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Which horse film is your favorite?
This poll is closed.
Black Beauty 2 1.06%
A Talking Pony!?! 4 2.13%
Mr. Hands 2x Apple Flavor 117 62.23%
War Horse 11 5.85%
Mr. Hands 54 28.72%
Total: 188 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

virtualboyCOLOR posted:

Speaking of mitigations, what are the mitigation efforts for the huge super spreader event known as New Years.

Has Biden stated anything? Has the Dem leaders of New York City canceled the festivities like last year to flatten the curve?

Probably little if any at this point.

https://twitter.com/GuardianUS/status/1476940588167671812?s=20

of course these are New York City leaders making these decisions, not Biden himself.

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Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there
Denmark - 31 December 2021

Sort of going along with my "Model for Dummies Named Rust" of COVID, the post-Jule drop in socializing may be showing in a continued drop in caseload here in DK based on my "no real evidence" model saying cases show up 5 days after you were exposed. If some utility exists in that model, numbers may drop a little more for a couple days then Nytårsaften parties tonight will cause a spike around the 5th.

Hospital spike coming? So there's a likely delay between diagnosis and hospitalization. Assuming the step-up in cases on the 21st led to the new level of hospitalizations on the 28th, it's about a week. So the next stepup will be a bump around the 2nd (from the 26th) and then a big stepup on the 5th (from the 29th).

Denmark reports 88.0% fully vaccinated, 9.8% unvaccinated, 2.2% partial, and I saw a report over 47% were boosted as of today.

pre:
Denmark Covid Cases
-----------------------------------
Dec 31 17,605 new cases, 1090 reinfections, 177 new hospitalizations (641 total), 73 ICU (-2), 49 Vent (-1), 11 dead
Dec 30 21,403 new cases, 1123 reinfections, 178 new hospitalizations (665 total), 75 ICU (-2), 50 Vent (-2),  9 dead
Dec 29 23,228 new cases, 1205 reinfections, 173 new hospitalizations (675 total), 77 ICU (+6), 52 Vent (+2), 16 dead
Dec 28 13,000 new cases,  670 reinfections, 177 new hospitalizations (666 total), 71 ICU (+1), 50 Vent (+4), 14 dead
Dec 27 16,164 new cases,  639 reinfections, 115 new hospitalizations (608 total), 70 ICU (-1), 46 Vent (-2),  7 dead
Dec 26 14,844 new cases,  644 reinfections, 123 new hospitalizations (579 total), 71 ICU (-2), 43 Vent (+1), 13 dead
Dec 25 10,027 new cases,  463 reinfections,  86 new hospitalizations (522 total), 73 ICU (-1), 44 Vent (+5), 10 dead
Dec 24 11,229 new cases,  527 reinfections, 134 new hospitalizations (509 total), 74 ICU (+2), 39 vent (+1), 14 dead
Dec 23 12,487 new cases,  613 reinfections, 158 new hospitalizations (541 total), 72 ICU (+6), 38 vent (+1), 15 dead
Dec 22 13,386 new cases,  531 reinfections, 126 new hospitalizations (524 total), 66 ICU (-1), 37 vent (+2), 14 dead 
Dec 21 13,558 new cases,  501 reinfections, 121 new hospitalizations (526 total), 67 ICU (+1), 35 vent (+2), 17 dead
Dec 20 10,082 new cases,  (no reinf. data),  85 new hospitalizations (581 total), 66 ICU (+3), 33 vent (-2),  8 dead
Dec 19 8,212
Dec 18 8,594
Dec 17 11,194
Dec 16 9,999
Dec 15 8,773
From rkkp.dk, who track ICU bed availability in Denmark (https://www.rkkp.dk/kvalitetsdatabaser/databaser/dansk-intensiv-database/resultater/)

pre:
20 December - 317 ICU beds, 60 COVID, 59 available
13 December - 319 ICU beds, 64 COVID, 39 available
6 December  - 310 ICU beds, 67 COVID, 10 available <-- squeaky bum time here
29 November - 318 ICU beds, 61 COVID, 25 available
In early 2021, Denmark had 400 ICU beds available, and a combination of ramping down to 340 or so, plus a strike by Danish nurses in July that resulted in the government ending the strike has probably been the cause of a drop to under 320 beds nationally. From the stats it is clear that non-COVID ICU patient counts have been lowered, resulting in more free ICU beds.


Since yesterday, rates per 100,000 population.

pre:
                                  Unvaccinated              Partial           Full                           Unvaccinated    Partial    Full
31 DEC    New cases:                     341.1                334.2          300.2    Hospitalizations:              37.8       20.7    8.6
30 DEC    New cases:                     409.2                391.5          345.5    Hospitalizations:              39.4       21.1    8.9
29 DEC    New cases:                     443.6                446.0          377.4    Hospitalizations:              40.1       18.5    9.1
28 DEC    New cases:                     237.3                208.2          210.2    Hospitalizations:              40.5       16.9    8.6
27 DEC    New cases:                     304.4                324.9          263.3    Hospitalizations:              40.0       15.8    7.8
26 DEC    New cases:                     310.4                274.9          241.2    Hospitalizations:              39.0       15.4    7.3
25 DEC    New cases:                     181.6                162.1          161.5    Hospitalizations:              33.9       16.0    6.8
24 DEC    New cases:                     184.1                173.0          182.1    Hospitalizations:              34.5       14.9    7.1
23 DEC    New cases:                     237.1                202.6          197.9    Hospitalizations:              35.4       16.2    7.5
22 DEC    New cases:                     257.1                198.1          211.7    Hospitalizations:              34.2       15.3    7.3
21 DEC    New cases:                     270.1                226.2          207.8    Hospitalizations:              32.9       14.3    7.5

Report on PCR tests for Omicron as a percentage of variant tests hit various levels on various days:
pre:
1.77% on 1 December
4.8% on 6 December
10% on 8 December
22% on 12 December
37% on 14 December
50% on 17 December
60% on 20 December
70% on 21 December
74% on 22 December
81% on 24 December 
84% on 26 December
86% on 27 December
92% on 29 December (only 79 tests)

Sources:
https://covid19.ssi.dk/overvagningsdata/download-fil-med-overvaagningdata
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/242ec2acc014456295189631586f1d26
https://covid19.ssi.dk/virusvarianter/delta-pcr

Rust Martialis fucked around with this message at 17:14 on Dec 31, 2021

Craptacular!
Jul 9, 2001

Fuck the DH

Gripweed posted:

I remember when this was a right wing talking point to try to downplay the danger of Covid. If it's making it's way across the political divide, that's not great.

What you see in this thread doesn't represent any side of the political debate. There is no energy for a return to lockdowns from any corner that isn't just some folks online pretending that their deepest darkest fears are coming true.

Zodium posted:

play stupid games, win stupid prizes.
This is not a phrase associated with people saying anything particularly productive, and it doesn't add anything to your post. You've used it twice now, so maybe try not to sound like one of 2020's police bootlickers while suggesting something that pulls up to if not drives over the line of martial law.

Alctel
Jan 16, 2004

I love snails


Gripweed posted:

I remember when this was a right wing talking point to try to downplay the danger of Covid. If it's making it's way across the political divide, that's not great.

c'mon dude, it was used early in the first wave by anti-vaxxers to handwave away the massive amounts of dead people who died from covid (claiming that if you died of covid while having a pre-existing condition then it didn't count)

People now are talking about making the distinction between people who go to hospital because of getting sick from omicron and those who are tested while in the hospital for something else and found to incidentally have it (because the latter group is actually higher than the former in most countries and it's distorting the hospitalisation stats)


It's not the same thing at all

tagesschau
Sep 1, 2006

D&D: HASBARA SQUAD
THE SPEECH SUPPRESSOR


Remember: it's "antisemitic" to protest genocide as long as the targets are brown.

Wang Commander posted:

I have traveled for business during the pandemic and unfortunately they are much like anywhere else that allows food and drink: home of the ubiquitous covid-repellent water bottle also seen in classrooms and workplaces

Then they shouldn't be serving food and drink, or allowing consumption of food and drink brought on board, for flights under three hours or so. Or there should be a vaccination requirement for air travel. Or both.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth
Requiring vaccines for air travel seems like a complete no-brainer and I'm pretty disappointed it hasn't happened.

Wang Commander
Dec 27, 2003

by sebmojo

tagesschau posted:

Then they shouldn't be serving food and drink, or allowing consumption of food and drink brought on board, for flights under three hours or so. Or there should be a vaccination requirement for air travel. Or both.

Culture-bound "dehydration" means you basically can't deny Americans a water bottle in any context, it's a wild thing and I'm wondering if other countries are this way now

Pollyanna
Mar 5, 2005

Milk's on them.


How are u posted:

Requiring vaccines for air travel seems like a complete no-brainer and I'm pretty disappointed it hasn't happened.

That would require airlines to not get as much money.

StratGoatCom
Aug 6, 2019

Our security is guaranteed by being able to melt the eyeballs of any other forum's denizens at 15 minutes notice


https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7003e3.htm

quote:

What is added by this report?

Sensitivity of the BinaxNOW antigen test, compared with polymerase chain reaction testing, was lower when used to test specimens from asymptomatic (35.8%) than from symptomatic (64.2%) persons, but specificity was high. Sensitivity was higher for culture-positive specimens (92.6% and 78.6% for those from symptomatic and asymptomatic persons, respectively); however, some antigen test-negative specimens had culturable virus.

What are the implications for public health practice?

The high specificity and rapid BinaxNOW antigen test turnaround time facilitate earlier isolation of infectious persons. Antigen tests can be an important tool in an overall community testing strategy to reduce transmission.

enki42
Jun 11, 2001
#ATMLIVESMATTER

Put this Nazi-lover on ignore immediately!

Wang Commander posted:

Culture-bound "dehydration" means you basically can't deny Americans a water bottle in any context, it's a wild thing and I'm wondering if other countries are this way now

They don't allow food or drink in theatres in Ontario and as far as I know it's worked fine (of course there's people complaining about how their Spiderman viewing experience was completely ruined by not being able to eat lovely movie theatre popcorn.)

Riptor
Apr 13, 2003

here's to feelin' good all the time

I appreciate the effort you put into these posts but man, it's just a wall of text to me. Not sure if others think the same. If you could dump it into excel and generate some graphs i think these posts would be much more useful

Toaster Beef
Jan 23, 2007

that's not nature's way
I feel like the fact that it's summer in South Africa doesn't get brought up enough when talking about how SA's numbers are any indication of how things will go for the US, UK, etc.

Zodium
Jun 19, 2004

Craptacular! posted:

This is not a phrase associated with people saying anything particularly productive, and it doesn't add anything to your post. You've used it twice now, so maybe try not to sound like one of 2020's police bootlickers while suggesting something that pulls up to if not drives over the line of martial law.

lol

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Wang Commander posted:

Culture-bound "dehydration" means you basically can't deny Americans a water bottle in any context, it's a wild thing and I'm wondering if other countries are this way now

'Dehydration'? I know for an absolute fact I've felt much better and had improved health metrics since i started drinking a lot more water about a decade ago.

Do not become addicted to water, my friends. It will take hold of you, and you will resent its absence.

air travel vaccine mandate for non kids without doctors note is probably the correct choice

Alctel
Jan 16, 2004

I love snails


How are u posted:

Requiring vaccines for air travel seems like a complete no-brainer and I'm pretty disappointed it hasn't happened.

It has in Canada

Meant my girlfriends idiot anti-vax relatives couldn't go to the funeral of another relative

virtualboyCOLOR
Dec 22, 2004

Alctel posted:

c'mon dude, it was used early in the first wave by anti-vaxxers to handwave away the massive amounts of dead people who died from covid (claiming that if you died of covid while having a pre-existing condition then it didn't count)

People now are talking about making the distinction between people who go to hospital because of getting sick from omicron and those who are tested while in the hospital for something else and found to incidentally have it (because the latter group is actually higher than the former in most countries and it's distorting the hospitalisation stats)


It's not the same thing at all

Fully disagree. This is 100% a right wing talking point adopted by the liberals/media/Democrats now that Biden is in charge.

A covid case is a covid case and those in the hospital are impacted not only with any ailments they may have had, but also battling an infectious disease that turns lungs into Swiss cheese and does neurological damage.


My assumption is soon we will have calls to no longer test cases since they make the Biden admin look bad and there will be OP-EDs on why, to use a right wing phrase since it is fashionable, it’s (D)ifferent.


Riptor posted:

I appreciate the effort you put into these posts but man, it's just a wall of text to me. Not sure if others think the same. If you could dump it into excel and generate some graphs i think these posts would be much more useful

I’d like to say the opposite. I enjoy each post since it provides an incite on countries other than the US and provides data on the current trend. Putting it in an excel link would make it too easy to ignore. That said, it would be nice to have an offsite excel document as a back up.


Nonsense posted:

Probably little if any at this point.

https://twitter.com/GuardianUS/status/1476940588167671812?s=20

of course these are New York City leaders making these decisions, not Biden himself.

This is only going to make the issue worse. This reckless behavior is no different from DeSantis’s nonsense. Dems truly are no better than their awful Republican counterparts.

virtualboyCOLOR fucked around with this message at 18:15 on Dec 31, 2021

Carrier
May 12, 2009


420...69...9001...

virtualboyCOLOR posted:

A covid case is a covid case and those in the hospital are impacted not on fly with any ailments they may have had, but also battling an infectious disease that turns lungs into Swiss cheese and does neurological damage.

C'mon dude, someone in the hospital with a broken leg who also happens to test positive for asymptomatic covid is not the same as someone actually in hospital because they are being severely affected by covid. Conflating the two is just being ridiculous.

Professor Beetus
Apr 12, 2007

They can fight us
But they'll never Beetus

virtualboyCOLOR posted:

A covid case is a covid case and those in the hospital are impacted not on fly with any ailments they may have had, but also battling an infectious disease that turns lungs into Swiss cheese and does neurological damage.

This is bullshit. Some people do incidentally test positive for Covid with no symptoms and they are not "battling" Covid, this is what incidental positives are, especially among the vaccinated whose lungs are mostly not being turned into Swiss cheese. Stay out of this thread if you can't talk about this subject with any loving nuance whatsoever.

PT6A
Jan 5, 2006

Public school teachers are callous dictators who won't lift a finger to stop children from peeing in my plane

virtualboyCOLOR posted:

This is only going to make the issue worse. This reckless behavior is no different from DeSantis nonsense. Dems truly are no better than their awful Republican counterparts.

Yeah, I'm thinking back to the West African Ebola outbreak and thinking of all the times people were like, "oh those backward people, they won't give up their traditions and that's why it keeps spreading!" and now... the west is doing the same thing, except it's not religious, it's not a funeral, it's just that we really want to have a big party because we've always had a big party on this day!

Sharkie
Feb 4, 2013

by Fluffdaddy

Alctel posted:

c'mon dude, it was used early in the first wave by anti-vaxxers to handwave away the massive amounts of dead people who died from covid (claiming that if you died of covid while having a pre-existing condition then it didn't count)

People now are talking about making the distinction between people who go to hospital because of getting sick from omicron and those who are tested while in the hospital for something else and found to incidentally have it (because the latter group is actually higher than the former in most countries and it's distorting the hospitalisation stats)


It's not the same thing at all

Right. It's like how when chuds were shouting "it's just the flu bro!" it's because they were downplaying the severity of the virus. But the people pointing out that omicron is no worse than the flu are simply listening to the experts and following the science. It's completely different.

enki42
Jun 11, 2001
#ATMLIVESMATTER

Put this Nazi-lover on ignore immediately!

PT6A posted:

Yeah, I'm thinking back to the West African Ebola outbreak and thinking of all the times people were like, "oh those backward people, they won't give up their traditions and that's why it keeps spreading!" and now... the west is doing the same thing, except it's not religious, it's not a funeral, it's just that we really want to have a big party because we've always had a big party on this day!

I mean, you don't even have to include New Years Eve (which like it or not is a cultural event). People were bitching about restrictions because it impacted their ability to see Spiderman in theatres.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

Professor Beetus posted:

This is bullshit. Some people do incidentally test positive for Covid with no symptoms and they are not "battling" Covid, this is what incidental positives are, especially among the vaccinated whose lungs are mostly not being turned into Swiss cheese. Stay out of this thread if you can't talk about this subject with any loving nuance whatsoever.

Curious is anyone here is still unvaccinated.

But yeah, double vaccinated is giving like 75-80% lower hospitalization rates in DK.

Src: MAH WALL O' TEXT

virtualboyCOLOR
Dec 22, 2004

Professor Beetus posted:

This is bullshit. Some people do incidentally test positive for Covid with no symptoms and they are not "battling" Covid, this is what incidental positives are, especially among the vaccinated whose lungs are mostly not being turned into Swiss cheese. Stay out of this thread if you can't talk about this subject with any loving nuance whatsoever.

I guess the follow up question is did the Republicans have a point last year when they stated there was an issue with the death counts because people were dying with covid but not of covid?

I don’t recall a request for nuance then from the media or Democrats but I could be mistaken.

I personally don’t see the difference and if anything I feel it muddies the waters and provides an opportunity to downplay the affects of covid.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth
I just saw Spiderman in a theater in the very red state in which I'm spending the holiday. We were the only masked people in the entire place, so we went and sat in the more forward section of seating away from everybody else (especially those kids who *for sure* are not vaccinated). It was really good, really fun movie. No covid symptoms so far, but we shall see!

Professor Beetus
Apr 12, 2007

They can fight us
But they'll never Beetus

virtualboyCOLOR posted:

I guess the follow up question is did the Republicans have a point last year when they stated there was an issue with the death counts because people were dying with covid but not of covid?

I don’t recall a request for nuance then from the media or Democrats but I could be mistaken.

I personally don’t see the difference and if anything I feel it muddies the waters and provides an opportunity to downplay the affects of covid.

Recognizing the actual reality is not downplaying covid, for the umpteenth time. And yes, this is different than June 2020, long before vaccines, when that talking point was being trotted out and used by Right wingers to downplay the vast numbers of people sitting and dying on ventilators because they had other conditions. They were mostly talking about people that actually died and quibbling about cause of death being covid vs the thing that really killed them, because they thought Covid was a hoax or some bullshit.

illcendiary
Dec 4, 2005

Damn, this is good coffee.
What in the christ is culture-bound dehydration? I wish airlines would stop serving drinks/snacks on short flights but drat lol

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin
School just announced they're going remote when they start back up on Monday 1/10

Then on Tuesday 1/11 everyone goes back in person

??? ?????

Craptacular!
Jul 9, 2001

Fuck the DH

virtualboyCOLOR posted:

This is only going to make the issue worse. This reckless behavior is no different from DeSantis’s nonsense. Dems truly are no better than their awful Republican counterparts.

The reality is it’s up to the feds to have a program to support municipalities if they’re going to destroy significant portions of their tax base to do what’s appropriate, and support the people who are going to lose money over this time. Japan accomplished this by effectively paying people to not go to work. We need to at least return to “unemployment checks pay more than actually working” before we can expect even Dem-aligned regions to choose to shut down the majority of their economic sectors.

virtualboyCOLOR
Dec 22, 2004

Professor Beetus posted:

Recognizing the actual reality is not downplaying covid, for the umpteenth time. And yes, this is different than June 2020, long before vaccines, when that talking point was being trotted out and used by Right wingers to downplay the vast numbers of people sitting and dying on ventilators because they had other conditions. They were mostly talking about people that actually died and quibbling about cause of death being covid vs the thing that really killed them, because they thought Covid was a hoax or some bullshit.

I guess agree to disagree. I’ll rephrase it as such:


That talking point is being trotted out and used by Democrats/media to downplay the vast numbers of people infected by a neurological destroying virus because they had other conditions. They are mostly talking about people that actually tested positive and quibbling about the severity of covid vs the failure of the Biden administration, CDC, and the entire governing body of the US, because it’s makes Democrats and the world’s largest super power look bad.

This is why I don’t see a difference.


Edit: also going to drop this as it seems to be leading to a derail which is not my intention.

virtualboyCOLOR fucked around with this message at 18:38 on Dec 31, 2021

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

illcendiary posted:

What in the christ is culture-bound dehydration? I wish airlines would stop serving drinks/snacks on short flights but drat lol

There are two competing misunderstandings of hydration that are pretty common all over:

1. Some people don't get enough fluids and are low-level dehydrated all the time. This is pretty rare but does happen.
2. A lot of people have bought into the belief that they need to be drinking water near constantly, at higher amounts than they need. This stems from a very old research claim that people needed to get about 2 liters of fluids a day, originally expressed in some guidance as "6-8 glasses". This turned into "drink 8 glasses of water every day", which has more recently turned into "the 8x8 challenge" and other memes based on drinking a lot of water. All of this is bullshit for most purposes; we get water from other drinks and from food, and the body is generally pretty good at water self-regulation, so people should not need to force themselves to drink more than they feel like they need. This cultural overconsumption is mostly harmless , but it has mask and infection control consequences right now.

(It is very possible to kill yourself by drinking too much water, but that requires much, much more of it and I've only heard of it happening in relation to stunt challenges from radio shows)

Professor Beetus
Apr 12, 2007

They can fight us
But they'll never Beetus

virtualboyCOLOR posted:

I guess agree to disagree. I’ll rephrase it as such:


That talking point is being trotted out and used by Democrats/media to downplay the vast numbers of people infected by a neurological destroying virus because they had other conditions. They are mostly talking about people that actually tested positive and quibbling about the severity of covid vs the failure of the Biden administration, CDC, and the entire governing body of the US, because it’s makes Democrats and the world’s largest super power look bad.

This is why I don’t see a difference.


Edit: also going to drop this as it seems to be leading to a derail which is not my intention.

I mean you can believe what you want but folks in here are not the CDC and I think it's okay for us to recognize that the virus can be bad without being Captain Trips. Again pointing out that this is a small corner of the internet and no one here is influencing public policy, and can have these sorts of conversations without literally having lives on the line.

Also it bugs me that you keep referring to this as a "neurological destroying" virus because that's a misrepresentation of what is happening to people's brains and many people do in fact recover from Covid without lasting symptoms.

Please understand that I say that while acknowledging that I agree with you that the current government response is terrible, and that yes, we should have significant NPIs in place to protect the people that do suffer long term effects from Covid and those who are immunocompromised and get hit much harder. It's gross and callous to lump them into the giant mass of anti-vaxxers and shrugging at their statistical noise.

In short, this continues to be a complex issue and I would really like the conversation in here to be able to reflect that rather than whatever gently caress happened to this thread over the last two days.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth
Virtually everybody recovers from covid without lasting symptoms.

illcendiary
Dec 4, 2005

Damn, this is good coffee.

Discendo Vox posted:

There are two competing misunderstandings of hydration that are pretty common all over:

1. Some people don't get enough fluids and are low-level dehydrated all the time. This is pretty rare but does happen.
2. A lot of people have bought into the belief that they need to be drinking water near constantly, at higher amounts than they need. This stems from a very old research claim that people needed to get about 2 liters of fluids a day, originally expressed in some guidance as "6-8 glasses". This turned into "drink 8 glasses of water every day", which has more recently turned into "the 8x8 challenge" and other memes based on drinking a lot of water. All of this is bullshit for most purposes; we get water from other drinks and from food, and the body is generally pretty good at water self-regulation, so people should not need to force themselves to drink more than they feel like they need. This cultural overconsumption is mostly harmless , but it has mask and infection control consequences right now.

(It is very possible to kill yourself by drinking too much water, but that requires much, much more of it and I've only heard of it happening in relation to stunt challenges from radio shows)

That makes sense, thanks! I truly didn't realize the guidance was only a half-gallon a day, I really thought you needed to be drinking something like a gallon. I guess it's possible that it means a gallon total, i.e. from water and other food sources. Echoing what a previous poster said, I anecdotally feel way better on days I drink a ton of water but I didn't fully appreciate the impact it generally has on mask wearing, except on planes as I had noted earlier.

Salt Fish
Sep 11, 2003

Cybernetic Crumb

Professor Beetus posted:

This is bullshit. Some people do incidentally test positive for Covid with no symptoms and they are not "battling" Covid, this is what incidental positives are, especially among the vaccinated whose lungs are mostly not being turned into Swiss cheese. Stay out of this thread if you can't talk about this subject with any loving nuance whatsoever.

The original claim is that the number of current hospitalizations is a misleading number because some people are in the hospital for non-covid issues and then end up testing positive for covid. I think that this claim misses the point of why hospitalization statistics are important. The statistic is important because hospital capacity is a limited resource. It doesn't really matter why someone is in a hospital bed. If the hospitals start turning people away because they're overflowing that's a disaster without needing to breakdown the proportion of "with" vs "of" covid.

It's also important for other reasons - people in a hospital with covid put staff and other patients at additional risk. They require additional monitoring and medications, they require isolation and special spaces. A person with a broken leg + covid is harder to care for than a person with a broken leg.

We're facing a severe crisis of hospital capacity which is going to become worse before it becomes better. Covid being a primary cause for hospitalization is not a mitigating explanation which reduces the crisis or burden on health care workers.

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009

Rust Martialis posted:

Curious is anyone here is still unvaccinated.

But yeah, double vaccinated is giving like 75-80% lower hospitalization rates in DK.

Src: MAH WALL O' TEXT

Seattle and NYC show even bigger reduction in hospitalizations, and weirdly also a significant reduction in cases from vaccination. I wonder why --- could be more cases missed, could be more boosters, could be different variant mix, could be something I can't think of?

https://twitter.com/RottenInDenmark/status/1476908564790845442/photo/2

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

Salt Fish posted:

The original claim is that the number of current hospitalizations is a misleading number because some people are in the hospital for non-covid issues and then end up testing positive for covid. I think that this claim misses the point of why hospitalization statistics are important. The statistic is important because hospital capacity is a limited resource. It doesn't really matter why someone is in a hospital bed. If the hospitals start turning people away because they're overflowing that's a disaster without needing to breakdown the proportion of "with" vs "of" covid.

I agree that tracking beds is important but being admitted for a head injury from a car wreck and testing positive for Corona while being asymptomatic should not be classed as an admission for the disease per se.

Professor Beetus
Apr 12, 2007

They can fight us
But they'll never Beetus

Salt Fish posted:

The original claim is that the number of current hospitalizations is a misleading number because some people are in the hospital for non-covid issues and then end up testing positive for covid. I think that this claim misses the point of why hospitalization statistics are important. The statistic is important because hospital capacity is a limited resource. It doesn't really matter why someone is in a hospital bed. If the hospitals start turning people away because they're overflowing that's a disaster without needing to breakdown the proportion of "with" vs "of" covid.

It's also important for other reasons - people in a hospital with covid put staff and other patients at additional risk. They require additional monitoring and medications, they require isolation and special spaces. A person with a broken leg + covid is harder to care for than a person with a broken leg.

We're facing a severe crisis of hospital capacity which is going to become worse before it becomes better. Covid being a primary cause for hospitalization is not a mitigating explanation which reduces the crisis or burden on health care workers.

Those are fair points and I don't think anyone has a good answer for what to do about hospitals in the US. poo poo is extremely hosed and we're not going to see any mitigating measures until it's too late. Obviously this still varies significantly depending on state/local municipality, but I was very nearly admitted to a hospital a second time this year, back in October, and this time the only place that had a bed for me was 30+ miles away.

e: Blue state, blue county, high vax rates, etc etc. Also for anyone worried that I was going to die from Covid and leave this thread poorly moderated, whatever illness I had starting on Christmas Eve appears to have run its course. Probably not Covid but in our county both omicron, the common cold, and the flu are all seemingly surging, so take your pic I guess.

Professor Beetus fucked around with this message at 19:02 on Dec 31, 2021

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

OddObserver posted:

Seattle and NYC show even bigger reduction in hospitalizations, and weirdly also a significant reduction in cases from vaccination. I wonder why --- could be more cases missed, could be more boosters, could be different variant mix, could be something I can't think of?

https://twitter.com/RottenInDenmark/status/1476908564790845442/photo/2

DK is 48% boosted, 41% double, 2% single and 9% unvaccinated. Denmark is mostly Biontech.

How are NYC and SEA?

Paracaidas
Sep 24, 2016
Consistently Tedious!
(Tl;dr: Hospitalized with Covid and Hospitalized for Covid can be useful for a few different things, but that usefulness has limits. One example of usefulness is as a decent but flawed proxy for community prevalence)

Test positivity at hospitals can be an extremely helpful metric in understanding a few things. I tend to agree with Wachter (chair of UCSF dept of Medicine) that it can be a decent proxy for asymptomatic prevalence. From a week ago:
https://mobile.twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/1474515006444036096
https://mobile.twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/1474515009468190722
https://mobile.twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/1474515012521582594
https://mobile.twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/1474515017756147717
(I have some issues with how he applies that test rate to other situations in that last tweet, but it's not overwhelmingly awful or anything)
https://mobile.twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/1474515026660651010

He has an update from yesterday as well, but I felt it worthwhile to include the longer explainer on asymptomatic positives at intake vs symptomatic positives reflecting those who arrived because of COVID concerns:
https://mobile.twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/1476708941186830339
https://mobile.twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/1476708957108408324
https://mobile.twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/1476708959939563529

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Jarmak
Jan 24, 2005

Salt Fish posted:

The original claim is that the number of current hospitalizations is a misleading number because some people are in the hospital for non-covid issues and then end up testing positive for covid. I think that this claim misses the point of why hospitalization statistics are important. The statistic is important because hospital capacity is a limited resource. It doesn't really matter why someone is in a hospital bed. If the hospitals start turning people away because they're overflowing that's a disaster without needing to breakdown the proportion of "with" vs "of" covid.

It's also important for other reasons - people in a hospital with covid put staff and other patients at additional risk. They require additional monitoring and medications, they require isolation and special spaces. A person with a broken leg + covid is harder to care for than a person with a broken leg.

We're facing a severe crisis of hospital capacity which is going to become worse before it becomes better. Covid being a primary cause for hospitalization is not a mitigating explanation which reduces the crisis or burden on health care workers.

That's not how those numbers work. COVID hospitalizations alone are not a measurement of capacity. If you take someone in the hospital for a car crash and it turns out they have an asymptomatic case that pops during a routine screen you haven't diminished your capacity just because you added one to your "hospitalized with COVID" bucket.



virtualboyCOLOR posted:

I guess agree to disagree. I’ll rephrase it as such:


That talking point is being trotted out and used by Democrats/media to downplay the vast numbers of people infected by a neurological destroying virus because they had other conditions. They are mostly talking about people that actually tested positive and quibbling about the severity of covid vs the failure of the Biden administration, CDC, and the entire governing body of the US, because it’s makes Democrats and the world’s largest super power look bad.

This is why I don’t see a difference.


Edit: also going to drop this as it seems to be leading to a derail which is not my intention.

You don't see the difference because you've reduced and distorted your description of events so much it barely still qualifies as intelligible English.

The right wing talking point of last year was that someone dying with a comorbidity wasn't dying of COVID, they were dying of the comorbidity and just happened to have COVID. This was bullshit for a number of reasons, not the least of which was it was made up whole-cloth. People with immune disorder or heart condition wouldn't have died if they didn't have COVID, they weren't in the ICU for their condition and got COVID, it was why they were there. It's like when the cops beat someone to death and then try to claim their heart gave out because they had cocaine in their system. Like sure, that probably didn't help their chances of survival but their "chances of survival" would have been a moot point if you didn't beat them to the point we have to start talking about chances of survival.

What people are saying here is that, compared to numbers this time a year ago, a large number of our hospitalization numbers are people who not in the hospital for COVID or related issues at all, but are being caught incidentally by robust testing. Not "this person is in the hospital because they are immunosuppressed, it just happens to be COVID triggering the issue", but "Timmy broke his arm and while he was in getting it treated got caught by a COVID screen".

There's a tenuous similarity if you reduce it to absurdity, squint real hard, and also ignore that in one situation the underlying facts of the arguement are a complete lie.

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