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mobby_6kl posted:I'm not saying Russia is involved in these protests but... They'd have to be stupid not to be. It's a great way to back up their claims about how everything sucks unlike in Russia. That's exactly the logic Russia applies to its domestic protests. Must be Americans, they are exploiting our real issues to sow discord. People protest, you know. And in Ukraine, thanks to two successful governmental changes through protest in the last 20 years, it's something people understandably rely on to try to get what they want in a country that is almost as mired with corruption as Russia (see recent Corruption Perception Index).
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Jan 25, 2022 21:05
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cinci zoo sniper posted:https://www.lsm.lv/raksts/zinas/arzemes/ukraina-zino-par-krievijas-veidotas-diversantu-grupas-likvidesanu.a440499/ Same event, I think: https://mobile.twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1485953379671199747?cxt=HHwWhsC-wbqulZ8pAAAA
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Jan 25, 2022 21:07
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Discendo Vox posted:Eastern Europe: Olivier's offensive Eastern Europe: Olivier's sphere of influence imho works better than either of those.
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Jan 25, 2022 21:08
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OddObserver posted:Same event, I think: I think you’re right, indeed.
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Jan 25, 2022 21:21
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surf rock posted:It seems like he's arguing, "China is the actual long-term threat to the American/EU global hegemony... It's callous. But it's not wrong. Russia is not and has not been a peer rival to the American Empire since the collapse of the USSR. China however is a direct threat to American Hegemony, and will certainly eclipse it in the coming decades.
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Jan 25, 2022 21:24
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Gunthen posted:and will certainly eclipse it in the coming decades. Not a certainty at all. China's demographic crisis + the extent to which China is vulnerable to climate catastrophe alone are enough to put this assertion very much in doubt.
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Jan 25, 2022 22:06
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Tuna-Fish posted:Eastern Europe: Olivier's sphere of influence w2g! I'm happy to be part of a long tradition of thread title names in here.
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Jan 25, 2022 22:16
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https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1486067716498808841
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Jan 25, 2022 23:00
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https://www.reuters.com/article/ukraine-crisis-russia-gas-idUKKBN2JY17G quote:MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russia has been a reliable energy supplier to Europe even at difficult times in relations, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Monday, calling reports in British media that Moscow may cut supplies in case of sanctions “fake hysteria”. Edit: Hot on heels: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jan/25/us-europe-russia-gas-supplies-energy quote:
cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 23:11 on Jan 25, 2022 |
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Jan 25, 2022 23:07
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How are u posted:Not a certainty at all. China's demographic crisis + the extent to which China is vulnerable to climate catastrophe alone are enough to put this assertion very much in doubt. All the talk of a Chinese century seems to completely ignore this. By 2100 the Chinese population is projected to have shrunk by 26% compared to today, vs the US population increasing by 31%. With all the attendant economic issues of a rapidly aging population in China - worker:retired ratios, deflation etc Thats going to put a pretty big dent in the Chinese economic catch-up. Theres a very real chance it manages to reach the demographic collapse stage of development thats now facing most of Europe before it gets rich.
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Jan 25, 2022 23:22
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This is from few pages back, but in my specific social bubble, the opinions on Russians are mixed, mostly bad. The older people are still very much  about 1968 and the subsequent occupation, for the younger ones their experience with people who are obviously Russian (as opposed to the guy who speaks local language without accent and lives here and is technically a Russian, but you can't tell without asking him, so why even think about it) are from the rich tourist kids causing poo poo in Prague (pre-covid).Basically if you don't go out of your way to have your prejudices challenged, it is really easy to see the negative examples that confirm them. 
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Jan 25, 2022 23:25
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cinci zoo sniper posted:https://www.reuters.com/article/ukraine-crisis-russia-gas-idUKKBN2JY17G no funny business here US proves once again that it cares about the people of Europe
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Jan 25, 2022 23:32
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Regarde Aduck posted:no funny business here
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Jan 26, 2022 00:05
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I promise to nuke America if Biden personally assassinates Putin. You've been warned, Joe.
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Jan 26, 2022 00:30
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Paladinus posted:I promise to nuke America if Biden personally assassinates Putin. You've been warned, Joe. Putin's got dead hand connected to his vital signs alone. No other conditions are measured. As soon as he strokes out the planet's gone. Yeah, wouldn't put it past him.
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Jan 26, 2022 00:57
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I wonder where the US secured European gas from Texas oilmen or shale boys?
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Jan 26, 2022 01:47
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:I wonder where the US secured European gas from There isn't any. It's a bluff. There is literally zero LNG spare capacity. It's also telling they duck Russia equally gigantic crude and oil products exports. They're terrified of oil and gas prices going up.
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Jan 26, 2022 02:03
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Brogeoisie posted:There isn't any. It's a bluff. There is literally zero LNG spare capacity. It's also telling they duck Russia equally gigantic crude and oil products exports. They're terrified of oil and gas prices going up. Do you have source for this assertion? e: not that I don't think that the US might not be able to cover 100% what the administration is saying they can cover, but "it's a bluff" and "there is literally zero" seem like they'd be pretty obvious and reported on. How are u fucked around with this message at 02:17 on Jan 26, 2022 |
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Jan 26, 2022 02:12
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Blut posted:All the talk of a Chinese century seems to completely ignore this. By 2100 the Chinese population is projected to have shrunk by 26% compared to today, vs the US population increasing by 31%. With all the attendant economic issues of a rapidly aging population in China - worker:retired ratios, deflation etc Xi Jinping's dumb rear end also introduced the fun element of succession instability when he got rid of term limits and turned himself into a strongman.
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Jan 26, 2022 02:38
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Brogeoisie posted:There isn't any. It's a bluff. There is literally zero LNG spare capacity. It's also telling they duck Russia equally gigantic crude and oil products exports. They're terrified of oil and gas prices going up. I don't think that's true, especially since the US has been rapidly ramping up LNG capacity and export https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/d...0.4%20Bcf%2Fd). I have no doubt LNG exports are tight, but there is some capacity. CommieGIR fucked around with this message at 02:50 on Jan 26, 2022 |
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Jan 26, 2022 02:44
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Orthanc6 posted:Putin's got dead hand connected to his vital signs alone. No other conditions are measured. As soon as he strokes out the planet's gone.
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Jan 26, 2022 02:49
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Grouchio posted:Get off the clancy poo poo. Putin isn't taking the world with him. He wants a russia to still exist after him. He respects MAD. I doubt the Dead Hand still exists, if it ever was operational. It was a joke Grouchio
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Jan 26, 2022 03:03
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How are u posted:Not a certainty at all. China's demographic crisis + the extent to which China is vulnerable to climate catastrophe alone are enough to put this assertion very much in doubt. America's going to be lucky if it hasn't fallen apart in 20 years bud.
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Jan 26, 2022 04:46
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Gunthen posted:America's going to be lucky if it hasn't fallen apart in 20 years bud. China will whatabout itself to the top.
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Jan 26, 2022 05:19
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Grouchio posted:Get off the clancy poo poo. Putin isn't taking the world with him. He wants a russia to still exist after him. He respects MAD. I doubt the Dead Hand still exists, if it ever was operational. I was being satirical, but apologies if it wasn't clear. The world has been real wacky these last few years so I get how a nonsensical suggestion could be mistaken as actual opinion. Dead hand is unnecessary, the nuclear triad exists to make sure retaliatory strikes are guaranteed, so anyone actually concerned about a Dead Hand setup is just riling up fear for something that is moot. M.A.D. has been fully established for decades, any other tech threatening to destroy the world is just superfluous.
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Jan 26, 2022 05:47
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:I wonder where the US secured European gas from It’s American and Qatari gas, but the supply is constrained due to existing contracts with Asia. Even if it wouldn’t, Russia gas exports into Europe exceed total LNG output or Qatar and U.S. combined by ~15%.
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Jan 26, 2022 09:22
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https://mobile.twitter.com/lotareva3/status/1485941471064866817
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Jan 26, 2022 10:39
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This is an extremely good article if you want a single source explanation of how we got here, what's going on, and what might happen: What a Week of Talks Between Russia and the West Revealed I really rate Dimitri Trenin, there's aren't many commentators around who have taught at military academies on both sides.
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Jan 26, 2022 11:47
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Notice how it doesn't say that he was killed by stray dogs. People getting drunk and dying after passing out in the snow is pretty common occurence in northern countries. Veterans being alcoholic/depressed/suicidal isn't that uncommon either.
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Jan 26, 2022 11:55
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BoldFace posted:Notice how it doesn't say that he was killed by stray dogs. People getting drunk and dying after passing out in the snow is pretty common occurence in northern countries. Veterans being alcoholic/depressed/suicidal isn't that uncommon either. it doesn't say that he was killed by stray dogs because it's his daughter who was killed by stray dogs google translate does have its limitations re the news itself, это конечно пиздец полнейший
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Jan 26, 2022 11:58
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nurmie posted:it doesn't say that he was killed by stray dogs because it's his daughter who was killed by stray dogs Well, drat. gently caress the dogs then, I guess.
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Jan 26, 2022 12:04
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Alchenar posted:This is an extremely good article if you want a single source explanation of how we got here, what's going on, and what might happen: What a Week of Talks Between Russia and the West Revealed That was a decent read, cheers. It has a Russian version as well, if fellow locals want to skim it quicker.
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Jan 26, 2022 12:11
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BoldFace posted:Well, drat. gently caress the dogs then, I guess. It's more of a systematic issue where everything outside 3-4 cities is a third world country without basic necessities for a civilized life. Recall the filming of Navalny's assassin's lovely tenement that he got from the state for his service Edit: it's also probably why Putin will not let Ukraine develop economically by any means necessary - a free state with elections and an increasing quality of life like with Bulgaria or Romania would have Russians asking what's keeping Russia from having the same Somaen fucked around with this message at 13:48 on Jan 26, 2022 |
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Jan 26, 2022 13:10
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It’s for real you guys honest the Russians will invade at the exact time and place we expect them to https://twitter.com/afp/status/1486351699237289990?s=21
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Jan 26, 2022 16:16
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Al-Saqr posted:It’s for real you guys honest the Russians will invade at the exact time and place we expect them to They are basing the timeline on the fact that Russian forces are largely done positions and they already have people in Ukraine mapping terrain for manuevering.
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Jan 26, 2022 16:25
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Al-Saqr posted:It’s for real you guys honest the Russians will invade at the exact time and place we expect them to As somebody who posts a lot about dictators, you probably shouldn't be surprised if they act without subtlety.
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Jan 26, 2022 17:00
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https://twitter.com/FirstSquawk/status/1486365717905932290
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Jan 26, 2022 17:05
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steinrokkan posted:As somebody who posts a lot about dictators, you probably shouldn't be surprised if they act without subtlety. You're right. I'll just be really shocked if Putin does EXACTLY the thing everyone said he'll do weeks in advance, for example the Georgian war Russia caught Sakashvili by surprise. I dunno. It seems really odd to give your enemy so much time to prepare and it seems so far the Ukrainians are keeping a remarkably cool head compared to other people in similar situations.
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Jan 26, 2022 17:06
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Al-Saqr posted:You're right. I'll just be really shocked if Putin does EXACTLY the thing everyone said he'll do weeks in advance, for example the Georgian war Russia caught Sakashvili by surprise. I dunno. It seems really odd to give your enemy so much time to prepare and it seems so far the Ukrainians are keeping a remarkably cool head compared to other people in similar situations. I think it’s worth noting here that “use of military force” is a rather broad term. For instance, it’s somewhat unlikely that the currently nearby Russian forces are capable of occupying the entirety of Ukraine. At the same time, we could see totally “separatists” push through Mariupol’ to connect to Crimea, or a cyber warfare campaign that cripple Ukrainian energy grid, or totally “Ukrainian army” gassing a village in the territory held by separatists. I don’t think interpreting that tweet in some way other than “act aggressively enough to cause direct damage” is particularly useful yet.
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Jan 26, 2022 17:12
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Al-Saqr posted:You're right. I'll just be really shocked if Putin does EXACTLY the thing everyone said he'll do weeks in advance, for example the Georgian war Russia caught Sakashvili by surprise. I dunno. It seems really odd to give your enemy so much time to prepare and it seems so far the Ukrainians are keeping a remarkably cool head compared to other people in similar situations. Doesn't mean those positioned troops will move immediately or ever, of course. And as for keeping cool.. What else can they do?
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Jan 26, 2022 17:15
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