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KitConstantine posted:I don't see a carve out for energy on this new legislation - dated today. Can someone who's good at translating diplomatic to English give a take? Belgium isn't loving around. 
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Feb 28, 2022 18:33
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Kraftwerk posted:I'm assuming if the US wanted to help Ukraine with special forces, the Green Berets would be the ones to use here? Probably, yes. It wouldn't surprise me at all if that's happening right now, but if so it would be done very, very secretly. Edit: It would be an extremely risky thing to do for the reasons outlined a couple posts above. Then again, we had people in Syria for years before the press really picked up on it. That said, I think it'd be more likely to train Ukrainians in Poland, and then send them back across the border. I don't really know though.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:33
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Putting Ukraine into the EU accession process would be a decent way of playing Putin's frozen conflict trick against him - formalising the notion that as far as the EU concerned an occupied/annexed Ukraine is in the process of joining and being prevented by Russia gives European leaders a little wiggle room in future to say "well of course I would like to try some normalisation of relations, but there's this issue here..."
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Feb 28, 2022 18:36
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DoomTrainPhD posted:Hello; This really depends on what he wants to do and what his background is. I’m here in Poland and can help figure it out - PM me or email kylofon@gmail.com .
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Feb 28, 2022 18:36
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https://twitter.com/jason_corcoran/status/1498343208094478354
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Feb 28, 2022 18:37
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DoomTrainPhD posted:Belgium isn't loving around. They have a history with big bullies. 
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Feb 28, 2022 18:37
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DoomTrainPhD posted:Belgium isn't loving around. ”Brussels“ means the entire EU here, not just Belgium. The European Commission is there.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:39
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KitConstantine posted:I don't see a carve out for energy on this new legislation - dated today. Can someone who's good at translating diplomatic to English give a take? The EU going a lot harder than the US on sanctions sounds like the correct way to approach this from an escalation prevention PoV, no? Putin's stance is that NATO (let's be honest, the US) is masterminding the conflict. So having the US tagging along behind Europe at least helps a little in undercutting that narrative.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:39
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Rouble will be having some crazy time when Russians unblock the stock market. EUR/RUB  USD/RUB 
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Feb 28, 2022 18:40
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Honj Steak posted:”Brussels“ means the entire EU here, not just Belgium. The European Commission is there. Remember when the European Commission threatened to kill the Bush presidency over tariffs, getting the States to back off?
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Feb 28, 2022 18:41
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https://twitter.com/NTarnopolsky/status/1498346782656454656?s=20&t=rF5gInV1KZXmqnEIfC4dDw
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Feb 28, 2022 18:42
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Only one of the turnstiles in this picture accepts card/NFC payments. The ones in the middle are for standard prepaid (often period) tickets. This picture is just normal rush hour traffic. It frequently is way more busy at the Moscow metro stations that I frequent. Also, you can't put cash in the turnstiles anyways. If anything not having Apple Pay makes this go faster, since people don't fumble around with failing to use their fingerprints or face ID or whatever.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:42
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Aramis posted:The EU going a lot harder than the US on sanctions sounds like the correct way to approach this from an escalation prevention PoV, no? Putin's stance is that the NATO (let's be honest, the US) is masterminding the conflict. So having the US tagging along behind Europe at least helps a little in undercutting that narrative. The Europeans are simply more alarmed by the war because of geography, no need to find a more complex explanation.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:42
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Shes Not Impressed posted:https://twitter.com/NTarnopolsky/status/1498346782656454656?s=20&t=rF5gInV1KZXmqnEIfC4dDw Oh boy
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Feb 28, 2022 18:43
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Aramis posted:The EU going a lot harder than the US on sanctions sounds like the correct way to approach this from an escalation prevention PoV, no? Putin's stance is that the NATO (let's be honest, the US) is masterminding the conflict. So having the US tagging along behind Europe at least helps a little in undercutting that narrative. Exactly. It sells NATO as a mutual alliance by European states against agression and the US just happenes to be a member in solidarity with them. Pay no attention to funding charts or material forces % given. Honestly Biden is playing this very well. He'll probably get a big popularity bump just from this. Now if he stops blowing off his own toes on domestic issues he might be sitting pretty well. TulliusCicero fucked around with this message at 18:50 on Feb 28, 2022 |
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Feb 28, 2022 18:43
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Honj Steak posted:The Europeans are simply more alarmed by the war because of geography, no need to find a more complex explanation. 100%. If you take Putin's own speech at face value there are a whole lot of EU citizens that are in line to get Russified.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:44
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Shes Not Impressed posted:https://twitter.com/NTarnopolsky/status/1498346782656454656?s=20&t=rF5gInV1KZXmqnEIfC4dDw Whelp. If anyone wanted to see what a competent air force would do, you just might see it.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:45
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Shes Not Impressed posted:https://twitter.com/NTarnopolsky/status/1498346782656454656?s=20&t=rF5gInV1KZXmqnEIfC4dDw "Denazification" vis a vi bombing a bunch of Jews. Jesus Christ, Putin you loving monster.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:45
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Shes Not Impressed posted:https://twitter.com/NTarnopolsky/status/1498346782656454656?s=20&t=rF5gInV1KZXmqnEIfC4dDw Putin getting the ol' Mossad treatment would be quite a twist.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:45
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cinci zoo sniper posted:Rouble will be having some crazy time when Russians unblock the stock market. Apologies for a possibly silly question but I'm not that knowledgeable about markets and the economy. Since Russia is getting slapped with sanctions and what not, what are the implications of them closing the stock market like they did today? Can they just keep it closed since they're being economically isolated right now and keep the exchange rates frozen to make it look like things are "ok" for the domestic audience?
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Feb 28, 2022 18:45
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Shes Not Impressed posted:https://twitter.com/NTarnopolsky/status/1498346782656454656?s=20&t=rF5gInV1KZXmqnEIfC4dDw Well that seems like cause for concern.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:46
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Pook Good Mook posted:Whelp. If anyone wanted to see what a competent air force would do, you just might see it. Gonna guess that the IDAF wont be flying to Ukr.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:46
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Ruble? More like rubble! I’ll see myself out.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:46
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https://twitter.com/cliffordlevy/status/1498350735695790086
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Feb 28, 2022 18:47
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Shes Not Impressed posted:https://twitter.com/NTarnopolsky/status/1498346782656454656?s=20&t=rF5gInV1KZXmqnEIfC4dDw gently caress. Are these Israeli nationals (studying/working abroad), or Ukrainian Jews evacuating to Israel? I know that Israel has received thousands of right-of-return requests from Ukrainians over the past few days. Either way it's really loving bad and could escalate things quite a bit.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:47
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Fabulous Knight posted:The name Volodymyr (which is obviously the same name as Vladimir) Zelensky as well as the Ukrainian ambassador being named Volodymyr reminds me of the times the Kremlin's official English language website published reports of calls between Zelensky and Putin. In these they referred to the former as "Vladimir Zelensky", and one can draw their conclusions as to why. There's also the question if you say Alexander Lukashenko (Russian) or Alyaksandr Lukashenka (Belarusian). A lot of English media uses the Russian version, while in Finland media mainly uses the Belarusian version. Not saying that either is wrong, but it's interesting. America's president is of course Dzo Baiden, thankfully there's no ambiguity there.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:48
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BigglesSWE posted:They have a history with big bullies. Also a history of being one themselves in a certain African country but that's a story for another day.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:48
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Messaged my Russian friend last night. I told him I'm sorry for what the sanctions will do to regular people. And that if he can please tell his friends that Americans don't hate Russians. They're good people. He replied that everyone is sick of Putin and this war. We all deserve better.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:48
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quote:Schools across Russia will host special war-themed social studies classes on March 1, where teachers must retell to schoolchildren in grades 7-11 the arguments from President Vladimir Putin’s speech about the reasons for the “special military operation” against Ukraine and condemn calls for anti-war actions. https://zona.media/article/2022/02/28/propaganda-lessons Google translate did a decent job
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Feb 28, 2022 18:49
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Shes Not Impressed posted:https://twitter.com/NTarnopolsky/status/1498346782656454656?s=20&t=rF5gInV1KZXmqnEIfC4dDw Google translate of the attached tweet thread: quote:Shooting at an Israeli convoy in Ukraine, apparently a serious incident
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Feb 28, 2022 18:49
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dominoeffect posted:Apologies for a possibly silly question but I'm not that knowledgeable about markets and the economy. Since Russia is getting slapped with sanctions and what not, what are the implications of them closing the stock market like they did today? Can they just keep it closed since they're being economically isolated right now and keep the exchange rates frozen to make it look like things are "ok" for the domestic audience? The domestic audience does have Internet access. They can push this off for a bit but it is at the expense of what little investor tolerance could possibly remain for their insane level of risk. And even with sanctions up, businesses exist that need to buy things not denominated in RUB.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:50
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Israel does not gently caress around with its citizens lives. The Israeli air force getting involved would definitely change the calculus. Russia can't just nuke Israel without de facto pulling in NATO (no one is going to let nukes start flying), and Israel is unpopular enough in the rest of the world that other countries can plausibly shrug and say, "What can we do?" Based on what we've seen, they would tear the Russian air force apart. The attack itself isn't corroborated yet, and of course this is pretty wild speculation (even for me).
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Feb 28, 2022 18:51
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tracecomplete posted:The domestic audience does have Internet access. Yes they do but several sites like twitter or facebook are block or restricted in someway.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:51
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The twist of the century would be the Israeli airforce relieving Kyiv Wasn't Benny and Putin getting along as well? That might have just gone up in total flames
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Feb 28, 2022 18:52
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Turkey is officially closing the Straits. Seems like they're taking a side. https://twitter.com/b_nishanov/status/1498349254703783942?t=fYkC1mPRZ2Zh5KhL9-qMgg&s=19
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Feb 28, 2022 18:52
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Shes Not Impressed posted:Messaged my Russian friend last night. I'm glad to hear that. FWIW, last time I checked the Levada Center's polls (before the war), a majority of Russians said they had positive impressions of Americans, which was unexpected but nice. KitConstantine posted:Turkey is officially closing the Straits. Seems like they're taking a side. Whoa.  Looks like Russia should've tried harder during the Crimean War. (the 19th century one, not the 21st century one)
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Feb 28, 2022 18:52
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So Navalny is probably dead at this point right? It's been awfully quiet on that side lately
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Feb 28, 2022 18:52
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Telsa Cola posted:Yes they do but several sites like twitter or facebook are block or restricted in someway. Is it a situation like China where everyone young/with it knows how to VPN?
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Feb 28, 2022 18:52
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Ynglaur posted:Israel does not gently caress around with its citizens lives. Well, I mean. Sometimes it does.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:52
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selec posted:Is it a situation like China where everyone young/with it knows how to VPN? Yes.
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Feb 28, 2022 18:53
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