Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
(Thread IKs: fart simpson)
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010


that's one hell of an act
what do you call it?


the oligarchs

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

lobotomy molo
May 7, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

should’ve taken Minsk II when it was still on the table

Beard Dandruff
May 10, 2017

Want to win a consultation with Tiffany? Click
here.

pancake rabbit posted:

i've been in work meetings all morning and am very late to this but what is the strategic value in capturing what is arguably the most blighted unusable land on the face of the earth

not a rhetorical question i think i'm just dumb, is putin really trying to get an "i'll demolish the sarcophagus and turn all of continental europe into an irradiated wasteland" ace up his sleeve?

e: or is it because he thinks ukraine/nato would do something stupid with it, which honestly is much more believable

Putins going to fire up the brain scorcher and turn everyone into monolith zombies.

fits my needs
Jan 1, 2011

Grimey Drawer

Pepe Silvia Browne posted:

Ideal stupid situation: Kyiv gets fully captured by russia within the next 24 hours, Louis goes on and makes some jokes about the situation, gets arrested by Russian MPs, and becomes the political prisoner that starts WW3

russians bust in on louis ck bustin :ck5:

Jeff Fatwood
Jun 17, 2013

SirTagz posted:

Finland actually. There are indications from high level gov officials that their current position is being reevaluated due to the Ukraine situation

Finland will gladly step on the same piece of poo poo just so they don't have to feel left out.

Happy Noodle Boy
Jul 3, 2002



this is devastating capitulation

lobotomy molo
May 7, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

:discourse:

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

maybe the Russian army will get to practice their theater routine again if you catch my drift

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

brugroffil posted:

The United States would not be justified in invading those countries in response.

would launching a decades long blockade of ukraine have been better

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


Raskolnikov38 posted:

would launching a decades long blockade of ukraine have been better

No, as similarly Cuba did not and does not pose any realistic military threat.

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

brugroffil posted:

The United States would not be justified in invading those countries in response.

And how many US invasions did that stop?

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


Raskolnikov38 posted:

would launching a decades long blockade of ukraine have been better

the blockade of cuba is definitely less bad than us just invading cuba, yeah

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

brugroffil posted:

No, as similarly Cuba did not and does not pose any realistic military threat.

it posed the same threat as ukraine, a military base for a hostile power

Fame Douglas
Nov 20, 2013

by Fluffdaddy
Absolutely no one believes Russia attacked Ukraine because Putin believes he's threatened by NATO.

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

lol

Tzen
Sep 11, 2001

Koirhor posted:

NATO dude talking, to Ukraine: we see you we hear you!
lol

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


Lostconfused posted:

And how many US invasions did that stop?

None? The discussion is whether it's justified, not whether justification actually means anything if nobody is willing to risk going nuclear to stop you.

lobotomy molo
May 7, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

brugroffil posted:

The United States would not be justified in invading those countries in response.

nobody’s saying it would be justified, but they would 100% invade those countries in response. poo poo, the US drat near tried to invade Cuba in the 60s over the exact same issue and they don’t share a land border. agree or disagree?

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


Raskolnikov38 posted:

it posed the same threat as ukraine, a military base for a hostile power

So both are unjustified. What is this weird gotcha you're trying here?

e:

Fly Molo posted:

nobody’s saying it would be justified, but they would 100% invade those countries in response. poo poo, the US drat near tried to invade Cuba in the 60s over the exact same issue and they don’t share a land border. agree or disagree?

Uh yes some people actually are saying it's justified which is what I'm responding to. What is this weird assumption that any statement of Russia being poo poo is some sort of justification of anything the US/west has or will do? lol

animist
Aug 28, 2018

brugroffil posted:

None? The discussion is whether it's justified, not whether justification actually means anything if nobody is willing to risk going nuclear to stop you.

ur the only one having that discussion afaict, the rest of us are just posting

QUEER FRASIER
May 31, 2011

why are people so attached to determining who is “justified” or “the bad guy” in regional geopolitical conflicts. what a bizarre way to conceptualize modern nation-states. you might as well watch a video of wild animals fighting and spend hours arguing about which animal is breaking the social contract

animist
Aug 28, 2018

QUEER FRASIER posted:

why are people so attached to determining who is “justified” or “the bad guy” in regional geopolitical conflicts. what a bizarre way to conceptualize modern nation-states. you might as well watch a video of wild animals fighting and spend hours arguing about which animal is breaking the social contract

ya exactly

razorscooter
Nov 5, 2008


QUEER FRASIER posted:

why are people so attached to determining who is “justified” or “the bad guy” in regional geopolitical conflicts. what a bizarre way to conceptualize modern nation-states. you might as well watch a video of wild animals fighting and spend hours arguing about which animal is breaking the social contract

it is the hippo

Riot Bimbo
Dec 28, 2006


nuclear powers invading and counter-invading non-nuclear countries until they brush up against each other everywhere and then it's just the cold war but way worse let's do it dumbest timeline let's go

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
https://twitter.com/JavierBlas/status/1496887607422291968

boo boo bear
Oct 1, 2009

I'm COMPLETELY OBSESSED with SEXY EGGS
there is no such thing as 'justification'.

F Stop Fitzgerald
Dec 12, 2010

QUEER FRASIER posted:

why are people so attached to determining who is “justified” or “the bad guy” in regional geopolitical conflicts. what a bizarre way to conceptualize modern nation-states. you might as well watch a video of wild animals fighting and spend hours arguing about which animal is breaking the social contract

theyre liberals op

Fat-Lip-Sum-41.mp3
Nov 15, 2003

brugroffil posted:

The United States would not be justified in invading those countries in response.

Teacher! Teacher! There's all these countries that aren't following the Rules Based International Order!

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

QUEER FRASIER posted:

why are people so attached to determining who is “justified” or “the bad guy” in regional geopolitical conflicts. what a bizarre way to conceptualize modern nation-states. you might as well watch a video of wild animals fighting and spend hours arguing about which animal is breaking the social contract

people can't separate "this is how we got here" as an examination of root cause with "and because there is a rationale, it is also justified"

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

brugroffil posted:

So both are unjustified. What is this weird gotcha you're trying here?

that powers dont like openly hostile states on their borders and its hypocrisy to act like only russia has been agro on the issue

The Oldest Man
Jul 28, 2003

QUEER FRASIER posted:

why are people so attached to determining who is “justified” or “the bad guy” in regional geopolitical conflicts. what a bizarre way to conceptualize modern nation-states. you might as well watch a video of wild animals fighting and spend hours arguing about which animal is breaking the social contract

sorry but the hippo despite killing more animals at the waterhole was morally justified in each of those cases than the perfidious hyena

Crusader
Apr 11, 2002

https://www.rt.com/russia/550505-kremlin-presents-demands-kiev/

quote:

Moscow is willing to negotiate terms of surrender with Kiev regarding the ongoing Russian military offensive currently taking place in Ukraine, Kremlin Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov said on Thursday.

According to Peskov, Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed his preparedness to engage in discussions with his Ukrainian counterpart, with a focus on obtaining a guarantee of neutral status and the promise of no weapons on its territory.

These are terms that, according to Peskov, would enable the achievement of the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine, and eliminate what Russia currently views as a threat to the security of its state and people.

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

I was thinking about it, and I’ll pull the papers on what we (Canada) were training Azov in, but is it possible that we were training a hard core of ideologically motivated ethnic nationalist militiamen with the idea that the Ukrainian Army would buckle and Azov would be “The Mujahideen” in that Afghanistan fantasy scenario the NatSec people have been chattering about?

Because that makes a lot of sense to me if all the diplomatic and policy signals suggest the goal was to bait Russia in. It may also explain why the only military aid was man portable AT/AA weapons. It would be a comically bloodthirsty plan, but Stingers and Javelins are the kind of weapons you’d give an insurgency, not a regular army hoping to stop a committed attack.

Morbus
May 18, 2004

vyelkin posted:

honest question, which other countries do you think are going to join NATO after this?

This is NATO's current membership:



there are a whole three countries in Europe that border Russia and are not already members of NATO: Finland, the country that Russia wants its neighbours to emulate ("Finlandization" is a term that was used for one potential end state for Ukraine); Belarus, Russia's closest ally and client state; and Ukraine.

who else is going to join? Moldova, which already has part of the country occupied by Russia? Georgia, which already has part of the country occupied by Russia and which already lost a war to Russia over this in 2008? Armenia, a Russian ally that hates NATO member Turkey? NATO has made it clear that they're not going to support non-NATO members against Russia and they're not going to let in countries that have existing territorial disputes with Russia, and Russia has now made it clear that overtures to NATO can be catastrophic.

Russia isn't surrounded by some infinite number of foreign countries that will decide to join NATO after this. Ukraine is by far the biggest, strongest, and most populous of Russia's European neighbours. Given that NATO already covers almost the entire continent, it should be comprehensible why Russia wants to draw a line in the sand here - there isn't much more for them to lose on the issue of NATO expansion.

Well, Sweden/Finland are the obvious ones, where support--or at least consideration--of joining NATO had already been gradually increasing. But apart from that, this will increase the militarization of and defense spending in eastern European NATO states above what would have otherwise occurred.

I think you are right that Putin is trying to consolidate what he can, while he can. I'm not sure the urgency wrt Ukraine was really there, though. Despite posturing from the US and the ramblings of an idiot comedian-king, there was no way Ukraine was going to join NATO with ongoing territorial disputes. I think Putin has been growing frustrated with his options and diplomatic intransigence from the west, and has decided to just gamble now and deal with future problems later.

Good soup!
Nov 2, 2010

hajime no hippo: the fighting!!

Control Volume
Dec 31, 2008

QUEER FRASIER posted:

why are people so attached to determining who is “justified” or “the bad guy” in regional geopolitical conflicts. what a bizarre way to conceptualize modern nation-states. you might as well watch a video of wild animals fighting and spend hours arguing about which animal is breaking the social contract

Because no one in this forum has any power or agency about this situation other than trying to be correct and insulting other posters. The hell else is there to do here, dude?

CLAM DOWN
Feb 13, 2007




Control Volume posted:

Because no one in this forum has any power or agency about this situation other than being correct and insulting other posters. The hell else is there to do here, dude?

tane

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

Control Volume posted:

Because no one in this forum has any power or agency about this situation other than being correct and insulting other posters. The hell else is there to do here, dude?

well according to yospos, joining the canadian military

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

QUEER FRASIER posted:

why are people so attached to determining who is “justified” or “the bad guy” in regional geopolitical conflicts. what a bizarre way to conceptualize modern nation-states. you might as well watch a video of wild animals fighting and spend hours arguing about which animal is breaking the social contract

The West Wing and post 1991 politics.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin

QUEER FRASIER posted:

why are people so attached to determining who is “justified” or “the bad guy” in regional geopolitical conflicts. what a bizarre way to conceptualize modern nation-states. you might as well watch a video of wild animals fighting and spend hours arguing about which animal is breaking the social contract

It's a war crime against the Geneva convention to go first. So you gotta do a big song and dance about how actually it's the other guy who went first

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply