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Shibawanko
Feb 13, 2013

trying to join the EU seems pretty stupid at this point. it's not going to be accepted by either side and wouldn't really be fair to other states trying to join normally

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Randarkman
Jul 18, 2011

Ukraine should 100% try to join the EU if they make it out of this alive. Putin can choke on a bag of dicks.

boofhead
Feb 18, 2021

Yureina posted:

It might be cool to have the Germans save Europe rather than blow it up.

germany's peace-time, non-confrontational military is already struggling under significant manpower shortfalls because nobody in germany wants to join the military, and the economic motivation for a "stable but limited" (in terms of work-life balance etc) career isnt nearly as pronounced as in a lot of other countries. it feels like a number of the americans and english posting old jokes often dont really understand that much about other countries beyond the bits they got taught in high school about ~80-year old history

Antigravitas posted:

I think the significance of the meeting of the German parliament on Sunday is not properly appreciated internationally. The amount of money is a big shift, but there were many more seismic shifts happening that I haven't seen reported yet.

The shift of framing of renewables into a context of national security being one of them. That used to be a Green position, not one shared by the loving liberals.

Word of the day: Zäsur

yeah i have spent a large part of the last 5 days going "what the gently caress" about the EU response, particularly germany's. it feels like an unintended shock doctrine where so many things that were previously absolutely off the table are now just.. permissible?

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS

Shibawanko posted:

trying to join the EU seems pretty stupid at this point. it's not going to be accepted by either side and wouldn't really be fair to other states trying to join normally

I don't think Ukraine is expecting it either, but it's something they can try to use to negotiate something else in their interests.

Mr. Smile Face Hat
Sep 15, 2003

Praise be to China's Covid-Zero Policy

boofhead posted:

Re: Germany increased defence spending -- Germany's military is in a shambles for various reasons but it's largely not due to a lack of money (they already have a huge budget, relatively speaking). ideally the 100bn extra would have instead gone towards reforming/supporting the energy sector, but regardless of where the money ends up (the caymans) i'd say the gesture still represents a fairly significant shift in the german political position towards its armed forces and its military role within europe.. but let's see how sustained all these responses are, only time will tell

I would think someone had a talk with Scholz that this poo poo (his previous, extremely reluctant stance) can't go on anymore and then he, being enough of a politician, told himself that if he had to do this, he might as well do it right and make it his thing.

I doubt it's all going to go to waste because it also has to be able to tide Germany over if Trump or another isolationist-type fascist is elected president in 2024. Not having any meaningful defensive capabilities of its own has suddenly gotten real old for Germany.

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

ronya posted:

The video is widely shared, but that's an observation that didn't occur to me:

https://twitter.com/Den_2042/status/1498235463773138948

Their current mayor literally can barely put two words in Ukrainian together.

The Lone Badger
Sep 24, 2007

Mr. Smile Face Hat posted:

I would think someone had a talk with Scholz that this poo poo (his previous, extremely reluctant stance) can't go on anymore and then he, being enough of a politician, told himself that if he had to do this, he might as well do it right and make it his thing.

I doubt it's all going to go to waste because it also has to be able to tide Germany over if Trump or another isolationist-type fascist is elected president in 2024. Not having any meaningful defensive capabilities of its own has suddenly gotten real old for Germany.

Is the idea of an EU military going to get floated again?

Slugworth
Feb 18, 2001

If two grown men can't make a pervert happy for a few minutes in order to watch a film about zombies, then maybe we should all just move to Iran!
I hate to backseat drive, but honestly, I would have demanded this day one.

Answers Me
Apr 24, 2012

Randarkman posted:

Ukraine should 100% try to join the EU if they make it out of this alive. Putin can choke on a bag of dicks.

I'm fully aware that we're in 'It's too late for anything else' territory now, but 'what if our international empires and trading blocs were even bigger and more polarised' is only kicking the can down the road, and will likely lead to bigger catastrophes and/or a shitload of collateral damage in the meantime. People like to read this situation like it's a Cold War speed run but I'm picking up more 'eve of WW1' vibes in terms of imperial powers butting heads and getting themselves into messes that can't be cleaned up.

Trump
Jul 16, 2003

Cute

The Lone Badger posted:

Is the idea of an EU military going to get floated again?

The European Defence Union is a guarantee.

Charlotte Hornets
Dec 30, 2011

by Fritz the Horse
https://twitter.com/Caucasuswar/status/1498254276711391235?cxt=HHwWhoC9qfOU78opAAAA

Some more tractor porn

Blurred
Aug 26, 2004

WELL I WONNER WHAT IT'S LIIIIIKE TO BE A GOOD POSTER

boofhead posted:

yeah i have spent a large part of the last 5 days going "what the gently caress" about the EU response, particularly germany's. it feels like an unintended shock doctrine where so many things that were previously absolutely off the table are now just.. permissible?

Never underestimate the psychological power of invoking a common enemy to unify a people. It's sad, but we remain tribal animals, and there are few social forces more powerful or salient than the division of our world (locally and globally) into simplistic in-groups and out-groups.

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS

Mr. Smile Face Hat posted:

I would think someone had a talk with Scholz that this poo poo (his previous, extremely reluctant stance) can't go on anymore and then he, being enough of a politician, told himself that if he had to do this, he might as well do it right and make it his thing.

I doubt it's all going to go to waste because it also has to be able to tide Germany over if Trump or another isolationist-type fascist is elected president in 2024. Not having any meaningful defensive capabilities of its own has suddenly gotten real old for Germany.

That's probably the thing that sent a chill down their spines. If this poo poo took place a couple of years ago with Trump in charge Russia could have rolled tanks all the way to Berlin and the US wouldn't lift a finger. It's woken them up to the fact that you've got a belligerent neighbor and an unreliable ally, and suddenly Europe may need to look to it's own defences after 2024 depending on the outcome of the US election.

Cabbages and VHS
Aug 25, 2004

Listen, I've been around a bit, you know, and I thought I'd seen some creepy things go on in the movie business, but I really have to say this is the most disgusting thing that's ever happened to me.

Yureina posted:

China can eat poo poo. Once Putin's done we can give them our full attention. Once the CCP's done then all this malarkey about authoritarianism being on the rise again will hopefully shut the gently caress up for the rest of our lifetimes.

have you heard about a country called America though?

Ola
Jul 19, 2004

I hope Germany spends its €100 billion like this:

€80 billion on energy independence
€19 billion on a coup against Putin
€1 billion on a European Defense Union, which is I think is the standard rate for a week long seminar in Davos

Trump
Jul 16, 2003

Cute

Ola posted:

I hope Germany spends its €100 billion like this:

€80 billion on energy independence
€19 billion on a coup against Putin
€1 billion on a European Defense Union, which is I think is the standard rate for a week long seminar in Davos

I hope they deploy the Maus tank

uXs
May 3, 2005

Mark it zero!

Athas posted:

I'm guessing that a lot of these donations from smaller NATO countries comprise their entire inventory of that particular item. That was implied when Denmark donated NLAWs as well. It makes sense, as there is little chance these countries will need anti-tank weaponry any time soon, and in fact the inventory might just expire (or be spent in exercises) without being used anyway.

I wonder if we'll also see a significant increase in military production in NATO countries. How else will Germany spend the massive amount of money they promised?

In the unnamed EU country I'm from, we promised like 200 anti-tank missiles (but we actually need those for our own increased deployment...), a bunch of fuel (but we don't have enough trucks so getting it there would take months), and we also don't have enough APC's to transport our troops for said deployment.

So yeah, we're donating everything we have, and in some cases more than we actually have.

Military planners should play some more first person shooters, so they'd start to realize that the amount of ammo you have is really, really critical.

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS
I can't believe Russians savings are potentially up for grabs as the central bank tries to prevent an economic collapse. State TV can cover up or mislead details of the war, and inflation can be explained away as western aggression, but seeing the rubles in your bank account getting deleted (however worthless they are now) is going to hit very close to home and I would be surprised if there wasn't an uprising after a few days of that.

Trump
Jul 16, 2003

Cute
Denmark doesn't even have enough live ammo for training. When we deployed a frigate with a detachment of Frogmen to hunt pirates. Soldiers back in denmark couldnt practive marksmanship.

cr0y
Mar 24, 2005




"So these are my sheep, these are my cows, this is where I keep the hay, this is my Russian surface-to-air missile system, this is where I grow the corn..."

Shibawanko
Feb 13, 2013

Randarkman posted:

Ukraine should 100% try to join the EU if they make it out of this alive. Putin can choke on a bag of dicks.

putin should die by anal pipebomb but adding an active warzone involving a nuclear state to the EU just seems suicidal

Budzilla
Oct 14, 2007

We can all learn from our past mistakes.

Not verified. Also look at thread :nms:

https://twitter.com/AceJaceu/status/1497998439828926470

Erdogan is a piece of poo poo but if these drones clown Russian forces i hate him a little less.

Omon Ra
Nov 1, 2020
peanus

Answers Me posted:

I'm fully aware that we're in 'It's too late for anything else' territory now, but 'what if our international empires and trading blocs were even bigger and more polarised' is only kicking the can down the road, and will likely lead to bigger catastrophes and/or a shitload of collateral damage in the meantime. People like to read this situation like it's a Cold War speed run but I'm picking up more 'eve of WW1' vibes in terms of imperial powers butting heads and getting themselves into messes that can't be cleaned up.
Kicking what can down the road? I'm not sure what you mean, what do you think should happen in regard to Ukraine? It shouldn't be allowed to join organizations that Russia doesn't approve of?

Antigravitas
Dec 8, 2019

Die Rettung fuer die Landwirte:

boofhead posted:

yeah i have spent a large part of the last 5 days going "what the gently caress" about the EU response, particularly germany's. it feels like an unintended shock doctrine where so many things that were previously absolutely off the table are now just.. permissible?

As far as I can tell the assumption was that Russia fundamentally sees the world through a realist lens the same way EU member nations do, and can thus be treated through the same framework. As that assumption clearly does not hold anymore, there's a radical realignment happening through everything that touches foreign policy. And due to the way Germany is integrated into the EU, everything is foreign policy.

The framing of the policy shift as narrated by Baerbock is one of alternativlosigkeit, i.e. that all alternatives have been tried and we're out of options. Hence the realignment of the Bundeswehr as an army for fighting a conventional war with a higher budget being borne out of Sachzwang (another word of the day :eng101:, see also: Zugzwang).

It should be noted, and it's a recurring theme when you look at lots of EU negotiations, that France and Germany play bad cop/good cop. A lot. The Brexit negotiations were where that dynamic has been the most visible.

Trump posted:

I hope they deploy the Maus tank

Did you know that German Tigers can fly now?

NTRabbit
Aug 15, 2012

i wear this armour to protect myself from the histrionics of hysterical women

bitches




For an armed force that has claimed yet again to have air superiority, there's been quite a lack of videos of Russian helicopters in the air lately

fuctifino
Jun 11, 2001

To those who are unfamiliar, this is Liz Truss, the UK's Foreign Secretary. She's more focussed on daily photoshoots for her official instagram account than doing actual foreign policy work. She's many levels less competent than Boris, which is a scary thought given the state of things at the moment.

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

NTRabbit posted:

For an armed force that has claimed yet again to have air superiority, there's been quite a lack of videos of Russian helicopters in the air lately

There's been a lack of videos of anything recent, really. Compared to the first couple of days, at least.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound
https://twitter.com/75002Parisienne/status/1498235992741920772?s=20&t=rHiiVPvLGSDfPrysJmgozw

Dick Ripple
May 19, 2021
How diffilcult would it be for NATO to 'donate' some Reapers to Ukraine? We are all seeing these almost live satellite photos of convoys just asking to be bombed. Ukraine right now cannot have enough Stingers, NLAWs, and TB2s.

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS

Budzilla posted:

Not verified. Also look at thread :nms:

https://twitter.com/AceJaceu/status/1497998439828926470

Erdogan is a piece of poo poo but if these drones clown Russian forces i hate him a little less.

I wonder why it's taken so long for footage like this to emerge. Were the units in the first video SAM missile launchers?

Blurred
Aug 26, 2004

WELL I WONNER WHAT IT'S LIIIIIKE TO BE A GOOD POSTER
Japan joins the sanction party:

https://twitter.com/JPN_PMO/status/1498253866957434882

NTRabbit posted:

For an armed force that has claimed yet again to have air superiority, there's been quite a lack of videos of Russian helicopters in the air lately

Plenty on the ground though:

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1498257506698727426

theghostpt
Sep 1, 2009

fuctifino posted:

To those who are unfamiliar, this is Liz Truss, the UK's Foreign Secretary. She's more focussed on daily photoshoots for her official instagram account than doing actual foreign policy work. She's many levels less competent than Boris, which is a scary thought given the state of things at the moment.



Nice spaceballs cosplay.

Is there any confirmation if those rumored peace talks have started?

Antigravitas
Dec 8, 2019

Die Rettung fuer die Landwirte:

fuctifino posted:

To those who are unfamiliar, this is Liz Truss, the UK's Foreign Secretary. She's more focussed on daily photoshoots for her official instagram account than doing actual foreign policy work. She's many levels less competent than Boris, which is a scary thought given the state of things at the moment.



Lmao, can't hold a candle to Tactical Baerbock

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Upgrade posted:

It makes sense to have more pilots than planes. Look at commercial airplanes, the limitation on flying time is human tolerance, not airframes. Thats why you have multiple crews swapping in and out to maximize flight time.

It tends to not work like that for military aviation. Those machines need a lot of maintenance to fly compared to airliners because they are being taken to the limits all the time during war. Think of formula cars vs. buses.

Shibawanko
Feb 13, 2013

selfish question: did russia or japan block eachothers airlines yet? my wife has to fly home, i already told her to consider rebooking through the middle east to avoid russia

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS

Dick Ripple posted:

How diffilcult would it be for NATO to 'donate' some Reapers to Ukraine? We are all seeing these almost live satellite photos of convoys just asking to be bombed. Ukraine right now cannot have enough Stingers, NLAWs, and TB2s.

They've already given Ukraine more fighters, I'm sure drones are ok assuming the Ukrainians can be trained to use them quick enough. Given flying a drone looks for all the world like MS Flight Simulator or something I'm sure it wouldn't take long for them to get the hang of it and there's no shortage of targets to practice on.

THE BAR
Oct 20, 2011

You know what might look better on your nose?

Trump posted:

I hope they deploy the Maus tank

They must not stop until the Ratte is their MBT!

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

theghostpt posted:

Nice spaceballs cosplay.

Is there any confirmation if those rumored peace talks have started?

Norwegian TV just showed footage of them sitting down at the table, so probably right about now

3D Megadoodoo
Nov 25, 2010

Shibawanko posted:

selfish question: did russia or japan block eachothers airlines yet? my wife has to fly home, i already told her to consider rebooking through the middle east to avoid russia

There's a non-zero chance that Russians will "accidentally" shoot down a passenger airliner again so maybe do that regardless.

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Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.

Dick Ripple posted:

How diffilcult would it be for NATO to 'donate' some Reapers to Ukraine? We are all seeing these almost live satellite photos of convoys just asking to be bombed. Ukraine right now cannot have enough Stingers, NLAWs, and TB2s.

I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s happening already or will soon. I am pretty sure we won’t get every single asset or weapon type sent there.

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