Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
goddamnedtwisto
Dec 31, 2004

If you ask me about the mole people in the London Underground, I WILL be forced to kill you
Fun Shoe

Barry Foster posted:

There's what??? Bagsy, gently caress off, mine

Wait till you find out about this lovely shiny cloth they've got over there. Don't ask where it comes from though. I mean literally don't ask, the Emperor will have you tortured to death if you try and find out how they make it.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Barry Foster
Dec 24, 2007

What is going wrong with that one (face is longer than it should be)

goddamnedtwisto posted:

Wait till you find out about this lovely shiny cloth they've got over there. Don't ask where it comes from though. I mean literally don't ask, the Emperor will have you tortured to death if you try and find out how they make it.

I already know that's worm turds, I have no interest in wearing literal poo poo, ugh

Desiderata
May 25, 2005
Go placidly amid the noise and haste...

Dabir posted:

It's not western propaganda to say that Russia is not under military threat from NATO, a military alliance. NATO probably does outmatch Russia militarily, but that's kind of irrelevant when any shooting war between the two would result in the planet being turned into a hot, glowing marble.

It's not western propaganda to say that Putin and his top guys definitely know this. The Russian people might not, but Russia is a dictatorship with state controlled media, so what its people believe is informed by, rather than a factor in, what its leaders want to do. The people in Russia whose opinions get to count are under no illusions that NATO is a military threat to them.

Therefore, Russia's actions are not motivated by fear of NATO. But they say they are. This is a lie, told to justify indefensible actions and sway credulous people to the support of Russia. Where I come from, we do call that propaganda.

The individuals involved do not need to be physically quaking in their boots, nor machiavellian manipulators of the highest order. They are both smart, and human like you and I. Structurally at this scale in both time and geography, it makes no difference, they are part of a very long game.

See for example the mutual misunderstanding of intentions in the Cold War (seriously look at how wrong and panicked the finest minds of both sides were about the others plans, let alone goals), or more recently the United States wild lashing out after 9/11 immediately undermining itself with the last two decades of back to back defeats in the middle east or... basically all international politics since the beginning of recorded history.

Russia as a country knows who NATO are designed to defend against (hint, it is them), and have seen the last hundred years of politics in continental europe play out. They would be dumb and bad at the game if they were not afraid of Nato, if not what they do today then what nato or its decedents may do in the future. In the exact same way the USA is very obviously scared of rising China, or here Russia unfucking itself and regaining status etc.

That understanding helps you understand their actions at scale, even if you personally see them as your enemy, you should understand them right? All the better to defeat them. Rather than telling yourself they can only be responding rationally within timelines and data clipped to only to whenever our media noticed the issue, because hell knows we don't act rationally on the international stage either.

The best way to lie is to not tell an untruth, but to choose where the story starts and ends, then omit major details, and more importantly perspectives. That way you can make anyone a hero or a villain, and feel morally justified in whatever action you want. But that won't let you necessarily understand something, or why something happened, or what people wanted, or what to do in the future.

kecske
Feb 28, 2011

it's round, like always


this phrase along with the cry-laughing emoji make me inexplicably angry. maybe I have terminal twitter poisoning

NotJustANumber99
Feb 15, 2012

somehow that last av was even worse than your posting
Take the p instead

fuctifino
Jun 11, 2001

https://twitter.com/Agitate4Change/status/1492567967288205317

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Not So Fast posted:

My point is that NATO is just the latest expression for driving up arms sales and causing intra-imperialist conflicts. Unless European states all became socialist they would still have to find some way to create and exploit capital for that sector.

So you're saying that if we lived in a utopia then some things might be better? Now there's a thought.

Barry Foster
Dec 24, 2007

What is going wrong with that one (face is longer than it should be)

lol

Dabir
Nov 10, 2012

Desiderata posted:

The individuals involved do not need to be physically quaking in their boots, nor machiavellian manipulators of the highest order. They are both smart, and human like you and I. Structurally at this scale in both time and geography, it makes no difference, they are part of a very long game.

See for example the mutual misunderstanding of intentions in the Cold War (seriously look at how wrong and panicked the finest minds of both sides were about the others plans, let alone goals), or more recently the United States wild lashing out after 9/11 immediately undermining itself with the last two decades of back to back defeats in the middle east or... basically all international politics since the beginning of recorded history.

Russia as a country knows who NATO are designed to defend against (hint, it is them), and have seen the last hundred years of politics in continental europe play out. They would be dumb and bad at the game if they were not afraid of Nato, if not what they do today then what nato or its decedents may do in the future. In the exact same way the USA is very obviously scared of rising China, or here Russia unfucking itself and regaining status etc.

That understanding helps you understand their actions at scale, even if you personally see them as your enemy, you should understand them right? All the better to defeat them. Rather than telling yourself they can only be responding rationally within timelines and data clipped to only to whenever our media noticed the issue, because hell knows we don't act rationally on the international stage either.

The best way to lie is to not tell an untruth, but to choose where the story starts and ends, then omit major details, and more importantly perspectives. That way you can make anyone a hero or a villain, and feel morally justified in whatever action you want. But that won't let you necessarily understand something, or why something happened, or what people wanted, or what to do in the future.

What are they afraid of NATO doing?

smellmycheese
Feb 1, 2016

https://twitter.com/ShippersUnbound/status/1492570162696007683

Now then now then guys and gals

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

kecske posted:

this phrase along with the cry-laughing emoji make me inexplicably angry.

Microplastics
Jul 6, 2007

:discourse:
It's what's for dinner.

kecske posted:

this phrase along with the cry-laughing emoji make me inexplicably angry. maybe I have terminal twitter poisoning

Same. Where does "take the L" come from anyway, please tell me so I can hate it at the source

Desiderata
May 25, 2005
Go placidly amid the noise and haste...

Dabir posted:

What are they afraid of NATO doing?

Uniting the entire productive capacity of Eastern Europe against them under the EU within a military umbrella, rolling up their sphere of influence till they are isolated and have NATO up against their border, limiting their access to international trade and maritime influence (both the port in this instance and more), ensuring that their status and thus say in the world order continues to decline, ending them as a global power till they cannot even resist anymore and collapse (again), nuclear weapons or no.

You know, basically the same with the USAs worries about Chinas influence in Asia/Africa.

But that's what dying empires look like, right? I mean on these timescales, today yes totally it may seem hilariously impossible to imagine a nato invasion: but the neurosis brought on by having twice now had to fight European invasions to a standstill at and through your capital's gates is something that sticks in the cultural mythos, also that other time being involved in a war on their western border partially precipitated a civil war in which western Europeans marched armies inside their borders yet again, all probably left a bit of a long term cultural impact ya know. This is the kind of stuff still motivates at these timescales. All declines and rises, are step by step. Hell look at British dead empire cultural neurosis still play out badly on the international stage (it is funnier, but only because we are truly much less powerful).

Isomermaid
Dec 3, 2019

Swish swish, like a fish

JeremoudCorbynejad posted:

Same. Where does "take the L" come from anyway, please tell me so I can hate it at the source

Sports, innit. L for a loss, W for a win

kingturnip
Apr 18, 2008
It's a sports thing. NFL maybe?

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
What about a draw? I'm assuming that people don't say "take the D" (in that sense :pervert:)

Dabir
Nov 10, 2012

Desiderata posted:

Uniting the entire productive capacity of Eastern Europe against them under the EU within a military umbrella, rolling up their sphere of influence till they are isolated and have NATO up against their border, limiting their access to international trade and maritime influence (both the port in this instance and more), ensuring that their status and thus say in the world order continues to decline, ending them as a global power till they cannot even resist anymore and collapse (again), nuclear weapons or no.

You know, basically the same with the USAs worries about Chinas influence in Asia/Africa.

But that's what dying empires look like, right? I mean on these timescales, today yes totally it may seem hilariously impossible to imagine a nato invasion: but the neurosis brought on by having twice now had to fight European invasions to a standstill at and through your capital's gates is something that sticks in the cultural mythos, also that other time being involved in a war on their western border partially precipitated a civil war in which western Europeans marched armies inside their borders yet again, all probably left a bit of a long term cultural impact ya know. This is the kind of stuff still motivates at these timescales. All declines and rises, are step by step. Hell look at British dead empire cultural neurosis still play out badly on the international stage (it is funnier, but only because we are truly much less powerful).

Sounds like they're afraid of the consequences of their own actions, then. The military actions. The ones they're doing to their neighbours. The neighbours who are suddenly very keen to join a military defense pact.

sebzilla
Mar 17, 2009

Kid's blasting everything in sight with that new-fangled musket.


https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1492590302540058627?t=V_u2bNoxxM5FmvEXvvWQPA&s=19

mediaphage
Mar 22, 2007

Excuse me, pardon me, sheer perfection coming through

lol i do not believe it

fuctifino
Jun 11, 2001

If that 3 was a 5, they'd be over 20 points ahead.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
https://twitter.com/chriscurtis94/status/1492551340660248579

I'd be interested to know what exactly they're paying attention to.

NotJustANumber99
Feb 15, 2012

somehow that last av was even worse than your posting
Russia are the badies. They cheat at everything.

Julio Cruz
May 19, 2006

Guavanaut posted:

What about a draw? I'm assuming that people don't say "take the D" (in that sense :pervert:)

lol if you think Americans can accept the idea of sports ending in a draw

mediaphage
Mar 22, 2007

Excuse me, pardon me, sheer perfection coming through

Guavanaut posted:

https://twitter.com/chriscurtis94/status/1492551340660248579

I'd be interested to know what exactly they're paying attention to.

plenty of twitter types who profess to be hardcore labourites and love keith and poo poo, i'm sure

Desiderata
May 25, 2005
Go placidly amid the noise and haste...

Dabir posted:

Sounds like they're afraid of the consequences of their own actions, then. The military actions. The ones they're doing to their neighbours. The neighbours who are suddenly very keen to join a military defense pact.

Like I said, you can decide when a story starts and ends and use that to tell any story you want in terms of heroes villains and moral consequence. You can feel righteous about it if that comforts you. It's not going to help you understand what is happening and why, other than how those stories can be used to move people. That is why history is terrible consequence after terrible consequence.

But it is why you should take their fear seriously, it is as real a motivator as you can have.

Jaeluni Asjil
Apr 18, 2018

Sorry I thought you were a landlord when I gave you your old avatar!

Wonder how much Starmer's Labour TM will spaff up the wall investigating who leaked the report into the leaked report?

Hobo
Dec 12, 2007

Forum bum
The biggest driver of states joining NATO are Russia’s actions that make said states afraid that they will get invaded unless said invasion would result in the US and most of Europe coming to their defence because of a treaty obligation.

Like you can make all these arguments about US imperialism and hegemony, but the US does all that without NATO involvement, the most prominent recent example being France and Germany refusing to back the Iraq invasion, so it’s a bit of a fundamental misunderstanding of the purpose of NATO to make all these arguments about where the escalation is coming from. Russia is threatened by NATO because it means that any aggressive military action against smaller countries might cause massive retaliation to Russia, which is the entire point of a defensive alliance.

If Russia doesn’t want countries to join NATO, then maybe they should stop invading multiple neighbours. This is like saying that burglars are threatened by the expansion of the neighbourhood watch.

And before you go onto some “well NATO could attack first” - one, that’s not how the treaty works, two, most of the newer members of NATO would be against it since it would mean they would be the first to get flattened, and three, if you think the US would do it anyway, then at least realise that they would do it without NATO anyway.

goddamnedtwisto
Dec 31, 2004

If you ask me about the mole people in the London Underground, I WILL be forced to kill you
Fun Shoe

Julio Cruz posted:

lol if you think Americans can accept the idea of sports ending in a draw

I went to an NFL game (pre-season game, not one of the modern NFL London things) at Wembley in the 90s that ended in a draw, and I always wondered if they had caught something from the venue.

JoylessJester
Sep 13, 2012

Desiderata posted:

Like I said, you can decide when a story starts and ends and use that to tell any story you want in terms of heroes villains and moral consequence. You can feel righteous about it if that comforts you. It's not going to help you understand what is happening and why, other than how those stories can be used to move people. That is why history is terrible consequence after terrible consequence.

But it is why you should take their fear seriously, it is as real a motivator as you can have.

I think I compared this to Iran else where. You can condemn Iran for trying to develop Nuclear weapons, but from their perspective it's 100% a rational action. Iraq gave up WMDs- they get invaded. Libya gives up it's WMD programme and gets invaded. Syria- kept it's chemical weapons and survived. Iran does a deal with US, and the US immediately tears it up and starts assassinating top generals and scientists. North Korea gets nukes, they get a face to face negotiations with the US President.

In Russia's case no nation has ever willingly allowed itself to be surrounded by a economic or military pact expressly targeting itself or sat by and allowed it's own sphere to be shrunk. (See the US in central or South America for example) The US/Nato expressly agreed they wouldn't expand into former Warsaw/Soviet bloc countries. They did. In this context Russia's actions make sense, it doesn't make those actions good, right or just. But their not completely insane or stupid from a self preservation point of view.

JoylessJester fucked around with this message at 22:20 on Feb 12, 2022

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

One might suggest that a more effective way to avoid that outcome would be something like the belt and road initiative rather than annexing bits of your neighbours.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa
I thought the purpose of Brexit was that Eastern Europe discussions wouldn't enter the UK thread :thunk:

JoylessJester
Sep 13, 2012

Nenonen posted:

I thought the purpose of Brexit was that Eastern Europe discussions wouldn't enter the UK thread :thunk:

The UK currently has troops helping Poland commit crimes against refugees trying to enter the EU. So I'm just as confused as you.

jaete
Jun 21, 2009


Nap Ghost

Prole posted:

Whatever your opinions on Russia and it's government - and I have absolutely no love for Putin - you can't help but see their point when you look into the history of this whole mess. Why *wouldn't* they mobilise troops on their own border given the circumstances? That's surely a totally legitimate thing for a nation to do?

Oh goddamnit. And you were doing so well too

And here's another:

Failed Imagineer posted:

On the one hand, someone made the point that the continuous state of civil war in Ukraine totally justifies Russian border militarisation

Russia fighting a "civil" war inside Ukraine, for years, totally justifies Russia further militarising the border? Yeah, good logic there :jerkbag:

Why do people have such idiotic opinions on Russia? How does Putin get to you all? Seriously, how the gently caress are people always defending and "understanding" that fascist oval office?

Both Trump etc AND Putin are poo poo and bad and gently caress them. How is any of this hard?

Gorn Myson
Aug 8, 2007






imo we need to do a pre-emptive humanitarian nuclear strike on Moscow. If you disagree with me on this then you're a Putin apologist and want to hold him tightly and whisper sweet nothings in his ear.

Dabir
Nov 10, 2012

JoylessJester posted:

I think I compared this to Iran else where. You can condemn Iran for trying to develop Nuclear weapons, but from their perspective it's 100% a rational action. Iraq gave up WMDs- they get invaded. Libya gives up it's WMD programme and gets invaded. Syria- kept it's chemical weapons and survived. Iran does a deal with US, and the US immediately tears it up and starts assassinating top generals and scientists. North Korea gets nukes, they get a face to face negotiations with the US President.

I'll condemn them when they start using the implied threat of nuclear armageddon to keep the rest of the world at arm's length while they invade and conquer their neighbours. Like Russia is doing, right now.

Desiderata
May 25, 2005
Go placidly amid the noise and haste...

OwlFancier posted:

One might suggest that a more effective way to avoid that outcome would be something like the belt and road initiative rather than annexing bits of your neighbours.

Yeah, if they could afford to, again woes of a waning empire. This is where the softpower stuff is always at work though, being civil and "normal" atleast is various western NGOs wandering in telling you what is or isn't a "good election", western money creeping into your politics covertly/intentionally or not (it hardly matters) and with it influence and power, and accidental or intentional cultural and economic ploys to bend your neighbors out of your orbit. NED gonna NED. You can definitely make the argument there: that Russia has utterly failed to play that game well, and has lost that part of its grip because of being financially crippled and unable to make the same soft power offers the west has (strangely in part because of the damage caused by that very same shock market liberalism). But that is what has happened, what they see as their border buffer has been slowly eaten away. The neighborhood is being turned against you anyway in Hobos analogy. This falling back to the sword is just the last step in a long creeping economic advance towards them, one they have been unable to stem (and we would have equally called unjust if they did). Nato membership is more a signifier of the final step of the contagion (from their pov here), than the sole force itself pushing inwards, chewing away at their influence. The force is as much the EU, US, a million NGOs or being plugged into European manufacturing and supply lines and vague western neoliberalism etc.

The west is very good at economic infiltration and can fully turn to the sword just as quickly if we think it will get the job done. From that point of view, they must feel like we just bribe everyone around them... and we kinda do, successfully. We equally feel nervous about China putting their economic excess to use like you say. We offer a good package, but if you want the full benefits, you gotta be in the club, and yeah any country caught between these two opposing forces is having choose. But we the west have been at work here, it is not something that just happened, and Russia notice that because they are not fools.

Playing around the edge of the old ruined empire is dangerous, you never know what you may trigger, hence this.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


jaete posted:

Oh goddamnit. And you were doing so well too

And here's another:

Russia fighting a "civil" war inside Ukraine, for years, totally justifies Russia further militarising the border? Yeah, good logic there :jerkbag:

Why do people have such idiotic opinions on Russia? How does Putin get to you all? Seriously, how the gently caress are people always defending and "understanding" that fascist oval office?

Both Trump etc AND Putin are poo poo and bad and gently caress them. How is any of this hard?

People can understand why Russia are deeply distrustful of NATO expansion without it actually being a defence of Putin the human being or an endorsement of his policies, domestic or international. Hope that helps.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

forkboy84 posted:

People can understand why Russia are deeply distrustful of NATO expansion without it actually being a defence of Putin the human being or an endorsement of his policies, domestic or international. Hope that helps.

Likewise people can understand why the neighbours of Russia are deeply distrustful of Russia's expansionism without it actually being a defence of western imperialism. So I guess there is zero difference between NATO expansion and Russian invasion.

Jel Shaker
Apr 19, 2003

it’s a shame that corbyn didn’t win because i am curious which colour they would have used for our own little colour revolution (probably blue lol)

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

bump_fn
Apr 12, 2004

two of them
poo-tin

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply