack of coats,” Sheppard said. At the time, he carried handcuffs and detained the suspected thief himself. “Nowadays, unfortunately, because of safety concerns and liability issues, a lot of companies are very hands-off.”

Lawsuits from people injured by security guards in the process of apprehending shoplifters — in some cases, even from the alleged shoplifters themselves — have made aggressive in-store policing a losing proposition, Sheppard said.

In one recent case, a West Virginia woman won nearly $17 million in damages from Walmart after she was injured when a man being pursued for shoplifting stumbled into her, on the basis that Walmart escalated the situation. “Most companies realized from a financial standpoint it’s just not worth it. A couple big lawsuits take away anything you gain by making all those apprehensions,” he said.

Sometimes hiring staff to stop shoplifters in the first place doesn’t make financial sense, security consultant Chris McGoey said. “To hire and train a loss prevention department, especially a competent one, costs money,” McGoey said. Some retailers have found that the cost of the merchandise recovered by security staff was lower than the cost of employing them. “It’s almost cheaper to do nothing and just take the loss” on that basis, McGoey said, “but then you pile liability on top, it’s a no-brainer.”

The spectacular nature of the recent smash-and-grab robberies might change that calculus for retailers, McGoey said, and lead to beefed-up security staffing and putting more products behind lock and key. But he doubts it.

“Modern merchandising is about getting your merchandise up in front. You want it highly visible,” McGoey said. “We’ve gone through cycles where you put high-theft items in locked cases, but that’s anti-merchandising, that’s anti-retail management. The merchants hate it.”

For small businesses that lack the record profit margins of national chains, hiring additional staff to deter theft or putting items behind plexiglass may not be options, and a theft that involves a smashed window, even if covered by insurance, can impose a heavy toll in lost time and sales.

On the other hand, stolen merchandise can sometimes be recovered. The CHP reported that it contributed to recovering $20 million in merchandise stolen by organized theft rings in 2020. If the national average of 0.07% losses holds for California — Mathews at the NRF said the group could not break out data by state — that’s more than 10% of losses to organized retail theft in the state, well above the national recovery rate for stolen items (excluding cars), which hovers below 4%, according to the FBI.

Icon Of Sin
Dec 26, 2008



KirbyKhan posted:

Hello CE thread, I copy pasted one of my free articles to another thread, so I'm gonna ctrl+a and copy paste it here for morning reading.

https://twitter.com/adamconover/status/1471182868952928258?s=20

I wonder how much of that is actual theft vs forgetting to ring up something, but I’m not sure how to go about telling those apart in the numbers.

Also, obligatory rookie_numbers.jpg

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Grip it and rip it
Apr 28, 2020
I wish people were stealing more

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