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Russia want to split Ukraine into three districts. Novorussia. The lviv confederation and the Kyiv Republic.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:21
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I assume the biggest effect of Ukraine formally associating with the EU like that is more long-term and political, rather than something that'll help the military situation in the here and now. It'll affect their bargaining posture in negotiations if they have some degree of EU recognition and support, and may help with post-war questions like rebuilding and stabilizing the economy. It's less dramatic than transfers of missiles, but it may be just as important for blocking attempts to institute regime change in Ukraine. Unless Russia intends to militarily occupy and prop up a pro-Russian regime forever, the political gravity of Ukraine will keep pulling them toward Europe and away from Russia.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:21
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Itsfreeweaponry.png https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1498708463098204162?t=aXhu5gMpRdG3EcmChNtD3w&s=19 Translation according to comments is "Thanks for the free rpgs"
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Mar 1, 2022 18:22
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Djarum posted:I would be very surprised if Ukraine's are not being controlled via satellite with the operators out of theater right now. That seems like something that the US or UK would have assisted with awhile ago quietly. It would also explain why they are still operating. Color yourself surprised, because you can look at a Ukrainian TB2 and tell that it is not satellite operated Ukrainian TB2  Satellite operated TB2 
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Mar 1, 2022 18:23
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It was basically impossible for anyone but the worst pariah to vote against the recommendation for them to be a candidate today. That will not be true in 5 or 10 or 20 years or whenever it comes time for it to actually be decided.KitConstantine posted:Itsfreeweaponry.png What's the blue armbands mean? Haven't seen those before
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Mar 1, 2022 18:23
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The integration process can take a long time even after they're accepted as they try to meet what ever the requirements are. It's all just part of doing every single thing that Russia will be upset about because they've burned all their bridges
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Mar 1, 2022 18:25
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Beefeater1980 posted:NG has a circulation of about 90k people according to Wikipedia. That’s decently large - NYT, for the US, which has twice the population, is about 370k - but it’s extremely hard to tell from here (China) how much ability it has to change the opinions of the general populace. Most likely that will be based on who reads it, internalises it and shares those views.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:27
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:Russia want to split Ukraine into three districts. Novorussia. The lviv confederation and the Kyiv Republic. Coming out of Putin's discussion with Macron yesterday, he additionally demands recognition of Crimea's independence.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:27
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Holy poo poo. Someone was filming the exact moment a tank fired on his building - northwest suburb of Kyiv Warning: the guy seems unhurt and the video just shows property damage, but yeah firing on a residential building in the middle of the day  https://twitter.com/COUPSURE/status/1498706479058235392?t=qt4metjKu-HO3Wm8_hidAQ&s=19
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Mar 1, 2022 18:28
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TheRat posted:
Probably the same thing as the yellow ones, or similar enough given they are the flag colors.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:29
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jettisonedstuff posted:What do you think is on those trucks if not fuel and food? Those trucks arent moving. a 40KM traffic jam needs days to untangle. They arent useful if they arent at the front.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:31
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Liquid Chicken posted:
Saw a video of this on Euronews or DW while ago and run into longer version of it today. It's some rough poo poo, having girl and 3 boys that are a similar age. Was listening Euronews or DW today while shopping and there was about Belarus soldiers crossing the Ukrainian border, is there confirmation other news about that? KitConstantine posted:Holy poo poo. Someone was filming the exact moment a tank fired on his building - northwest suburb of Kyiv "Whoops, got shot by tank, guess I should un-zoom and change position to get a better view." Man that guy has balls of steel. 
Captain Kosmos fucked around with this message at 18:36 on Mar 1, 2022 |
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Mar 1, 2022 18:31
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KitConstantine posted:Holy poo poo. Someone was filming the exact moment a tank fired on his building - northwest suburb of Kyiv goddam you can see the shell graze a roof or something below before impacting the building
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Mar 1, 2022 18:33
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TheRat posted:It was basically impossible for anyone but the worst pariah to vote against the recommendation for them to be a candidate today. That will not be true in 5 or 10 or 20 years or whenever it comes time for it to actually be decided. Ukrainian friend-or-foe armbands, recent appearance.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:38
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https://twitter.com/SashaIngber/status/1498703049245790214
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Mar 1, 2022 18:38
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Big deal: more high profile Russians speaking out against Putin's internal disinformation campaign https://twitter.com/ichbinilya/status/1498633863114936321?t=_DXseX5bjpnmSgPv94d8qA&s=19 Original post in Russian is one down the thread Plane posters confirm, but this also sounds like a big deal - evidence that an Su-34 was shot down in Ukraine https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1498712543870791682?t=VcZ5ZulWdpXe3ITbm5YicA&s=19 This is another weapons tracker account that has been pretty scrupulous about sourcing, btw
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Mar 1, 2022 18:38
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OctaMurk posted:Color yourself surprised, because you can look at a Ukrainian TB2 and tell that it is not satellite operated Well to be fair if the US or UK did help with any sort of satellite operation with the Ukrainian drones it would likely be a state secret and not shown off publicly. It could be something like a satellite relay as well, which considering if you wanted to keep it quiet would be a good way to do it. It will be very interesting in the future to find out what exactly was done to assist the Ukrainians.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:39
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If there is something more moral crushing in the army than running out of food, it's running out of cigarettes.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:45
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Charlotte Hornets posted:If there is something more moral crushing in the army than running out of food, it's running out of cigarettes. US army food is evidence enough that bad food is better than no food. Running out of coffee, chewing tobacco, or cigarettes though, that’s a fast way to get absolutely nothing done.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:48
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KitConstantine posted:Big deal: more high profile Russians speaking out against Putin's internal disinformation campaign It certainly matches the look of a Su-34. It looks to be from the underside of a wing. Which a hit there from let's say AA guns or a smaller missile might not take it down since it is a outer part of the wing. Unless we see more bits from elsewhere I'd say the evidence is inconclusive for a shoot down. The fact that it is in theater and getting hit means that the Russians are getting desperate since they do not have many Su-34s and generally only use them in very safe situations.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:50
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https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1498698484450578438 Looks like it was a direct hit on the TV tower, wonder what they were trying to hit?
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Mar 1, 2022 18:51
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Djarum posted:It certainly matches the look of a Su-34. It looks to be from the underside of a wing. Which a hit there from let's say AA guns or a smaller missile might not take it down since it is a outer part of the wing. Unless we see more bits from elsewhere I'd say the evidence is inconclusive for a shoot down. The fact that it is in theater and getting hit means that the Russians are getting desperate since they do not have many Su-34s and generally only use them in very safe situations. Doesn't super matter if it's a shoot down, thats a jet thats likely no longer going to be able to operate until its repaired.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:52
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OctaMurk posted:Color yourself surprised, because you can look at a Ukrainian TB2 and tell that it is not satellite operated me, nodding my head very stupidly Mhm, bird.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:52
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Captain Kosmos posted:https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1498698484450578438 They announced earlier today that they were taking out "communications and propaganda" or something like that, so they were probably aiming for the TV station.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:53
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Djarum posted:It certainly matches the look of a Su-34. It looks to be from the underside of a wing. Which a hit there from let's say AA guns or a smaller missile might not take it down since it is a outer part of the wing. Unless we see more bits from elsewhere I'd say the evidence is inconclusive for a shoot down. The fact that it is in theater and getting hit means that the Russians are getting desperate since they do not have many Su-34s and generally only use them in very safe situations. Explain? Why is this a bigger deal than any other plane? Sometimes this thread seems to assume we all know all thr acronyms.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:54
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Captain Kosmos posted:https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1498698484450578438 My bet, the TV tower. With the populace being armed, disrupting the government's communication with them could be a strategic goal.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:54
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Captain Kosmos posted:https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1498698484450578438 The TV tower most likely, Like in a coup, in an invasion media control is important.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:54
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:Explain? Why is this a bigger deal than any other plane? It's newer and more expensive and they only have like 130 of them, but it's hardly a PAK FA
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Mar 1, 2022 18:55
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I am hearing a lot of cautiously good chatter. US DoD saying 80% of Putin's invasion army is now inside Ukraine, but Ukraine defense still holding. Russian troops are showing noted risk avoidance behavior. There are also credible reports that Russian troops in numbers are surrendering to UA forces, and that the Russians inside Ukraine are starting to exhaust their 8 year old MREs and run out of food. Of course, FoW applies.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:56
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Apologies for POW chat, but it sounds like the fact that those videos are going out is the only way families in Russia are getting any information. https://www.svoboda.org/a/v-voenkomate-skazali-eto-feyk-intervjyu-s-bratom-plennogo/31730440.html Machine translated excerpt from the article posted:- Were you allowed to talk? Just a desperately sad situation
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Mar 1, 2022 18:57
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A question occurs to me after seeing that huge Russian column of vehicles make next to no progress today is, how long do you think Russia's supplies of fuel and food last? At what point can we say, if the Russian dont start to make gains in Ukraine, they are in trouble? How long would it take Russia to re-supply its army in Ukraine if they start running out of supplies?
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Mar 1, 2022 18:57
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NPR has announced that NATO does not find it necessary to raise their nuclear preparedness levels in response to Putin's sabre rattling on Sunday. They do not deem it a threat.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:57
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Not going to link it, but several people, what looks to be a family, were instantly incinerated by one of the rockets they fired at the TV tower.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:57
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StarBegotten posted:A question occurs to me after seeing that huge Russian column of vehicles make next to no progress today is, how long do you think Russia's supplies of fuel and food last? The problem is not going to be stockpiles, they've spent months moving stuff into position for this. The issue is how much throughput they have from the stockpiles to the frontline.
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Mar 1, 2022 18:59
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:Explain? Why is this a bigger deal than any other plane? It's also a bit more focused on air to ground stuff than some of the other planes (if the Su-25 if the Russian equivalent of an A-10 then the Su-34 could be compared to an F-15E Strike Eagle). Flies fast, carries a lot of bombs, has more armor around the cockpit, and has a "toilet" (or at least a hand held urinal of sorts). 
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Mar 1, 2022 18:59
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FishBulbia posted:The TV tower most likely, Like in a coup, in an invasion media control is important. NATO bombed almost every radio and tv tower in Serbia back in 1999. My grandparents lived near one and saw it blow up during the campaign. It's a common practice both to try and gently caress with state media and to eliminate any possible tools used for command and control.
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Mar 1, 2022 19:00
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Alchenar posted:The problem is not going to be stockpiles, they've spent months moving stuff into position for this. The issue is how much throughput they have from the stockpiles to the frontline. This. It's all about logistics. War is basically just a logistics puzzle game.
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Mar 1, 2022 19:00
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Captain Kosmos posted:https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1498698484450578438 A tower built like that is pretty hard to topple with traditional ordnance. A large majority of the explosive force simply gets dispersed into thin air. It would need a direct on something load bearing to go down.
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Mar 1, 2022 19:00
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Russia tightening up media even further https://twitter.com/EilishHart/status/1498717987779579908?t=Wri-kgdF4dRiw7skySmJWA&s=19 Some detail on the stations: https://twitter.com/ylitvinenko/status/1498717415286489088?t=dHZpcgFV06PzCv5pQDnQ3g&s=19
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Mar 1, 2022 19:02
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Calibanibal posted:This. It's all about logistics. War is basically just a logistics puzzle game. Given what some posters said way back about Putin's distaste for domestic politics I'm going to hazard a guess that little things like logistics and encrypted radio channels don't fit into his big board game calculus. I doubt he understands how anything works.
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Mar 1, 2022 19:02
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