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Which horse film is your favorite?
This poll is closed.
Black Beauty 2 1.06%
A Talking Pony!?! 4 2.13%
Mr. Hands 2x Apple Flavor 117 62.23%
War Horse 11 5.85%
Mr. Hands 54 28.72%
Total: 188 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Owlofcreamcheese
May 22, 2005
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
Buglord

Platystemon posted:

Tooled up?

I was told that mRNA technology enabled them to pivot on a dime.

They aren’t going to make you a new vaccine because you personally have a yucky feeling that you don’t like two doses and a booster to give strong protection and want them to make you special shots that you vibe better with.

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Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
It’s not me I’m worried about.

DancingMachine
Aug 12, 2004

He's a dancing machine!
My understanding is approval of tweaks on the existing approved vaccines to address new variants can go through a massively shorter process.
I guess the question is really, how much downtime do factories have to take to switch to a new mrna code. If I understand the tech correct, the answer should be almost none. All of the complexity in the machinery and supply chain has nothing to do with the actual mrna code that is inserted. So in theory they should be able to just come in one day and switch to a new one.
If it takes several weeks or something to switch manufacturing over then sure, you'd have to be pretty careful about cost/benefit of switching too often. But if there is little or no switching cost, then the benefit/cost of switching to something better is extremely high.

James Garfield
May 5, 2012
Am I a manipulative abuser in real life, or do I just roleplay one on the Internet for fun? You decide!

DancingMachine posted:

There's nothing bespoke though, there's no value for anybody in making a vaccines for wild type at this point. Yes, you have to flush the supply of the existing and switch manufacturing over and there would be a transition where you are still giving people sub-optimal (but still useful) wild-type vaccines, but that should be as short a period as possible. If a bunch of currently unvaccinated people end up getting their first does being one that is tailored to dominant variants, that is totally fine and in fact preferable.

someone can correct me but I think the delta and omicron lineages are more different from each other than either one is from the vaccine strain, so if one of them doesn't die out that could be a reason to stick with the original vaccine.

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

jettisonedstuff posted:

It depends how much more transmissible it is.

It appears to be a lot more transmissible, so I would imagine any gains made from lack of lethality will be lost on the sheer infectiousness. The rise, here in the US, has been astronomical. And it has only been a very short period of time.

Wang Commander
Dec 27, 2003

by sebmojo
The variants shift too quickly and too unexpectedly for boosters to be done like the flu shot. The flu shot is predictive, and even with its slower tech you're vaxxing for known circulating flus in advance and missing almost as often as you hit. The covid vaccines are so-far reactive, and no matter how fast you go, you won't get the whole world 2-weeks-post-3rd-dose inside the lifespan of a variant. If we'd retooled for Delta, we might be actually worse off against omicron. The wild type is the sort of baseline covid so it's the most "generic" to vaccinate against.

Bastard Tetris
Apr 27, 2005

L-Shaped


Nap Ghost

DancingMachine posted:

My understanding is approval of tweaks on the existing approved vaccines to address new variants can go through a massively shorter process.
I guess the question is really, how much downtime do factories have to take to switch to a new mrna code. If I understand the tech correct, the answer should be almost none. All of the complexity in the machinery and supply chain has nothing to do with the actual mrna code that is inserted. So in theory they should be able to just come in one day and switch to a new one.
If it takes several weeks or something to switch manufacturing over then sure, you'd have to be pretty careful about cost/benefit of switching too often. But if there is little or no switching cost, then the benefit/cost of switching to something better is extremely high.

You can’t make material changes to medicines without the FDA getting involved.

Alctel
Jan 16, 2004

I love snails


Isn't 2 shots of an mRNA vaccine insanely effective at stopping you getting hospitalised/dead even against omicron, and three shots means you have excellent protection against even getting it

why would they gently caress around doing a special bespoke one, that makes no sense

some of you are acting as if the vaccines have suddenly stopped working

BRAKE FOR MOOSE
Jun 6, 2001

DancingMachine posted:

My understanding is approval of tweaks on the existing approved vaccines to address new variants can go through a massively shorter process.
I guess the question is really, how much downtime do factories have to take to switch to a new mrna code. If I understand the tech correct, the answer should be almost none. All of the complexity in the machinery and supply chain has nothing to do with the actual mrna code that is inserted. So in theory they should be able to just come in one day and switch to a new one.
If it takes several weeks or something to switch manufacturing over then sure, you'd have to be pretty careful about cost/benefit of switching too often. But if there is little or no switching cost, then the benefit/cost of switching to something better is extremely high.

Nah, I don't know much about the manufacturing side, but the safety process is still going to be complex for a new variant-specific vaccine because it introduces the possibility for new side effects. They can move fast, but the best-case scenario is still at least three months.

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010

Alctel posted:

Isn't 2 shots of an mRNA vaccine insanely effective at stopping you getting hospitalised/dead even against omicron, and three shots means you have excellent protection against even getting it

why would they gently caress around doing a special bespoke one, that makes no sense

some of you are acting as if the vaccines have suddenly stopped working

You are completely incorrect regarding infection. Even with a booster, if you get exposed to omicron repeatedly, you're going to contract it sooner or later

cant cook creole bream
Aug 15, 2011
I think Fahrenheit is better for weather

Crosby B. Alfred posted:

Looking at what omicron has done to a Country like Denmark that has a 98% vaccination rate,

Now where did you get that insane statistic.
Ah, looking at it I think it's this one here.

quote:

Vaccination
Denmark has administered at least 11,402,735 doses of COVID vaccines so far. Assuming every person needs 2 doses, that’s enough to have vaccinated about 98% of the country’s population.
Obviously, that statistic is heavily skewed by booster shots.

If you look at other sources, it's about 77% fully vaccinated, i.e. two doses, whereas about 82% has at least one shot in them.
Granted, those are relatively high numbers. But there's a ridiculously high difference between having a chance of 2 percent to meet an unvaccinated person and picking one out of 5.

Fritz the Horse
Dec 26, 2019

... of course!

A big flaming stink posted:

You are completely incorrect regarding infection. Even with a booster, if you get exposed to omicron repeatedly, you're going to contract it sooner or later

if you get exposed to anything repeatedly you're eventually going to contract it

three jabs gets you pretty decent protection from infection. that doesn't mean you can suck n gently caress in the bathroom at denny's carefree, it just means you have some substantial armor against infection

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
A booster works O.K., on paper and from the limited data available from the UK, at preventing the worst outcomes.

Calling it “insanely effective” and “excellent” is an insult to every other vaccine ever developed, to the English language, and to the mentally ill.

Speaking of differently abled folk, boosters may work O.K. for younger, immunompetent persons. There are, however, quite a lot of people whose bodies are less capable of brute‐forcing Omicron by throwing gobs of marginally effective antibodies at it. They could be greatly aided by a targeted shot that induces highly effective antibodies in concentrations that are more sustainable.

Omicron‐targeted shots could also be great for everyone else if they increase the interval that people can go before needing yet another booster. The longer this interval is, the fewer sick days people will have from side effects, the higher vaccine uptake will be, and the more vaccine production capacity will be freed up for shots elsewhere.

Fritz the Horse
Dec 26, 2019

... of course!

Platystemon posted:

Calling it “insanely effective” and “excellent” is an insult to every other vaccine ever developed,

nah. see: this year's flu vaccine.


idk why you have a need to awfulize/minimize the level of protection from booster shots when there's good evidence they confer much better protection than the first two shots. the answer is not "wring our hands and demand Pfizer and Moderna produce variant-specific boosters" it's "get boosted and take other precautions like we should've been"

Fritz the Horse fucked around with this message at 08:00 on Dec 22, 2021

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
This year’s flu vaccine is fine against H1N1 and the two lineages of influenza B. We’re just asking too much of it.

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS

Fritz the Horse posted:

idk why you have a need to awfulize/minimize the level of protection from booster shots when there's good evidence they confer much better protection than the first two shots.

I’m sorry, what?

Three shots won’t bring protection against Omicron up to anything like the protection we enjoyed against Alpha or Delta.

Fritz the Horse
Dec 26, 2019

... of course!
You haven't answered why you're making GBS threads on efficacy of existing and available booster shots. That is not helpful advice for people reading this thread.

Your posting is mostly good neutral informational stuff but every so often you engage in doomer hand-wringing nonsense and when called out on it whine about how everyone's being mean to you.

e:

Platystemon posted:

I’m sorry, what?

Three shots won’t bring protection against Omicron up to anything like the protection we enjoyed against Alpha or Delta.

yes, and?


edit2: I don't think the pissy back-and-forth is productive, feel free to PM me if ya like.

Fritz the Horse fucked around with this message at 08:10 on Dec 22, 2021

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
I do nothing of the sort.

You have a bizarre caricature of me in your head.

Wang Commander
Dec 27, 2003

by sebmojo
Sheer antibody volume is not a viable long term solution for many reasons

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
It’s not “being mean” that I take issue with. It never has been. It’s the putting words in my mouth that I must protest.

I have consistently been a proponent of the boosters. The boosters are great. I myself had a booster in me when this incarnation of the thread was started.

It turns out that in some studied populations, they reduce deaths to Delta by ninety percentninety percent—not against the unvaccinated, but beyond the “fully vaccinated” of five months or more ago.

Everyone should get a booster, and I have made that point many, many times. I even offered to mail someone a houseplant so that they would qualify under the CDC’s criterion of “inability to work or meet other personal obligations when infected, even if not severely ill with COVID-19”.

The U.S. government and others should have done more to get boosters in arms months ago, and that has only gotten more pressing with the rise of Omicron.

Platystemon posted:

Don’t make appeals based on the perceived sinister motivations of the parties. Leave that to the antivaxxers.

Whether or not the booster are “necessary” is a value judgement. Given the high impact of the virus, the modest cost of the boosters, and the safety they have demonstrated thus far, it is difficult to imagine Pfizer and Moderna being wrong about this one. The arithmetic is just ridiculously stacked. People spend more on antacids.

If you want to argue that those doses are better given to the third world, I won’t disagree, but I don’t think that’s a credible alternative in America today.

Fritz, I’m glad that your position on boosters has evolved, but you don’t have to paint me as an antiboost bandit.

Platystemon fucked around with this message at 09:43 on Dec 22, 2021

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Interesting pre-print:

https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1473380118475145216

Fritz the Horse
Dec 26, 2019

... of course!

Platystemon posted:

Fritz, I’m glad that your position on boosters has evolved, but you don’t have to paint me as an antiboost bandit in some crusade to redeem yourself.

I have never been anti-booster, how has my position "evolved?" You are simultaneously complaining about words being put in your mouth while you put some in mine.
I don't give a poo poo about redeeming my internet cred. If people think my posts are bad and I'm full of poo poo they are welcome to say so itt or via PMs. I have a thick skin.

At this point it's getting to be a petty back-and-forth so I'll just point out an example post I have an issue with and call it a night:

Platystemon posted:

A booster works O.K., on paper and from the limited data available from the UK, at preventing the worst outcomes.

Calling it “insanely effective” and “excellent” is an insult to every other vaccine ever developed, to the English language, and to the mentally ill.

Speaking of differently abled folk, boosters may work O.K. for younger, immunompetent persons. There are, however, quite a lot of people whose bodies are less capable of brute‐forcing Omicron by throwing gobs of marginally effective antibodies at it. They could be greatly aided by a targeted shot that induces highly effective antibodies in concentrations that are more sustainable.

Omicron‐targeted shots could also be great for everyone else if they increase the interval that people can go before needing yet another booster. The longer this interval is, the fewer sick days people will have from side effects, the higher vaccine uptake will be, and the more vaccine production capacity will be freed up for shots elsewhere.
Most of this paragraph works to discredit the effectiveness of current vaccination/booster programs to combat Omicron. Your second line here is hyperbolic, fear-mongering nonsense, would you care to elaborate on or defend it?

I'm immunocompromised. I was on a ventilator and almost died of viral+bacterial pneumonia in early 2020 pre-covid, I posted about it here: https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?noseen=1&threadid=3966953&pagenumber=388&perpage=40&post519838911#post519838911
The notion that I'm somehow anti-booster and going after you for being an "antiboost bandit" is nonsensical.
To your credit, most of what you post is great information. When you wax editorial it's often bullshit (imo) and when called on it instead of defending anything you say you get defensive and complain.

I've said my peace and I don't particularly care to derail this thread more with our slapfight. I'm happy to correspond more via PMs.

Fritz the Horse fucked around with this message at 09:57 on Dec 22, 2021

Alctel
Jan 16, 2004

I love snails


Platystemon posted:

A booster works O.K., on paper and from the limited data available from the UK, at preventing the worst outcomes.

Calling it “insanely effective” and “excellent” is an insult to every other vaccine ever developed, to the English language, and to the mentally ill.

Speaking of differently abled folk, boosters may work O.K. for younger, immunompetent persons. There are, however, quite a lot of people whose bodies are less capable of brute‐forcing Omicron by throwing gobs of marginally effective antibodies at it. They could be greatly aided by a targeted shot that induces highly effective antibodies in concentrations that are more sustainable.

Omicron‐targeted shots could also be great for everyone else if they increase the interval that people can go before needing yet another booster. The longer this interval is, the fewer sick days people will have from side effects, the higher vaccine uptake will be, and the more vaccine production capacity will be freed up for shots elsewhere.

No, the vaccines ARE incredibly effective and excellent. I'm not sure how that is an insult to 'every other vaccine ever developed, to the English language, and to the mentally ill.'

There are people this thread constantly throwing down statements like 'now the vaccines are useless' and it's complete nonsense and instead, apparently, the answer is to completely disrupt supply and manufacturing chains in order to possible claw a few percentage advantage with a bespoke vaccine

Alctel
Jan 16, 2004

I love snails


Alctel posted:

So some anecdotal data,

I live on Vancouver island where the case count has exploded in the last couple of weeks or so and my small town has almost half of BC's total Omicron cases, due to a couple of big student parties. However it doesn't seem to have correlated with an increase in deaths or hospitalisations - I have a friend who works in the ICU and she says it's actually less busy than it was 3 months ago. Hopefully it continues.

Also quoting myself from 5 days ago - cases are even higher, but the ICU ward in my town still isn't any fuller than it was when I made that post. Noticably down from a few months ago (over 90% of people here have 2 shots, virtually noone has 3 shots yet aside from some immunocompromised people and elderly).

Alctel fucked around with this message at 10:12 on Dec 22, 2021

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

Wang Commander posted:

Sheer antibody volume is not a viable long term solution for many reasons

Cuius rei demonstrationem mirabilem sane detexi hanc marginis exiguitas non caperet.

slorb
May 14, 2002

Alctel posted:

No, the vaccines ARE incredibly effective and excellent. I'm not sure how that is an insult to 'every other vaccine ever developed, to the English language, and to the mentally ill.'

Using "insanely" as an adverb is a slur, and two doses of a MRNA vaccine is ~70% effective against hospitalisation, which I personally don't consider incredibly effective.

DancingMachine
Aug 12, 2004

He's a dancing machine!

James Garfield posted:

someone can correct me but I think the delta and omicron lineages are more different from each other than either one is from the vaccine strain, so if one of them doesn't die out that could be a reason to stick with the original vaccine.

Omicron shares several mutations with Alpha, Beta, Gamma, and Delta, in addition to several novel mutations of its own. https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2021/12/16/omicron-variant-mutations-covid/
If, for instance, we had a vaccine that was 50/50 tailored to defeat Alpha and Gamma, which could easily have been formulated 6+ months ago, it would very likely be highly effective against Omicron.

BRAKE FOR MOOSE posted:

Nah, I don't know much about the manufacturing side, but the safety process is still going to be complex for a new variant-specific vaccine because it introduces the possibility for new side effects. They can move fast, but the best-case scenario is still at least three months.

3 months seems on the long end to me to establish safety and efficacy within the framework of the previous work already done in this vaccine. But sure, let's say you can't go any faster than that. Why do we not already have the vaccine described above, or one tailored to any of the dominant variants at this point? Seems like an awfully lethargic unhurried approach to a worldwide crisis to still be using the wild type vaccine in my opinion. These vaccines will only continue to erode in usefulness, and "guessing wrong" in terms of what variant(s) to target almost certainly only leads you to improving things less than you'd hoped to, rather than making things worse.

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS

Fritz the Horse posted:

if you get exposed to anything repeatedly you're eventually going to contract it

three jabs gets you pretty decent protection from infection. that doesn't mean you can suck n gently caress in the bathroom at denny's carefree, it just means you have some substantial armor against infection

Where did the frequent references to sucking and loving at denny's come from? Is there some goon backstory to this?

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>
why else would anyone want the pandemic over??

afaik the entire backstory is just that people here have been joking about it since the first lockdowns

Herstory Begins Now fucked around with this message at 11:30 on Dec 22, 2021

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS

Fritz the Horse posted:

Most of this paragraph works to discredit the effectiveness of current vaccination/booster programs to combat Omicron. Your second line here is hyperbolic, fear-mongering nonsense, would you care to elaborate on or defend it?

“Excellent” and “insanely” are intensifiers that are misplaced when applied to the efficacy of the first‐generation SARS‐CoV‐2 vaccines against Omicron



Rank every vaccine in the routine immunization schedule by efficacy and you will find that the first‐generation SARS‐CoV‐2 vaccines fall on the bottom half, certainly against transmission and symptomatic disease, likely on other measures.

The clinical trial results of the mRNA vaccines placed them near the top, but that version of virus hasn’t been seen in the wild in over a year. We are fortunate that the vaccines work as well as they against a heavily mutated target, but let’s not oversell it.

Owlofcreamcheese
May 22, 2005
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
Buglord
Acquired immunity to the virus is unbelievably good.

Over and over people whine and melt down at calling south africa's cases mild and point out that it isn't the virus that changed it's the past exposure and vaccinations.

Then when they talk about vaccinations they claim vaccine was actually peepee poopoo bad, wears off instantly and barely works.

But one thing or the other explains this graph, either the virus has started to suck so bad it can't kill anyone or immunity works so good it's not killing anyone:

Shooting Blanks
Jun 6, 2007

Real bullets mess up how cool this thing looks.

-Blade



This seems relevant to this thread:

Some Houston hospitals suspend COVID antibody treatments due to ineffectiveness against omicron

Hospital quotes here:

Memorial Hermann's full statement: posted:

According to experts, the monoclonal antibody (MCA) therapies previously offered by Memorial Hermann – casirivimab, imdevimab (Regeneron), bamlanivimab and etesivimab (Eli Lilly) – lose most of their effectiveness when exposed to the omicron variant. Since these MCA therapies are not effective against the omicron variant, which is now the dominant strain in our region, like many other health systems, we have suspended these MCA therapies and are unable to accept new referrals at this time.

If you have tested positive for COVID-19 or believe you may be positive for COVID-19, please contact your primary care physician as soon as possible so a treatment plan can be developed for you. If you are experiencing emergency warning signs such as trouble breathing, persistent pain or pressure in the chest, new confusion, inability to wake or stay awake and/or pale, gray or blue colored skin, lips or nailbeds, seek emergency medical care immediately.

In time, we may have access to additional treatment options to combat the omicron variant, including a new MCA therapy as well as two antiviral medications that are currently in the late stages of testing and Emergency Use Authorization approvals.

Houston Methodist statement: posted:

We stopped taking new referrals as of today and will finish up infusions with existing monoclonal drugs on Thursday. We are expecting the arrival of a very limited supply of sotrovimab this week. That is the monoclonal antibody treatment that is effective against Omicron. Pending receipt of the sotrovimab, we will start treating patients with that drug next week, prioritizing it to only those patients who are at the highest risk of hospitalization.

St. Luke's Health statement: posted:

St. Luke's Health is temporarily suspending its use of monoclonal antibodies in the treatment of COVID-19 patients. Our current monoclonal antibody inventory includes Regeneron and Eli Lily, which have been effective against prior strains of COVID-19, including the Delta variant. Recent studies show these have little to no activity against Omicron. Soltrovimab, however, does have activity against Omicron. We are working with the State to receive doses of this monoclonal antibody.

Of course this is not a peer reviewed article, this isn't a preprint, these are area hospitals suspending treatment due to lack of effectiveness.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

gay picnic defence posted:

Where did the frequent references to sucking and loving at denny's come from? Is there some goon backstory to this?

Came from a post lecturing people about continuing to be cautious after getting the vaccine, got adopted as a thread motto because it was funny

Gio posted:

yeah having some face to face contact is the exact same thing as letting everyone know once youre vaccinated youre going to throw all caution to the wind in the midst of the pandemic and start sucking and loving in a denny’s bathroom

Baronash
Feb 29, 2012

So what do you want to be called?
Imagine getting pissed that someone hasn’t produced your designer 4th dose when 40% of the planet hasn’t gotten a single shot.

spankmeister
Jun 15, 2008






Shooting Blanks posted:

This seems relevant to this thread:

Some Houston hospitals suspend COVID antibody treatments due to ineffectiveness against omicron

Hospital quotes here:





Of course this is not a peer reviewed article, this isn't a preprint, these are area hospitals suspending treatment due to lack of effectiveness.

There are already several preprint articles describing the loss of monoclonal antibody efficacy, so this was to be expected.

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.12.12.472269v2
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.12.14.21267772v1
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.12.14.472630v1
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.12.07.470392v1

This is bad news for the unvaccinated and immunocompromised.


e: Does anyone know how far along Paxlovid is? Can it be produced more quickly than mAbs?

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
Why do we update the flu vaccine when most people don’t get that?

Very privileged of us.

Baronash
Feb 29, 2012

So what do you want to be called?

Platystemon posted:

Why do we update the flu vaccine when most people don’t get that?

Very privileged of us.

“COVID is the same as the flu”

Strong argument, I feel like I’ve seen it before but I can’t remember where.

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
Wow! A post in the Latin alphabet!

You know who else used the Latin alphabet? That’s right: Hitler.

Charles 2 of Spain
Nov 7, 2017

Low income countries should be first in line to get the updated vaccine, for free.

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knox_harrington
Feb 18, 2011

Running no point.

spankmeister posted:

e: Does anyone know how far along Paxlovid is? Can it be produced more quickly than mAbs?

Paxlovid is going to get approved this week.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/21/fda-approve-paxlovid-molnupiravir-covid-pills

What would be great would be if an intranasal sars-cov-2 vaccine can be rolled out asap

https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciimmunol.abj5129

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