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cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




OgNar posted:

NBC article states that Nova Kakhovka is completely in Russian hands but the stream seems pretty chill, People shopping and stuff.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/russia-ukraine-live-updates-n1290057/ncrd1290083

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sUnx7HoA1LM

Population of 45 thousand, for reference.

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a pipe smoking dog
Jan 25, 2010

"haha, dogs can't smoke!"

Young Freud posted:

There's some unconfirmed reports that 5000 contract soldiers have mutinied or defected and that Putin fired the Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces, Valery Gerasimov, at least according to an Ukrainian MP.
https://twitter.com/nadinbrzezinski/status/1497779772109123591?s=20&t=YWSOZX1-jMczBRdEwzuV2A

Can't get into details but I've just heard from a personal source I definitely trust on these sort of things given their background who is confident that the mutiny reports are accurate.

Admittedly I'm just a stranger on the internet so appreciate no one can trust me sharing anonymous second hand sources but I'm certainly pretty excited by it.

Delthalaz
Mar 5, 2003






Slippery Tilde

There’s always some random person carrying a bag going about their lives with the absolute x
craziest poo poo going on

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

gay picnic defence posted:

Looks like those guys have scored a bit of weaponry amongst all the poo poo in those trucks. I assume it's similar enough to their own that they'll be able to put it to good use.

Yeah, a lot of captured and abandoned vehicles just have caches of Kornets, Konkurs, and other anti-tank weapons sitting in them that if they run out of Javelins and NLAWs, they can use those to cripple Russian armor.

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


KitConstantine posted:

This is pretty goddamn funny - Ukrainian locals capture a t 90 tank, tie up the driver, and steal it. I think the guy in the middle in the back is the driver, and they're all pretty clearly making fun of him

https://twitter.com/hochu_dodomu/status/1497834362754244610?t=HpU2pXBbcN3T5FMRPr-Fnw&s=19

Anyone feel like translating this? Sounds like a good time.

Somaen
Nov 19, 2007

by vyelkin
"Russia is bombing and at war with Ukraine" is a reality very hard to wake up in

gently caress

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS

dominoeffect posted:

I don't have a baseline as to what's expected to be lost in urban combat, but this seems like a lot? There are a minimum of 5 vehicles with supplies and accompanying troops, and this isn't the only video from this morning with similar losses. Is their MO to just drive into hostile cities with motorized vehicles and hope for the best?

Nah, urban combat is brutal as gently caress. Lots of places where people can conceal weapons and vehicles, as well as plenty of opportunity to observe troop movement and set ambushes. Also air support is less effective.

The only way to deal with it without heavy casualties is to level the city before you send the troops in.

NO FUCK YOU DAD
Oct 23, 2008

dominoeffect posted:

I don't have a baseline as to what's expected to be lost in urban combat, but this seems like a lot? There are a minimum of 5 vehicles with supplies and accompanying troops, and this isn't the only video from this morning with similar losses. Is their MO to just drive into hostile cities with motorized vehicles and hope for the best?

The first couple of times it happened I assumed it was a mistake, but it's happened so many times now that I can only assume someone higher up still believes the "greeted as liberators" stuff and thinks that rushing units past the Ukrainian army into the city proper will inspire the citizens to throw off their shackles.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

anti-tank weapons for everyone!

i'd really rather this sort of thing wasn't taking place in an area where people live and work

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


NO gently caress YOU DAD posted:

The first couple of times it happened I assumed it was a mistake, but it's happened so many times now that I can only assume someone higher up still believes the "greeted as liberators" stuff and thinks that rushing units past the Ukrainian army into the city proper will inspire the citizens to throw off their shackles.

That or they're getting just far enough in to have plausible deniability and immediately surrendering because they don't want to die in this mess.

dominoeffect
Oct 1, 2013

gay picnic defence posted:

Nah, urban combat is brutal as gently caress. Lots of places where people can conceal weapons and vehicles, as well as plenty of opportunity to observe troop movement and set ambushes. Also air support is less effective.

The only way to deal with it without heavy casualties is to level the city before you send the troops in.

Yikes, war sucks.

Speaking of leveling cities: https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1497839062132183042

Telsa Cola
Aug 19, 2011

No... this is all wrong... this whole operation has just gone completely sidewaysface
One thing I just realized is that everyone and their mother likely has a smart phone of some kind and can and probably do take quality video of the Russians rolling through.

I have to imagine theres some sort of hot line or email that people are sending this through to get sorted by intelligence folks.

acidx
Sep 24, 2019

right clicking is stealing

KillHour posted:

Anyone feel like translating this? Sounds like a good time.

Lots of glory to ukraines.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

gay picnic defence posted:

The only way to deal with it without heavy casualties is to level the city before you send the troops in.

This is not the Lesson of Stalingrad. The Lesson of Stalingrad is that turning a city into rubble makes it *more* defensible.

Alctel
Jan 16, 2004

I love snails


VorpalBunny posted:

Part of me is fascinated being on the front lines of this stuff, but I worry this is desensitizing in some ways. These guys are just so casual about this, it just doesn't seem real.

There is a video of a guy holding an NLAW just super casually wandering behind an active battle (including armour) I saw posted yesterday

cr0y
Mar 24, 2005



Somaen posted:

"Russia is bombing and at war with Ukraine" is a reality very hard to wake up in

gently caress

How much Xanax did you take that you just woke up now

Lead out in cuffs
Sep 18, 2012

"That's right. We've evolved."

"I can see that. Cool mutations."




KitConstantine posted:

I'm not sure if the buildings are tall enough, but GPS can have a hard time in big cities. Plus even GPS uses street names, and if you get turned around and have a bunch of dudes arguing with each other and you're getting shot at and yoh know that fire could come from any window and

I can see how they would get stressed and turned around

Pretty sure it'd be GLONASS rather than GPS. Which may perform even worse in built up areas.

Also GPS spoofing is apparently a thing, so maybe GLONASS spoofing is going on too?

freebooter
Jul 7, 2009

Shibawanko posted:

i cant think of many neutral countries in the region for negotiations. switzerland maybe?

Traditionally Switzerland and Sweden, but literally anyway would be better than Belarus bar Russia and Ukraine themselves

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


Telsa Cola posted:

One thing I just realized is that everyone and their mother likely has a smart phone of some kind and can and probably do take quality video of the Russians rolling through.

I have to imagine theres some sort of hot line or email that people are sending this through to get sorted by intelligence folks.

Yeah, it's called the small army of people NATO has watching Twitter and radioing that poo poo in to command.

Alctel
Jan 16, 2004

I love snails


Lead out in cuffs posted:

Pretty sure it'd be GLONASS rather than GPS. Which may perform even worse in built up areas.

Also GPS spoofing is apparently a thing, so maybe GLONASS spoofing is going on too?

Yeah you can definitely jam/spoof the sat tracking systems in a local area

Dunno if the Ukrainians have that tech though

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

KillHour posted:

Yeah, it's called the small army of people NATO has watching Twitter and radioing that poo poo in to command.

yeah there is, though it's not Nato, it's mostly just ukranians

Play
Apr 25, 2006

Strong stroll for a mangy stray

KitConstantine posted:

This is pretty goddamn funny - Ukrainian locals capture a t 90 tank, tie up the driver, and steal it. I think the guy in the middle in the back is the driver, and they're all pretty clearly making fun of him

https://twitter.com/hochu_dodomu/status/1497834362754244610?t=HpU2pXBbcN3T5FMRPr-Fnw&s=19

Are they supposed to be inside of a tank? Doesn't look much like one

Somaen posted:

"Russia is bombing and at war with Ukraine" is a reality very hard to wake up in

gently caress

you must've been sleeping for quite a while. wild night last wednesday, I assume?

Tom Clancy is Dead
Jul 13, 2011

I'm really pissed at the DSA (of which I'm a member) not only for the lovely statements but also because of their scummy as gently caress misquoting their citations while writing them.

https://international.dsausa.org/statements/no-war-with-russia/

quote:

While public sentiment in Ukraine remains contested, the interventionist moves by the US and its Western allies in the country, including stationing US troops in Ukraine and training far-right extremist groups with neo-Nazi sympathies such as the Azov Battallion, have worked to further degrade efforts to resolve the conflict.

links to its source as https://www.jacobinmag.com/2022/01/cia-neo-nazi-training-ukraine-russia-putin-biden-nato which is speculative and says the US is training Ukrainians and the Azov Battalion is Ukranian neo-nazis so the US is probably training neo-nazis. That's already a leap, but to quote it as if it's a fact and not speculation is absolute poo poo.

They seem determined to lose all credibility, both for the terrible take that it's NATO and the USA's fault and for straight up lying about the basic facts.

Tom Clancy is Dead fucked around with this message at 09:21 on Feb 27, 2022

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

GreyjoyBastard posted:

anti-tank weapons for everyone!

i'd really rather this sort of thing wasn't taking place in an area where people live and work

Yeah, however this turns out, there are going to be millions of lives disrupted. Whichever government is left to pick up the pieces, I don't envy them.

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


Alctel posted:

Yeah you can definitely jam/spoof the sat tracking systems in a local area

Dunno if the Ukrainians have that tech though

Off the shelf SDR set to transmit noise on the 1602 and 1246MHz bands should do it. It's stupidly easy to jam radio signals, which is why the FCC will gently caress you six ways to Sunday if they catch you doing it.

BattleMaster
Aug 14, 2000

Maybe they're lost because the US is jamming GLONASS :tinfoil:

KitConstantine
Jan 11, 2013

Lead out in cuffs posted:

Pretty sure it'd be GLONASS rather than GPS. Which may perform even worse in built up areas.

Also GPS spoofing is apparently a thing, so maybe GLONASS spoofing is going on too?

Oh poo poo, yeah GLONASS accuracy in the middle of a field is like 8-12 feet rather than sub-inch like GPS. Put in buildings and that'll get hosed up quick

Play posted:

Are they supposed to be inside of a tank? Doesn't look much like one


Pretty sure they took the driver with them and left the tank for the military to handle

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

BattleMaster posted:

Maybe they're lost because the US is jamming GLONASS :tinfoil:

I was about to ask if you could fit a jammer on a big loiter drone or even a satellite.

E: Yes.

https://www.gpsworld.com/jammers-at-dachas-add-to-russias-ability-to-silence-gps/

Rust Martialis fucked around with this message at 09:28 on Feb 27, 2022

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


Herstory Begins Now posted:

yeah there is, though it's not Nato, it's mostly just ukranians

I would be surprised if there was a western military organization not doing this right now, and Ukraine is definitely getting external SIGINT funneled their way.

Rust Martialis posted:

I was about to ask if you could fit a jammer on a big loiter drone or even a satellite.

Your signal needs to appear more powerful than the real signal to the recipient, so if you're going to do it from far away, it would jam everything in a gigantic radius (yes, you can use directional antennas, but that only gets you so far). If you tried to use a satellite to jam another satellite, that entire side of the planet would notice.

KillHour fucked around with this message at 09:26 on Feb 27, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Lead out in cuffs posted:

Pretty sure it'd be GLONASS rather than GPS. Which may perform even worse in built up areas.

Also GPS spoofing is apparently a thing, so maybe GLONASS spoofing is going on too?

Militaries have jammers for these networks. There was just recently a post with blown up mobile GPS jammer of Russian military, R-330Zh.

Somaen
Nov 19, 2007

by vyelkin

Play posted:


you must've been sleeping for quite a while. wild night last wednesday, I assume?

I'm a baltics born russian

I've been told we're brotherly nations all my life! (Well, pre 2013)

Every day is surreal

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Tom Clancy is Dead posted:

I'm really pissed at the DSA (of which I'm a member) not only for the lovely statements but also because of their scummy as gently caress misquoting their citations while writing them.

https://international.dsausa.org/statements/no-war-with-russia/

links to its source as https://www.jacobinmag.com/2022/01/cia-neo-nazi-training-ukraine-russia-putin-biden-nato which is speculative and says the US is training Ukrainians and the Azov Battalion is Ukranian neo-nazis so the US is probably training neo-nazis. That's already a leap, but to quote it as if it's a fact and not speculation is absolute poo poo.

They seem determined to lose all credibility, both for the terrible take that it's NATO and the USA's fault and for straight up lying about the basic facts.

:siren: I’m sorry, but I don’t want 4th page of people posting about DSA and Tulsi Gabbard this morning.

Scapegoat
Sep 18, 2004
OK dumb drone question. How effective are the current generation of US strike drones given the Russian air superiority and how difficult are they to operate (as in fly some to border, donate to Ukraine then control from Lviv by a Ukrainian with a US guy zooming in on the flight to give him instructions)? Also is the tech too advanced to consider giving to Ukraine? Is this any differant to the weapons and training they are already getting?

I just really want some ordinance dropped on those thermobaric weapons

Ikasuhito
Sep 29, 2013

Haram as Fuck.

https://twitter.com/LostWeapons/status/1497845415684685829

"They will greet us as liberators!"

Baronjutter
Dec 31, 2007

"Tiny Trains"

KillHour posted:

Anyone feel like translating this? Sounds like a good time.

They're basically saying they found a t-90 tank that had run out of ammo and supplies so were able to capture the crew without having to do any shooting and he's their trophy they're bringing to the army to turn in. Then they make him say glory to ukraine. It's funny but this is the exact sort of thing you're not supposed to do with POW's.

Play
Apr 25, 2006

Strong stroll for a mangy stray

Majorian posted:

Yeah, however this turns out, there are going to be millions of lives disrupted. Whichever government is left to pick up the pieces, I don't envy them.

It's gonna be devastating to Ukraine and the longer it drags on the worse it'll be. There's already been heavy damage to crucial infrastructure, and all economic activity is basically on pause for the duration. The country will need aid,.

That's assuming it isn't completely taken over by Russia. That will destroy the future of Ukraine, it's exactly the thing that the 2014 protesters decided could not be permitted.

Tom Clancy is Dead posted:

I'm really pissed at the DSA (of which I'm a member) not only for the lovely statements but also because of their scummy as gently caress misquoting their citations while writing them.

https://international.dsausa.org/statements/no-war-with-russia/

links to its source as https://www.jacobinmag.com/2022/01/cia-neo-nazi-training-ukraine-russia-putin-biden-nato which is speculative and says the US is training Ukrainians and the Azov Battalion is Ukranian neo-nazis so the US is probably training neo-nazis. That's already a leap, but to quote it as if it's a fact and not speculation is absolute poo poo.

They seem determined to lose all credibility, both for the terrible take that it's NATO and the USA's fault and for straight up lying about the basic facts.

Yeah it's disappointing. In my mind, socialism goes hand in hand with self-determination and personal freedom. Neither of which Ukraine would have under Russia. You can't have real socialism under a dictator.

Somaen posted:

I'm a baltics born russian

I've been told we're brotherly nations all my life! (Well, pre 2013)

Every day is surreal

I hope you didn't take offense at my :dadjoke:

Do you currently live in Russia? I'd be curious to know what, if anything, you are hearing from normal people there.

Canned Sunshine
Nov 20, 2005

CAUTION: POST QUALITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION



Rust Martialis posted:

I was about to ask if you could fit a jammer on a big loiter drone or even a satellite.

So that’s what the drones are doing!

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

KillHour posted:

I would be surprised if there was a western military organization not doing this right now, and Ukraine is definitely getting external SIGINT funneled their way.

no doubt, but by the time stuff funnels through ukraine social media to russian or english or polish or w/e social media poo poo is like 4-10 hours old. The value of 'there is an afv column here' is getting it to the right people in literally minutes.

yeah 100% they're getting a lot of sigint assistance too

BlackIronHeart
Aug 2, 2004

PROCEED
If I was a civilian in a warzone and I captured a military tank, I'd be painting it all kinds of crazy poo poo and telling anyone to gently caress off, it's mine.

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cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Scapegoat posted:

OK dumb drone question. How effective are the current generation of US strike drones given the Russian air superiority and how difficult are they to operate (as in fly some to border, donate to Ukraine then control from Lviv by a Ukrainian with a US guy zooming in on the flight to give him instructions)? Also is the tech too advanced to consider giving to Ukraine? Is this any differant to the weapons and training they are already getting?

I just really want some ordinance dropped on those thermobaric weapons

Ukraine has sizeable fleet of modern NATO drones bought from Turkey, and does manufacture them locally. Bayraktar TB2, of Nagorno-Karabakh Azerbaijan faceroll fame.

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