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Cugel the Clever posted:I'm surprised I haven't seen more tankies accusing Ukrainians of painting Zs on their own equipment. Only ones I saw were some photoshops adding Z's to wrecks from 2014 and the war in Georgia, during the first week At this point I don't think you could take a paias without wetting a wrecked tank tho, so I doubt they need to fake it
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Mar 11, 2022 07:15
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Defenestrategy posted:Why choose bioweapons of all things? We already have covi... China already did. It's Maine lobsters that did it. 
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Mar 11, 2022 07:22
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Defenestrategy posted:They're gonna blame the US for covid aren't they. China's been doing that for years already.
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Mar 11, 2022 07:31
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Comrade Blyatlov posted:First, thanks for your awesome post. The knock-on effects of the invasion are going to be insane, and you're demonstrating one aspect of that really well. Pretty much all combined cycle gas turbines are sold by a handful of Western firms (GE, Siemens, and ABB). Same goes for the control systems that manage oil production and refining - almost entirely Western or Japanese companies.
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Mar 11, 2022 07:58
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https://twitter.com/ELINTNews/status/1502075497991348226 Jesus loving Christ Each and every one of those dudes has a wirecutter built into their goddamn bayonet. Why are they advancing in masse down the middle of the loving hardtop and not cutting that wire and spreading out Edit: Also: https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/russian-comms-ukraine-world-hertz
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Mar 11, 2022 08:07
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Anecdotal, but Russia is at the tail end of 30 years of severe brain drain. The USSR could produce turbine engines and generators. They weren't all amazing, but enough of them were comparable to western stuff that they could have run an autarky with inferior washing machines and toilet paper. However, pretty much as soon as the walls came down, engineers and scientists were leaving approximately in order of competence, most competent first and so on down. I know a Russian turbine engineer, he stayed in Russia pretty much long enough to prove he was roughly hireable, then went GE, US, Argentina, Japan, etc. He's a dyed in the wool Russian nationalist, but still doesn't live there anymore lol. He's the exception because the university system was pretty severely gutted by flight of most of the competent academics with credentials to prove that a western university should hire them. You can still see this in academic departments across the country, massive number of Russian academics are working in the US, wildly out of proportion to any other European nationality. So not only do they not make turbines, they most likely can't make them in principle. (And won't be able to again for probably decades. It takes time to build institutions like that up after they burn down)
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Mar 11, 2022 08:07
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Softface posted:https://twitter.com/remilitari/status/1502012187627433986?s=20&t=sOJ-5aWdRbqvo78lcAKPuQ The question is what bird will Russia attack us with? Do they have more? IS THERE A BIRD GAP? BrotherJayne posted:https://twitter.com/ELINTNews/status/1502075497991348226 All I can hear that whole video is the memory of someone screaming that they will kick my "dick in" if we keep grouping up like that. Raged fucked around with this message at 08:28 on Mar 11, 2022 |
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Mar 11, 2022 08:20
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ahhh the double post
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Mar 11, 2022 08:27
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Comrade Blyatlov posted:Hahahahahahahahahahahahahah jesus loving christ Well... then he gets replaced with someone competent. Maybe. Cugel the Clever posted:IPutin ... could absolutely get away with backing down... (Apologies if the edit materially changes what you were saying, and if it does, ignore me completely) I'm not sure he could: I think that even if he broke off in UA this instant, handed back Crimea, stopped "supporting " the "resistance" in Donetsk and Luhansk, paid reparations, signed (another...) treaty to respect UA sovereignty etc etc etc... he's bared his teeth one too many times, made nuclear threats and that the Western nations have finally gotten wise to him. It also costs much less political capital to keep sanctions up than to impose them in the first place. The sanctions will see his regime out. I hope. IPCRESS fucked around with this message at 08:56 on Mar 11, 2022 |
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Mar 11, 2022 08:41
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IPCRESS posted:Well... then he gets replaced with someone competent. Maybe. I could see them being eased as a part of an Iran nuclear deal type negotiation after the war. Maybe for some kind of mutual nonproliferation or ballistic missile ban/reduction treaty.
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Mar 11, 2022 09:01
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I just don't see how things get better if Putin's still there. Putin accidentally gets VX for his tea instead of milk, new totally not coup government takes over, pins everything on Putin as a megalomaniac, withdraws from Ukraine. That scenario, I can see everyone being happy to go along with it was all Putin and dropping all the retaliation. It's amazing how long the world has put up with Putin's poo poo as it is. Probably part of why he thought he could get away with it, nothing really happened the last few times he invaded a neighbor so why would it this time?
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Mar 11, 2022 09:09
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Radio War Nerd (highly recommended) just had an episode about the sanctions https://podcastaddict.com/episode/136535208 , basically it seems devastating for the Russians but they have been preparing for this and there is a lot going on behind the scenes that we just do not hear about or most are not aware of. I am not familiar with the guest, and at times he seems a bit apologetic towards Putin, so I would be interested in any criticisms people have about him and what he is saying. While on the Podcast front, the following have been putting out a lot of good content lately on the war in Ukraine. https://warontherocks.com/podcasts/ https://mwi.usma.edu/category/podcasts/ - Current good one on No Fly Zones. https://play.acast.com/s/warcollege
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Mar 11, 2022 09:54
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IPCRESS posted:I'm not sure he could: But it's still a better option than doubling down as there's at least a slim chance that, if he removes his already tiny dick from the grinder, he might staunch the bleeding and muddle through, mangled, like North Korea has managed to. If he just sticks it in further, his regime will bleed out on the steppe. Assuming, of course, that the videos we're seeing of rank incompetence from the Russian military actually reflect the whole rather than just its least competent parts.
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Mar 11, 2022 10:01
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Dick Ripple posted:Radio War Nerd (highly recommended) just had an episode about the sanctions https://podcastaddict.com/episode/136535208 , basically it seems devastating for the Russians but they have been preparing for this and there is a lot going on behind the scenes that we just do not hear about or most are not aware of. I am not familiar with the guest, and at times he seems a bit apologetic towards Putin, so I would be interested in any criticisms people have about him and what he is saying. They havent really been preparing for sanctions on this scale, not in finance (how do you prepare for third of your reserves to be frozen?), not in industry (localizing efforts have been mostly a breeding ground for cuts and kickbacks on a massive scale). The threats of nationalizing the assets of companies that have suspended their business are pure agony.
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Mar 11, 2022 10:31
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You have to listen to the podcast, it is long (80 min). He mentions while the Russians may not have foreseen the severity and speed of the sactions, they are still in position to wait it out.
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Mar 11, 2022 10:43
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fatherboxx posted:They havent really been preparing for sanctions on this scale, not in finance (how do you prepare for third of your reserves to be frozen?), not in industry (localizing efforts have been mostly a breeding ground for cuts and kickbacks on a massive scale). The threats of nationalizing the assets of companies that have suspended their business are pure agony. Not to mention that some of the sanctions on technology exports would take years to develop, cost hundreds of billions of dollars, and require thousands of experts that Russia doesn't have. China may be able to assist to some degree, but even their own semiconductor industry is lagging far behind Taiwan, South Korea, the US, Japan, and Europe. And even then, they aren't going to want to run the risk of being sanctioned by the US or EU for helping them out - look at how quickly ZTE caved after the US came after them for supplying Iran.
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Mar 11, 2022 10:46
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Double posting because this is juicy: https://www.theguardian.com/world/l...f08527b36854d05 quote:Putin has approved 16,000 volunteers from the Middle East to fight in Ukraine Things are apparently going poorly enough that they're having to rely on (presumably) Syrians to backfill their ranks.
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Mar 11, 2022 10:48
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CommieGIR posted:https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1501938378878558220?s=20&t=D6Z2RrBIh1BZBC6TfFZi1Q 
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Mar 11, 2022 11:06
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EasilyConfused posted:I know this isn't the point, but why did they bother coloring in all the tiny French overseas possessions and then not do it for the British ones? I think it's because the French ones are considered an integral part of France and not an overseas possession
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Mar 11, 2022 11:07
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Basticle posted:I think it's because the French ones are considered an integral part of France and not an overseas possession Yeah French overseas departments are just a normal part of France. British Overseas Territories are tax avoidance jurisdictions.
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Mar 11, 2022 11:15
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psydude posted:Double posting because this is juicy: I saw this in the other thread, and i can't believe they actually even attempt this  Seems like an absolute recipe for all kinds of clusterfucks to add to the poo poo they already have.
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Mar 11, 2022 11:18
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Radical 90s Wizard posted:I saw this in the other thread, and i can't believe they actually even attempt this This is assuming they actually find 16k Syrians willing to fight for them (or perhaps not so willing-- I could see Assad emptying out his jails in aid of this but that too would undoubtedly turn into a massive clusterfuck).
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Mar 11, 2022 11:30
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Cugel the Clever posted:I'm surprised I haven't seen more tankies accusing Ukrainians of painting Zs on their own equipment. This was one of the main pro-russian claims in the first week or two, though I've seen it less since it started to become really obvious that actually Russia really was just losing very large numbers of vehicles. It's sort of morphed into a general 'all big fuckups are ukranian disinfo efforts,' which is pretty fuckin lol when you see it in the wild. Defenestrategy posted:Why choose bioweapons of all things? We already have covi... They did that last week, actually Fearless posted:This is assuming they actually find 16k Syrians willing to fight for them (or perhaps not so willing-- I could see Assad emptying out his jails in aid of this but that too would undoubtedly turn into a massive clusterfuck). Assad has a ton of amnestied rebels technically in the SAA. many of whom even know how to work anti-tank launchers, or, yknow, drive trucks. Herstory Begins Now fucked around with this message at 11:41 on Mar 11, 2022 |
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Mar 11, 2022 11:33
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Fearless posted:This is assuming they actually find 16k Syrians willing to fight for them (or perhaps not so willing-- I could see Assad emptying out his jails in aid of this but that too would undoubtedly turn into a massive clusterfuck). I haven't really been paying much attention to Libya, but I think Putin's also tight with Haftar there.
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Mar 11, 2022 12:15
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Hannibal Rex posted:I haven't really been paying much attention to Libya, but I think Putin's also tight with Haftar there. Yeah but Libya has their own issues to work out https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2022-march-7/ IntelBrief: Libya Continues to Unravel quote:Bottom Line up Front
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Mar 11, 2022 12:18
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burn haftar reading
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Mar 11, 2022 12:49
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BrotherJayne posted:Why are they advancing in masse down the middle of the loving hardtop and not cutting that wire and spreading out Traveling groverwatch
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Mar 11, 2022 13:23
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psydude posted:Pretty much all combined cycle gas turbines are sold by a handful of Western firms (GE, Siemens, and ABB). Same goes for the control systems that manage oil production and refining - almost entirely Western or Japanese companies. Anecdotally, back in the late 90s before I enlisted (literally, quit my job on the rear ramp on 9/12/01 after cursing my foreman for leaving me in the ship the day before when they evacuated the yard, drove to the recruiter) I worked on the conversion of a Ukrainian ro/ro ship that was built in 1984 for the Soviet commercial fleet, into the MSC ship LCPL Roy Wheat. The turbines on it, original equipment to the ship, were made by Siemens.
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Mar 11, 2022 13:29
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bees everywhere posted:Traveling groverwatch 
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Mar 11, 2022 13:30
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psydude posted:Double posting because this is juicy: It's not a war on the steppe if you don't have minor powers holding your flanks.
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Mar 11, 2022 13:43
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This is a couple of days old, but if I had to distill Germany down into a single anecdote, it would be this: https://www.stuttgarter-zeitung.de/...5f2311d911.html Group of refugees arrives in the train station and their connecting train isn't until the next day. They receive accommodation at a hotel, but most are either unvaccinated or don't have the proper documentation. Because this is Germany, and strict adherence to protocol is prized over problem solving, nobody thought to bring in someone to do spot testing (a negative rapid test can stand in for the vaccine) and instead they were sent back to sleep in the train station overnight. psydude fucked around with this message at 13:53 on Mar 11, 2022 |
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Mar 11, 2022 13:49
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The Ukrainians claim to have killed a MG (roughly equivalent in rank to an American brigadier General). https://mobile.twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1502269176513273856
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Mar 11, 2022 14:54
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Jasper Tin Neck posted:The Ukrainians claim to have killed a MG (roughly equivalent in rank to an American brigadier General). This would be the third Russian general nabbed so far, iirc. The special military operation seems to be going according to plan.
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Mar 11, 2022 14:57
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Jasper Tin Neck posted:The Ukrainians claim to have killed a MG (roughly equivalent in rank to an American brigadier General). I see they chose the angle that hides the massive mole on his neck. https://twitter.com/Biz_Ukraine_Mag/status/1502261225878601728?s=20&t=TySsKYOhgVNSQRSp8Ujesg
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Mar 11, 2022 15:04
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Mr. Nice! posted:This would be the third Russian general nabbed so far, iirc. The special military operation seems to be going according to plan. There's been several regimental commanders (O6 equivalent) killed as well. I wonder if this is due to deliberate targeting on the part of the Ukrainians, or just carelessness on the part of the Russians? Probably some combination of both. e: It's doubly devastating for the Russians since apparently only the senior leadership actually knows what the hell the plan is, and Russian doctrine doesn't employ mission command. psydude fucked around with this message at 15:07 on Mar 11, 2022 |
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Mar 11, 2022 15:04
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Raged posted:The question is what bird will Russia attack us with? Do they have more? IS THERE A BIRD GAP? What a weird incentive
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Mar 11, 2022 15:06
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psydude posted:There's been several regimental commanders (O6 equivalent) killed as well. At least one of them went to the front of the doom-convoy and was yelling at people when a sniper took his shot. Doubt he recognized who his target was, but if people are scurrying around you and you look like you’re yelling, that’s getting marked as “some type of leadership” and suddenly you’re the priority target.
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Mar 11, 2022 15:07
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McGavin posted:I see they chose the angle that hides the massive mole on his neck. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0QrBxWcBXow
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Mar 11, 2022 15:27
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Just had a shower thought that veers far to much in to clancy territory for my liking, but: We all know how revolutions and drastic change in Russia often follow (not necessarily entirely caused by) failed military operations or wars, e.g the Russo-Japanese war, the February Revolution, the collapse of the Soviet Union post Afghan invasion. And I think I would loving die laughing if this years VDV-day (https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/08/03/the-mischief-and-mayhem-of-russian-paratroopers-day-a71040) would be the spark that turns into wider protests and societal upheaval. Beaten, embarrased and humiliated with a self-image and mythology built up over almost a century shattered, on a day already known for drunken debauchery and violence towards both civilians and police. It would be a perfect opportunity to channel that anger and resentment, albeit perhaps not done purposefully, toward the system and politicians that put Russia in this mess. Like things might escalate out of control with russian security forces unable to contain it. I mean it doesn't even have to be organised, current and former VDV-soldiers already gather on august 2nd every year all across Russia. Now I don't for a second believe this is even remotely probable, but still it's an entertaining thought
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Mar 11, 2022 15:27
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BrotherJayne posted:Each and every one of those dudes has a wirecutter built into their goddamn bayonet. How many of them even have bayonets? And were trained on how to use the wire cutter? I can count on one hand how many times I even saw a bayonet after I finished basic training and the only bayonet I ever touched was the old M7, even though the M9 with wire cutter was adopted when I was two.
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