Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.
I was reading this article from BBC Mundo about the upcoming elections in LATAM, and I came across this surprising claim:

quote:

Con el telón de fondo de las enormes protestas callejeras de 2021 y varios retos económicos, la mayoría de las encuestas de intención de voto ponen al frente al izquierdista Gustavo Petro, un economista, exguerrillero y exalcalde de Bogotá que perdió el balotaje de 2018 ante el actual presidente Iván Duque.

Un eventual triunfo de Petro marcaría algo inédito: la primera vez que un candidato de izquierda sea electo presidente de Colombia.

Summary: if leftist candidate Gustavo Petro, who is leading in polls for the Colombian presidential election, is elected, he will be the first elected leftist president of Colombia in their entire history.
E: I guess Cien Años de Soledad was merely mirroring reality with the liberals being forever unable to defeat the conservatives even with violence.

America Inc. fucked around with this message at 18:34 on Jan 3, 2022

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

there have been several liberal presidents of colombia, just no leftists

Badger of Basra
Jul 26, 2007

https://twitter.com/KrangTNelson/status/1478053853304176643?s=20

we all like to joke but seriously why does he keep getting hospitalized? is this related to when he got stabbed like four years ago? I would have guessed cancer but he's been in the hospital so many times for this you'd think he'd be dead by now if that was it

Truga
May 4, 2014
Lipstick Apathy
there's speculation that him getting stabbed was a coverup for an actual colon cancer surgery because cancer is for weak pussies and he's a stronkman lol

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

Badger of Basra posted:

https://twitter.com/KrangTNelson/status/1478053853304176643?s=20

we all like to joke but seriously why does he keep getting hospitalized? is this related to when he got stabbed like four years ago? I would have guessed cancer but he's been in the hospital so many times for this you'd think he'd be dead by now if that was it

There is an answer, but you may regret reading it. The stabbing plus the Covid complications got him on colossal quantities of opiates, jamming up his digestive system and forcing them to semi-regularly excavate all his compacted poo poo from his overstuffed torso via his nose.

Dias
Feb 20, 2011

by sebmojo

Darth Walrus posted:

There is an answer, but you may regret reading it. The stabbing plus the Covid complications got him on colossal quantities of opiates, jamming up his digestive system and forcing them to semi-regularly excavate all his compacted poo poo from his overstuffed torso via his nose.

I never read anything that convinced me to not hope Bolsonaro drops dead until this post.

Badger of Basra
Jul 26, 2007

Darth Walrus posted:

There is an answer, but you may regret reading it. The stabbing plus the Covid complications got him on colossal quantities of opiates, jamming up his digestive system and forcing them to semi-regularly excavate all his compacted poo poo from his overstuffed torso via his nose.

just stop taking the opiates my dude!!!

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

Too bad native Americans probably suffer the most from bolsonaro not dying from sepsis.

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.
Fascists do love their drugs.

SexyBlindfold
Apr 24, 2008
i dont care how much probation i get capital letters are for squares hehe im so laid back an nice please read my low effort shitposts about the arab spring

thanxs!!!

i say swears online posted:

there have been several liberal presidents of colombia, just no leftists

🤔 was gonna ask if Gaitán wasn't considered a leftist but apparently he got Colosio'd rather than Allende'd

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

i should have specified "after '58" :v:

edit oh he wasn't even president lol

edit2: also maybe he was colosio'd but was probably guiteau'd

i say swears online fucked around with this message at 09:11 on Jan 5, 2022

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.
I think we're all aware of the fact that many developed countries have a problem with aging populations, and supporting said populations with a successively smaller workforce. But could Latin America be on the cusp of a similar problem, and be aging too fast to break into the developed world?

From the CAF:

quote:

Currently, around 8% of the population in Latin America is 65 years of age or older, still well below Europe’s 18%. By 2050, however, this figure is expected double to 17.5%, and to exceed 30% by the end of the century.

In Las Venas Abiertas de América Latina, Galeano argues against pushes for family planning and fears of overpopulation on the premise that Latin America doesn't have an overpopulation problem, but rather an underpopulation problem:

quote:

Page 21

En la mayor parte de los países latinoamericanos, la gente no sobra: falta. Brasil tiene 38 veces menos habitantes por kilómetro cuadrado que Bélgica; Paraguay, 49 veces menos que Inglaterra; Perú, 32 veces menos que Japón. Haití y El Salvador, hormigueros humanos de América Latina, tienen una densidad de población menor que la de Italia.

Translation:
In the majority of Latin American countries, there are not too many but rather too few people. Brazil has 38 times less people per square km than Belgium; Paraguay, 49 times less than the UK; Peru 32 less than Japan. Haiti and El Salvador, the bustling anthills of Latin America, have a lower population density than that of Italy.

Would Latin America be served by increasing birth rates (or immigration)?

E: immigration would help too.
E1: me equivoqué en traducir

America Inc. fucked around with this message at 05:34 on Jan 10, 2022

punk rebel ecks
Dec 11, 2010

A shitty post? This calls for a dance of deduction.
Underpopulation is something the entire world outside of Africa and South Asia will suffer from during the latter half of the twenty-first century.

It will be especially interesting to see how far these "gently caress off we're full!" types will be pushed as their nation's self-extinct themselves.

Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012

proletariando posted:

I think we're all aware of the fact that many developed countries have a problem with aging populations, and supporting said populations with a successively smaller workforce. But could Latin America be on the cusp of a similar problem, and be aging too fast to break into the developed world?

From the CAF:

In Las Venas Abiertas de América Latina, Galeano argues against pushes for family planning and fears of overpopulation on the premise that Latin America doesn't have an overpopulation problem, but rather an underpopulation problem:

Would Latin America be served by increasing birth rates (or immigration)?

E: immigration would help too.
E1: me equivoqué en traducir

Brazil is one of the last agricultural frontiers left in the world, where you can still ger arable land for cheap. Several countries are buying up property because of that. A lot of it is not -ideal-, mind, but recent soil correction techniques and other advances can make it work....at least for a while.

And yes, the country had massive populational voids. Basically, everyone wants to live in the near-the-coast cities, with other population centers barely hanging on to sustain local production, or maintained by public jobs and infrastructure (as is the case with the capital, Brasilia).

So immigration and a higher birthrate, IF coupled with a strong inner-regions development push, could be a great thing. There's food, much of it is is accessible terrain (really, some of our biggest cities are in rather lovely, unconnected spots for in-country logistics, as they were meant to link with Europe, not other brazilian towns).

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.

punk rebel ecks posted:

Underpopulation is something the entire world outside of Africa and South Asia will suffer from during the latter half of the twenty-first century.

It will be especially interesting to see how far these "gently caress off we're full!" types will be pushed as their nation's self-extinct themselves.

Check out Japan.

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

Ghost Leviathan posted:

Check out Japan.
I wouldn't say Japan is going to self-extinct itself. Rather it's population growth will stagnate and decline a little until it breaks even again, in a few decades (without immigration). Then it's truly stable.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Underpopulation seems like a fake problem. America only had 280 million people in 1990, oh my stars how did we ever survive such dangerous underpopulation

punk rebel ecks
Dec 11, 2010

A shitty post? This calls for a dance of deduction.

VitalSigns posted:

Underpopulation seems like a fake problem. America only had 280 million people in 1990, oh my stars how did we ever survive such dangerous underpopulation

The issue is having a workforce and general society to support the elderly.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

punk rebel ecks posted:

The issue is having a workforce and general society to support the elderly.

That's more of a distribution problem in modern industrial society, but yeah sure if you want to care for the elderly and also make sure Bezos and Musk have a few trillion in play money to launch yachts to the moon then yeah I guess you would need a massive force of exploited wage slaves

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.

VitalSigns posted:

That's more of a distribution problem in modern industrial society, but yeah sure if you want to care for the elderly and also make sure Bezos and Musk have a few trillion in play money to launch yachts to the moon then yeah I guess you would need a massive force of exploited wage slaves

Quoting Galeano again:

quote:

Los dispositivos intrauterinos compiten con las bombas y la metralla, en el sudeste asiático, en el esfuerzo por detener el crecimiento de la población de Vietnam. En América Latina resulta más higiénico y eficaz matar a los guerrilleros en los úteros que en las sierras o en las calles.

IUDs compete with bombs and machine guns in Southeast Asia in the effort to stop population growth in Vietnam. In Latin America it's cleaner and more efficient to kill guerrillas in the womb than in the mountains and the streets.

Galeano argues that a larger population of young proletariats heightens the chance of revolution, as opposed to nations full of people too old to fight or lose what they have.

If we look at developed countries and their graying populations, can we say the historical trend suggests they are more likely to overthrow capital, if at all?

America Inc. fucked around with this message at 21:36 on Jan 10, 2022

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

VitalSigns posted:

That's more of a distribution problem in modern industrial society, but yeah sure if you want to care for the elderly and also make sure Bezos and Musk have a few trillion in play money to launch yachts to the moon then yeah I guess you would need a massive force of exploited wage slaves
Or robot caretakers for the elderly?

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.
Another conclusion you could draw from what I've been saying is that for Latin America, the time for revolution is now or never, because in between climate change and demographic decline it's only going to get harder to defeat capital.

E: it doesn't escape me that I'm essentially arguing Third Worldism

America Inc. fucked around with this message at 23:06 on Jan 10, 2022

Zedhe Khoja
Nov 10, 2017

sürgünden selamlar
yıkıcılar ulusuna

Grouchio posted:

Or robot caretakers for the elderly?

https://youtu.be/j4IFNKYmLa8

Peaceful Anarchy
Sep 18, 2005
sXe
I am the math man.

proletariando posted:

Quoting Galeano again:

Galeano argues that a larger population of young proletariats heightens the chance of revolution, as opposed to nations full of people too old to fight or lose what they have.

If we look at developed countries and their graying populations, can we say the historical trend suggests they are more likely to overthrow capital, if at all?
Africa has a gigantic population of young proletariat. Are they showing the revolution you expect?

Pursuing the mid 20th century conception of growth at the expense of the earth and society is just as nearsighted and harmful whether it comes from capitalistic ideals or socialist ideals.

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.

Peaceful Anarchy posted:

Africa has a gigantic population of young proletariat. Are they showing the revolution you expect?

Pursuing the mid 20th century conception of growth at the expense of the earth and society is just as nearsighted and harmful whether it comes from capitalistic ideals or socialist ideals.

Fair enough, with climate change it's probably best to avoid increasing population in general. As I said before though, the demographic decline adds an extra reason for urgency.

punk rebel ecks
Dec 11, 2010

A shitty post? This calls for a dance of deduction.

proletariando posted:

Fair enough, with climate change it's probably best to avoid increasing population in general. As I said before though, the demographic decline adds an extra reason for urgency.

I mean climate change and population aren't as linked as you think they are. The Earth could easily handle more people. There are easily enough resources to feed, house, and power the world. The issue boils down to how those resources are distributed and what energy is used to run those resources. Declining populations will help, but not in a world where humans keep thinking of dumb ways to increase energy output in the worst ways possible. Like continuing to use more and more oil in order to power NFT servers.

Cup Runneth Over
Aug 8, 2009

She said life's
Too short to worry
Life's too long to wait
It's too short
Not to love everybody
Life's too long to hate


punk rebel ecks posted:

Underpopulation is something the entire world outside of Africa and South Asia will suffer from during the latter half of the twenty-first century.

It will be especially interesting to see how far these "gently caress off we're full!" types will be pushed as their nation's self-extinct themselves.

Self-extinct? More like the globalists enacting the Great Replacement! Miscegenation caused this!!! I'm going to take my anger out on some black people, with my gun :argh:

There's your vision of the future.

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose
CUBA: ...
RUSSIA: https://twitter.com/AP/status/1481602625586008067

Cicero
Dec 17, 2003

Jumpjet, melta, jumpjet. Repeat for ten minutes or until victory is assured.

Grouchio posted:

I wouldn't say Japan is going to self-extinct itself. Rather it's population growth will stagnate and decline a little until it breaks even again, in a few decades (without immigration). Then it's truly stable.
Will stagnate and decline a little? Japan's population has already started declining.

Also, to break even again would require birthrates to rise significantly, right? I don't think that'll just happen by itself, you'd need policy or cultural changes.

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.

Cicero posted:

Will stagnate and decline a little? Japan's population has already started declining.

Also, to break even again would require birthrates to rise significantly, right? I don't think that'll just happen by itself, you'd need policy or cultural changes.

And continuing to ask the question of why the young people who have no money, no stability, and no hope aren't having kids, and refusing to listen to the answers.

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

proletariando posted:

Quoting Galeano again:

Galeano argues that a larger population of young proletariats heightens the chance of revolution, as opposed to nations full of people too old to fight or lose what they have.

If we look at developed countries and their graying populations, can we say the historical trend suggests they are more likely to overthrow capital, if at all?

This assumes that the current generations will automatically inherit more stable and secure living situations as they age, of course. Part of the problem with the modern gerontocracy is that it's pulling up the ladder after itself.

Nucleic Acids
Apr 10, 2007

If the Cubans and Venezuelans accept who could blame them?

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose

Nucleic Acids posted:

If the Cubans and Venezuelans accept who could blame them?

I don't think the Cubans actually want this, is my point.

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.

I doubt this is a surprise the Russians just threw on Cuba and Venezuela, they've probably talked about this before. It seems like Russia's overextending too much though, they're already in Ukraine and Tajikistan never mind a deployment on the other side of the planet.

E: now that I think about it, if we look at China and its ability to build alliances and infrastructure from Africa to Central Asia to Latam without aggression vs Russia's aggressive, military-dependent strategy I get the impression that Russia is in a bad position and this aggression is coming from weakness. If it weren't for Russia's military what hard or soft power would they have? But that's a different topic.

America Inc. fucked around with this message at 22:21 on Jan 14, 2022

SlothfulCobra
Mar 27, 2011

I think it's just Russia threatening to redo the Cuban Missile Crisis to get countries off of its back for its preparation to invade Ukraine again.

I don't imagine stationing troops would do Cuba or Venezuela any favors. Might do Ukraine some favors to have some lesser amount of Russian troops on its borders ready to invade.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

proletariando posted:

I doubt this is a surprise the Russians just threw on Cuba and Venezuela, they've probably talked about this before. It seems like Russia's overextending too much though, they're already in Ukraine and Tajikistan never mind a deployment on the other side of the planet.

If we're talking about naval bases, they have had one in Tartus, Syria forever now. And I suppose that would be a good selling point to some governments, given how much Russia helped Assad... (still it would be overextending, but then Russia needs overseas bases to be a serious global sea power which Russia is destined to be :peterthegreatcry:

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose

proletariando posted:

I doubt this is a surprise the Russians just threw on Cuba and Venezuela, they've probably talked about this before.

Except it wouldn't make any sense for Cuba to agree to this, given that most Americans outside of Florida don't really give a poo poo about them and even the part of the Cuban exile community that does care is aging out of relevance. The only thing Russian troops in Cuba would do is needlessly annoy the US without giving Cuba itself any actual benefits because it isn't as if Putin's going to send boatloads of foreign aid money with his little green men.

Grammarchist
Jan 28, 2013

I admit, it'd be pretty on point for 2022 to begin with a reprise of the Cuban Missile Crisis that promptly concludes when the Admiral Kuznetsov sails into the Caribbean and explodes of its own accord.

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

Grammarchist posted:

I admit, it'd be pretty on point for 2022 to begin with a reprise of the Cuban Missile Crisis that promptly concludes when the Admiral Kuznetsov sails into the Caribbean and explodes of its own accord.



The kuznetsov explodes and crashes into a US destroyer sparking ww3 on the pretext that Russia tired to break the blockade. The comedy option

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.
A race to see whose boats can explode first.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply