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Kirios
Jan 26, 2010




America presses the socialism button for the one thing it cares about: Gas Prices.

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Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

So far it doesn't seem like there's any evidence of those Turkish drones having any impact, is there?

Kaal
May 22, 2002

through thousands of posts in D&D over a decade, I now believe I know what I'm talking about. if I post forcefully and confidently, I can convince others that is true. no one sees through my facade.

Pook Good Mook posted:

I don't know why Biden can't just answer honestly, "I want to get rid of SWIFT access, but several European allies said no."

He basically said that when he was asked about it. I'm not sure how much more explicit he could be without naming names. I'd need to look at the transcript, but that was certainly my takeaway when I was watching him speak.

i am a moron
Nov 12, 2020

"I think if there’s one thing we can all agree on it’s that Penn State and Michigan both suck and are garbage and it’s hilarious Michigan fans are freaking out thinking this is their natty window when they can’t even beat a B12 team in the playoffs lmao"

khwarezm posted:

This whole situation is highlighting how incredibly fast modern warfare has become in the 21st century. Talking about the fall of the capital of Ukraine less than 24 hours after hostilities began. Like even during the famously rapid fall of France in WW2 it took a few weeks before the Nazis were able to take Paris.

That's because it's asymmetrical warfare, it's super hosed up but it's an easy way to diffuse your forces and settle in for intractable, unbeatable insurgencies.

Kaddish
Feb 7, 2002

FlamingLiberal posted:

Presumably those cruise missile strikes at the start of the invasion were targeting those systems

And if those systems are all gone it will be down the will of the Ukrainian people to fight block by block, etc, with no air cover and essentially insurmountable odds.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Kaddish posted:

I was thinking earlier that we haven't even seen the typical videos posted of AA fire over a capital city like Kiev. It's certainly very possible Ukrainian air-power/defense has been neutralized at this point. I'm sure that was a major Russian objective.

I mean, the stereotypical streams of tracers going into the sky are not a very effective way to shoot down jets anyway, and reveal your position a lot. Also they may conceivably be trying to... avoid fighting inside the capital city if at all possible.

The most likely surviving holdout air defence systems in the wake of a successful suppression campaign would be small, man portable or vehicle mounted missile launchers, which are a lot less flashy.

the popes toes
Oct 10, 2004

Have the Germans announced a financial response or are they going to send more hats?

Yureina
Apr 28, 2013

Yeap. I found this out recently. Really turns me off the Palestinian cause to find out they basically consist entirely of raging racists.

ZombieLenin posted:

I don’t think Putin understands that the United States, Great Britain, and France are also “powerful nuclear states.” Who does he think he’s threatening with that sort of talk?

Mutually assured destruction is still a thing, he might as well be threatening to glass all of Russia over Ukraine.

He’s either an idiot, crazy, or both.

Pretty certain he is both of those things.

Sir Bobert Fishbone
Jan 16, 2006

Beebort

the popes toes posted:

Have the Germans announced a financial response or are they going to send more hats?

From the sound of it, Germany's financial response is "not boot Russia from SWIFT"

Saladman
Jan 12, 2010

Vaginaface posted:

Will someone answer the poor reporters? Why *NOT* sanction Putin directly? And what does that even look like?

I watched the press conference - first time I've seen Biden talk in years I think - and I was wondering: what's the point of sanctioning Putin? He's obviously not going to any Western countries any time soon, and he won't have any meaningful assets in Western countries. I guess it's symbolic? He'd still be able to travel to New York and Geneva even if sanctioned, right? I'm not quite sure how that works though.

Inner Light
Jan 2, 2020



FlamingLiberal posted:

Presumably those cruise missile strikes at the start of the invasion were targeting those systems

Those Twitter videos were the first time, hopefully the last, that I have seen Real Deal cruise missiles in flight whooshing along to their targets. Crazy to see. They sound just like an aircraft because of their jet engine.

I start to get uncomfortable when I imagine what that might look like for an ICBM.

Kirios
Jan 26, 2010




Yureina posted:

Pretty certain he is both of those things.

He's a man obsessed with restoring Russia to their USSR peak power. He's a megalomaniac.

eke out
Feb 24, 2013



Saladman posted:

I watched the press conference - first time I've seen Biden talk in years I think - and I was wondering: what's the point of sanctioning Putin? He's obviously not going to any Western countries any time soon, and he won't have any meaningful assets in Western countries. I guess it's symbolic? He'd still be able to travel to New York and Geneva even if sanctioned, right? I'm not quite sure how that works though.

Yeah, it's exactly this, there's a good recent WaPo writeup about The Trouble With Sanctioning Putin, and it boils down to "nothing we can do would really get to his personal wealth and you just look like a fool if you issue meaningless sanctions everyone knows can't do anything"

mightygerm
Jun 29, 2002



MANPADS are designed to take out helicopters and low flying aircraft, they won’t do poo poo against fighters and bombers.

Solaris 2.0
May 14, 2008

https://twitter.com/StratcomCentre/status/1496922915954216962?s=20&t=KMOgkqZ7xoxDgOAAOKLtdA

holy poo poo if this is true then that is absolutely embarrassing for the Russian armed forces.

Morrow
Oct 31, 2010

Saladman posted:

I watched the press conference - first time I've seen Biden talk in years I think - and I was wondering: what's the point of sanctioning Putin? He's obviously not going to any Western countries any time soon, and he won't have any meaningful assets in Western countries. I guess it's symbolic? He'd still be able to travel to New York and Geneva even if sanctioned, right? I'm not quite sure how that works though.

His children live in the west and he has billions stashed away in secret accounts that they draw from, so it would impact him personally.

Shes Not Impressed
Apr 25, 2004


Solaris 2.0 posted:

https://twitter.com/StratcomCentre/status/1496922915954216962?s=20&t=KMOgkqZ7xoxDgOAAOKLtdA

holy poo poo if this is true then that is absolutely embarrassing for the Russian armed forces.

https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/1496927529910865928?s=20&t=eetSAKR_qybb8gj2lN0Mbg

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth

Solaris 2.0 posted:

https://twitter.com/StratcomCentre/status/1496922915954216962?s=20&t=KMOgkqZ7xoxDgOAAOKLtdA

holy poo poo if this is true then that is absolutely embarrassing for the Russian armed forces.

I sure hope so!

Kaal
May 22, 2002

through thousands of posts in D&D over a decade, I now believe I know what I'm talking about. if I post forcefully and confidently, I can convince others that is true. no one sees through my facade.

Vaginaface posted:

Will someone answer the poor reporters? Why *NOT* sanction Putin directly? And what does that even look like?

Saladman posted:

I watched the press conference - first time I've seen Biden talk in years I think - and I was wondering: what's the point of sanctioning Putin? He's obviously not going to any Western countries any time soon, and he won't have any meaningful assets in Western countries. I guess it's symbolic? He'd still be able to travel to New York and Geneva even if sanctioned, right? I'm not quite sure how that works though.

In particular there are some Europeans who are concerned that directly sanctioning Putin would close off critical avenues of diplomacy. I'd agree that it would be a largely symbolic gesture, and I'm not sure how much Putin would really care, but certainly it's worthwhile to consider the benefits and drawbacks of doing that as part of larger economic sanctions.

Morrow posted:

His children live in the west and he has billions stashed away in secret accounts that they draw from, so it would impact him personally.

My understanding is that most of his children and grandchildren moved back to Russia years ago, though one of his daughters and a mistress now live in Monaco.

Kaal fucked around with this message at 20:30 on Feb 24, 2022

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa
Finnish foreign ministry has been illuminated with Sweden's colours or something, idk
https://twitter.com/Ulkoministerio/status/1496892837451169792

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

It might not help the defence that much but it's certainly a big lol if they just got their special forces killed and achieved basically nothing.

Cantide
Jun 13, 2001
Pillbug

Sir Bobert Fishbone posted:

From the sound of it, Germany's financial response is "not boot Russia from SWIFT"

As if the US would ever allow that
https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/041621-us-reliance-on-russian-oil-hits-record-high-despite-souring-ties

Kaddish
Feb 7, 2002

Solaris 2.0 posted:

https://twitter.com/StratcomCentre/status/1496922915954216962?s=20&t=KMOgkqZ7xoxDgOAAOKLtdA

holy poo poo if this is true then that is absolutely embarrassing for the Russian armed forces.

Yes it is, given what was pointed out with regards to their training and capability.

It doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things re: Ukraine falling to Russian forces, but still.

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat
I'd assume "destoyed" in this case means "surrendered" rather than killed, which may be honestly more embarrassing

FishBulbia
Dec 22, 2021

Solaris 2.0 posted:

https://twitter.com/StratcomCentre/status/1496922915954216962?s=20&t=KMOgkqZ7xoxDgOAAOKLtdA

holy poo poo if this is true then that is absolutely embarrassing for the Russian armed forces.

https://twitter.com/michaelh992/status/1496927712312803329?t=xbjZQ3mLbw91X3Ipj89iVQ&s=19

Telsa Cola
Aug 19, 2011

No... this is all wrong... this whole operation has just gone completely sidewaysface

mightygerm posted:

MANPADS are designed to take out helicopters and low flying aircraft, they won’t do poo poo against fighters and bombers.

Helicopters and low flying ground support aircraft are basically the needed air support for urban assaults.

Russia dropping high altitude bombs and missiling targets will cause a poo poo ton of damage and is going to make Russia look even worse. Its a non ideal application.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Nenonen posted:

Finnish foreign ministry has been illuminated with Sweden's colours or something, idk
https://twitter.com/Ulkoministerio/status/1496892837451169792
Should have just made it yellow, given the background.

Recoome
Nov 9, 2013

Matter of fact, I'm salty now.
Assaults on airports like that were risky even when in the 40s where command/control was not as integrated. If true, it’s a spectacular tactical failure by the Russians.

acidx
Sep 24, 2019

right clicking is stealing
There's already been footage of helicopters shot down outside of Kiev as well.

Shifty Pony
Dec 28, 2004

Up ta somethin'


OwlFancier posted:

It might not help the defence that much but it's certainly a big lol if they just got their special forces killed and achieved basically nothing.


Can't imagine there wasn't a plan to drop in reinforcements that got disrupted. Whoever nailed that transport aircraft with a MANPADS might just have made a huge difference in how this works out.

Kaddish
Feb 7, 2002
It would be like Delta/Seals/MARSOC or something being repelled from a major US objective. A huge black eye.

Owlofcreamcheese
May 22, 2005
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
Buglord
They seized Chernobyl? That feels like a thing you do in a strategy game to get a bonus (with a trade off)

FishBulbia
Dec 22, 2021

https://twitter.com/MarQs__/status/1496923798305705991

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Solaris 2.0 posted:

holy poo poo if this is true then that is absolutely embarrassing for the Russian armed forces.

Unless it was a special forces in-n-out to just cripple the airport equipment with no intention to hold it? OTOH if the task group was meant to hold it and either clear the way for heavier cargo planes or wait for land forces to connect then that would be a colossal failure. Strange that they haven't tweeted pics yet then.

Recoome
Nov 9, 2013

Matter of fact, I'm salty now.
I hope this isn’t against the rules but Ukraine is proving a lot more challenging to Russia than Georgia in 2008, and this is with the military reforms Russia underwent. Absolutely insane.

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.

That’s too bad , let’s remember to take news with a big grain of salt until video evidence, the Russians have total air superiority so it’s very likely a ukranian attempt to retake the airport could be repulsed.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
presumably those forces there are the most elite in the russian military, pretty disastrous (if true)

Pablo Bluth
Sep 7, 2007

I've made a huge mistake.

Shifty Pony posted:

Can't imagine there wasn't a plan to drop in reinforcements that got disrupted. Whoever nailed that transport aircraft with a MANPADS might just have made a huge difference in how this works out.
It's now being reported that it crashed inside Russia. Might explain the lack of info earlier other than a couple of photos of the tail and nothing else, or it could be propaganda to deny Ukraine the benefit.

https://twitter.com/arabnews/status/1496929516211605508

Not sure which is worse for Russia; losing it to a MANPADS or their planes just failing under pressure.

TulliusCicero
Jul 29, 2017



Solaris 2.0 posted:

https://twitter.com/StratcomCentre/status/1496922915954216962?s=20&t=KMOgkqZ7xoxDgOAAOKLtdA

holy poo poo if this is true then that is absolutely embarrassing for the Russian armed forces.

Yeah if this true that's a huge propaganda victory for Ukraine and honestly pretty demoralizing for the Russian forces.

Your best special forces got splatted by the Ukrainian guard within hours and achieved nothing

Again, this war does not seem to be panning out well for Putin at all

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Kavros
May 18, 2011

sleep sleep sleep
fly fly post post
sleep sleep sleep

ZombieLenin posted:

I don’t think Putin understands that the United States, Great Britain, and France are also “powerful nuclear states.” Who does he think he’s threatening with that sort of talk?

Mutually assured destruction is still a thing, he might as well be threatening to glass all of Russia over Ukraine.

He’s either an idiot, crazy, or both.

He's big on incendiary statements and brinkmanshippy threats just as a political strategy, but: crazy. I would not have taken "crazy" as an option before the events of the last week. I'm forced to change my mind in this regard. The general image of Putin as a canny manipulator with rational (if belligerent) long-term aims has effectively been ended by his most recent public meetings and speeches. He's poisoned by hypernationalist revanchism, and his resulting imperialism cannot be predicted by what a leader might do rationally.

Normally, governmental systems have ways to blunt or entangle these expressions, but he's re-effected soviet dictatorship in practice and, as a commander, appears one way or another to have ensured he's surrounded only by those who will never disagree with him on Sacred Matters, nor tell him something he doesn't want to hear, if they value their own skins.

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