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What is the strongest bug?
This poll is closed.
Praying mantis 91 21.06%
🐜 71 16.44%
🦂 56 12.96%
🕷 46 10.65%
🦎 101 23.38%
Centipede 67 15.51%
Total: 432 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

A Buttery Pastry posted:

Russia initially invaded Ukraine over the populace overthrowing their president because he decided to suspend a move towards EU integration, in favor of integration with Russia. How does refusing Ukraine's candidacy for NATO membership do anything to change that part of the conflict? The material reason for Putin wanting Ukraine to remain a lovely version of Russia has not changed.

Also, the current Ukrainian president literally asked Biden to just give a clear yes or no on the question of NATO MAP. Which like, yeah, means the US could've done far better diplomacy, but it hardly justifies any Russian action in Ukraine.

Russia doesn't have to justify its own strategic interests. The second you start moralizing the problem you're misinterpreting it, and that's also why there's such massive support for our terrible foreign policy wrt Ukraine.

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yellowcar
Feb 14, 2010

if you think about it, this is basically kosovo all over again except this time the roles are reversed on the west and 1999 and 2008 coming back to bite the US in the rear end

the '99 war basically set precedent for "humanitarian intervention" without UNSC authorization and 2008 set precedent for declaring unilateral secession

there's no consistent logical argument to justify kosovo's independence from serbia while also denying abkhazia/south ossetia from georgia (and now DPR/LPR from ukraine)

this is a disaster of america's own making because they couldn't help themselves lol

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

yellowcar posted:

if you think about it, this is basically kosovo all over again except this time the roles are reversed on the west and 1999 and 2008 coming back to bite the US in the rear end

the '99 war basically set precedent for "humanitarian intervention" without UNSC authorization and 2008 set precedent for declaring unilateral secession

there's no consistent logical argument to justify kosovo's independence from serbia while also denying abkhazia/south ossetia from georgia (and now DPR/LPR from ukraine)

this is a disaster of america's own making because they couldn't help themselves lol

Here's the Kosova government's response, btw.

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

A Buttery Pastry posted:

Russia initially invaded Ukraine over the populace overthrowing their president because he decided to suspend a move towards EU integration, in favor of integration with Russia. How does refusing Ukraine's candidacy for NATO membership do anything to change that part of the conflict? The material reason for Putin wanting Ukraine to remain a lovely version of Russia has not changed.

Also, the current Ukrainian president literally asked Biden to just give a clear yes or no on the question of NATO MAP. Which like, yeah, means the US could've done far better diplomacy, but it hardly justifies any Russian action in Ukraine.

ah yes the overthrow of a president from the groundswell of a completely organic grassroots movement that was definitely not spearheaded by a combo of nazis, oligarchs and cia

fanfic insert
Nov 4, 2009
Fairly sure Ukraine couldnt, by their own laws, accept the EU agreement because of the foreign policy of the EU, which the agreement would've compelled them to follow had they agreed to it. So as soon as that was entered it was a no-go legally, but the then government declining it was always the point and the cases belli needed to openly encourage a coup.

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

it's worth noting also that zelenskij made what looked to me like good-faith efforts at reaching an accommodation with the russians back in 2019-2020, but it got nixed by hardline ukrainian factions. the issue here is that nobody really gives a poo poo about the ukrainians except some factions of ukrainians, and those factions are often at odds with each other, so they try to get support from external factors who are happy to support them to some extent

so e.g. "the west" is perfectly happy to keep the ukrainian hardliners in play because it means that there's not going to be a peaceful resolution in russia's favour, russia sees no problem with just taking chunks out of ukraine for their own benefit and the ukrainian state is not really capable of doing much of anything to respond because the russian military is incomparably stronger and would humiliate ukraine's armed forces if push came to shove

CoolCab
Apr 17, 2005

glem

V. Illych L. posted:

it's worth noting also that zelenskij made what looked to me like good-faith efforts at reaching an accommodation with the russians back in 2019-2020, but it got nixed by hardline ukrainian factions. the issue here is that nobody really gives a poo poo about the ukrainians except some factions of ukrainians, and those factions are often at odds with each other, so they try to get support from external factors who are happy to support them to some extent

so e.g. "the west" is perfectly happy to keep the ukrainian hardliners in play because it means that there's not going to be a peaceful resolution in russia's favour, russia sees no problem with just taking chunks out of ukraine for their own benefit and the ukrainian state is not really capable of doing much of anything to respond because the russian military is incomparably stronger and would humiliate ukraine's armed forces if push came to shove

this has obviously been the core of the issue for a long time. western allies have spent the last decade both talking up their deep and passionate love for ukranian democracy and taking functionally no actions whatsoever towards actualizing that desire because it's fake.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

CoolCab posted:

this has obviously been the core of the issue for a long time. western allies have spent the last decade both talking up their deep and passionate love for ukranian democracy and taking functionally no actions whatsoever towards actualizing that desire because it's fake.

Yeah plus the West has a great history for places like Afghanistan showing what happens to client states they try to support.

The fact the West did the classic half-rear end sanctions, angry PR and sabar rattling is pretty telling.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

Well, the news right now is that Chancellor Scholz is gonna cancel Nordstream 2 certification. I dunno if that's gonna throw it off entirely or what, but if there's no gas coming through by October then the heating prices are going to be crazy.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

Well, the news right now is that Chancellor Scholz is gonna cancel Nordstream 2 certification. I dunno if that's gonna throw it off entirely or what, but if there's no gas coming through by October then the heating prices are going to be crazy.

It's hilarious how nations like Germany even got involved with this mess even though things like a NATO expansion or getting connected to the various Ukraine crisises over the years had no benefit for them.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

Russia doesn't have to justify its own strategic interests. The second you start moralizing the problem you're misinterpreting it, and that's also why there's such massive support for our terrible foreign policy wrt Ukraine.
It's not Russia's strategic interests though, it's just the interests of Putin and his oligarchs. In any case, I feel like this has to be a universal principle, meaning not implying that Russian intervention/invasion is somehow moral, see the attempts to smear Ukraine as a whole with the Nazi brush.

crepeface posted:

ah yes the overthrow of a president from the groundswell of a completely organic grassroots movement that was definitely not spearheaded by a combo of nazis, oligarchs and cia
Whether it was completely organic or not isn't really important, the reaction is. Ukraine has a (small) majority in favor of EU membership, and a much smaller minority in favor of a customs union with Russia and friends. Going to war over trying to enforce the latter of prevent the former is neither moral, nor in the interest of the Russian public.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

etalian posted:

It's hilarious how nations like Germany even got involved with this mess even though things like a NATO expansion or getting connected to the various Ukraine crisises over the years had no benefit for them.

It's just frustrating that all Western leaders have made the wrong choices along every step of this crisis which we manufactured. The world is being run by its biggest idiots, and you can't even rationalize it away by pretending it's just an American problem this time. Russia has held all the cards but we acted like they didn't, and this systemic denial is going to have grave consequences.


A Buttery Pastry posted:

It's not Russia's strategic interests though, it's just the interests of Putin and his oligarchs.

This is infantile. You could cycle out Putin with anybody else in Russian politics, they would all be doing the same thing. That's because Russian state interests involve more than what you think is the personal prerogative of its president.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

This is infantile. You could cycle out Putin with anybody else in Russian politics, they would all be doing the same thing. That's because Russian state interests involve more than what you think is the personal prerogative of its president.
I meant it as the entire class. Which yeah, does mean just cycling in someone else doesn't change things.

frankenfreak
Feb 16, 2007

I SCORED 85% ON A QUIZ ABOUT MONDAY NIGHT RAW AND ALL I GOT WAS THIS LOUSY TEXT

#bastionboogerbrigade

One More Fat Nerd posted:

Thank you for your input, comrade Grover-Chov
Mikhail Groverchov

Benstar
Aug 3, 2008

A Buttery Pastry posted:

I meant it as the entire class. Which yeah, does mean just cycling in someone else doesn't change things.

Are we to assume that if there was a nice little election and Russia had a nice new president who worked at a steel mill, they'd be basically okay with the expansion of a military alliance to right outside Russian borders? Nobody but an actual American puppet would just be fine with Ukraine joining NATO, and actions taken to halt that should only be considered an obvious consequence of keeping that option in play for so long.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
There is no interest in NATO across either the Russian political spectrum and average Russians, it is one thing everyone can agree on.

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

A Buttery Pastry posted:

Whether it was completely organic or not isn't really important, the reaction is. Ukraine has a (small) majority in favor of EU membership, and a much smaller minority in favor of a customs union with Russia and friends. Going to war over trying to enforce the latter of prevent the former is neither moral, nor in the interest of the Russian public.

yea definitely not important when a foreign power manipulates public sentiment of a much poorer country with tonnes of money in the favour of nazis so they take a lovely imf deal instead of a better russian deal

ukraine is a representative democracy that elected a guy who made a decision and got couped because of it but your dumbshit brain buys the western media framing of lovely polling about a "small majority" being good enough grounds for a coup

you also somehow think it's about EU membership when russia's been screaming about NATO the entire time. you know they're different, right? even the 2014 deal wasn't about membership, it was an association agreement

just an absolute bird bath of a brain. warblers swooping through the sky to splash and preen in your cranium. a marvellous delight.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

It's just frustrating that all Western leaders have made the wrong choices along every step of this crisis which we manufactured. The world is being run by its biggest idiots, and you can't even rationalize it away by pretending it's just an American problem this time. Russia has held all the cards but we acted like they didn't, and this systemic denial is going to have grave consequences.

It does boggle my mind all the nations that willingly signed up to be in the quagmire given all the possible blowbacks and also how they were taking piles of risks for nothing (Energy price spikes)

vyelkin
Jan 2, 2011

420 Gank Mid posted:

russia has enough soldier to zerg rush though. I think the best case scenario is russia gets worked over so bad they lose the appetite to take poland after.

Poland is a member of NATO which makes the chances of Russia doing anything to them vanishingly small. That's the whole point of all of this.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Benstar posted:

Are we to assume that if there was a nice little election and Russia had a nice new president who worked at a steel mill, they'd be basically okay with the expansion of a military alliance to right outside Russian borders? Nobody but an actual American puppet would just be fine with Ukraine joining NATO, and actions taken to halt that should only be considered an obvious consequence of keeping that option in play for so long.
NATO is already on Russia's borders. In any case, please explain why NATO being on Russia's border is an actual security threat, given that Russia has nukes. It's no more a threat to Russia than Mexico joining a Chinese led alliance is to the US.

crepeface posted:

you also somehow think it's about EU membership when russia's been screaming about NATO the entire time. you know they're different, right?
You know Russian politicians can lie too, right?

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
The Cuban missile crisis was a thing that happened…

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Ardennes posted:

The Cuban missile crisis was a thing that happened…
A different era, in terms of nuclear tech. And again, NATO already borders Russia.

StashAugustine
Mar 24, 2013

Do not trust in hope- it will betray you! Only faith and hatred sustain.

A Buttery Pastry posted:

NATO is already on Russia's borders. In any case, please explain why NATO being on Russia's border is an actual security threat, given that Russia has nukes. It's no more a threat to Russia than Mexico joining a Chinese led alliance is to the US.

what kind of regime would be both good for the Russian people and not implacable opposed by America? and why should a country on our poo poo list think that we won't gently caress with them every chance we'll get?

StashAugustine
Mar 24, 2013

Do not trust in hope- it will betray you! Only faith and hatred sustain.

like I'm not saying that Putin is morally right to escalate a civil war in Ukraine because hes scared of NATO but he's absolutely not wrong to be scared

Nice and hot piss
Feb 1, 2004

All I can say is.....

Putin better not mess with Texas.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

StashAugustine posted:

what kind of regime would be both good for the Russian people and not implacable opposed by America? and why should a country on our poo poo list think that we won't gently caress with them every chance we'll get?
One that's significantly more economically integrated into the European order, and one that leans less into its resource curse. Even if America wanted to gently caress with it, the EU would threaten to gently caress the US back for loving with its economy, like it did when Bush was president.

StashAugustine posted:

like I'm not saying that Putin is morally right to escalate a civil war in Ukraine because hes scared of NATO but he's absolutely not wrong to be scared
Putin absolutely does have a reason to be scared though, because a Ukraine that manages to improve within the EU would be an example to millions of Russians with familial ties to Ukraine that Russia could be better under new management. New management here not meaning anyone the Americans like mind you, at best someone the Americans dislike less. Because yeah, America would need to behave very differently for a better outcome to be realistic. You'd basically need like a generation of America not sticking its dick in European affairs, while the EU would have to have a proper strategic plan for European security, on top of Russia deciding that its future is being a powerful member within an economic bloc rather than effectively being a lovely bloc by itself.

Just to make it absolutely clear, my position is basically that it'd be better if the EU entirely replaced NATO in Europe, so America had two "major" powers in Europe telling them to gently caress off.

I also believe Russia is just another loser former empire like the UK, and I think it's entirely fair for every other Eastern European country to run into the arms of NATO the first chance they got. It's certainly not the ideal solution, I just very much doubt we could have avoided Russia acting like it is, given that we're all still living under capitalism. No former empire is gonna choose "materially improving the lives of its citizens" over trying to regain imperial grandeur until at the very least, everyone who remembered the empire is dead.

The_Franz
Aug 8, 2003

Nice and hot piss posted:

All I can say is.....

Putin better not mess with Texas.

why would he want to? texas is on his side

Lastgirl
Sep 7, 1997


Good Morning!
Sunday Morning!

The_Franz
Aug 8, 2003


considering that most of the war footage so far has a tiktok logo on it, this isn't terribly dystopian or edgy

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011
the one thing thats completely lost in all the coverage is why the separatists exist in the first place - hardline nationalists trying to foist their definition of what it means to be ukrainian on people who dont want it. even zelensky, who got elected as a compromise fix it guy after maidanists got kicked out, has pivoted to that. they keep banning eastern ukrainian parties and shutting down their media. ukraine isn't a vibrant democracy, it's actively trying to ensure the east has no representation or power

i'm no believer in liberal democracy, but i believe the hypocrisy of the west going to bat for the sanctity of borders to preserve a profoundly undemocratic regime in the name of freedom should be understood.

Fast Luck
Feb 2, 1988

crepeface posted:

ah yes the overthrow of a president from the groundswell of a completely organic grassroots movement that was definitely not spearheaded by a combo of nazis, oligarchs and cia
and even if the overthrow did have support in Kiev uhh what about the majority pro-russian population in Crimea and eastern ukraine? Did anyone check with them. wondering if deposing the president they overwhelmingly voted for could cause some issues in the future.

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

https://twitter.com/nightseparator/status/1486388437435432972

Dolphin
Dec 5, 2008

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

mila kunis posted:

the one thing thats completely lost in all the coverage is why the separatists exist in the first place - hardline nationalists trying to foist their definition of what it means to be ukrainian on people who dont want it. even zelensky, who got elected as a compromise fix it guy after maidanists got kicked out, has pivoted to that. they keep banning eastern ukrainian parties and shutting down their media. ukraine isn't a vibrant democracy, it's actively trying to ensure the east has no representation or power

i'm no believer in liberal democracy, but i believe the hypocrisy of the west going to bat for the sanctity of borders to preserve a profoundly undemocratic regime in the name of freedom should be understood.
it's my impression that the "separatist" movement is a minority and that most eastern ukrainians want more political representation and autonomy in the form of a decentralized government but do not want to secede and even fewer want to join russia

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011
regional autonomy is one of the stipulations of the peace process, but the ukrainian nationalists have gone apeshit and refuse to give an inch.

Doktor Avalanche
Dec 30, 2008

Dolphin posted:

it's my impression that the "separatist" movement is a minority and that most eastern ukrainians want more political representation and autonomy in the form of a decentralized government but do not want to secede and even fewer want to join russia

and then the government they asked for more representation shelled their homes so i don't think independence or even some kind of union with russia is that unpopular anymore

OK baizuo
Mar 19, 2021

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Ramrod Hotshot posted:

Didn't the Bush admin start work on "tactical" nuclear missiles? Or did that (hopefully) go nowhere?

I don't think so, maybe you're thinking of the MOAB? The Dubya admin was more interested in throwing billions at boondoggle new weapons systems like the Paladin, Crusader, and Zumwalt that either got canceled or turned out to be total crap

yellowcar
Feb 14, 2010

Dolphin posted:

it's my impression that the "separatist" movement is a minority and that most eastern ukrainians want more political representation and autonomy in the form of a decentralized government but do not want to secede and even fewer want to join russia

most of them don't give a poo poo about secession either one way or another, they've been essentially cutoff from government services and work and would prefer fighting to just stop period

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/1/28/for-us-things-wouldnt-change-ukrainian-villagers-speak

quote:

Many residents have an indifferent attitude to the threat of an invasion.

“I don’t think our situation would change,” says Sergei, a former teacher who has been unemployed since most of his students left in 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea.

Residents describe being cut off and forgotten by the rest of the country.

“Support from the state has completely dried up,” said Ludmilla, a shop owner. “It has left us exhausted.”

quote:

“We are not scared of a change in authority,” said Natalya, a pensioner who lives by the riverbank. “Perhaps gas prices would be lower if the separatists came here.”

“For us, things wouldn’t change,” said Sergei, the teacher. “We are unemployed and live off the land.”

Oglethorpe
Aug 8, 2005

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cGFGUuMzDPY

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
What was the last major US system that actually did its job as asked: the Virginia class? I don’t know if the super hornet counts since it is a variant.

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Spergin Morlock
Aug 8, 2009

Ramrod Hotshot posted:

Didn't the Bush admin start work on "tactical" nuclear missiles? Or did that (hopefully) go nowhere?

it didn't ever actually get done:

https://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/systems/rnep.htm

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