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Complications
Jun 19, 2014

Xaris posted:

cheap subsidized fossil fuels is the divine right to rule for governments and can't go away.

the guild will allow you the president's office, but remember: the oil *must* flow

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JAY ZERO SUM GAME
Oct 18, 2005

Walter.
I know you know how to do this.
Get up.


FFT posted:

Rime's post as referenced on this page
this wasn't it, but we're all on the same page here, he's definitely right

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

JAY ZERO SUM GAME posted:

i remember reading something a while back, in this thread or the doomsday economics thread (lol they're all the same), about oil/fossil fuels being the currency of the world, not the dollar, not gold

was very well written and compelling, and i think about it a lot


Good news, that is about to change! Soon, water will be the currency of the world.

Ihmemies
Oct 6, 2012

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

Good news, that is about to change! Soon, water will be the currency of the world.

How fun you think it will be for the people who live in a country with thousands of freshwater lakes and endless rains/snowfalls year round...?

DesertIslandHermit
Oct 7, 2019

It's beautiful. And it's for the god of...of...arts and crafts. I think that's what he said.

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

Good news, that is about to change! Soon, water will be the currency of the world.

Cool now Nestlé owns all of us.

JAY ZERO SUM GAME
Oct 18, 2005

Walter.
I know you know how to do this.
Get up.


DesertIslandHermit posted:

Cool now Nestlé sustains all of us.

Xaris
Jul 25, 2006

Lucky there's a family guy
Lucky there's a man who positively can do
All the things that make us
Laugh and cry

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

Good news, that is about to change! Soon, water will be the currency of the world.
that's why i've invested half my savings into water ETF stocks :twisted:

but no even in jest, it still won't be. the thing about water is it's actually a bitch to transport for how much you actually consume and requires massive energy input to move. so to trade it you require oil. now in a world where oil is far more abundant than usable water, i.e. we discover another 500000 trillion gallons of oil somewhere, then we would prob just put that energy to carving up antarctica and shipping it back in bunker fuel megafreighters with freezer cargo containers.

Tempora Mutantur
Feb 22, 2005

Xaris posted:

that's why i've invested half my savings into water ETF stocks :twisted:

but no even in jest, it still won't be. the thing about water is it's actually a bitch to transport for how much you actually consume and requires massive energy input to move. so to trade it you require oil. now in a world where oil is far more abundant than usable water, i.e. we discover another 500000 trillion gallons of oil somewhere, then we would prob just put that energy to carving up antarctica and shipping it back in bunker fuel megafreighters with freezer cargo containers.

goddamn they really would use freezer containers even though water takes less volume than ice

Car Hater
May 7, 2007

wolf. bike.
Wolf. Bike.
Wolf! Bike!
WolfBike!
WolfBike!
ARROOOOOO!

JAY ZERO SUM GAME posted:

i remember reading something a while back, in this thread or the doomsday economics thread (lol they're all the same), about oil/fossil fuels being the currency of the world, not the dollar, not gold

was very well written and compelling, and i think about it a lot

Search for EROEI and it will probably turn up in the first page or two

petit choux
Feb 24, 2016

Complications posted:

the guild will allow you the president's office, but remember: the oil *must* flow

Almost as if Herbert were hinting at that in his book, hey

pissinthewind
Nov 11, 2021

so which country is going into kazakhstan first to steal all the uranusum

JAY ZERO SUM GAME
Oct 18, 2005

Walter.
I know you know how to do this.
Get up.


Tempora Mutantur posted:

goddamn they really would use freezer containers even though water takes less volume than ice
the amount of energy required to melt ice is not insignificant

Tekne
Feb 15, 2012

It's-a me, motherfucker

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

Good news, that is about to change! Soon, water will be the currency of the world.
Do not, my friends, become addicted to water. It will take hold of you, and you will resent its absence!

DesertIslandHermit
Oct 7, 2019

It's beautiful. And it's for the god of...of...arts and crafts. I think that's what he said.

pissinthewind posted:

so which country is going into kazakhstan first to steal all the uranusum

China's Road to Kazakhstan gets proposed and America tries to organize a coup that somehow gets Sacha Baron Cohen roped up into it and then violent breaks out in a couple years when it goes off and everyone finds out America did it.

A Bakers Cousin
Dec 18, 2003

by vyelkin
I would imagine Russia wasn't too shocked this occurred and perhaps had a plan

Jel Shaker
Apr 19, 2003

who would have thunk that a member of opec would implode because oil and food prices became untenable

basically we're looking at a sneak peak of the near future, and I feel that the doomsday economics thread and this one are increasingly going to cross over

petit choux
Feb 24, 2016

A Bakers Cousin posted:

I would imagine Russia wasn't too shocked this occurred and perhaps had a plan

Putin things in perspective here

Hubbert
Mar 25, 2007

At a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
now that everyone seems to be on board for seeing energy, materials, and other resources as the ur-commodity that makes everything possible, here's a cursory look at the basic tenets of neoclassical vs. ecological / biophysical economics :hmmyes:



-

and it's almost as if access to the resources of central asia + the caspian region have quietly shaped american foreign policy over the past two decades now :hmmyes:

petit choux
Feb 24, 2016

Jel Shaker posted:

who would have thunk that a member of opec would implode because oil and food prices became untenable

basically we're looking at a sneak peak of the near future, and I feel that the doomsday economics thread and this one are increasingly going to cross over

What, Kazakhstan is in OPEC? Whoah, I guess it is.

Polo-Rican
Jul 4, 2004

emptyquote my posts or die

Enfys posted:

There was at least some initial attention on the climate change aspect of the fire.

https://mobile.twitter.com/samuelbrasch/status/1476967021866893315

The difficulty is that most fires are started by people being dumb rather than malicious, it's hard to get everyone to stop being dumb, and climate change exacerbates the conditions where fires quickly get out of control so entire cities are going to keep burning.

My sister lives in Boulder, and it's so pleasant and beautiful that we considered moving out there from the east coast. I gave up on that idea maybe 5 years ago, mostly because the wildfires have gotten worse each year. This latest fire is the scariest and closest one yet, but even still, Boulder has spent the past 5 summers or so under almost constant air quality warnings due to various fires raging in the Rockies, and it's clear that it's only going to get worse as time goes on. Even if these towns don't burn down, their residents are doomed to spend half their lives breathing smoke.

skooma512
Feb 8, 2012

You couldn't grok my race car, but you dug the roadside blur.

Xaris posted:

in case anyone hasn't been watching, much of Kazakhstan government resigned or forced out today as the country is in turmoil over fuel prices doubling and energy shortages. broadband is down across the whole country. billionaires including the presidents daughter have fled


https://twitter.com/27khv/status/1478676302806884359




Got-drat. They are not loving around.


Like, I don't know much about the place and with the net blackout, I'm not going to find out soon, but I have a feeling there's more to it than just a fuel price hike if people go from 0 to armed uprising like this. My bet is someone else wants to be the ruler.

T-Paine
Dec 12, 2007

Sitting in the Costco food court unmasked, Bible in hand, reading my favorite Psalms to my five children: Abel, Bethany, Carlos, Carlos, and Carlos.
https://twitter.com/ZLabe/status/1478840433002254337

petit choux
Feb 24, 2016

skooma512 posted:

Got-drat. They are not loving around.


Like, I don't know much about the place and with the net blackout, I'm not going to find out soon, but I have a feeling there's more to it than just a fuel price hike if people go from 0 to armed uprising like this. My bet is someone else wants to be the ruler.

Yeah, the Kazakh Soviet Confederate Republic is back babee!

Xaris
Jul 25, 2006

Lucky there's a family guy
Lucky there's a man who positively can do
All the things that make us
Laugh and cry

skooma512 posted:

Got-drat. They are not loving around.


Like, I don't know much about the place and with the net blackout, I'm not going to find out soon, but I have a feeling there's more to it than just a fuel price hike if people go from 0 to armed uprising like this. My bet is someone else wants to be the ruler.

well there's been energy shortages (due to fuel), and fuel costs have gone way up. to be more specific, a year or so ago the government announced that they would remove the lng price cap and transition to a "free-market based system of exchange" where the free market would dictate the lng price. predictably this is a visible thing and made poo poo explode because now its all being exported to europe n poo poo for far more money than being sold domestically. obviously people are going to instantly get mad if thing they had still exists but they see all of it going to uk instead of when they had it

Nazarbayev was the only president up until recently but still controlled basically a shadow government and tokayev was his handpicked successor who seems to be trying to get out from nazar. but that's mostly tertiary compared to material realities of energy that is spurring unrest

kecske
Feb 28, 2011

it's round, like always

skooma512 posted:

Got-drat. They are not loving around.


Like, I don't know much about the place and with the net blackout, I'm not going to find out soon, but I have a feeling there's more to it than just a fuel price hike if people go from 0 to armed uprising like this. My bet is someone else wants to be the ruler.

something like 18% of the world bitcoin network hashrate is in kazakhstan, I guess a spike in fuel costs could be related to unrest maybe?

Rime
Nov 2, 2011

by Games Forum

skooma512 posted:

Got-drat. They are not loving around.


Like, I don't know much about the place and with the net blackout, I'm not going to find out soon, but I have a feeling there's more to it than just a fuel price hike if people go from 0 to armed uprising like this. My bet is someone else wants to be the ruler.

Kzakhstan is a dysfunctional failed state where most of the population lives in crippling poverty, the infrastructure is largely decrepit soviet-era remnants, it enjoyed a dictatorship for 30 years with a ruling family which bled the nation dry, and an oligarchy comprised of that families friends and lackeys mopped up whatever was left.

There isn't much surprise here, every population has a breaking point as to how hard you can squeeze it. We've seen this play out time and again in the post-soviet states.

RadiRoot
Feb 3, 2007

just burn it stupid

skooma512
Feb 8, 2012

You couldn't grok my race car, but you dug the roadside blur.

:yosbutt:

Sorry everyone, had to start eating my disaster beans

JAY ZERO SUM GAME
Oct 18, 2005

Walter.
I know you know how to do this.
Get up.


i like how it's accelerating

petit choux
Feb 24, 2016

So what are the odds of the sun being occluded permanently by water vapor now guys? The venus scenario?

The Protagonist
Jun 29, 2009

The average is 5.5? I thought it was 4. This is very unsettling.

petit choux posted:

So what are the odds of the sun being occluded permanently by water vapor now guys? The venus scenario?

Xaris
Jul 25, 2006

Lucky there's a family guy
Lucky there's a man who positively can do
All the things that make us
Laugh and cry

JAY ZERO SUM GAME posted:

i like how it's accelerating
a lot too


that was a "pandemic year" too.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

petit choux posted:

So what are the odds of the sun being occluded permanently by water vapor now guys? The venus scenario?

you have to sit through the period of no clouds first

RadiRoot
Feb 3, 2007

Xaris posted:

a lot too


that was a "pandemic year" too.

why was it leveling off at 2003?

Xaris
Jul 25, 2006

Lucky there's a family guy
Lucky there's a man who positively can do
All the things that make us
Laugh and cry

Radirot posted:

why was it leveling off at 2003?

nasa has a good global view of methane https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/87681/a-global-view-of-methane

this paper talks more about commentary about the trend of stabilization
https://www.pnas.org/content/116/8/2805


the tl;dr is no one really knows but there's speculation in it.

the rise in later 2000s seems to be heavily fracking-driven but also we're now at the point that permafrost is just melting and methane sinks are popping off on their own so it's probably both

Xaris has issued a correction as of 01:07 on Jan 6, 2022

Complications
Jun 19, 2014

Radirot posted:

why was it leveling off at 2003?

I'd expect that it's because Iraq's oil wells were thoroughly out of commission for a while.

Basic Poster
May 11, 2015

Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.

On Facebook
Here, this ought to take care of things

https://twitter.com/Greenpeace/status/1478652509740695558

T-Paine
Dec 12, 2007

Sitting in the Costco food court unmasked, Bible in hand, reading my favorite Psalms to my five children: Abel, Bethany, Carlos, Carlos, and Carlos.

loving. Girl. Boss. *Blue wave emoji*

starkebn
May 18, 2004

"Oooh, got a little too serious. You okay there, little buddy?"
I especially like how Shell, BP etc can just stand back up and kick the poo poo out of the rest of the world because their protest didn't actually do anything meaningful

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NoNotTheMindProbe
Aug 9, 2010
pony porn was here
The pedo king needs to keep the fresh meat coming

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-59884801

quote:

Pope Francis has suggested people who choose to have pets over children are acting selfishly.

The Pope's comments came as he was discussing parenthood during a general audience at the Vatican in Rome.

"Today ... we see a form of selfishness," he told the audience. "We see that some people do not want to have a child.

"Sometimes they have one, and that's it, but they have dogs and cats that take the place of children.

"This may make people laugh, but it is a reality."

The practice "is a denial of fatherhood and motherhood and diminishes us, takes away our humanity", he added.

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