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Slaan
Mar 16, 2009



ASHERAH DEMANDS I FEAST, I VOTE FOR A FEAST OF FLESH
It would absolutely be an improvement. A non functioning court can't use the shadow docket to make things worse "per curiam" at least. The status quo is bad, but crazy getting ok'd by the ultra right 6 is worse

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Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.
Thomas was just released from the hospital so the universe continues to trend in favor of fascists.

Spacebump
Dec 24, 2003

Dallas Mavericks: Generations

Potato Salad posted:

History is going to be written by the fascists who actually get things for their voters, not the centrists whose only position is that nothing is possible.

Your grandchildren will be taught that the plots of Pizzagate and Big Lie were real. poo poo, that's already happening today.

I'm not kidding.

You should log off the internet more. The fascists lost while trying to rig an election. They will continue to lose because fascists are historically losers. It may take a while for the courts to be rebalanced but it will eventually happen.

Harold Fjord
Jan 3, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 5 hours!
That would require the Dems, or a better party, to win elections then fill seats. Your confidence is at least as unwarranted.

Kalman
Jan 17, 2010

Jaxyon posted:

You say that as if directly lying about what you would do in hypothetical SCOTUS nominations is a thing that senators don't do.

https://twitter.com/Sen_JoeManchin/status/1507352490722967558?s=20&t=wc-Awgu3Dy4g8oywQJepeA

Like I said.

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009
I think we can all picture how the meeting went:
"Do you think we should switch away from coal?"
"I believe that's a policy question to be decided by Congress, Senator"
"Approved!"

LeeMajors
Jan 20, 2005

I've gotta stop fantasizing about Lee Majors...
Ah, one more!



Has Sinema voiced support? Because I can almost hear her prepping to strut into the spotlight, kill the nomination and profit on the right wing circuit as a hero for the next three decades.

Bonus points if she invokes Robert Bork.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



Sinema will vote yes as well along with 5-10 republicans. Her nomination is going to go through and she’ll be on the bench as soon as Breyer is done.

Kalman
Jan 17, 2010

LeeMajors posted:

Has Sinema voiced support? Because I can almost hear her prepping to strut into the spotlight, kill the nomination and profit on the right wing circuit as a hero for the next three decades.

Bonus points if she invokes Robert Bork.

Not yet a confirmed yes, but generally positive comments; I’d be extremely surprised if she doesn’t vote for KBJ in the end.

Mr. Nice! posted:

Sinema will vote yes as well along with 5-10 republicans. Her nomination is going to go through and she’ll be on the bench as soon as Breyer is done.

Ehhh. I think 2 or 3 Rs is the upper limit, though I’m willing to be pleasantly surprised here. 50-50 isn’t out of the question.

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.

Spacebump posted:

You should log off the internet more. The fascists lost while trying to rig an election. They will continue to lose because fascists are historically losers. It may take a while for the courts to be rebalanced but it will eventually happen.

In case you haven't noticed, the Senate is heavily set in the GOP's favor due to there being so many low pop red states to give them a big buffer. Dems in recent history have only held the Senate when having significant turnout compared to the GOP. Whenever the turnout is similar the GOP is always going to come out ahead, to say nothing of the hole the Dems are going to find themselves in after this November since the enthusiasm gap between left/right is pretty dire right now and unless Biden gets his acts together that's not going to improve much by 2024. Much of what allowed the Dems to win in 2020 has been explicitly targeted by every GOP governor and legislature to ensure it doesn't happen again.

Also, Considering the court is now a 6-3 conservative majority after decades of being a 5-4 conservative majority and that right wingers have been spending decades focused on judicial capture while Dems haven't cared makes me wonder what you think will 'rebalance' the courts. If the courts are expanded it's much more likely to be done by the GOP to further drive a nail in the coffin of progress. The leadership and conservative wing of the Democratic Party has no stomach for the idea.


LeeMajors posted:

Has Sinema voiced support? Because I can almost hear her prepping to strut into the spotlight, kill the nomination and profit on the right wing circuit as a hero for the next three decades.

Bonus points if she invokes Robert Bork.

Sinema is an egotistical piece of poo poo but it'd be shocking if she doesn't vote in support of the KBJ.

Kalman posted:

Not yet a confirmed yes, but generally positive comments; I’d be extremely surprised if she doesn’t vote for KBJ in the end.

Ehhh. I think 2 or 3 Rs is the upper limit, though I’m willing to be pleasantly surprised here. 50-50 isn’t out of the question.

I'd be surprised if Romney doesn't vote for her considering it is unlikely to cost him with Utah voters and it lets him get another round of "look how good a person he is" nonsense from the media. The "best" attack from the right on her has been that she's "soft on crime" which of course falls apart as soon as anyone looks at it for more than 5 seconds. Granted, that's 4-4.5 more seconds than most right wingers will spend on the topic.

Evil Fluffy fucked around with this message at 19:25 on Mar 25, 2022

Jaxyon
Mar 7, 2016
I’m just saying I would like to see a man beat a woman in a cage. Just to be sure.

I'm happy you're correct, but "Joe Manchin is fundamentally untrustworthy" isn't exactly a bad position for me to hold.

Kaal
May 22, 2002

through thousands of posts in D&D over a decade, I now believe I know what I'm talking about. if I post forcefully and confidently, I can convince others that is true. no one sees through my facade.
So in a mockery of justice, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito and Neil Gorsuch issued dissent opinions today that basically amount to "Sure, random civilian judges should be able to command military forces and overrule officers about the deployment of special forces units, what could go wrong?" Fortunately they were strongly overruled.

quote:

WASHINGTON — The Supreme Court on Friday blocked a lower court order that prevented the Navy from restricting the deployment of Navy SEALs who refuse to get a Covid vaccination.

Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin had urged the court to remedy what he called “an extraordinary and unprecedented intrusion into core military affairs” that had no precedent in American history.

A federal judge in Texas ruled in early January that the Navy must allow members of the elite special operations community to opt out of the vaccination requirement if they had religious objections. But the judge's order went further, forbidding commanders to make any changes to their military assignments based on a refusal to be vaccinated.

On Friday, the Supreme Court put the judge’s order on hold “insofar as its precludes the Navy from making deployment, assignment, and other operational decisions.” That frees up the Navy to issue deployment orders based on Covid vaccination status.

Three justices — Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito and Neil Gorsuch — said they would have denied the Navy’s request.

In a separate dissenting opinion for himself and Gorsuch, Alito said the court rubber stamped the Navy’s request, doing “a great injustice” to the sailors.

“These individuals appear to have been treated shabbily by the Navy,” Alito said.

Justice Brett Kavanaugh said he agreed with the Supreme Court’s Friday order. Under the Constitution, he said, “the President of the United States, not any federal judge, is the Commander in Chief of the Armed Forces.” The judge in this case improperly inserted himself into the military chain of command, Kavanaugh said.

Austin said the restriction usurped the Navy’s authority to decide when servicemembers should be deployed to carry out some of the military’s most sensitive and dangerous missions. It required commanders to make assignments for servicemembers “without regard to their lack of vaccinations, notwithstanding military leaders’ judgment that doing so poses intolerable risks to safety and mission success.”

The Navy has already sent one member of a SEAL team to a mission on a submarine against the wishes of commanders, the Pentagon said.

U.S. District Court Judge Reed O’Connor issued the order on Jan. 3 in a lawsuit brought by 35 Navy Special Warfare servicemembers, including 26 SEALs, who said the mandatory vaccination policy violated their religious freedom. “The Navy provides a religious accommodation process, but by all accounts, it is theater. The Navy has not granted a religious exemption to any vaccine in recent memory. It merely rubber stamps each denial,” he wrote.

On Feb. 28, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit declined to block O’Connor’s order.

By granting the Navy’s request to block the order, the Supreme Court likely doomed the case of a Navy officer who commands a guided missile destroyer. He brought a similar court challenge to the vaccination requirement, and U.S. District Court judge Steven Merryday of Florida, like O’Connor, found the vaccination order to be a violation of religious freedom and barred the Navy from taking any adverse action against the officer.

Because the Navy considers the officer to be a threat to the health of the crew, it blocked the deployment of the ship, with its crew of 320.

The Supreme Court has traditionally been highly deferential to military judgments about deployments. It said in a 1973 case that it is difficult to conceive of an area of governmental activity in which the courts have less competence than “the complex, subtle, and professional decisions as to the composition, training, equipping, and control of a force.”

In a 1986 case, the court said the essence of military service “is the subordination of the desires and interests of the individual to the needs of the service.”

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-blocks-order-deployment-seals-refuse-covid-vaccine-rcna19885

Eason the Fifth
Apr 9, 2020
Rejoice, more CT health scares

jeeves
May 27, 2001

Deranged Psychopathic
Butler Extraordinaire
I wish I could go the rest of my life without seeing Manchin ever mentioned again.

Time to drink grain alcohol until I go blind then, I guess?

I AM GRANDO
Aug 20, 2006

He won’t matter any more after midterms.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

jeeves posted:



Time to drink grain alcohol until I go blind then, I guess?

Yes, but not for that reason.

Proust Malone
Apr 4, 2008

Evil Fluffy posted:

In case you haven't noticed, the Senate is heavily set in the GOP's favor due to there being so many low pop red states to give them a big buffer. Dems in recent history have only held the Senate when having significant turnout compared to the GOP. .

Remember those halcyoN days of 2009? Feels like the dynamics of tenuousness are the name when the democrats had 59, poo poo when they had 60, seats.

Deteriorata
Feb 6, 2005

Proust Malone posted:

Remember those halcyoN days of 2009? Feels like the dynamics of tenuousness are the name when the democrats had 59, poo poo when they had 60, seats.

"Tenuousness" is the standard state of all legislatures. The goal is always to pack a bill with just enough stuff to get the bare minimum of votes needed to pass. If a major bill is passing easily, you're not trying hard enough.

The main difference right now is that the Democrats are not even attempting any legislation that will require a cloture vote.

jeeves
May 27, 2001

Deranged Psychopathic
Butler Extraordinaire
It’s amazing how much the dusty mummy bitch is sleepwalking the Democrats into a crazy loss for this November.

It’s almost as if electing a the most conservative option on the entire democratic ticket was probably a bad idea in regards to completely disillusioning any actual progressives who need to vote in huge numbers for the midterms. Oops not like anyone had a choice besides mega donors thanks to how primaries work now.

Anyhow that’s not really SCOTUS related so let me edit this post by saying once again gently caress Clarance Thomas.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


Spacebump posted:

You should log off the internet more. The fascists lost while trying to rig an election. They will continue to lose because fascists are historically losers. It may take a while for the courts to be rebalanced but it will eventually happen.

I can't tell if you're being serious, Poe's Law

like, there's nothing supporting this other than the vague End Of History notion that progress happens on its own without any work or political buy-in.

Potato Salad fucked around with this message at 16:43 on Mar 26, 2022

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


re: Sinema, this is one of the literally black and white lines she cannot afford to screw around with

Her swing influence may rest in the FYGM right-wing arm of the party's big tent, but I think this would be too far without some extremely specific and intense pressure from one of her lobbies. I don't think there's anything in the candidate's history that specifically would scare a large financial interest group enough that it would be worth torching Sinema further

tl;dr Sinema is a right wing poison pill, but not a time bomb. Her usefulness as an insider foil would degrade were she to go against the purported party platform and direction here.

Potato Salad fucked around with this message at 16:44 on Mar 26, 2022

mandatory lesbian
Dec 18, 2012

I AM GRANDO posted:

He won’t matter any more after midterms.

What makes you believe this

Stickman
Feb 1, 2004

mandatory lesbian posted:

What makes you believe this

They think that Democrats won’t hold the house or senate so there won’t be any Democratic bills for Manchin to throw a monkey wrench into.

mandatory lesbian
Dec 18, 2012

Stickman posted:

They think that Democrats won’t hold the house or senate so there won’t be any Democratic bills for Manchin to throw a monkey wrench into.

Oh yeah sure, i can see that. I thought they were saying manchin was gonna get voted out which would just be wild to me to think. Apologies to grando

Big Hubris
Mar 8, 2011


Evil Fluffy posted:

Thomas was just released from the hospital so the universe continues to trend in favor of fascists.

Only if he didn't have anything requiring wound care specialists.

If he has bedsores he's not going to buy a new mattress and chairs.

nine-gear crow
Aug 10, 2013

mandatory lesbian posted:

Oh yeah sure, i can see that. I thought they were saying manchin was gonna get voted out which would just be wild to me to think. Apologies to grando

I think it’s actually fairly safe bet to say that Manchin is going to get turfed out in 2024 for an actual Republican instead, or more accurately lose* by just enough of a margin that he would have otherwise won had he not killed electoral reforms and voting rights.

ilkhan
Oct 7, 2004

I LOVE Musk and his pro-first-amendment ways. X is the future.
I actually think Manchin does pretty well in 2024. No other dem would have a chance in WV, but I think he has at least a 50/50 shot of retaining the seat.

Jaxyon
Mar 7, 2016
I’m just saying I would like to see a man beat a woman in a cage. Just to be sure.
It would be hilarious if after loving the entire nation in order to remain electable in WV, he's not remotely electable in WV.

Well, not exactly hilarious....

nine-gear crow
Aug 10, 2013

Jaxyon posted:

It would be hilarious if after loving the entire nation in order to remain electable in WV, he's not remotely electable in WV.

Well, not exactly hilarious....

Karmic, is the word you’re looking for.

Kalman
Jan 17, 2010

ilkhan posted:

I actually think Manchin does pretty well in 2024. No other dem would have a chance in WV, but I think he has at least a 50/50 shot of retaining the seat.

I think he only runs if he thinks he’ll keep the seat; he’ll retire before he runs a race he thinks he’s likely to lose. (He might retire even if he thinks he’ll win, but he’ll definitely retire if he thinks he’ll lose.)

And given the Manchin/Collins Electoral Distortion Field, I wouldn’t bet against him.

azflyboy
Nov 9, 2005
Mancin is also in a pretty good place if he does decide to retire since his stupid poo poo is generally targeted stuff that'll get him on a think tank, corporate board, or lobbying job.

Sinema does the same kinds of stupid things Mancin does, but she just pisses off everyone on both sides of the aisle.

nine-gear crow
Aug 10, 2013

azflyboy posted:

Mancin is also in a pretty good place if he does decide to retire since his stupid poo poo is generally targeted stuff that'll get him on a think tank, corporate board, or lobbying job.

Sinema does the same kinds of stupid things Mancin does, but she just pisses off everyone on both sides of the aisle.

Manchin also has a daughter who's a billionaire pharmaceutical baron, and is himself a millionaire coal baron several times over. He's quite well set for life and can pull the ripcord on his political career at any time, as opposed to Sinema who's in a mad scramble to lay track in front of an oncoming train that's heading for the edge of a cliff. Joe Manchin might not be a senator in 2025, but Kyrsten Sinema definitely will not be a senator in 2025.

I AM GRANDO
Aug 20, 2006

What’s her strategy, anyway? A republican will never respect a democrat, and she moved almost instantly to make herself the most hated democrat among democrats. She comes off like a complete maniac.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

I AM GRANDO posted:

What’s her strategy, anyway? A republican will never respect a democrat, and she moved almost instantly to make herself the most hated democrat among democrats. She comes off like a complete maniac.

She real dumb, that's it

Piell
Sep 3, 2006

Grey Worm's Ken doll-like groin throbbed with the anticipatory pleasure that only a slightly warm and moist piece of lemoncake could offer


Young Orc

I AM GRANDO posted:

What’s her strategy, anyway? A republican will never respect a democrat, and she moved almost instantly to make herself the most hated democrat among democrats. She comes off like a complete maniac.

She's very stupid

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



I still am a firm believer that the Green Party is deliberately controlled opposition. I base this on Jill Stein and Kyrsten Sinema.

Deteriorata
Feb 6, 2005

I AM GRANDO posted:

What’s her strategy, anyway? A republican will never respect a democrat, and she moved almost instantly to make herself the most hated democrat among democrats. She comes off like a complete maniac.

I think she believes that what Arizonans admire most is politicians who buck their own party.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

I AM GRANDO posted:

What’s her strategy, anyway? A republican will never respect a democrat, and she moved almost instantly to make herself the most hated democrat among democrats. She comes off like a complete maniac.

Take all the heat for killing bills the party doesn't want passed, get rewarded by having the primary rigged for her. And also the pharma donations she's raking in.

She might be going too hard on cutesy gently caress-the-poor performances to win a general election though, but she'll have served her purpose.

Kalman
Jan 17, 2010

VitalSigns posted:

Take all the heat for killing bills the party doesn't want passed, get rewarded by having the primary rigged for her.

The party doesn’t want her to kill these bills, though.

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I AM GRANDO
Aug 20, 2006

VitalSigns posted:

Take all the heat for killing bills the party doesn't want passed, get rewarded by having the primary rigged for her. And also the pharma donations she's raking in.

She might be going too hard on cutesy gently caress-the-poor performances to win a general election though, but she'll have served her purpose.

I agree that there are a lot of senators glad that she's there to take heat for sinking bills that they don't want to pass, but there's no way even a very stupid person would make a deal like that. What's the point of winning a primary when you're hated by everyone in the state?

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